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WagerTalk Today | Free Sports Picks | CFB Week 1 Preview | NFL Week 1 Lookahead | 8/26/25
Aug 26, 2025, 2:06 PM
WagerTalk Today | Free Sports Picks | CFB Week 1 Preview | NFL Week
You’re live, my friend. Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet. This is Wager Talk today. I am your host, Andy Lang. It is $5 Tuesday and we are jam-packed. We are looking ahead to NFL week one. We got to try and get out ahead of these numbers. We’re going to dive deep into college football. Again, we got to get out ahead of these numbers and we’re going to take a look at the MLB slate today. So if we’re trying to lock in the best numbers and win early, this is where you need to be. Gianni’s recording with Contender Series. So I’ll give you the steam report from what I can see. Ralph Michaels is going to join us. We’re going to talk Boise State, USF. We’re going to look at the Eagles and Cowboys, and then we’re going to look at a chart involving week one NFL underdogs. Brian Power is going to join us. We’re going to talk Miami, Ohio versus Wisconsin. We’re going to do Phillies and Mets. I’ll do a recap and I’ll do the Dana White Contender Series, making a case for the underdogs for tonight’s Contender Series. So thanks so much for joining us live. Hit the like button, leave us a comment in the comment section, and make sure you are subscribed to the Wager Talk YouTube channel. Football season is absolutely here. Make sure you’re subscribed. Join the Wager Talk family. Get notified when all of these videos go live and when they’re released. So it’s $5 Tuesday, guys. You know that it is the best value in all of sports betting. Every single capper has their top play up for just five bucks. Same best bets we’re firing on for the price of a cup of coffee. I got my cup of coffee here. Stack them, mix them, try someone new. Try your favorite handicap or whatever you do. Do not miss out. My $5 bet every Tuesday is Contender Series. We’re fresh off a win last week. It is locked in and so are dozens more. Take advantage of Ralph Michaels. Take advantage of Brian Power. Anybody you want, your favorite handicap or try somebody new. $5 Tuesday is live. All right, let’s bring in Ralph Michaels. Let’s talk Boise State, USF, Eagles, Cowboys, and the chart. Ralph, happy Tuesday, man. How are you? Hey, I hope everyone celebrated the birthday yesterday. Wager Talk is now 11 years and one day old. It’s amazing. Amazing. So all right, Ralph, let’s get to Boise State and USF. This is an interesting game. I mean, Boise pretty much has lost most of the, not most, like 90% of their rushing yards from last year to Ashton Gentee, but they are returning their quarterback. USF, they’re replacing running backs and wide receivers with the transfer portal, but their coaching staff is still going to be a little bit consistent. We got Boise State, a little movement here down to minus six. I know this was at 1.7 and six and a half, the over under is 63. What’s your take on Boise State and South Florida? Well, listen, even with the loss of Ashton Gentee, who came up 27 yards short of Barry Sanders’ all-time single season rushing record, the Broncos are still one of 11 teams in the FBS to have their entire full-time coaching staff back. That is a lot of continuity. Now, missing Gentee is going to be a big deal, but this offensive line is not only the best in the country. Four returning starters are back, including an all-American, and the one starter they have to replace is from a player who started 13 games two years ago, only started three games last year and got injured. To me, that is basically returning your entire offensive line. Again, now you have to understand that Maddox Madsen’s numbers likely are going to go down a bit. When you have a guy that’s rushing for that much, when you run the play action, there’s a lot of open receivers. That’s going to be the toughest thing for them to focus. I do say they have a solid running back, and with this O-line, I have no question he is still going to top 1,000 yards, so not quite the drop-off that you would expect. But I look at USF, and this is a team I like very much so. You look at Alex Golas. He took over a team that had, I think, seven wins out of 40 prior to him taking. I know there were four and 29 going back for the last three years, but getting them to seven, six back-to-back years has been a step. This year, they have solid returning people, including a quarterback. Now remember, their quarterback, who two years ago threw for 2,300 yards, 26 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, and rushed for 800 yards, was injured after a couple of starts last year. I think there’s going to be positivity there. Two years ago, we also had 38 sacks. The O-line much improved this season. Now, I did go to the database, and it does tell us that in Game 1 in college football, if it’s an FBS versus FBS team, home dogs since 2014 are 58 and 36, 61 percent, a very positive number there. And then you look at Boise. This is a 5-30 start. They moved it to 5-30 to kick off college football season on 30, a couple hours early. Boise’s making that trip from Boise, Idaho to Tampa, Florida, where it’s going to be 90-plus degrees, 80-plus humidity, and it’s going to feel like 115 degrees. That’s a tough situation for a team wearing dark blue jerseys on the road in Florida in August. USF is the team I have on the rise up this year. I feel comfortable taking the six points in this game. The underdog, my best bet, first best bet in college football. All right. I like this. So, Ralph, talk to us about what the handicapping is like these days now. I mean, this is, going into the season, this is completely different than what it was 10 years ago, heck, even five years ago. How are you doing this research trying to figure out this transfer portal and NIL, or is this just, we’re taking it one step at a time because it is so new? No, Andy, great point. And I think the biggest difference is my power ratings. You know, I come back from old school working for Phil Steele and North Coast Sports and PowerSweep and with Mark Lawrence and the Goldsfeed, and I have learned to do a very good set of power ratings. Three or four years ago, Andy, I would use my power ratings week one religiously. Well, now I throw those power ratings out the first three or four weeks of the season. I still do them. I still update them. But until I actually get to see these teams play or study them enough, I don’t use those power ratings. So it’s much more important to look at NIL, the transfer kids in the upper conferences, because they have many more transfer than the lower conferences. The lower conferences only lose people. They’re going to get very few upgrades in positions because very few players transfer down. So it’s just a different way we recap. I look at form. I look at returning units. I look at those that do have cohesiveness. But again, throw out the power ratings the first few weeks, at least in my book I do. But to me, I’m conservative week one, and I’ll continue to get more involved with deeper cards as the season progresses through the first few weeks. Let’s move to NFL. Let’s take a look at week one. I know you got a chart coming up, but let’s talk about this. How about them Cowboys? Have you watched the Cowboys, Doc, by the way, on Netflix? Have you watched it? I have not. I think I watched the first year it was out. I watched it. But I don’t like watching those things because it affects you so much the way you handicap. So I like I like not watching them. Put the blinders on and just go on. But, you know, in this game, Andy, you know, you look at what these teams did last year and you think this line should be probably higher. Super Bowl champs. Let me run down these rankings. Offense and defense. Yards per game. Dallas 17 and 28. Philly 8 and 1. Points per game. Dallas 21 and 31. Philly 5 and 1. Yards per play. Dallas 20 and 28. Philadelphia 11 and 1. That kind of team with a Philadelphia Eagles offense that’s returning 10 of their starters seems to me they should be favored by more than a touchdown. But let’s hold on a second. I think Michael Parsons is probably the most Michael Parsons to the Dallas Cowboys in that run game. It’s probably the most important defensive player in the NFL. I think he’s at least worth a point, maybe a point and a half. Philadelphia ran over the Dallas Cowboys last year. By the way, Philly has covered five or six in the series. And if Michael Parsons isn’t there, that is a big concern for me. Philly, of course, outscored Dallas 75-13 the last two meetings last season. Now those numbers are strong. Dallas is the train wreck. Dallas has a new head coach. And remember, Jerry Jones only hires new coaches that will do exactly what he tells them to do. So it’s a very lame duck head coach in a situation. Heck, Brian Schottenheimer couldn’t get hired as an OC anywhere, yet he gets a Dallas Cowboy head coaching job. Big concern to me. The thing that stops me from using Philly in this are some trends. We’re going to talk about division. We’re going to talk about week one dogs. But I want to bring this up as well. When division teams play each other in week one, you’re familiar with the stadiums. You stay in the same hotels. You haven’t had any film on this year’s changes. So if you just blindly bet, Andy, teams in week one that are in a division game with double revenge, 63.5 percent. If you look at road teams, division road teams with double revenge, 70 percent. And division road teams like the Cowboys, as a away dog of four and a half or more, 21 and 581 percent. So this is the situation where I’ve got a lot of great trends on Dallas. My eye test and numbers tell me Philly. So I’m going to lay off the side. What I am going to do is we talked about this Dallas defense. We’ve talked about this Philadelphia offense, and I think it’s a very fair price at the Philadelphia Eagles team total over 27 and a half as they get their Super Bowl rings next Thursday. I’m I’m a huge Phillies Philly. I’m a huge Eagles fan. I think they’re always underrated. I can’t think of a Super Bowl team that is talked about less than this team in terms of expectations. It’s just like everyone’s being like they’re going to regress. It starts with Jalen Hurts. I’m a huge Jalen Hurts fan. Again, how many times are we going to count this guy out? All he does is win literally everywhere he goes. But hey, I’m going to follow the trends. And yeah, touchdown is a lot. It’s a lot. I don’t you know, Andy’s. Yeah. Since 2004, there has not been a repeat winner of the NFC East. I know. I know. I just I can’t wrap my head around that. They’re so good. They’re so good. They’re built for the regular season playoffs. Whatever. Whatever. I just yeah. Yeah. Chat, they’re underrated. You go look at power rankings. They’re not even the top three or four. It’s like this team beat everybody last year. All right, Ralph, it is five dollar Tuesday. What do you have up for everyone? I do have a five dollar nerfy play loaded and make sure you check out my nerfy plays every day on TikTok and YouTube TV. I do the free guide as well on my home page wt.buzz backslash RM. All right. Great stuff from Ralph Michaels. Yeah. So the big takeaway, Ralph, is we got to look at these these underdogs in week one. That’s that’s got to look at that chart, Andy, and let’s just show how much we have to look at those underdogs. This shocked the heck out of me. And, you know, there’s a couple of things I want to say here. You know, I put out a lot of trends. I put out a lot of angles. But these trends and angles are probably only 20 percent of my handicapping. So don’t fall in love because you see one number on one chart for one team. It’s still it is only going to be. You got to look at situations. You got to look at matchups. You got to look at history. You got to look at, you know, a group injury. So but when you look at NFL week one dogs, what impresses me about this chart is I went from 2009 on the left hand side since 2012 on the right hand side. And you’re consistent in all four categories. And it’s been even better since 2012, since 2009. But take a look at the top line, Andy. If you blindly bet every week one dog since 2009, you’ve cashed 54 percent, 55 percent since 2012. I talked about division dogs. If you blindly played every division dog in the NFL since 2009, 65 percent, 66 percent since 2012. Division home dogs, 24 and 7, 77 percent, 82 percent since 2012. And division home dogs of one and a half or more, Andy, 79 percent and 85 percent going 17 and three since 2012. Basically, I’ll say this. Friends don’t let friends bet many week one NFL division home dogs. So when we look at this chart, you’re not saying like blindly bet it. Maybe you’re maybe you’re saying blindly bet. History tells us this, but it’s more of just a tool in your toolbox to look at like if there is a division home dog that you like, you know that this is kind of one of your reasonings for it. Well, you got to be number one. There’s times I cherry pick numbers right to get a wow number in between. But you can see these are just basics. There is no cherry picking here. So when you have this type of sample size for this type of length, when I start looking at division dogs and division home dogs, I may not bet those teams blindly, but it’ll be a hell of a hell of a long shot for me to bet against that trend. So you’re not always having to bet trends. But remember, leaving a loser off versus putting a winner on is advantageous because you’re saving that 10 percent. So if there’s two games you wanted to use and and they were both division favorites away favorites and you say, I’m going to leave them both off the board and they split, you still saved yourself 10 percent. So you may not want to play them all, but be very careful playing against those solid trends of those percentages with that length of time. Yeah, it’s so important. What do we say? Sometimes the best bets you make are the ones you leave off, leave off the card. So, yeah, those charts that if it talks you out of a play that you’re on the fence about, it’s worth its weight in gold. So great stuff. Ralph Michael’s here. So one more time, Ralph. Five dollar Tuesday. Tell us about it. Five dollar Tuesday. But I do want to mention I do have a five percent up at wager talk for college football this Friday. My college football five percent went for no last year. I finished number two in college football in the season behind Mr. Ross Benjamin and my NFL and college football regular season bets. That’s 17 and two. Ninety percent. Check it out. W.T. That buzz backslash are. All right, Ralph Michaels, thanks so much for joining us. Good stuff. Good stuff. Take a take a screenshot of that chart. Helps your handicapping in in week two. So. All right. Let’s do the steam report literally right before we were going to go to the steam report to start the show. My feed went out. I was joking. Giannis was sending. Johnny was just reminding us he does a steam report. We were just we’re just posers here. All right. Let’s take a look here at Thursday college football. See if we missed any key numbers here. NC State looks like we missed that key number. If you haven’t bet that when it opened at minus 12, that’s up to minus 14. Akron has taken some money. They were let’s see. Wyoming was minus nine and a half now down to minus seven. So if that dips below that touchdown, you could probably see some buyback. A lot of money has come in on Rutgers. They open minus ten and a half. They’re all the way up to minus 15 and a half. So they’ve gone through that 13, 13 and a half and 14. I didn’t see a book at minus 16. And if we want to look ahead to Friday, if you guys want to try and get out of some of those moves, money is coming in on San Jose State. They open minus ten and a half. It’s just a one point move. But you’re seeing eleven and a half pop up against central Michigan. Money has come in on Charlotte. Appalachian State is down to minus six and a half. We went through that key number seven. So we went from minus eight and a half down to minus six. And the other big move is on Sam Houston State. They opened up at 13 and a half point dogs. They’re now down to ten and a half. So if you like Sam Houston State, I would get on them before that thing moves to ten. And we have a one point move on Georgia Tech against Colorado, minus three and a half. That’s now up to minus four and a half. I guess there’s a big move in Michigan State, but it’s a huge number. Seventeen and a half. They opened. It’s now twenty and a half. So you want to lay the wood. You got to get those those three touchdowns so we can look at baseball here. Not a lot of movement that I see when we go over baseball. It’s just not a lot of bets have been made at this point. So only only moves I really see. Some money’s come in on St. Louis. Some money has come on come in on the Cubs fading Verlander here, who I believe is one in ten this year. Absolutely stunning for Verlander’s one. He hadn’t pitched that bad. The athletics of all teams are taking a little bit of money. I guess people don’t like Morton here. Detroit opened minus 140. They’re down to minus 125. And Houston opened at minus 340. One book now has them at minus 375. I would just say, be careful laying minus 375 against this Colorado Rockies team that ends up winning like one out of three games and just crushes everyone’s everyone’s parlay. So be careful on that one. And then there’s some movement on the over on the Seattle and San Diego game seven and a half. That’s up to eight. I see an eight and a half popping up there as well. So those are MLB steam. If you want any WNBA over in Phoenix and Los Angeles, over in Seattle and India. And I feel like every time we talk about steam and WNBA, it’s just like the over is like six, seven points point moves. So all right, Chris, let’s go to all around the world. Let’s give the people some free plays. Had some fun yesterday. We missed the Asia Wilson, but we hit that three to one over on the alt line on the Brewers game. And then we hit the soccer free play on solid to have a point. So that was a, that was, that was a good day for all around the world. All right, let’s go to the mercury and the sparks were Kia Jackson over one and a half made threes. This is the best prop that is going in sports right now. And nobody knows about it. She’s gone over an eight games. The books have not moved this number. Her volume of shooting is way up. She’s averaging seven three point attempts this month. And the shooting percentage is through the roof. She has been on fire. This has been one of the easiest bets you can make this month. So is she going to continue this into 10 straight made games 12? I don’t know, but if you’ve been making off for Kia Jackson, keep going back to her raise at the guardians. This one comes off of the wager talk free picks page. Look at the raise money line here. The raise one, uh, they’re, they’re three and own last week that they won nine to nothing. And this is crazy guardians. They’ve lost six straight away. They have zero runs in like the last 28 innings or like the guardians bats have just been anemic. So, uh, getting raised plus money is interesting. And then we mentioned the diamond backs and brewers yesterday. I I’m going right back to this brewers team over four and a half on their team. Total fat for, uh, Arizona 18 earned runs last 28 innings. The brewers put up seven last night against Arizona after losing two straight, maybe their offense is back on track. I’m willing to believe it. So let’s take a, take a peek at the Brewers here. All right. Uh, yeah, Roger, we mentioned there’s a little bit of steam on the cubs. I would expect a lot of steam to come in throughout the course of the day. You got to remember when we’re recording this right now, it’s 1220 Eastern time. It’s only nine 20 out in Vegas and out, out West. So you got to believe that there’s going to be a lot of money on a, on a public team like the cubs and then fading that Verlander. So let’s bring in Brian power here. Let’s talk some college football. Let’s talk some MLB. And we also got to talk to blitz Brian. First show was last week. It was great. Um, so tell us real quick about the blitz. It’s going to be every Thursday, right after this show. Yes. Every Thursday night at 1 PM Eastern, we take your guys’ questions. I see some questions actually rolling in right here about college football guys. Do you want to get, if you want your question on this week’s guaranteed to be answered, tune into the blitz 1 PM Eastern Thursday, immediately following Andy I’ll be joined by Ralph Michaels. So you just heard, um, uh, not sure who the other person is, but we’ll have, it will be another one of our top college football handicappers. And, uh, we’ll just, again, what, this is a special week too. It’s a great week to watch. If you missed last week, last week, we went in depth on all five games this week. We want to cover as much as possible Thursday, there’s games Friday, there’s game Saturday, there’s game Sunday, there’s game Monday, anything you want to know about ask away. We’ll get to it. Obviously some big matchups, Ohio state, Texas, LSU, Clemson, got Notre Dame Miami on Sunday. Even if you want to know about the smaller matchup, that’s what we’re here for 1 PM Eastern live. You got to tune in live. If you want that question. Oh man, I can’t wait to come with some bizarro questions for the panel. You guys, there’s gonna be some questions coming out of nowhere from me, bro. You just guaranteed that you have to answer. No, I’m just kidding. Yeah. Thank you. The answer is hand. Thank you very much. I don’t need a comb or a brush. You know, we just take a little, take a little gel, use the hand, leave it all messed up. That’s the answer, buddy. Tell you what, the hair’s going a little gray, but I was blessed with a lot of it, Andy. That’s so, uh, at least I got something going for me in that regard. Hey, that’s, that’s the big win. That, that, that’s the big win right there. So, all right, let’s jump, let’s jump into some, uh, let’s start with college football here. Let’s take a look at, uh, the Wisconsin and Miami of Ohio team. I mean, this is a Miami team, correct me if I’m wrong, they lost all 11 offensive starters. They only have three defensive starters, but it’s a brand new team. This is, this is crazy. Um, Wisconsin. I know they got that new transfer quarterback from Maryland. They do, they are returning some offensive linemen. Um, I was reading that the history is terrible for Miami when they face out of conference opponents early in the season. Like they’d be like one of them in the last like 20 years. Um, what’s your take on this game here? This has got to be a tough one to handicap. I mean, what, how can you possibly predict what we’re going to get from Miami in this one? Well, I’m going to try. I think that’s why you’re having me on. So hopefully we all learn a little something. I have gone to hung out at both of these campuses, by the way, in a long time ago, both fun places, Madison, Wisconsin, and Oxford, Ohio, if you ever had a chance, but let’s tell you what’s going to happen. Let me tell you, what’s going to happen in the football game here, Wisconsin. What do you need to know? 22 year bull streak was snapped last season, Andy, they finished just five and seven straight up improving on that wind total here in 2025 going to be pretty tough. Why? Because the Badgers face arguably the toughest schedule in the entire country this year. They draw eight of the top 11 teams in the big 10. Yes. Let me repeat that eight of the top 11 teams in the big 10, which is an 18 team conference. College football is in trouble with math. That’s okay. But they also face Alabama in the non-con. Why do I bring that up? Well, I think it’s pretty imperative for Luke Fickle to have a strong start these first two games, which are against Miami of Ohio or an image the second and then middle Tennessee next week. Cause if they want to get back to a bowl this year, they’ve got to, you would expect they’re going to win regardless these first two weeks. But I think in terms of building confidence for the rest of the season, Andy, they need to look good. So you mentioned some of the history here and how it is not exactly smiling on Miami of Ohio more often than not, they take their lumps in the non-conference portion of the schedule before ramping up and competing for a Mac title. I know the Mac. Well, I went to a Mac school, Miami is just 12 and 30 straight up under Chuck Martin against non-conference opponents. On top of that, how about Owen eight against the number of their last eight road openers. And this one figures to go pretty poorly because Wisconsin, as you’d expect has had the max number 23 straight up the last 23 games against Mac opponents. They’ve covered 15 of those 23. So the question is, you mentioned the big number here. Can Wisconsin cover it? It’s very interesting. We have a 17 and a half point favorite here. Let’s not bury the total and as well, a total of 39 and a half. So we have a 17 and a half point favorite at a total of 39 and a half. My view badge is probably going to win pretty big here. Again, I think it’s really important for that strong, uh, for a strong start build confidence for the rest of the season. Given the schedule that awaits. I like you referenced this Andy at the top of the breakdown. I like what fickle did in the transfer portal. The team got a lot stronger in the trenches on both sides of the ball that Phil Longo hire when they brought him. And that was a kid. Nobody wants to run an air raid in Madison, Wisconsin. That was a curious hire. So I’m glad he’s out of there. I think in Madison, they’re glad he’s out of there. We’re going to see a return, I think to a traditional style of Wisconsin football. And then you mentioned it Miami, Ohio, losing all 11 starters from last year on the offensive side of the ball makes it pretty tough sledding for game one. I would play Wisconsin both first half and full game here. I think they run away from them pretty quickly. And then hold on for a big win, maybe about 2% on each. You’re right. An air raid in Madison, Wisconsin in December. It’s not going to go very well in zero degree weather. Madison, unbelievably fun party, college town. Just unbelievable. They know how to party. My family’s from up there. Yeah, they know how to get down in Wisconsin. All right. A couple questions here while we have you on. Carson Beck, any thoughts on Carson Beck? We’ve got questions. Justin says he’s looking to fade Miami against the spread as much as possible this year. Agree, disagree, or is this just week one? I’m going to probably try to find a way to… Well, I think I talked about it last week, Miami and Florida. Was it last week? Two weeks ago was one of those two weeks that I was on. We talked about Miami and Florida and how it is tough to invest your money in Mario Cristobal, especially in a big game. I get the trepidation with backing the Canes against the Notre Dame team that obviously played for a national championship last year. But God, pardon me. I know when Sunday rolls around, I’m going to be looking to probably get involved in the Miami side as a home dog. I think Notre Dame takes a step back. Let’s not forget their quarterback situation. I think that’s more important in a true road game right off the rip. I would not be looking to go big on… That’s what I’ll say for this game. I have not made a decision, but I can tell you with 95% confidence, I will not be on Notre Dame as a side. All right. Well, let’s move to MLB here and let’s talk the Phillies and the Mets. Lizardo for Philly, Manea by the Mets. Manea has absolutely been lit up the last four starts. You know me, I love team totals. I am staring hard about this team total to fade Manea. But what’s your breakdown on this game? Well, maybe a little bit different here. Let’s talk about what we saw yesterday first, before we talk about today. Phillies took money yesterday in the… I don’t know if that was on the steam report or not. And that did not work out too well because the Phillies lose the series opener by a score of 13 to 3. There’s not going to be a lack of motivation on either side here, guys. Obviously, some teams have fallen out of contention. That’s a big part of the handicap as we roll into September in Major League Baseball. Some teams just do not care. But the Phillies, they’re looking to expand their lead in the division, not to mention they’re also competing for a first-round bye come playoff time. But even after the big win last night, I think the Mets still probably the more motivated team here. And it doesn’t necessarily guarantee victory, obviously. But not only are they chasing the Phillies in the division, but the Mets have to worry about the Reds who are only two and a half games in the rear view in the race for that last NL wildcard. So similar to yesterday, I actually disagree with the way this line is moving. I think at home where they have a 24, a four, pardon me, a 42 and 24 record, the Mets should be slight favorites in this game. This is a team that remember had the best record in all of baseball back on June 12th. I know that was a while ago. Okay. They were 45 and 24 overall at the time, just 25 and 37 cents. But overall you have to keep a big picture mind. You cannot, I always preach this on the, uh, on these breakdowns. I do here on the wage YouTube channel, you can’t fall victim to recency bias. I know two months is kind of a long time, but overall I think the Mets are still a lot closer to the top than they are the bottom of the league. I still have them power rated in the top 10. Now will they go 11 for 19 with runners in scoring position again, like they did last night? No, probably not, but worth noting a Philly starter, Jesus Lizardo. And this is where I’m willing to get involved with the Mets. Andy Y Lizardo has been guilty at times of tipping pitches and he’s had four starts where he’s allowed six or more runs in five or fewer innings. So I think the offense could be there for the Mets. You mentioned Manea. He has absolutely struggled in August teams own for his last four starts, but you look at expected versus actual ERA. I know the commoners love when I bring up expected ERA, he has a 3.77 expected ERA versus a 5.15 actually. All right. So that’s a sign. He’s pitched actually a little bit better than what some of the traditional numbers will tell you. Also he’s a lefty and this is key because since the break Philly’s bottom 10, both batting average and WRC plus against lefties. Furthermore, 23.3% strikeout rate against Southpaws for the season. And yes, the Mets have done well at home against the Phillies this season and beyond. So I’d like to take a small flyer on the New York Mets here. This is a 3% client play. Oh, nice. Good. All right. So we just got a free a 3% client play on the Mets there.
