sports betting – Urban City Podcast Group

NCAA Revokes Eligibility For 6 College Basketball Players Amid Widening Sports Betting Probe

Urban City Podcast Group — Fri, 07 Nov 2025 19:05:17 +0000

Major Takeaways

Officials revoked eligibility for six players across multiple programs after findings tied to manipulating betting outcomes and sharing insider information.
Integrity monitoring, tips, and data analysis are central to uncovering gambling related misconduct in college sports.
Leaders are delaying policy changes and emphasizing education, deterrence, and support to protect competitive integrity.

6 Minute Read

Urgent Insights: NCAA college basketball eligibility and sports betting integrity crisis

College basketball is entering a new season under the shadow of a fast growing sports betting investigation. Officials have revoked the eligibility of six players after a review that tied them to gambling related misconduct. The cases span multiple programs including New Orleans, Mississippi Valley State, and Arizona State. The decisions point to a tightening stance on integrity and a recognition that legal wagering has created new risks for college sports.

What happened and why it matters

The core allegation is that several athletes took part in activities intended to influence betting outcomes. The review found instances where players shared inside information and in some cases shaped on court performance to affect the final margin. That includes losing by more than the point spread and other actions that would tilt wagers one way or another. Officials say the behavior crossed bright lines and undermined trust in competition.

These are not isolated events. Integrity monitors and campus compliance offices have reported more tips and more unusual betting patterns than ever before. The growth of legal wagering, easy access through mobile apps, and the cultural normalization of betting have all raised the stakes. College athletes are high visibility figures who sit close to sensitive information such as injuries, lineup changes, and practice updates. When even a few people try to profit from that access, the ripple effects are large.

The programs and the penalties

The current batch of cases involves six players across three schools. At New Orleans and Mississippi Valley State, investigators say athletes worked with outside bettors and took steps that could change the spread. At Arizona State, the scrutiny focused on sharing inside information and the possibility of coordinated actions linked to specific wagers. In each case, the penalty was the same. Loss of eligibility.

In recent months there have been other disciplinary actions related to gambling as well. Three players from Fresno State and San Jose State were banned after betting on their own games. Those cases sent a clear message that the rule against betting on ones own team is absolute. Taken together, the pattern shows a system that is learning in real time how to detect and deter misconduct.

How these cases come to light

Most investigations begin with tips. Sometimes a teammate, a staff member, or a friend senses that something is off and reports it. Integrity firms that track the betting markets also play a major role. They watch for irregular action such as sudden surges on a small conference game or a line that moves in ways that do not match public information. When market signals and tips point in the same direction, campus compliance teams and league officials step in.

Phone records, messages, and financial transfers can establish connections between athletes and bettors. Game film can show if a player repeatedly makes choices that defy coaching plans and normal incentives. None of this is simple. The line between a bad night on the court and deliberate manipulation is not always clear. That is why recent decisions emphasize patterns over single plays and why the process includes interviews, data analysis, and collaboration with outside experts.

The rules and why they are changing

The rules on athlete gambling have been strict for years. No betting on college sports. No betting on your own team. No sharing of information that is not public. As legal markets have expanded, pressure has grown to revisit parts of that framework. A recent proposal would allow athletes and staff to bet on professional sports, but the effective date was pushed back from early November to later in the month after members voiced concern. Leaders argue that guardrails must come first and education must be expanded before any loosening takes effect.

The delay captures the tension in this moment. Legal wagering is part of the sports landscape, including sponsorships and media coverage that reach college audiences. At the same time, college athletes are not salaried professionals and the educational mission demands higher expectations. Any policy shift must consider how to prevent insider information from leaking into the betting markets and how to protect young people from exploitation.

The human side for the athletes and teams

Eligibility revocation is a severe penalty. For the athletes, it can end a college career and close the door to future opportunities. Some may have believed the conduct was minor or that small actions would go unnoticed. Others may have faced pressure from acquaintances who saw an opportunity to profit. None of that excuses the behavior, but it does highlight why education and support are essential.

For teams, the fallout is immediate. Lineups change. Coaches must rebuild trust in the locker room. Opponents and fans begin to question the legitimacy of recent results. Recruits and their families ask hard questions about campus culture and oversight. Athletic departments must respond with transparency and with a plan that shows they are ahead of the problem rather than reacting after the fact.

Education, deterrence, and support

A strong integrity program blends clear rules, realistic education, and credible enforcement. The best programs do the following.

Explain rules in plain language with real scenarios that mirror how athletes actually live. For example, what to do if a roommate asks about an ankle injury or if a cousin wants to place a bet during a family holiday.
Teach athletes how betting markets work so they understand why even small hints can move lines.
Offer confidential channels for reporting concerns without fear of retaliation. Tips often come from peers who notice unusual behavior.
Limit access to sensitive information. Injury updates and lineup decisions should be tightly controlled and released publicly at consistent times.
Run regular audits with integrity partners to spot unusual market activity connected to the teams on campus.
Set firm but fair penalties and apply them consistently. Credibility depends on even handed enforcement.

Support matters too. Some athletes gamble recreationally and do not recognize when it becomes a problem. Counseling, peer support, and referrals to help services can prevent small issues from turning into life changing mistakes. Education for families is also helpful since pressure often comes from someone the athlete knows well.

What this means for the season ahead

The immediate impact is that several teams will play without key contributors. Coaches will adjust rotations and young players will have to grow fast. On a broader level, the cases serve as a warning. Opponents and officials will be watching suspicious patterns more closely. Broadcasters will discuss betting related storylines with greater care. Fans will ask tougher questions when lines move in odd ways or when endgame decisions look unusual.

In the long run, these cases could push college sports toward a more formal integrity framework similar to what professional leagues use. Expect more data sharing with monitoring firms, more standardized injury reporting, and clearer education modules across conferences. If policies do change to allow certain forms of betting by athletes and staff on professional sports, those changes will likely be paired with tighter rules on information handling and with specific guidance on social relationships that can create risk.

A call for leadership

This is a moment that calls for leadership from university presidents, athletic directors, coaches, and student athlete leaders. The message should be consistent. Fair play is non negotiable. Betting markets are powerful and quick to punish naive mistakes. If you are unsure about a situation, ask for help. If you see something that threatens the integrity of competition, speak up.

The path forward is not only about penalties. It is about building a culture in which athletes understand their responsibilities and feel supported enough to meet them. That means investing in education, setting up safe reporting channels, and making integrity part of the daily routine. It also means recognizing the reality that wagering is all around us and that the best defense is preparation, not denial.

The bottom line

The revocation of eligibility for six players at New Orleans, Mississippi Valley State, and Arizona State shows how serious the threat of gambling misconduct has become in college basketball. Recent bans at other programs reinforce that message. The system is learning how to spot problems earlier through tips and market analysis. Policy makers are moving carefully on rule changes that intersect with legal wagering. And campuses are beginning to build more robust programs that blend education, deterrence, and support.

Integrity is fragile. It takes years to build and can be damaged in a single moment. The recent cases are a hard lesson, but they also offer a chance to reset expectations and to protect the game that so many people love. If leaders act with clarity and consistency, college basketball can navigate this era of legal betting while preserving the trust that makes competition meaningful.

World Series Game 5: Urban City Sports Dodgers on the Brink, Blue Jays Refuse to Fold

Urban City Podcast Group — Wed, 29 Oct 2025 18:44:44 +0000

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Major Takeaways

Toronto’s resilience and consistent contact hitting have flipped multiple postseason deficits, setting an MLB record.
Game 5’s pitching matchup between Yesavage and Snell could redefine the MVP race and the series momentum.
The Dodgers remain heavy favorites, but bettors should beware, the Blue Jays have turned analytics into upsets.

Urban City Sports: Dodgers on the Brink, Blue Jays Refuse to Fold | World Series Game 5

The numbers might tell one story, but the heart of the game is telling another. What looked like a smooth ride for the Los Angeles Dodgers just got real rough as the Toronto Blue Jays punched back hard in Game 4 of the World Series, taking a 6–2 win and forcing this showdown back to Canada.

Now, with Game 5 set for tonight, it’s anybody’s guess whether L.A. still runs Hollywood or if Toronto just stole the script.

Gil Alexander and Kelly Biddlen of VSiN: The Sports Betting Network were breaking it all down on “A Numbers Game,” where analytics meet attitude. Alexander admits he hasn’t been able to get much right this series, but that’s the beauty and pain of baseball betting.

“The Blue Jays have hit four home runs this postseason that flipped a deficit into a lead,” Alexander said. “Feels like I’ve been on the wrong side of every one.”

That’s not just bad luck, that’s a team with ice in their veins. Toronto’s lineup doesn’t swing wild. They make contact, they play tight defense, and they find ways to punish every mistake.

Blue Jays Keep Swinging, Dodgers Keep Guessing

Game 4 looked like business as usual early when Kiki Hernández opened with a highlight reel catch and the Dodgers took a 1–0 lead. But then, the tide turned as Vlad Guerrero Jr. smashed a two run shot off Shohei Ohtani that flipped the script. From there, the Jays kept stacking runs like poker chips.

Toronto’s bullpen slammed the door, and the Dodgers never recovered. Those four postseason home runs that changed the game? That’s an MLB record. They might be the number one seed, but against L.A.’s billion dollar roster, they’ve got serious underdog energy, and bettors are taking notice.

Tonight’s Matchup: Yesavage vs Snell

Game 5 features Dodgers right hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s tag team rotation with Yesavage on the bump against Blake Snell, the two time Cy Young winner. The Dodgers still open as heavy favorites, sitting around +200, but that number feels inflated given Toronto’s momentum.

Snell’s control can vanish under pressure, but when he’s dialed in, he’s lethal. Yesavage, meanwhile, has been a surprise weapon, coming through with clutch innings despite limited postseason experience.

As Alexander pointed out, “Toronto’s superpower, they don’t strike out. That’s how they’ve stayed alive.”

MVP Race Gets Murky

With Ohtani leading early as the presumed MVP, things have shifted. If the Dodgers win tonight and force Game 6, Yamamoto could find himself right in the conversation if he throws another gem. Betting markets still give Ohtani the edge, but voters love a comeback narrative.

“Even if Shohei cools off, it’s hard to bet against him,” Biddlen said. “But Yamamoto’s live. Super live.”

Still, baseball’s a funny game. One bad outing can flip the narrative overnight, and that’s why bettors keep coming back for more.

Urban City Take

You can run all the data models you want, but sometimes it’s just about who’s hungry. Toronto looks like the team that wants it more. The Dodgers? They’ve been here before, and maybe that’s part of the problem. Comfort can kill.

If you’re betting, it’s worth peeking at that plus money line on the Jays. You’re not just betting on bats, you’re betting on belief.

NBA Sports Betting Scandal Rocks League as Players and Coaches Face Federal Charges

Urban City Podcast Group — Tue, 28 Oct 2025 01:32:35 +0000

Major Takeaways:

Federal investigators charged more than 30 people, including NBA players and coaches, in a large-scale sports betting and gambling scheme.
Allegations include sharing inside information, manipulating bets, and using cheating technology in private poker games.
The NBA faces growing pressure to tighten betting rules and restore fan trust in fair competition.

NBA Sports Betting Scandal Rocks League as Players and Coaches Face Federal Charges

The world of professional basketball finds itself at a crossroads as one of its biggest scandals to date has surfaced. More than thirty individuals including current and former players and coaches from the National Basketball Association have been charged in a sweeping federal probe centered on illegal sports betting and underground gambling operations. What started as isolated rumors has turned into a full scale investigation exposing how insider information and organized crime can intersect with the game we all believe is fair.

Several high profile figures are at the heart of the case. One is a guard for the Miami Heat who allegedly provided nonpublic information about his status in games to co‐conspirators. Prosecutors say he informed others that he planned to leave a game early or would not reach his expected performance metrics. That tip enabled bettors to place large “unders” wagers expecting his statistical output to fall short. The counts he faces include conspiracy to commit wire fraud and conspiracy to engage in money laundering. Another major figure is a Hall of Fame player turned head coach of one of the league’s teams who is accused of participating in an illegal poker operation tied to major organized crime families. The poker games reportedly used high-tech cheating methods like marked decks, hidden shufflers and even x-ray enabled tables. Victims believed they were playing fair games but courts say they were set up to lose.

Federal law enforcement describes two inter-connected schemes. The first involves NBA games and insider information. It covers multiple contests between 2022 and 2024 where injuries, lineup changes and game time reductions were allegedly tipped ahead of the public. One indictment identifies at least seven games where large bets were placed after secret information was passed along. The second scheme centers on underground poker games in major cities such as Las Vegas, New York and Miami. Organized crime figures allegedly tapped former athletes as “face cards” to entice wealthy gamblers into games rigged from the start. The combined illegal profits in these cases are estimated in the tens of millions of dollars.

When the league leadership announced the indictments they placed the key figures on administrative leave and pledged full cooperation with authorities. The statement emphasized that the integrity of the game remained their top priority. The timing of the arrests is particularly dramatic because legal sports betting has become widespread across the United States creating massive growth in revenue but also creating new vulnerabilities. Bettors count on having a fair shot but when individuals inside the system people with access to game plans, injuries, rotations and playing time begin feeding information into gambling systems, the promise of fairness falters.

For the Urban City audience this is not just a sports story. It is a systemic warning sign. Communities long accustomed to hustling and striving for opportunity must understand that legalized betting is being marketed as empowerment. But if the underdog is now competing in a game where insiders are rigging the odds, the barrier to entry just moved. Games once celebrated for competition and skill risk becoming arenas where secrets matter more than on-court performance.

The tale raises difficult questions. What happens when the same leagues that benefit financially from legal sports betting also face scandals tied to that very business? What safeguards exist to prevent players and team insiders from being drawn into schemes where they can profit off non‐public information? What happens to fans when they begin to believe outcomes might be manipulated rather than earned? Regulators and lawmakers are paying attention. Some members of Congress are calling for tighter federal controls on sports betting and for new rules to govern the kinds of bets players, coaches and insiders can influence. Industry observers expect major changes in how prop bets are monitored, how athlete injury data is disclosed and how sportsbooks flag suspicious wagering behavior.

The bottom line is this. Sports betting is no longer a niche pastime. It is a major business that moves billions of dollars and touches millions of lives. If the game of basketball becomes just another vehicle for gambling schemes, then fans, players and communities all lose. The stakes are high not just in the arena but in our neighborhoods and our culture.

As always the message remains the same for the Urban City Podcast listener: be vigilant, be informed, and never assume the game is fair just because it is televised. Real success still comes from discipline, effort and integrity. Betting may show up on your screen or your phone but the best bet you can make is on your own preparation and smarts. The system may be rigged but you do not have to be a victim. Stay sharp, stay real.

And you know how we close: we will keep it real and keep you informed right here on Urban City Podcast.

WagerTalk Today: Free Sports Picks, NFL TNF Dolphins vs Bills Predictions, and CFB Week 3 Bets

Urban City Podcast Group — Thu, 18 Sep 2025 22:33:26 +0000

This content has been republished, rebroadcast, and/or edited under the Creative Commons Attribution license (CC BY), which allows reuse, remixing, and redistribution with proper credit to the original creator. It has been enhanced by UUN for educational, entertainment, and archival purposes, which may include the addition of on-screen graphics, ads, narration, or presentation formatting. — Original Creator: [Channel or Name] • Source Video: [Hyperlinked • YouTube URL] • License: CC BY 4.0 • Content acquired: [insert date]

Major Takeaways:

Expert analysis and predictions for the NFL Thursday Night Football game between the Dolphins and Bills.
Free sports picks designed to give bettors an edge heading into the weekend.
College Football Week 3 bets highlighted with insights on key matchups and wagering strategies.

WagerTalk Today | Free Sports Picks | NFL TNF Dolphins vs Bills Predictions | CFB Week 3 Bets | 9/18

We’re live. Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet. This is Wager Talk today. I’m your host Andy Lang. It is Thursday,

jam-packed lineup. Giani’s back with an episode of the Steam Report. We’re going to talk NFL College Football and of

course, Major League Baseball. We’re going to dive into college football. We’re going to break down a Major League

Baseball game and of course, we’re going to preview Thursday Night Football. Uh Joe Reneer is going to break down the

game and I’m going to give you some props here at the end. So, if you’re betting tonight or this weekend, this is the show that gets you ready to turn a

profit. Thank you so much for joining us. Go and hit that like button. No time to waste. Let’s bring in Giani for the

Steam Report. Johnny, hope you had a good couple of days. It’s Thursday. I know you’re busy. We’re going to start off with NFL. What are we seeing?

Yeah, sorry. Just sending this out real quickly. Uh a play that came in. Uh so far tonight, believe it or not, since

it’s settled, it’s good two-way action. And you usually get that on double digit favorites in the NFL. Like, no one’s

really in any big rush to go out there and lay double digits. And if you’re getting double digits, no one’s probably

in a rush to go out there and back you. So, it’s one of those standalone games that it’s almost like a MMA main event

with a heavy favorite where you’re kind of uh forced to get a little creative.

And that’s what you’re seeing because everybody that’s betting Buffalo um tonight um they’re betting them in

different ways like they’re teasing them with a bunch of stuff for Sunday. They’re using them on moneyline parlays.

They’re betting them in the first half. They’re betting them team total over. Like they’re finding different ways to

bet Buffalo instead of having to lay that heavy chalk. Um, we know that

immediately, um, we saw sharp money come in on Buffalo on the look ahead. The

look ahead was like 9 1/2, 10 12. It got as high as like 13, 13 and a half. And

that’s where you saw takeback on the Miami side, which isn’t surprising. And that’s why I always say when you’re following your odds logic screen or at

the very least your your wager talk odds screen, make sure you click that matchup

and look at where that line was and when did it settle because a lot of times we’re seeing big movements in NFL but

it’s based on the look ahead because again this week while we’re watching week three games there’ll be lines for

week four that are being bet but the limits are low and that’s why you see some of these two three-point line

movements But then after everyone opens up, you’re not seeing much movement. And that’s kind of like here now. If

everyone’s 11 and a half across the board and you’re seeing pretty good two-way action again with the risk being

on the Buffalo side, like if Miami won this game outright, that would probably be the best possible outcome for the

sports books. You know what I mean? It’s a long shot. Um, but that’s pretty much what they’re doing. The total, they’re

betting it over. Um, no surprise there. Uh you saw Sharp Money come in on the over, but at 48 and a half and 49. Since

then, it’s been the public betting over 50, 50 and a half, 51s. So, they’re going to tie it in, tease it with the

over. Um in tonight’s game, that’s pretty much what’s going on. Again, not the sexiest standalone game, uh but

already getting some action. Uh let’s move to Sunday. Are we seeing anything major in Sunday? I know

quarterback injuries have, you know, really kind of dominated some of these big line moves, but uh most of the

numbers seem to be settled in. anything jumping off the page to you? The Colts. The Colts immediately the

look ahead got bet and then through that key number got hit as well. Like they laid the two look ahead. They laid the

three minus 120 and that’s why you’re looking at three and a halfs and fours. It’s it’s probably even impossible right

now to find a a three and a half out there. Same thing with Atlanta. The look ahead was two and a half and three.

That’s what got hit. And then they brought out four and a half on Monday and that got hit as well. And that’s why

you’re looking at five and a halfs right now. But and any shop that went to six, we saw takeback on Carolina. So six or

higher, you’re going to get some sharp money on Carolina, which for the books, that’s a good sign because now they know

if they keep getting one-sided Atlanta money, if they want to limit that risk a little, all they have to do is go to six

and there’ll be some takers there. They could write some some action on the other side. If you don’t see them go to

six, especially come Sunday, then rest assured they’re taking a position on

Carolina because it’s been one-sided Atlanta from the public and that’ll be one of the more one-sided teased games

as well. Um, Vegas. Vegas got a hit. Um, we actually bet Vegas today again. I’ll

share that with you. Okay. I bet Vegas for them at the look ahead at six and a half and six. And I figured, okay, they just asked me to go

and bet that here in cash because I I figured that line’s just not going to be available anywhere. So, it’s just someone that wants to take advantage of

the number. The most I think we got down like 1500 on it. Make a long story short, they brought it out at like five

and a half. That gets hit yesterday. Four and a half gets hit today. Take the

three and a half or like take the three and a half. the same group that was willing to take six and a half on the VA

on uh Vegas came back and also took three and a half on Vegas. That’s rare

because almost always you’re going to see the opposite happen where they get the six and a half and it goes down to

three and a half and they may buy and if they don’t get to three, they’ll buy back a little bit. Have a small middle

working. You know what I mean? Ain’t a great middle, but it ain’t the worst middle either. Uh but that did not happen here. Um, also the under, the

under, the look ahead was 47 and a half. The first limit that it took, they went right to 44 and a half. Since then, it

hasn’t gotten any action. So, don’t look at it as if it’s been steamed under because it’s a three-point move. It’s

nothing could be further from the truth. It took a limit or two to move at three full points. Um, Cincinnati, Minnesota

under 47 and a half and 46 and a half was the look ahead. They came in and hit the under 43 as well. Those are what you

want to pay attention to. What has followth through? I know I’m going long. Finally, Dallas and Chicago over over

the look ahead 46 and a half to 48. Now they’re hitting 48s, 49s, 49 and a halfs and 50s over. And finally on Monday

night, Detroit plus the six and a half and six. And that’s why you’re looking at five, five and a halfs right now. So

busy in NFL already, but it’s only going to get uh more action as we approach the weekend.

I know where I stand on this. I’m curious where you stand and where some of the groups that you work with back up

quarterbacks and how much they affect the lines and what the books do with them. I find that there can be an

incredible amount of volume or an incredible amount of value if you like

one of the backup quarterbacks because I feel like sometimes the books are a little vanilla with how they price some

of these line. So, there are some backup quarterbacks that I think are legit. What are some of the groups agree with? Bro, nothing could be further from the

truth. You’re 100% on point. You’re right. They are so mispriced. See,

because and and not everybody, not every quarterback is worth the same. And even though like we we look at like a a Tom

Brady during his era as a a you know, elite level a quarterback. Okay. The the

comparison is the drop off. Not how good Tom is, but what is the difference between Tom and his backup? Like what’s

the drop off? And I think that’s where a lot of the mispricing comes because we see these stud quarterbacks, we think

they’re they’re amazing, but maybe the drop off between number one and number two isn’t that great. Where in other

teams, you may be a bad quarterback to begin with, but then the drop off is also really steep. So, we underestimate

thinking, okay, this guy sucked already, so are they really losing anything? But if the backup is just 3x worse, then

that adjustment should be even greater. And I think you you know, you you could really take advantage of that. Marco

calls it the injured player theory. You know, I’ve learned a lot working with Marco all those years. And because we

overreact, we think players are worth more to the betting line than they are, especially quarterbacks. And if you’re

not getting ahead of an injury, which almost none of us can in today’s world with social media, you’re not getting ahead of the market. I think you take

advantage of it that way like you just touched on. Wait for the market to overreact and think the player’s worth

more than he is because then it’s the perfect storm for value like you touched on. Not only are you getting more points

than you should, but now you’re getting a motivated team because, bro, we got to step up. We got our number two today.

You can’t lax, you know what I mean? We ain’t got Brady behind center to pull us through. So, everybody else levels up

their game as well. So, it’s the perfect storm to get value on a team with an injured quarterback. I love I love that

handicap. I look for it all the time. Uh yeah, I think Browning is is

serviceable. Um I I I I Yes, there’s a drop off to Burrow to to Browning. How

big of it how big of a difference? I don’t know. I think Mariota played good last year uh for Washington. Um I know

you’re on Vegas, but uh I don’t know. There’s just some of these quarterback now. Carson Wentz I’m terrified of and

probably G probably Giani because I watched him here in Indianapolis and it was one of the most most horrible

quarterbacking I’ve ever seen. Uh, so I’m you’re gonna be hardressed to get me to bet on Carson Wentz, but I’m just

mentally scarred uh from some of the throws that I that I Can I touch real quickly on Sean’s

question? Great question. Said I I I know parlays are negative EV usually, but he got Colts three and a half,

Falcons three and a half, and Cardinals two and a half. And here’s what I’m talking about. Why it’s so hard to argue

that three-leg, fourleg, five leg parlays can be profitable. Because you had to place that at that same property

at that same time. And when I look at my board right now, I could get Arizona plus two and a half. So you got a bad

number on Arizona. Again, is that one point going to matter? Probably not. But just the fact that now I could get a

better number than what you had to lock it in with defeats the purpose of beating the market and placing plus CV

bets because again that it just it’s so hard to do when you have to place them all at the same time. Maybe you could

argue a two-legg parlay, you could beat the the the get a good number at the same property, but once you get into

those four leg, five leg parlays, it’s very hard to argue that at that exact moment of time, at that exact property,

you got the best numbers on your parlay. It’s It’s tough to do. Uh let’s move to college football. Uh

the one I talked about when you were gone is this Army and North Texas game that’s just like completely flip-flopped

here. Uh what was Army minus two and a half. Now it’s North Texas. It was minus

two and a half yesterday. We talked about it. Money’s coming in. That that seems like a crazy game. Any other games that you see uh some pretty aggressive

moves? Yeah, and I want to share a nugget that Marco shared on bet on it with that and he said now with the you know college

players getting paid and NIL and all of that, the servicemies are going to start falling further and further behind.

They’re just not going to be able to pay these guys to to to like except for the Patriots, you know what I mean? that

happen to be, you know, fivestar recruits. It’s going to be hard for them to compete and get out go out there and get players over the next, you know, few

seasons. So, I I could see why the market’s disagreeing there um with the Army side. Now, real quickly, uh weekday

games, Charlotte plus four and a half all the way down to that key number of three they took. Um then Friday, they

took Tulsa plus 13, Tulsa plus 12 and a half. You touched on North Texas game 309. We bet them at plus two and a half.

Um that’s now flipped. I haven’t seen any resistance yet. Like they’re not betting the opposite side trying to

middle that. 320 Miami Ohio plus 33 and a half. Um 340 Wisconsin minus 7 and

seven and a half. That’s opposite the public. I know a lot of money opposite Wisconsin. Michigan minus one and a half

and money line bet simultaneously as well as over 44 and 44 and a half. Duke

332 minus 2 and a half. ECU East Carolina plus the 7 and a half. Last

game on the board, Hawaii plus three and a half and three. And then today they came in on um Central Florida minus 6

and a half. And that one had already moved. So they came in again and hit the Central Florida side. That’s why you’re looking at seven. And they also went

under 51 and 50 and a half in Toledo, Western Michigan.

Let’s move to baseball. Yesterday, Giani, there was a a very there was a strange game. It was the Oakland Boston

game where like all the money and all the tickets were on Boston. the line was going the complete opposite direction.

We had a we had a chat here. It was like, oh no, when all the money’s going one way and the lines going the other

way, like look out. Sure. The game went to extra innings. Uh Boston ended up uh pulling it out. But um yeah, it was it

was an interesting it was an interesting game to monitor on on how much money was on one side yet the books were saying

Lions going the other way. So what are we seeing here on Major League Baseball slate today? All right. And real quickly for Michael

Mail, I know I don’t play three team 10point teasers. I used to do three team sixpoint teasers. They used to pay plus

180. There were books that made the mistake. So check out your your book. If they’re paying you three team teasers at

six points and you get plus 180, that’s like getting a two team sixpoint teaser

at even money. So if you just won it and go through 367, you got about a five and a half percent edge on every bet. So, if

you can get a three team six-point teaser at plus 180, you got a five and a half percent edge. Don’t mess that up.

Um, looking at baseball today, it’s the uglies. Uh, athletics 963, athletics

plus 140, plus 135 even. Uh, New York Mets 952, minus 120, -25.

Anti-public on Miami, Colorado, they went under 10 and a half. It’s now at 10. And the public’s betting that one

over like they have tomorrow’s paper. Um Seattle in a in a fight for the West

laying minus 105 and finally chalky but they bet the Yankees 967 and the over at

8 and a half even money. So it’s a little MLB for you as well today.

Uh yeah, real quick. Um I I got to have you tell the story about Contender Series. So on Tuesday I said that there

was a guy and he was part of our $5 Tuesday play. You better you you better better believe we were fading that guy.

said, “There’s a guy that has tattoos and social media following. I think that’s why he’s fighting because he’s terrible.” And then he went out and he

laid a complete egg. Can you tell everyone the inside sto We were in the production meeting for

that fight. And you saw that was the one fight I didn’t even get to go on and give a pick for cuz it was like we

thought we thought that by the time that the fight goes it’ll be like minus 7800. So, you know what I mean? Because it

kept going up and we were just confused why the lines not moving up like from 200, 300, 400. Why is it not doing that?

And I think it was the look of the guy cuz even the the the fighters that were in the main were like, dude, we got to get this dude a contract. We need him on

here. He his his message was you better love this. He wanted to be rich and

famous. Okay. But then he realized he don’t want to be rich. He just wants to

be famous. Came to that conclusion.

I didn’t bet enough on that. I didn’t bet enough on that fight. He said, “Keep your money, bro. Keep

your money. Bring me my fame. That’s all I need. You can have your cash.”

Oh, man. That’s my guy. You’re following him all the way to the PFL. Oh, I can’t I can’t wait to bet against

that guy. I don’t care where he’s fighting. Uh and uh Okay. Uh I have I have a very

important question for you. This has been a topic on the show that you’re not on. How do I pronounce your first name?

Yanni. It’s really Yanni. Okay. Yanni. My initial birth certificate if you what

said Gioanis. Yannis. Because it’s really St. Giannis. So they they wrote it like Gioanis. And in school I used to

be embarrassed first day every day every year. They’d be like Joannis and they would think let’s start making fun of

me. And then I got to like little league and I begged my parents to change my name. Like please legally change my

name. Give me an American name. And the closest thing was John. I was like St. John and that’s what they put on my

birth on like redid a birth certificate. But it’s really Yanni. That’s really Yanni. Okay. Yanni. Okay. I got you. People get

confused because my legal name is Andy and they just automatically think it’s Andrew and my insurance call you that

sometimes. I call you that. My Well, my insurance company did it once and I had a claim and they were like, “You’re not Andrew Lang. We wrote

your name down wrong.” And they tried to argue because they wrote my name down wrong. So, all right. We now have offici

Yes. Blocked. Uh uh. Yes. We all We all now have confirmation. Yanni.

Yes, sir. Yanni, we got you. All right, Yanni, tell everyone what you have up on this Thursday tonight. I know it’s not the sexiest

game, but I got a 5%. Listen, if if the market if the matchup warrants it, I’m going to fire it. Again, you want to

wait for the busiest time of the weekend, hit them on Saturday and Sunday, but it warrants it. Again, you

don’t go crazy because it’s only 1% more than my 4% and we only bet a quarter of that. So the the the just real lightly

just to to put in perspective, if I have a $10,000 bankroll, I recommend my guys bet $100 on a 4 percent. They’re bet 125

on a 5%. So I’m not downplaying it, but I just don’t want you to go crazy. With that said, currently number one in NFL

and college football combined for 2025. I got my Saturday package up for college football. I got my Sunday package up for

the NFL, but we’re starting tonight with a 5% on the Dolphins and Bills game. So

uh join me and let’s do some damage. Let’s have a big couple days. So far so good. Thanks for having me, Andy Lang.

And best of luck to you, my brother. You too, Yanni. Let’s do this, brother.

Let’s have a great Thursday. Right. So, that was good. So, yes.

Listen. Hey, I’ve heard I’ve heard his name pronounced a bunch of different ways, but now we we heard it from him. I feel embarrassed that I haven’t asked

him uh before this. That’s that was the big mistake. The big mistake was just not asking him before. My god, he’s on

the show every day. What are we doing here? So, all right, let’s bring on now. I know how to pronounce Joe Reeri’s

name. Uh, Joe’s got an easy name. Is it Joe? Yes, it’s it’s Joe. Let’s Let’s

bring on Joe Reeri. Joe, happy Thursday. How are you today? Uh, what’s happening? Uh, Andy, I’m

shocked it took you that long to figure out uh VR’s real name there and how to pronounce it.

I I feel failed. That was really bad on my part. I think I just kind of got into

the Well, he never corrected me. That was the other thing. I just called him that and you know just tell me how

however you want me to pronounce it. It’s like uh how Bjon Robinson everyone called him Bejon and after like how long

in the NFL he was like by the way everyone’s pronouncing my name wrong like what’s up dude. Yeah you could have chimed in just a little

bit sooner. Hey man what’s going on? All right. Yeah. No names are secondary.

Yeah. Uh so we’re going to talk Thursday night football here. We got this Bills and Dolphins game and then we’re going to

we’re going to talk Tulsa and uh your boys Oklahoma State. Let’s start with NFL.

NFL is king. I I know what the spread is and we all know the story. Let me ask you this.

When was the last time a coach was on a big time hot seat like this and the team

just rallied around him and was like, “Nope, we’re gonna fight our tails off on the road on a short week and we’re

gonna save this guy’s job.” it kind of feels like it doesn’t really happen here. What’s your breakdown on this

game? Well, I I can tell you down here in in South Florida from the guys that I’ve talked to that cover this team, Andy, uh

they’ve been trying to do everything in their power to get rid of him uh for a while now. and for some reason he’s

still there. But that depending on what happens here tonight, uh Steven Ross,

the owner of the Miami Dolphins, there was talk of there being an ultimatum

this year with not just him, but the uh the GM Greer as well. They had a lot of

malcontent in that locker room a year ago. And namely, one of them was, you

know, Ramsay, who’s no longer there. He’s with Pittsburgh. Uh but they still have Tyreek Hill. he was the other guy

that was the big issue and they still him and Tua can’t get on the same page. So yeah, lack of leadership, guys

showing up late, uh I mean you name it, I have heard it here. And judging from

the fact that you’ve allowed not one but two teams here, one being led by Drake

Navy, other by Danny Dimes and this team has allowed them to score what wrap up

33 points in each one of those games. What is Josh Allen going to put on them

here tonight? This offense of Buffalo short week. They haven’t won in Buffalo

and Orchard Park since 2016. Uh this is either going to be extremely ugly here

or Buffalo is going to just go through the motions here and just hurry up and try and get the win and get a little

extra rest before next week because the injuries are piling up on the defensive side of the ball for them.

I I I don’t even know what to do side to I mean 50 and a half is monstrous. You

know Buffalo’s going to do their port park and Miami even get there and what do you do with double digits in in the

past? Do you like do you like laying points with this or you just say ah that’s too many points. I I I can’t get

there. Short weeks I never look at anybody but home teams anyway. Uh but I would cut

this game in half Andy. Uh I think that what’s going to happen here is the Buffalo Bills are going to do what

they’ve done to both the Jets, right, uh lesser teams. They’re going to boat race

them early at home in Orchard Park. Uh if you’ve noticed, Buffalo is all of a sudden becoming a power running team

now. They are going to run the ball down your throat. And it’s not going to be just Josh Allen tucking it and running

it. It is going to be everybody. Davis, it’s going to be Cook. It’s they have

done an amazing job and gone out of their way to make sure that they can run the ball with that offensive line and

not have to drop Josh Allen back. So the number is seven early in here. The idea

that Miami is somehow going to go toe-to-toe and try to go point for point

with Buffalo. I just don’t see it happening. They’re going to try because they can’t play keep away. That’s

impossible. So, I’m going to take Buffalo to have a double- digit lead in the first half and then use that running

game to milk the clock in the second half and get out of there without any more injuries.

I I agree with that assessment. I thought Buffalo kind of showed their cards last year towards the end. Hey, we

need to run. We We can’t get Josh Allen dropping back 50 times a game. I I drafted James Cook in my big my big

fantasy league, so I was a believer in this. So, all right, we’re looking at the first half there. Uh Tulsa Oklahoma

State. Um listen, good news is I don’t think Oklahoma State has to worry about getting beat by 66 points this week.

They are the favorite. Uh they’re facing a Tulsa team. They got this total big

total here 54 and a half. Uh I believe in your team’s offense. I don’t know if you believe in Tulsa’s offense. What’s

your take on this game? It this is awful. find, you know, just find anything else to do but watch this

game here. Uh I mean, listen, we’re watching the end of the Mike Gundy era

at Oklahoma State. Whether we like it or we don’t, it’s just run its course. Uh

and he’s been there forever. He’s been there over 20 some odd years. Uh this whole NIL situation has changed

everything. He just doesn’t have the players. Uh, and not that Tulsa does, but this is a huge big brother, little

brother situation where they’re only about an hour and 20 minutes apart these

campuses with Stillwater and Tulsa here. So, Tulsa’s actually a pretty decent

team. And I mean, Oklahoma State’s lost 10 of their last 11 games. The only win

they have had in that stretch was UT Martin uh in the opener, a 20point win,

and even that wasn’t put away right away. So yeah, I I like Tulsi. There’s

no way I can lay this many points with Oklahoma State who now is already on to their backup quarterback who struggled

last week. Obviously, everybody struggled there against Oregon. But it’s

just not the same Gundy and the same aura where oh Gundy at home in this spot

against lesser teams. It was it’s an automatic cover. Those days are long gone. It’s the beginning of the end for

Gundy and Oklahoma State. There’s only one way I would look and that is take these damn points here and do not watch

the game at all. Plus, they got Balor next week. Uh their Big 12 opener. So,

yeah, they might very well look past Tulsa here and that would be unfortunate if they lost.

I was looking at Tulsa over their team total at 21 and a half and I was like, man, you couldn’t give me 20 and a half.

You had to you had to move it a half point over there. I have not watched your guys’ defense. Trying to play

defense against Oregon is just everybody’s going to struggle except some of the the top teams. I don’t know.

21 and a half. Is your defense good enough to hold them under? Cuz I lean under at the 21 and a half. Uh you’d be surprised. I think Tulsa can

uh can hang here. I thought they did a really good job against Navy. Uh as a matter of fact, that game was close

until the second half where they uh they got a couple of extra touchdowns in the fourth quarter and pulled it away. But I

call me crazy. I mean, 42 uh 42 to 23 against uh Navy last week. They were

around that game a lot. So, I I would not be shocked if they can put more than three touchdowns on the board against

Oklahoma State. All right. And Daryl has to jump in. He’s no longer called Danny Dimes. Uh

the Colts now, we we call him Indiana Jones. I don’t know if you’ve heard this now or not. It’s it’s lowhanging fruit,

but it is kind of a fun a fun nickname here. I have not embraced it yet because it’s it’s so corny that I don’t even

know. Can we give him Can we give him three games maybe before we uh start start

anointing him? Um and just impromptu, we had a question yesterday and uh then today. Do you have any thoughts on this

Michigan game? What is it? Michigan Nebraska. I have not researched it, but we had a couple questions on that. We

didn’t get to it earlier. I don’t know if you know anything about this game. Yeah, to me it was a uh under game. That’s where I looked at it from a total

perspective here with these two uh defenses. Although, I mean, listen, Ryola has been good. You’ve got uh the

problem that I have with college football right now, Andy, and these young quarterbacks, these studs, is that

they’re millionaires now, Andy. We’ve got 18 and 19 year old college quarterbacks who are raking in seven

figures in NIL money here. And you know, if you win a game, great. If you lose the game, oh well. Uh, we’re still

millionaires here. So, it’s it’s a different dynamic now in college football. You got two young good

quarterbacks, but I think the defenses are going to ring true here. Man, I like the under with Nebraska and Michigan.

Uh, Joe, your your show is awesome uh with Pre and Art Dea. Tell us about that and tell everyone what you have up at

Wager Town. Yeah, apparently I drew the short straw there, so I got to do the show with the

press. Uh, thank God for Art. uh to keep us sane there. My goodness. In fact, the

show is up already, guys. You can check it out. The best betting show uh ever there. It’s on the YouTube page. Art has

a lot of information about this Miami Buffalo game from the Westgate perspective uh in the show. So, make

sure you guys check that out. We’ve got all the best bets uh locked and loaded in the show as well. And uh I got not

one but two Major League Baseball best bets up and ready to roll here tonight. We’ve been crushing it in the MLB. Now

is the time of year, these final two weeks, Andy, where the lines are soft. Uh the books are sleeping, and we are

cashing a whole lot of tickets with it. Joe, what’s been working for you in MLB? I always I’m always interested. Is it

sides, totals, a a certain couple teams, just a little bit of everything? I always like

lot of situational spots this time of year. There are clearly teams that are

have their tickets booked on cruises and they are ready to go. They got tea times lined up and there are those that are

still battling. A lot of first fives bullpens as far as I’m concerned not to

be trusted on any team so far this year. So if you got an edge starting pitching,

take advantage of it while you can here in the final two weeks. Joe Reeri, two MLB plays up. Go grab

those. Joe, thank you so much. Always good to hear from you. Take care. Have a great Thursday. Appreciate it, man.

All right, we got Dave Mason coming up real quick. My NFL props pack is up. We are in play tonight with an official

best bet. Uh this pack includes every play from tonight’s game all the way through Sunday, all the way through

Monday. We’ve hit 59% of our props through the first two weeks. And I could not be happier with that number. That

number is sustainable. That number is profitable. Uh we obviously don’t want to be losing, but you also don’t want to

be winning too big uh on a percentage because you know regression is coming. So I’m really happy with where we’re

sitting with props. Uh it’s a grind. It’s a grind. It’s a grind week in and week out. So 59% I would I would be

ecstatic if we could do that every week. So one price, one pack, wt.buzzal.

Let’s get the profit started tonight in this Thursday night game. You get that and you get all of our props all the way

through Monday Night Football. All right, let’s bring on Dave Mason. Uh Dave, I got several things to ask you.

Got to ask about uh where we can beat Dave Mason. But uh Yanni brought up

something interesting today and I wanted to ask you about how how you move lines or adjust lines. He was talking about

how Buffalo’s probably in a lot of money line parlays. There’s a lot of first taps. There’s a lot of teasers. When you

have a team that’s like piled on in all those different, you know, types of areas, what do you do with the overall

spread for the full game? Yeah, it’s it’s a tricky one. Um, he’s

right. I mean, I was just looking at that action earlier and this is a huge, you know, we I always tweet out the

needs on on the spread, but you know, it it gets so more much more granular that when you granular than that when you’re

talking about the teaser liability and the uh moneyline parlays and all that stuff. I mean there often there there’s

so much money on these teasers and money line parlays that often there’s more money on that than there are straight

bets on the spread andor money line. Um so

that that definitely comes in into play a lot especially with the teasers. Sometimes you’ll see like minus nine you

know plus money and stuff like that. That’s kind of combating teasers right there because you’re trying to prevent

people to tease them through two two key numbers um to get more value. Um, but

you know, a game like tonight, it’s it’s only 11 and a half, even though

everybody’s on the Bills, and that’s because not everybody’s on the Bills. The Sharps have taken the uh Dolphins. I

mean, they they hit the Dolphins at 12 and 13, I believe. So, you know, you’re

you’re playing whack-a-ole. you know, you’re you’re you’re trying to cover your exposure on the the sharps, but you

know, you’re giving more value on the public and then the moneyline parlays and the teasers. So, where you can’t

give too much value on those sharps or else they just pound you for big money and they’ll key that in in parlays. Not

not that much, but sometimes they will if you’re all off on round robins and whatnot. So, so yeah, it’s it’s like

whack-a-ole. All right, so we play beat Dave Mason. Where’s Where’s the vulnerability?

Where’s all the bets going? My guess was going to be a Bills and Packers teaser.

It seems like the most obvious play that the public will be all over. Yeah, I mean that that that’s a popular

teaser. Bucks are popular teaser. Seahawks are popular teaser. Packers, of course, tonight, like I said, what what

let me see what what percentage of teaser money is on tonight. 95% of the cash on teasers tonight is on the Bills.

99% of 99% of money line parlay is on the bill. So that just tells you, you

know, and that’s that’s a lot of volume, too. There’s so much volume on it. So yeah. Um yeah, those teasers are

something else. What else? The Sharps. Let me see what the Sharps are on. Uh Miami, like I said, 12 and 13 tonight. A

little bit of Browns plus eight. Steelers minus one a little bit there. 49ers – one and a half or better. Jags –

115 outright. Rams plus 174 outright. Falcons over I think that’s 43 and a

half. Raiders under 47 and a half. Saints under 42 and Chiefs over 44 and a

half. So that’s the sharp stuff. Um but yeah, those teasers are huge. I mean I I placed one of those teasers too this

weekend. So and speaking of teasers, I mean I don’t know if you saw but some books are offering like minus 135 on two

team sixpoint teasers now which is outrageous. We’re still at minus 110 or minus 115 depending of whether you’re

crossing um key numbers or not. So minus 135 is this it’s gross.

Oh, those of us that live in states with with the DraftKings and the FanDuels have noticed, Dave,

yeah, but you know what? If a player gets hurt, if if a player gets hurt, you might get your props refunded, though. I

mean, it’s the banana in a tail fight, man. It is smoking mirrors, you know. Give me a break.

Um, yeah. Listen, let me touch on that. You know why I can’t stand that? I I can’t stand that rule for for a bunch of

reasons, but one of them is it just gives them the the ability to just make stuff up as they go along.

Well, yeah. I mean, can we have some rules, please? Yeah. Well, you know, listen, I like

I’ve said a zillion times on on your show here, I’m more of a marketing guy, so I get it. I mean, we’ve done kind of

PR stuff like that in the past, but it we learned it bites you in the rear end

because, you know, the next, you know, you might, okay, we we we’re going to know action unders to be nice people and

everybody tweets it and all everybody’s happy for for one day, but then people want that’s not enough. They want this.

Well, my under uh it heard the point spread and this, you know what I mean? So, one person’s happy, but other people

aren’t happy that that that prop had something to do with a big quarterback goes out and next time someone gets

hurt. Well, where’s my refund? You know, there on the So, it’s better just to find years back like after COVID, we

were real friendly with stuff and after co’s like, you know what, it’s a no-win situation. Let’s just concentrate on

what we do best. If they want to have those PR big PR things on a Monday night football game, cool. But, you know what?

our players are getting a lot better juice. I mean, that’s why they can afford to do stuff like that non-stop.

It’s because they’re they’re killing you on the juice. So, you know, yeah, whatever.

Uh I mean, listen, Dave, you know how many unders I’ve lost in garbage time? I don’t get a refund.

Of course, I don’t get I don’t get a refund. The guy cashes an under in the last 20 seconds. Yeah. I mean, bigger more bigger things.

I mean, we’re all we’re all victims these days. victim mentality’s at an all-time high. We’re all, you know, it’s

like, dude, you know, that’s the way the ball bounces and and those things even out. Those things even out the end of

the year, man. You know, you you might you might have a bad beat, but for every bad beat, you’ve had a lucky win that

you shouldn’t have won. So, all that stuff evens out the end of the year. That’s what you have to that’s why I

still have fights I bet in the past that I think, you know what, I lucked out there. So, the next time I’m not going to win. I still do a little bit, but I

don’t blame the books. Oh, I’ve lost UFC fights where the guy tested positive for steroids a couple

weeks later. It was like, I knew that guy didn’t hit that hard. Um, uh, I want to move to college football. Where’s the

action this week? Where’s some of the sharp money? Uh, sharp stuff tonight. Tonight,

two-way. Rice minus two, Charlotte plus three. North Texas minus 7 and a half.

BYU -6, ECU plus 7 and a half, Arkansas – 7, Nevada plus 11, Sam, Houston State

+ 41. Too many too many totals to mention. Every other damn total has some sharp action on it. Um, liabilities,

USC, Louisiana Tech, our biggest liabilities at the moment. Highest bet count, Oklahoma by far. Then you got

Miami, Florida, Illinois, and Utah. Um, last thing before I let you go here

in NFL, have there been any teams that you have made some pretty aggressive changes to like

power rankings that to start the season and hey, even though we’re two weeks in, we’re going to adjust them pretty big or

are you guys still kind of standing where you were at the beginning of the season? Are you just saying, “Hey, the markets dictate where these lines go?”

Do do the Bengals count? Yeah, they count. Of course they count. Yeah, of course they dropped. of course,

you know, what with Joe Burrow, um, they plummeted in the power rank. I mean, KC,

you know, the season’s young. Um, but but they’re dropping. You know, it’s

they they’re dropping for the beginning of the season. Um, so they’re they’re a high-profile team that they’re their

rankings are definitely dropping and they’re still up there only two games in. They still have Mahomes under center, Andy Reid at on the sideline.

So, u, but they’re definitely going south as of now. But of course there’s teams for every team going south there’s

teams going up like like the Colts like the Packers. So a lot of lot of stock up

stock down for sure. Uh it’s been fun watching the Colts. I got to be honest. Like I’m still I’m

still I’m still nervous. I’m waiting for the other shoe to drop. Maybe they are this good. Um it’s it it’s been fun.

It’s been refreshing. They got their first road game this week. But uh yeah, I’ll enjoy it while I can. I just need

to see a little bit more before I’m going all in on They’re our biggest Super Bowl winner at the moment. So, uh,

we’re rooting for him. Really? Wow. People People believed in Daniel Jones.

How about No, our biggest winner. Did I say loser or winner? They’re our biggest winner. So, if they won the Super Bowl, Yeah.

Sorry about that. Maybe I said loser, but biggest I’m using the biggest winner. So, if they won the Super Bowl

at this moment, Super Bowl is today and they won, that would be our biggest win. Wow.

Yeah. But there wasn’t a lot of pre-season action on the Colts, so but uh you know

Yeah. Yeah. I I don’t doubt that. All right. What’s Dave Mason betting this weekend? What do you like? Uh well, I did a teaser. I did one of

those um you know, square teasers that everybody does, but hell, I I can’t Sometimes you look at it, you just can’t

resist, man. Bucks. Bucks and Seahawks. I’m teasing them down six point, you know, six and a half down to half laying

on the Bucks and Seahawks laying one and a half again. minus 115 at betonline.ag

as opposed to minus 135 elsewhere. Uh for 49ers minus two and a half. I took

the Lions plus five. They’re now plus four and a half. So uh that’s what I’m on for NFL. Maybe going to add some

more. Probably hop on some more of those teasers. I don’t know, man. I usually try to stay away from those, but some of

these just look too damn good. I know. They’ve been good through the first two weeks, I guess. If any

Yeah, we’re getting killed. We We need to win some NFL money. We got killed two the first two Sundays of the season.

Somehow I I think you’re going to be okay. Yeah. This is This is where it turns around

for old bet. So, all right. Where can we find you at and tell us about Bet Online. Uh Dave Mave Mason B on Twitter. Come on

over to bedline.ag. I mentioned our great teaser odds. I mean, there’s so much action on these teasers. You really

really have to pay attention to what your book is charging you on the juice on those teasers. We offer we also open

our lines up earlier than mo just about every other book. Usually arms race between us and a very respected book in

Vegas to see who opens the odd up first for next week. And all sorts of different markets. We just we just added

to this morning uh Jimmy Kimmel’s replacement. We have Greg Gfield the

plus 400 favorite Theo Von plus 500 right behind him. They’re the two

favorites. Then down the opposite end of the spectrum, the long shots are Scott Beao at 250 to1 and Stephen Cobear at

300 to one. So poor Stephen Cobear can’t even Scott Beo has a better chance of replacing Jimmy Kimmel over Steven

Cobar. Do you have a a nun? No. Do we need one?

I I would I would think that’d be the favorite. I think this is that’s the thing with these late night shows. There

aren’t replacements waiting. This is a tough model these days. people are watching. Who do you know staying up at

at at 11:00, 11:30 to watch these shows? I think these are I think these are I

think think networks are getting thrown a lifeboat to get out of these monster contracts. It’s so expensive to make and

that’s the thing like remember way back when it was exciting. Who’s going to be next? Is it Leno? Is it? Who’s taking

over? There’s no there’s no excitement to take over these shows. I think they’re disappearing like Dustin. Yeah,

there’s Yeah, I mean Yeah, there’s just that who who else stays up that late to listen to I they’re not just not

entertaining anymore anymore. I sound like old head, but you know the Johnny Carson‘s and Letterman of yester year.

They they they they were good. These guys, you know, it’s just And who’s staying up too late? Too much competition, too much on late

at night and whatever. Watch it on YouTube the very next day. Yeah, exactly. Watch the highlights,

right? Watch highlight. Yeah. Yeah. So, all right, Dave Mason,

you can bet on Jimmy Kimmel’s next replacement. I respect it, Dave. I respect it. Uh, the the king of the

props, Dave Mason, betonline.ag. And he’s not joking about the juice when when they released those those NFL

teasers at the beginning of the season for for uh some of these u some of these

legal books. Good lord. Can’t believe it. Can’t believe it. So, uh, all right, let’s do All Around the World and then

we’re going to bring in Dan because we got to talk a little bit about Survivor on a Thursday because the Bills are a big time option here. So, let’s do a

couple let’s do three free plays here. Oh, and I’m going to break down uh some props for Thursday night football. So,

let’s do uh free plays. Uh we’ll start with the Padres’s and the Mets. Padres’s over four and a half on the team total

this morning. It was a plus money. There’s no way that stays there. Tong is pitching for the Mets. He’s been awful. 11.2 2 innings. 13 hits and 11 earned

runs in those 11.2 innings. Padres’s have gone over this total three out of the last four. This theory worked for us

yesterday. Yeah, it took extra innings, but we got there. So, let’s take a look at that one. We’re going right back to Nolissa Smith over eight and a half

points. She went under the last game. I said come back and play it again. I’m going to stick to my guns. She’s gone over in five out of the last seven and

11 out of the last 14 against the Storm. She has never had back-to-back games under this total against the Storm.

Nelissa Smith over the points. Ralph Michael Special Mariners at Royals. Yuri, yes, have a run in the first

inning. Royals 10 and0 run. Yurfy. Mariners 4-0 run on the Yurphy. 6 and

one away games. Yurfy. So, we got a lot of trends saying that yes, there’s going to be a uh a run or a run here in the

first inning. So, let’s do some Thursday night football props. These are some leans. I’m going to take a look at Josh

Allen and I’m going to take an under on Josh Allen. I’m going to take his under 271 and a half passing. Last week in a

big win, he only threw for 148 yards and they rushed for 224

yards. Uh the Dolphins have faced more rush attempts this season than any other

team. Short week defense that’s faced a ton of rush attempts. Uh I’m going to

take him uh to go under his passing yards. I just don’t see a huge passing game. Not a lot of pass attempts. I’m

going to take him under uh under half an interception. He hasn’t thrown an interception this season. Miami, no

interceptions this season. So, we get a uninterested pass defense. Taking the under on that one. Let’s do a same game

parlay plus 144. James Cook anytime touchdown score and I’m going to put

that with the Bills over 30 and a half on their team total. Cook has three TDs this season. Miami has given up 33

points in both of their games and Buffalo has scored 41 and 30 in the last two games. So I what I wanted to do is

try and get the James Cook anytime touchdown up to a better number because

odds are they’re going to be in close and James Cook is going to score. So that was at minus 170, but we’ve put the Bills team total over and we get that

thing up to plus 144. I mentioned yesterday uh Ray Davis over 24 and a

half. I do have to mention that again. Dolphins have given up 156 122 yards rushing in the first two games. defense

short notice or a short week and like I said, they faced more rush attempts. Short week when you faced as many rush

attempts as them, I just don’t think they’re going to have the juice in the second half. Ray Davis only had one carry week one, nine carries for 24

yards last week. Expect Ray Davis to have a really nice total. I might look at playing his total live at halftime.

If Buffalo’s up a couple scores, see what the number is on Ray Davis. You might be able to ladder him up to 25,

30, 40 yards. So, those are your Thursday night prop plays for tonight.

All right, let’s uh let’s bring on Dan because we got to talk a little bit about um

we got to talk Survivor because this is the first Thursday game. I think we’ve had a pretty obvious play. Now, okay,

technically it’s a divisional game on Thursday, but always worries you a little bit, but

there there is one team in this division that seems dead dead. Uh and they’re playing tonight. So, so yeah, divi

divisional games are worrisome, Andy, but um I don’t I don’t know if the worry is uh is quite there. The the the thing

is is here I’ll pull up the the odds logic live screen so we can uh we can get a

peek at Does it just say Miami stinks? Did they do they even put the points or it just says Miami stinks?

Yeah, it it doesn’t even say it just says uh Miami is awful. Um no, 11 and a half. Uh this thing actually we have

seen a little bit of buyback on Miami surprisingly. I I don’t get it. But also, this is a monster number. Um,

you’re just looking this week like what other ones jump off the board at you for Survivor. The number one Survivor play

this week is going to be this one right here. It’s going to be New Orleans against Seattle. That’s that’s going to be the one where everyone’s taking

Seattle a thousand%. Because because when else do you take Seattle? It’s getting to fade New

Orleans. And here’s the worry for me is uh yeah, Spencer Rattler on the road. Is

he probably going to beat the Seahawks? No, but one of these weeks the the chaos, holy [ __ ] how did they beat them

game could come and would it be the craziest thing in the world for the holy [ __ ] oh my god, I can’t believe they lost game to be a New Orleans Saints

game. It’s going to be a New Orleans Saints game, it’s going to be a Panthers game or um you know, it’s going to be a

Jaguars game, you know. Okay. And and I was even mulling around, Andy, like, do

we just go and put Buffalo in now and move on with the week or you scroll down further here, Andy? I

kind of want to use Buffalo next week, they play New Orleans next week. You know what I mean? That’s the things. So, we’re looking to

next week and next week it’s hard. You got Seahawks, Cardinals. That’s tough. Viking Steelers, that’s going to be

tough. Unless WZ looks That’s overseas. That’s Yeah. Overseas overseas game. Yeah,

Commanders, Falcons, that one’s tough. Now, Browns at Lions, uh, that could be the the monumental number one.

Panthers, Patriots, that could be tough. Chargers, Giants, maybe the Chargers, but they’re on the road. Eagles, Bucks,

I think that one is tough. Titans, Texans, Colts, Rams, Jags, 49, Ravens, Chiefs, Bears, Ra, the These are all

tough games next week. I think I want to save my Buffalo for next week. I think Buffalo is is is the obvious pick. So,

let’s go through the nominees for this week. I have Colts at Titans road game,

divisional game, but man, I don’t know. It’s also the first road game for this Colts. I mean,

again, you’re you’re not taking them on the spread, but to be honest with you, you know, over a field goal for

Tennessee with the team that has now been anointed, I’m sorry, blocked, but

uh, you know, I’m looking to fade the Colts. I’ll probably fade the Colts every week until I get to say, “I told you so.” Um, so you know, I if it if

they had played a road game already, Andy, probably, you know what I mean? But the fact that this is their first

road game after being anointed as, you know, Daniel Jones has found his landing

spot. Um, that worries me a little bit. Uh, move on to Jets at Buccaneers.

Buccaneers facing Tyrod Taylor. And then you get this Buccaneers offensive line that they’re down to they’re down three.

It’s tough. It’s It’s really tough. You could get sneaky. Yeah, go ahead.

I I was going to say maybe you’re thinking the same thing like do I just risk my entire entry and go Jags? Like I

think Houston is really bad. I think their defense has been getting by and this whole entire team has been

getting by on CJ Strad’s rookie year for two seasons now, man. So did you watch Jacksonville blow it

against Jake Browning? Do we I mean that that one’s gross.

That one gross. Um the Raiders could be pretty terrible, but I I think Mariota is a little bit

underrated. So, there’s that one. I got to be honest, I’m staring at this Falcons Panthers game. That Panthers

team is horrific. Robinson and Alier could run for 250 yards. There’s there’s a chance that

they have really bad against the run. 3839 minutes of possession against that Panthers

team. Panthers are 0 and2. And even though that was a one-sore game last week, they needed an on-size kick and a

last second score. And here’s my thing, D. I’ve used the Cardinals and the Cowboys, so I’ve snuck by. Boy, if I

could use the Falcons and I could go into week four knowing I’ve only used the Cardinals, the Cowboys, and the Falcons. I’m feeling pretty damn good. I

don’t trust the Seahawks. I think you I think you’ve won me over. I think I’m going to hold on to Buffalo. Um, I don’t think I’m going to burn it

tonight. Uh, I think you need them next week. I think you need them next week. We’ll finalize We’ll finalize our picks

tomorrow when we do the official I will survive picks. But I’m I’m heavily leaning this Atlanta

game or I just risk it all and go Jacksonville. I think Jacksonville wins

outright this week. One and a half point favorite. Basically a pick them game right there. Um, I’m between those two,

Andy. I mean that that would be the oh my god I have every team that I could possibly want left if I get Jacksonville

home. So I I I get Could you throw Chiefs at the

Giants? Are the Chiefs gonna go 0 and three? The crazy thing is I think this is the Chiefs get right spot, but Giants, it’s

a really if you if you back the Giants, even if you take Giants against the spread, like you’re really buying the

Giants as high as you possibly can buy him coming off a near overtime win against the Cowboys uh

against a horrific defense. Chiefs. Yeah, exactly. And two tough games.

This is Chiefs. Do they win this game or do they go under their season win total and maybe not make the playoffs if they

lose this game? And and honestly, I listened to a podcast where they’re making the case that Travis Kelce has literally cost

them two games and a wide receiver. He has single-handedly like cost them

and it’s like he’s not going to be this bad all season. So, I don’t know. We’ll we’ll make our final we’ll make our

final decision, but I think we’re both going to hang on to the Bills. Yeah, I’m not I’m not going to use the Bills

tonight. I’m keeping that bullet in the chamber. Maybe we’ll kick ourselves, but uh next week’s like a slam dunk. Easy

Bills. Yeah, cuz here here’s the thing. Like, let’s say we use the Bills next week, but then we lose next Let’s say we use

the Bills this week, but we lose next week because we already used them. We’re in the same Doesn’t matter. We lost. Yeah, exactly. It

doesn’t matter. So, all right. All right. Chad says, “Andy determined apparently

to be wrong about Seattle for all season. I don’t know what my strong stance was

in Seattle, but Chad, that is funny. Uh, that that is funny. I listen, I just

when every how what you think 50% of the the tickets are going to be on Seattle

this week. Could we reach 50%. I mean, for Survivor, that’s going to be the pick of the week. That’s

Yeah. People are laying the spread, you know, but but that’s going to be the Survivor pick.

Okay. All right. All right. Well, thank you so much for joining us. Dan and I will get you all the Survivor picks tomorrow, guys. Tomorrow’s football

Friday. Johnny is coming in strong with uh with National Football League and College Football Steam right before

Teddy Covers is going to be here. Marco is going to be here. Kelly in Vegas is going to be here talking the uh Westgate

Super Contest. Dan and I will make our official Survivor picks. We’re going to get you locked and loaded. So, tomorrow is a huge, huge show every Friday. It is

the best football show to get you ready for the weekend. So, make sure you’re joining us. It’s a great show today,

guys. Thank you so much live chat. You guys killed it as always. Please hit the like button. It really helps us out.

Helps the algorithm out. We had a little polarizing talk earlier about the the Bengals and the Vikings. Post in the

comments section if you’re rolling with the Bengals and Vikings. Two teams starting backup quarterbacks already in

week two. Um so we’ll we’ll talk about that game a little bit tomorrow and see where the line ends up. Uh thank you to

everybody. Have a great day. Good luck on your bets tonight. NFL prop pack is up. The first official play for clients

go tonight. wt.busal. Good luck on your plays. We’ll see you tomorrow. Take care.

NFL Week 2 Sharp Picks & Public Bets: Expert Betting Advice from Vegas Insiders

Urban City Podcast Group — Sun, 14 Sep 2025 19:05:11 +0000

Major Takeaways:

Sharp vs. Public Disagreement: Experts identify the Broncos vs. Colts game as a major split, with the public heavily backing the Broncos while sharp money is coming in on the Colts.
Books’ Biggest Needs: According to SuperBook’s John Murray, the books need the Titans, Bears, Seahawks, and Panthers to cover their spreads to balance the heavy public money on their opponents.
Top Prop Bet: James Conner’s rushing yards over is a top sharp play, leveraging the Panthers’ historically poor run defense that was exploited in Week 1

What’s going on everyone? It’s Wager Talk last call. I am so excited that we’ve got week two underway and all the

numbers, everything you need to know. It’s all right here on Wager Talk stack show as always today as we’ve got Yanni

the Greek live from Las Vegas taking you behind the counter telling you everything his sharp groups are on.

Carmine also gonna break things down for us. John Murray, Superbook, you know him, you love him. He’s telling us the

needs on the book because if you want to be on the winning side, we always know the book tends to win more than we do.

And then Press, he’s got his show at 1:00 when you can watch Press go live and he could talk about all the

different games on this slate that he’s watching and you can watch him have a meltdown. He’ll talk about the show, he’ll tell you what action he’s on,

stacked and loaded, ready to go. I’ve got some prop edges as well. Let’s start though with the man, Yanni the Greek.

Yanni, happy week two. Good morning. Good morning. Busy morning. Busy morning as always. How was UFC last

night by the way? How’d you Good. I had a good I turned a profit in UFC. Lost in boxing with Canelo. I I hit

the undercard bet but lost my Canelo bet. And uh you know what’s crazy?

I It’s exactly how I expected it to go with the scorecards in his favor. If

only one more round was scored in his direction, it would have been a draw even though he really lost that fight.

Like it was that heavily swayed in his favor in Las Vegas, which is the reason I thought was enough to back Canelo.

Like if he doesn’t get finished, I didn’t think they were going to give Crawford the decision. It came very close to that happening. So that was

wild. But uh overall good. It’s been a good month. Uh still number one in college football, number one college

football combined. So, let’s just keep doing damage. Not all that much coming in early. Usually, I have first quarter

bets by now, first half bets by now. Um, some team totals. I have player props.

Nope. Nope. Nope. Nope. I don’t know. Week two. They’re there. It’s slow. It’s been sides and totals so far and a lot

of baseball this morning. So, I’m thinking it’s going to get busy over the last hour. Oh, okay. So, if we don’t have any of

these smaller markets like first quarter bets and whatnot, where have you seen the most action come in on for sides?

Oh, that that’s pretty easy. Um, here are the biggest sides right now. Uh, the

latest is the Cowboys. Cowboys, Cowboys, Cowboys. Nothing but Cowboy money. Jets,

believe it or not. Um, that’s why that line’s now through that touchdown. The Jets are one of those dogs that are

getting a lot of love early. And who else? Who else? Who? Oh, 49ers. Even

though um that line’s dropped and the wise guys took Arizona. Um uh the

Saints, forgive me, getting all those points because of KD, because of Perie. Um the public doesn’t mind. They’re

still coming in with San Francisco today. And then um Arizona. Arizona is

going to be big risk for the books later because there’s going to be a ton of straight bets, a ton of moneyline

parlays, and a ton of teasers all closing with the Carolina Panthers. And

um yeah, that’s pretty much it. I mean, again, um good spread out action, but

those are the ones attracting the most money so far. Dallas, um

49ers, and I have to say the Arizona Cardinals. biggest risk for the book so

far. The big game of the day is the Eagles and the Chiefs. Where have you seen most

action come in on for that really short one and a half point spread? Exactly. And it’s kind of flipped back

and forth staying around that one. This is a great matchup to be a book maker in

because there’s really little risk. They’re booking good two-way action. Even like with parlays and teasers,

you’re getting good two-way action. So, not much risk at all for the books. Um,

I actually made the Eagles a favorite in the game. I made my total about 45, 45

and a half. Um, so I don’t think I’m going to be able to get down. It’s right around where that number is. I know all

the excitement again is on that Super Bowl rematch. U, but so far what I can tell you is good split two-way action

from the recreational bers and nothing from the Wise guys except they got out ahead on the over. They went over 46 and

a half when that total opened. But pay attention to the um lodge odds logic screen and see if there’s takeback on

that one because again that’s a high-profile standalone more or less late afternoon game that’s going to get

a lot of over money from the recreational bers. I actually just saw my Ravens line move

to 12 and a half spread on the board this week. Yeah. And and here’s the thing. We bet

the Browns earlier in the week at plus Don’t tell me that, Yanni. Yeah. Yeah. at plus 12 and and that line

dropped. Um earlier it was like at my sharper shops I’m even seeing 13 13 and

a half but it was down to like 11 and a half Ariel because we took the points with with um the Browns but since then

they came back with the Ravens and again a lot of that has to do with late injury information that you know the the the

official injury reports don’t come out till later in the week. So, a lot of times betting synders trying to get out

ahead of that information and as it changes, they’re not afraid to get offer on a game. Um, and it looks like that’s

what’s happening. Even though early Brown short money, you’re starting to see that Baltimore sharp money come in

because the public’s not really getting involved in that game. It’s mostly being teased. They’re teasing the Ravens down

um to where, you know, they’ve got to win by one score more or less to cover that teaser. That’s where I’m seeing most of the betting action from the

public um on that game. And they’re betting it over, blindly over. I’m talking eight, nine out of every 10 bets

has been on the over in the Ravens and Browns. Bill wants to know if you’ve got a

teaser for today. Teaser right now here. I would definitely tease the New England Patriots. Um, win or lose, that’s a plus

CV sign. You’re getting them up through three, through six, through seven, and you’re seeing a total that open 45 and a

half. Get that bet down to 43 and a half. So, that’s exactly what you want. You want a a game that’s expected to

have low points. The lower the scoring, the more each point is worth. That’s what you want for your teasers. The only

problem is finding another leg to tie him into. And right now, I would have to go with Tampa on Monday night. Another

perfect setup where the total open 46 and a half. Now, we’re looking at 42 and a half. So, you can’t get a better

teaser than that. Like, that’s a perfect plus CB teaser right now where you tie in New England, you tie in Tampa Bay.

The only thing you got to hope for is that that um Houston line don’t go to three tomorrow. That’s the problem. I’m

seeing two and a halfs minus 12.0. So if it goes to three, it’s no longer a wangable teaser. It’s no longer

advantageous. You’re better off just taking the plus three. That’s the problem. I’m not seeing any other leg

you could really tease today. And they’ve done a really good job of protecting themselves from them teasers

because again, those are very advantageous. You know, you have an edge on it. As long as you’re not laying more than 125 on a six-point teaser, you

could print money. really really got me mad this year and they’re blocking them. So, I live in New York and I use all the

books the like the I use all the legal books here and every year I use my

teasers with DraftK. I place my teasers with DraftKings because they’ve been minus 120. Since DraftKings came to New

York, FanDuel was minus 136. MGM was minus 130. DraftKings have the best number at minus 120. This season, they

have now moved it to minus 136. Yeah, because here’s why. Let me explain to you exactly why. It’s the same reason

on the if you walk through the casino floor on the floor the blackjack is now six to five. It’s no longer three to

two. That little switch of one rule where you no longer pay 3 to2 you’re playing six to five. Most betterers

don’t even acknowledge that. Don’t even understand that. But that change in rule made it to where someone like me can no

longer beat that game where I’m I could beat a game a fair game of blackjack but switching it from three to two to six to

five my edge is gone in teasers by going to 130 the sixpoint teaser is no longer

beatable at 120 you had a 2% edge all you had to do is tease through three

three six and seven and you had a 2% edge your break even was around 74%. if

you’re able to do that, you’re going to hit around 76%. So, they knew you had a 2% edge if you were teasing the right

sides. Well, most weren’t teasing the right numbers. So, DraftKings didn’t care. They had so much recreational

bets, they could keep it at 120 and attract all that teaser action. Eventually, sharp bers took advantage of

that. And that’s why it’s no longer available. If you’re laying 130 on a six-point teaser, you’re now taking the

worst of it. you’re hoping to be the product of good luck because it’s a negative EV bet. There’s negative

expectations on your bet there. Like that’s the math. That’s not my opinion. That’s just how the math plays out.

Uh teaser question. Do you have to play a favorite and an underdog or can you place two favorites and two underdogs?

My man, you could bet two favorites, you could bet two underdogs. It really doesn’t matter. Um just don’t tease

totals. That’s it. And don’t tease across zero. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Don’t go through those

zeros. We don’t go through those zeros. Uh Marley saying, “Hi, Yanni, by the way.” Good morning. Um any Steelers Seahawk advice?

I I like the dog there. I like Seattle. Um listen, the Jets were able to score

on the Steelers. The Steelers got, you know, the that field goal in the end. They got the win, but at the end of the

day, that you’re the Jets are able to move the ball like that on you. I don’t think Seattle, whose offense didn’t look

great, is going to have all that many problems. And defensively, defensively, what I saw out of Seattle last week, all

those turnovers, fumbles, interceptions, and they still limited the offense of

the opposition. I think the Steelers are going to have trouble scoring on Seattle. Um, I like the Seahawks. I I

think that three is a gift. Um, yeah, I like Seattle there, but I’m seeing Shawn Money coming in. They’re pushing that

Steeler from three to juice. I don’t like seeing that. I would have liked to see that two and a half this morning.

So, but I like the Seattle side. I liked a question that the chat also had and I don’t know where it is, but

someone asked, “Is there a side that the public and the Sharps are disagreeing

on?” I’ll tell you, Adam.

Yeah, I have to go Broncos Colts. I have to go Broncos Colts. Um because I’m seeing a lot of one-sided public money

coming in on the Broncos. And again, in the afternoon, there’s not all that many games. Um, that’s Broncos, Broncos,

Broncos. I’m seeing Broncos teasers, moneyline parlays, and uh sharps on the the Colts side. So, that’s definitely

one where it’s sharps on one side, public on the other. Um, yeah, that that’s one for sure that sticks out.

Speaking of that game, there’s going to be a lot of overreactions in week two. We know the public loves to overreact.

Miami looked like dog crap last week. The Colts, they looked great. even though I don’t feel like people really

believe in them. Which teams are we overreacting to? Whether it’s for better or for worse, who should we not

overreact to this week, Yanni? I think the Lions. Uh, you know, all the the just how how bad they look. Lost the

offensive coordinator, lost the defensive coordinator, and then on top of it, you have Green Bay coming out looking phenomenal. They beat the Lions

in game one. They come back, they win on Thursday night against a Washington team, you know, that coming off a great

season. Um, so Detroit’s kind of like that forgotten team right now. I think they win by at least 10 today.

I’m all over. Yeah, they’re my survivor pick this week for a lot of spots. I I picked them in my

pickup pool. I don’t normally love to lay close to a touchdown. The Lions matchup, I don’t believe that the Bears

run D was as good as it was last week in week one. Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, they aren’t as good and dynamic and

versatile as the backfield for the Lions. The Lions should be able to run clock, run all over the Bears D and

cover the spread. Yeah, I I think so. And and also like the the Saints, again, I I I don’t

understand why how you could have these players out for San Francisco and yet

all the money is on San Francisco. Again, I know we usually overreact that players are worth more to the line than

they truly are. Um, but in this spot it’s like New Orleans was all all over

all already a team betters were looking to fade. They lost in week one to Arizona. Now they’re playing a San

Francisco team and like they’re fading them again. I think that’s a dangerous spot right there. Be careful with San

Francisco on the road on especially and uh players key players out. That’s one

that I keep seeing bet and uh seeing the over being bet by the public as well. Um

again, but the Sharks bet that under they’re usually going to bet the injured U matchups under. They went under 44 and

a half all the way to under 42. That’s why you’re looking at 41 right now. And real quickly, pay attention to that

because of the look aheads. So, if you’re looking at your odds logic screen or at the very least the free um wager

talk free odds and you’ll click, make sure you look at the date of where the line opened because the look aheads are

from like before last week’s games. some of them were or during last week’s games and those limits are very small. So,

they’re able to, you know, take some sharp action, but the limits are low off those first numbers. So, look at the

date from Monday on and then see what actually was adjusted because a lot of

them look like big line movements, but off of that look ahead, there’s not much movement at all. It’s just because from

the look ahead to where they officially opened for the week, there was a big gap

because of the overreaction like you touched on. Nick from New York City wants to know, “What are the most public totals for the

books that they need today?” Oh, yeah. That’s easy. There’s It’s going to be on the overs, that’s for

sure. So, start with over Jaguars Bengals,

over Giants, Cowboys, over Bills Jets.

Yeah, those three are the biggest that stick out the most. Like it’s not even close. Like 90 plus% of the tickets and

the bets are on the overs in all four of those games. Yeah, a lot of unders in week one. We’ve

got prime time as well. So, we’ve got one game tonight between the Falcons and the Vikings. And then we’ve got two

Monday night games tomorrow. Any action that you see coming in there? Yeah, you’re seeing that that um Atlanta money

continue to come in and I’m interested to see if that land that scares me a little. I like them.

It’s down to that three now. I’m surprised. I was surprised that they were at three and you could even get him

at now plus three at even money because you know they got to juice the three. I’m like is it going to go to three minus 110 2 and a half? Like there’s a

lot of love on the Atlanta side. Um and the o under there from Sharf but the

public’s betting it over. And then tomorrow on Monday night, it’s the Chargers. Everybody’s in love with the

Chargers now after week one. Um, and playing here against Las Vegas. You

know, it’s a big Monday night game for the Raiders. Be careful there. It’s above that key number now of three. But

a lot of uh parlays and uh teasers that are going to be live from Sunday are

definitely going to be on the Chargers Monday night. Interested to see if that line continues to climb as well. But I

haven’t seen sharp money on those. The only thing I saw was under in the Buccaneers Texans immediately when that

line opened and they’ve just continued to bet that one under. That doesn’t surprise me. Uh Survivor

picks for today. Who would you do for Survivor? Well, obviously, you know, everybody’s

going to look at Baltimore if they haven’t played him. You got a double digit favorite. But there there’s no fun

in that. Uh who would I go with real quickly? I think I would take Buffalo. I

think I would take Buffalo. I don’t Buffalo’s not losing to the Jets. I I think it’s a decent spot to take Buffalo

in. Yeah, go with Buffalo. Buffalo.

I know that props aren’t as much of your thing as mine, but did did the groups

come in on any props today? No, that’s what I keep refreshing and I

they they will. I just haven’t gotten any. I haven’t gotten any yet. Interesting. Is there a reason that they

wait because they’re trying to wait for the unders? I think so. Again, it’s it’s early still in the season. Um,

but here’s what I noticed and I know that you can say and maybe listen, there

are some times where a prop will go from like I’ll give an example. Travis Kelsey

this week was 53 and a half went down to 49 and a half. At that point, I would say like I took under 53 and a half

early this week and I said, “Well, now it’s 49 and a half. So wait to see if it gets bet over and then you could go and

take the under again. But a lot of the times when I’m on the right side of that number, it drops and doesn’t bounce

back. So I don’t know sometimes about waiting long into the week for betting unders.

Like you’ve got to bet those unders early. I’ve seen so many numbers drop five 10 yards throughout the span of a

week and you’ll never get that good number back. I always tell bers it’s hard enough to

beat the market. Don’t try to play psychic on when you’re going to beat it. Like when you have a bet, fire, fire. I

I if you’re right more than you’re wrong, long term, you’re going to get closing line value. Don’t worry about it

on individual bets. It’s kind of like don’t overreact on any individual result, any one bet. The same thing with

closing line value. Like if the line moves against you, that’s okay. As long as in the majority of times it’s moving

in your favor, you’re getting better number by getting out early. continue to get out early. If that’s not happening

to you, then you got to revisit the thesis. But if if you’re betting early

and more times than not, you’re getting closing line value. Keep doing what you’re doing. You’re only going to get

more and more of it because you’re doing the right thing. If if you’re not, then you got to revisit it. But otherwise,

don’t worry about the time it goes against you. Because even with me, with the groups that I work with, it happens. Look, it happened with the Browns. I

took we took 12 and now I could get 13 today. So, I could get a better number today than what we betted at. That’s

going to happen. But as long as, you know, seven out of ten times we’re getting the best of the number, I could live with that.

Yanni, is Miami a good team in Survivor this week? Oh,

Miami. What is against the Patriots? No. I I I guess if you’re you want to take a

shot and roll the dice, that’s too much of a coin flip game. I think it’s too early in the season to roll the dice like that. like in week two to go.

You always talk about regressing to the mean, right? Miami is not as bad as they looked last week.

No, no, no. But here’s the problem. Here’s the problem. That it’s the NFL

season and it’s sure, Ariel, and we have those outliers. If it was baseball, I would say 100% Miami is going to regress

or progress towards the mean. There’s enough time. But in football, sometimes there’s not enough time. We have those

outliers where on paper a team’s so much better or worse than their record, but they just never have enough time to

become that team they’re capable of being. In baseball, you have 162 games. That’s why before the season started, I

could tell you maybe one team’s going to win 60 games. The first place teams are going to win between 57 and 59, maybe 55

and 59. Why? Because we have a history of 50 plus years of them playing 162

games. And that’s what happens. No one’s going to win 70% of their games, but in football sometimes that happens. Not

enough time to progress and regress. There are those outliers. So, be cautious with that uh quick turnaround

expecting the the bias to to flip back the other way. But yeah, I don’t have to take Miami. I’m cheering them in. I

don’t have a dog in the fight. Oh, we I love it. I love to hear all these sharp sides. And if you guys missed it, our YouTube page over at

Wager Talk, you can scroll back and see everything Yanni just gave out. I see all your questions in the chat. Uh Yanni

talked about pretty much all those games, so make sure to take a look there. Uh lastly, I guess you said you

had a lot of MLB coming in, so anything for the guys that want to take advantage of a market that maybe is being ignored

today? Yeah, real quickly. 952 Pittsburgh and under eight and a half. 958 under eight

and a half Colorado San Diego. 960 under eight Yankees Boston 962 under eight and

a half Baltimore Toronto. Multiple groups blasted that one. 966 under eight LA and Seattle Atlanta plus 125 KC plus

145 Miami plus 125 dog on Sundays that time of the year for

baseball whether you follow or fade good luck today join us in the steam room kicks off in about 30 minutes we’ll go

through every NFL game and you’ll get those teasers about 15 minutes before kickoff as well

Yanni the Greek he’s always over here giving us these winners thanks so much Yanni thanks Ariel

coming up now we are joined out by our guy in Vegas again. This time he’s

behind the counter. He is my very good friend, best friend of Kelly in Vegas, co-host of Kelly and Murray, but more

importantly, the dog dad to two beautiful puppies. John Murray joining

the show. Hi, John. Ariel, best friend of Kelly in Vegas. I

don’t know about my best friend is my pug, Mario. So, come on. Come on. I thought that it was going to be a

raging endorsement to be Kelly in Vegas. So, how are how are you doing today? You

ready for the Ravens? I know they let you down last week. I I was disappointed in you last week. Do you remember this?

The book needed Bills big time. And then I slid into your DMs after the game and

said, “Are you at least happy for me?” And you said no. One word answer. Very disappointing.

Football’s a selfish sport. I don’t know what you’re talking about. Okay. I’m not a happy person. Football season

makes me more unhappy. I was miserable. It was really nice of you though. You’re a really great friend, JM. You love to

just harass us when we’re down. Keep kicking us. No, no, that was that was a big game for us. I won’t be rooting against you

today, though. I will I will be rooting for I’m going to root for the Ravens today for you.

Thank you. Thank you, John, so much. I know that week two is filled with overreactions. Uh but I know that my

personal group chat loves to know the needs for the Super Bowl this week. What are they?

Uh definitely. I’d say early in the morning we’re going to need Chicago. It looks like the biggest need of the

morning is actually going to be Tennessee. Tennessee five and a half point dog right now against the Rams. I

mentioned the Bears. We’re going to need Seattle. So Pittsburgh off their win against the Jets is a popular side.

We’ll need the Seahawks the afternoon. Oh boy. Uh looks like we’re going to

need Carolina. That doesn’t sound like fun. That sounds fun. Carolina at Arizona. Think about think

about the NFL being on this side of the counter is you gota you’re basically going to bring for the same teams every week. I think this year it’s going to be

a lot of Carolina, a lot of New Orleans, uh maybe Tennessee. Although I actually

thought that Cam Ward looked pretty good last Sunday to be honest with you going on the road against that Denver defense.

His receivers did him no favors. I saw him hitting his receivers right between the hands and them dropping the ball.

So, I don’t think Cam Ward’s going to be that bad, but I do think we’re going to need the Titans a lot. We need him today.

I know my group chat’s going to love to hear that the Titans, the Bears, the Seahawks, and the Panthers are going to be the teams that they have to bet

today. It’s setting Who’s in that group chat, Ariel? Who’s in that group chat? Kelly, I

uh this group chat one of 80,000. Uh Chris Thirsten. I love Chris. I love

Buckeye Joe. Okay, I know who that is. I know. Buckeye Joe. Um I think that’s it. Everyone else kind

of has been eliminated from our lives. The chat bigger, but every year it seems like we dwindle.

Everybody else is off the hook. Off the hook. Everyone else off. That’s good. That’s good.

How about totals? Any totals? Uh, let me see. I’m sure we’ll we’ll probably need the under in the uh Yeah,

we do. We need the under in the Philadelphia Kansas City game. Obviously, that’s the big game in the

afternoon. Looks like we’ll want under in your game. want the under in

Baltimore cle Baltimore Cleveland game and the under in the Buffalo game. Buffalo and the New York Jets. We got

some money on the over in that one as well. We’ll be rooting for Oh, here’s one where we actually need the over. You

ready for this? We need the over. San Francisco New Orleans. That game is all the way down to 49ers minus three. 49ers

obviously have some key injuries on offense. I mentioned the Saints. Spencer Rattler

is their quarterback for whatever reason and we will be needing them to go over.

Total right now is 40 and a half. That actually makes a lot of sense that that game would need to go over.

Does make sense. Yes. How did the books do in week one overall, JM? So, we had a great morning. We did great

in the morning games and then we lost every afternoon game last week. It was It reminded me a lot of like every

weekend last NFL season where the afternoon games were really bad for us. We really needed uh Houston against the

Rams. That was a really bad game for us. We lost the 49er game. We lost the Packer game and then all the moneyline

parlays and teasers went to Denver and they won. So, we lost every game in the afternoon. Luckily, and I’m not saying

this I’m not saying this to rub it in, but Buffalo winning did bail us out.

Buffalo beating Baltimore did bail us out. Saying that to people, I will never understand why John

Harbaugh punted on fourth and three. I I I talked about this with Kelly. I think

I think one of the biggest things that doesn’t get talked about enough in the NFL is it’s not black and white like oh

should you go for it on fourth and three. It’s who’s your quarterback who’s the other team’s quarterback. If your

quarterback is Lamar Jackson and the other team’s quarterback is Josh Allen. Yeah. You need to go for it on fourth

and three. You don’t cramping. Yeah. You don’t Well, you don’t punt the ball back to Josh Allen. Okay. You’re

just you’re just saying we’re going to lose. If the other team’s quarterback was Russell Wilson, well, then maybe you

would punt the ball back, right? So, I think I think that that doesn’t get talked about enough when people are evaluating those fourth down situations.

But, I thought Baltimore made a huge mistake and it was very good for us. I’m sorry.

Hey, listen. I’m going to overreact and say the Ravens are dead to me until further notice.

Week two overreactions though. Where have you seen the public overreact?

Uh, let’s see. the public. I mean, the public is very heavily on the Rams. Uh, I mentioned that game. And then there’s

been a there’s a lot of money actually on New England this week. So, New England is a very popular side.

New England did lose last week to the Raiders, but they at least looked like a competent operation,

unlike their opponents today, the Miami Dolphins, who Well, that’s where I think people could be overreacting, though, that I don’t

think Miami gets as bad as they looked last week. I usually expect Miami to be a decent

team until two tongue of Viola gets injured, which he will, right? And then and then after that, the wheels will

come off for that that organization, but as long as two is in there, I don’t expect them to be to be terrible. I I

don’t think so. Uh the other team that’s really the most heavily bet team of the

day is absolutely the Dallas Cowboys. We don’t have as much money on that game. It’s more tickets, but so it’s not as

big of a need as some of the other ones I mentioned. But if you just want to look at ticket counts, Dallas minus the

points, Dallas moneyline is in every parlay under the sun today. I just made

a Russell Wilson joke. So apparently I agree with the public on that. Russell Wilson looked horrible last week against

the Commanders, the football team. I I don’t blame people for wanting to go with Dallas. Dallas probably should have

beat the Eagles in week one. They get the Giants today. We’ll see. Those Giants. Uh, anything in the

futures market stand out after week one? Yeah. You know, they’re starting to bet.

They’re starting to bet on Green Bay, which I get. You know, Green Bay, uh, I

I look, I like Detroit last week. I think we talked about that when I was on your show. And we had a lot of guys I

respect on Detroit. That line actually closed Green Bay minus one. And that was clearly the wrong side. Green Bay handle

Detroit. And then we saw some players we respected on Washington on Thursday thinking maybe Green Bay maybe they’re

not that good. Well, they are that good, especially on defense. Uh Green Bay, I don’t know what there’s nothing you can

say that isn’t positive about them right now. As long as they can keep Jordan Love healthy. Micah Parsons is just getting his legs

underneath him. He’s not even at full speed yet. Once he gets I think the only not nice thing I could say about Green Bay is that everybody’s

on Green Bay. Yeah, but that’s true. But they were on Thursday and you know we did not do well

on the game Thursday. Every the public bet Green Bay for sure in that game and and they won it easily. So what what can

you say? The public isn’t always wrong. The public well hey look we uh the the

public was all over Terrence Bud Crawford last night here at Allegian Stadium and he won very decisively. Very

impressive. The public nailed that. So definitely not always wrong. Definitely

not. John Murray coming over to see us from the Westgate. I’ve got my pup. You want

to say hi to John? You want to say hi to John? I do want to say John J wants to say hi to you. She

really is mad that we’re just sitting here and not outside playing in this beautiful weather. Uh I guess final

question. Prime time games, two games tomorrow, one game tonight. What do you see in prime time?

Well, there’s there’s a lot of action on the two games tomorrow night and and kudos to the NFL. They’re finally giving us a true double header. You know, last

year they did a lot of those where they had the two Monday night games spaced out by an hour. Thought I found that a little annoying. This week we get an

actual double header. Sharp money on Houston against Tampa Bay and then sharp

money on the Chargers. Push that number from three to three and a half at the Raiders. Speaking of teams that look

great in week one, how about the Chargers and Justin Herbert? They looked awesome last Friday night. They beat Kansas City

in in Sa Paulo, Brazil. They looked really good. You know, I love Jim Harbaugh. So, keep an eye on the Chargers. They I

think the Raiders will end up being a big need for the books because there will be parlays all day today going into

the Chargers tomorrow night in the late game. We’ll probably need the Raiders in

that one. We’ve got a WNBA question. What’s your feedback when the playoffs start?

Uh, let me see. the what was I mean repeat the question I’ll attempt to answer it what was it

WNBA any advice when the playoffs start oh boy let’s see well luckily for me I

do work at a sports book so I can look to see what the smart people bet on because I don’t know much about the WNBA

I apologize for that but certainly some smart money on it looks like the Storm

oh against the Aces that’s unfortunate the Storm tonight against the Aces in game one they bet down from plus 7 to +

5 and a half. They also bet the over in that game. So, the storm and the over

game one is tonight in Las Vegas. There’s a big sporting in sporting event in Las Vegas every day, Ariel, every

single day. And wait till we get Major League Baseball in a couple of years. I can’t wait. I will be there. I want to

go and make sure that we go to a real baseball game together. JM

live from Las Vegas. Thanks for hopping on with us as you do every Sunday, giving us the needs of the day.

Appreciate you. And not good luck. No good luck today. Oh, that’s nice. That’s very nice.

You’re welcome. I’ll still talk to you next week anyway. I appreciate that. Thanks, John Murray. Have a good one.

And if you guys don’t know about it, the oddslogic screen, you could go to oddslogic.compropeen.

And you heard Yanni mention it. It shows you literally all the odds on the board. It tells you how lines opened, how

they’re closing, how they moved, and every sports book, etc. So, oddslogic.com/prop

queen. Someone who knows about OddsLogic very well. Our good friend Carman Biano joining the show now. He’s not in Vegas.

He’s in Canada. What’s up, Karm? Not much. I can’t John Murray used his

luck today on Liverpool. They got a 93rd minute penalty kick, so he should be happy uh even if the book takes a hit

today. But um everything’s good. Um weather’s still good up here. No snow,

Ariel, don’t worry. And our our Blue Jays are still a top of the AL East, but

we won’t go there. It’s football Sunday. It’s football Sunday. We can talk about the AL East and that craziness this

coming week. But Karm, I don’t really get to talk much NFL with you. Usually it’s hockey, it’s baseball, it’s soccer.

NFL, what do you like today? Uh we’re going to talk like some

overreactions. So I’m going to go through some games. I think the the two that really stand out to me. Uh well, I have a 5% play up at Wager Talk, so I’m

not going to discuss that game. Uh you can get it over on my page, but one of

my client plays today is Denver. You know, we talk about like overreaction. Uh you know, Indie had a very good game

against Miami, but Miami I I thought Miami just looked terrible out of the gate. Uh, you know, I feel like this

line should probably be around um, uh, Denver two, two and a half. I’m seeing

like a lot of ones and one and a halfs on the wager talk live odds. It’s never going to hit three. It’s never going to

hit that key number. But, you know, Denver is supposed to have a good season. They have a very good defense. They didn’t play uh did did they didn’t

seem to be ready to play in week one against Cam Ward uh on the road in his

first start as a rookie, but they got the win and that’s all that ultimately matters. They don’t care about covering

point spreads. They care about W’s. Um I I I think they win here and uh and I

think they they they cover this spread easily. At least they they win by three points, which is more than enough.

Houston definitely on Monday night. I absolutely love that one. That’s going to be on my card as well, too. I just

haven’t loaded it yet at two and a half. When we talk about like overreactions, I’m seeing a lot of money coming in on

Miami. Miami is like up to two and a half right now. And I I still don’t get it w with the Dolphins. Uh I think once

they get rid of their once they get rid of their coach, uh we may see a change in this team. But I just don’t get how

the Miami Dolphins year in and year out look like a team that has potential to

win the AFC East and then just falters and finishes eight and eight n and

eight. Uh Cleveland Baltimore, you’re not going to like this one, Ariel, but I think Cleveland stays within the number

on this one. It it is at a point now where it’s at 12 and there’s always that back door if Baltimore uh was to blow

them up. But Cleveland’s front four is a very good front four. And if they can somehow uh stop Derrick Henry, which is

it seems like impossible to do, and uh and slow down Lamar, they got a chance to stay inside this number. Flaco

doesn’t make a lot of mistakes. Uh the team can run. So we’ll we’ll see what happens here uh between those two, but I

think they can stay within that number. Everyone is on Baltimore in Survivor and I I absolutely understand that in circa

I think there’s 6,000 plus on the Ravens as the most picked team. San Francisco I

don’t get Ariel I don’t get the I I understand the line drop. Uh I do but

this is still a very bad New Orleans Saints team. And if you have to give me

M. Jones versus Rattler, I’m going to take M. Jones on this team. This team

still has CMC uh Persol. Uh Joan Jennings is supposed to be a game time decision and they still have that

defense. Uh while they have some rookies on that D, they still have a defense and

sometimes defense will win you games and put your team in a position to win games. It’s at three now and bettable.

At five and a half, I don’t think it was bettable. At three, I would take San Francisco even with the injuries. Uh

what else? Casey, a little bit of overreaction, I think, on that one. I get it. Philadelphia absolutely smoked

them in the Super Bowl last season, but Casey’s Casey is still Casey. Uh, and

uh, at home, uh, this is in Casey, I believe, is it

not? Uh, at home, Casey. Mahomes as a dog. We’ve talked about it before.

Not a good situation to bet against them. Uh regular season and playoffs are

two different beasts. Uh just ask the Buffalo Bills who continuously beat the Kansas City Chiefs in pre uh sorry in

regular season and then uh get eliminated in the playoffs. Uh two

different ones there. And then the final one I think is Minnesota off a short week. I kind of like Atlanta getting the

hook uh at the three and a half tonight uh in that late one.

Kind of going through like the entire card today. I wasn’t expecting that. No, blasting through it.

No, I love it because these are plays. John Murray just came on and he told us Tennessee, Chicago, Seattle, Carolina

are the four sides that they probably need the most today. And I am not surprised because I feel like a lot of

people I’ve heard of are on Arizona. I get it. And I really like James Connor today in his rushing yard prop because

Carolina D is terrible against the run. Um, but I have a friend who works in

Carolina and he loves the Panthers today. So, I feel like there’s just like a lot of pros verse Joe’s today.

Shouldn’t he like uh Carolina though if he if he lives No, he works in media. Like he’s

nonbiased. Nonbias. So, he’s nonbiased. Okay. Well, I I get it. Uh, I I I always put my bias aside

when I’m talking about the Buffalo Bills as well, too, because you can sort of let that your mind

and um, no, I I hardly ever bet on the Bills. It uh, normally because number

one, the the spreads are just uh, even though they’re a good cover team and they were last year, the spreads are

normally just high. You look at the Bills today and we didn’t discuss the Bills and a lot of money. Everyone loves

the Jets. Uh I I know Joe Reeri loves the Jets today. Everyone seems to love

the Jets. A terrible scheduling spot for the Bills. Ravens last week. They’re on a short week next week going to M or

facing Miami. So I understand. I had no I wanted nothing to do with the Bills.

Yeah. and uh you know and you look at some of the injuries obviously Ed Oliver uh missing is a a big miss for them but

you look at some of the injuries during the week uh um with regards like the

like even their running back uh he tweaked his hamstring on Wednesday uh he wasn’t a full participant on Thursday I

think he did practice on Friday so we’ll see what we we get from him uh Keon Keon

Coleman as well too and then there’s that guy who you just don’t want to throw at which is uh Sauce Gardner. You

know, you just don’t want to go against them. Uh and the and if you look at historically over the last few years um

with uh with Josh Allen, uh he doesn’t go after Sas Gardner. He’s gone after him a couple times. He doesn’t go after

him. So, it it’s who else on the Bills steps up. Uh we’ll see what Shakir does

as well, too. But, uh I understand the live live movement. I think seven coming out uh opening at seven uh was probably

not a great thing because it was always going to bring in Jets money and it’s down to like five five and a half I

think six. You know, the interesting thing is, you know, people talk about teasers. And while I I do enjoy playing

teasers, you look at the three most popular teams with like a six and a half point teaser. And this was as of like

last night, you could have taken the Bills, Zona, and Detroit, and essentially made all three games a pick

them. And those three teams would pay you back at plus 130 on a six and a half

point teaser. If you take the same three teams on the money line, it pays 140. And this is why when you’re playing

teasers, it’s important to keep an eye on the money lines of these teams and see is it better to play a moneyline

ticket than it is to play a teaser because you’re you’re giving up some value by not taking the plus 140 on the

money line parlay as opposed to taking a teaser. Well, yeah, we were just talking about

this before, especially with all these books now charging you minus 135 for a teaser, a two-legged teaser. Just

absolutely ridiculous. And seven, by the way, Jimmy Burke 13, terrible against

the run. They played one game. Look at the Panthers last year, honey. They have been terrible against the run for the

last year and a half. They were the worst run D in football last year. And it didn’t change after they allowed

Travis ETN to put up 143. So, come on. Let’s It’s not just week one. Like, not

just week one. Sorry, I had to get that out there. Karm, what are you promoting today?

Uh, three plays up. Uh I gave you guys one of them which is uh the Denver Broncos, but uh a 5% play uh since the

start of the 2022 NFL season which dates back three years now. Uh when releasing

four and 5% plays and all of my plays uh this week are four and 5% plays plus 130

units uh at wager talk which is number one amongst everyone at wager talk with

uh NFL. And we’re coming off a 3 and 0 day in college football yesterday as well too. Um, I got what uh Ariel, I got

the closing line value yesterday on I released it early in the week because I figured the line would drop on Arkansas.

They were plus seven uh once Old Miss um announced their their QB was out. That

line did drop. It dropped to about four by game time and I got the cover. So, I’m pretty happy about that with with

Arkansas and everyone who jumped on board. But the weekend warrior uh package is still up. $49 will get you

all of today’s plays and all of tomorrow’s plays in NFL football as well, too. So, um that that is it for

now. No other uh no other plays up. Uh it’s been a great weekend, five and one

yesterday, and we’re just going to try and keep it going through Sunday and Monday. And we’re going to be sweating

the games live today. Uh if you guys haven’t seen it uh la or you didn’t

watch it last week, Enzone Live, which will be on I think around 1:30 today, I

could be wrong on the time, but Enzone Live today. Uh the press um there’s a

bunch of people coming on the show. There’s about four or five and we just sweat the games. We let you know what our bets are and uh it is like five guys

at a bar just talking trash to each other and uh trying to win bets because

sometimes we’re on opposite sides. So talking trash is great. We love talking trash. Karm, you’re the

best. Thanks so much for coming on. Good luck today. You as well. Thank you. Cody Holloway, I don’t know what FanDuel

you’re at. My FanDuel charges minus 130US 135 on teasers. So, I don’t know

if it’s a state-by-st state thing, but here in New York, FanDuel is not charging minus 110. In fact, I haven’t

seen one book charge a minus 110 on a teaser, a two-leg teaser. I have not

seen a minus 110 anywhere on any of the public sports books or the um the sports

books over here. So, I don’t know where you’re getting that, but okay. Last but certainly not least, as we mentioned

before with Karm Enzone Live coming up at 1 PM Eastern time and all of your favorite Wazer Talk handicappers will be

on there sweating out their bets. Andy and Pres are going to be on there. So Pres joining the show. How did week one

go at that endzone live betting show? Well, uh I don’t know actually. I just

did all the talking. Uh everyone who How did you do? I I did okay. I went with my clients.

The show was fun. I had a blast. Uh, but it’s a long show and you know it’s still

you got uh sunshine outside. Normally I would have watched the game at my pool.

I have like a bank of TVs. I like sit in the hot tub. But alas, I got to work and

I’m okay with that. I I uh I offered my services. We love to work. Pres, what do you like

today? Uh what do I like today? Um God, I’ll tell you. I I’ll go down the card at 100

miles an hour, but I do want to say one thing firstly, Ariel, you mentioned rough spot for uh the the Bills with

Baltimore back behind us and uh Miami in front. Why is it not a rough spot for

the New York Jets? Circling a game against Aaron Rodgers, waiting all year to play it, then screwing it up at the

end, having to go in to the dressing room in a bad mood, having to say no to their wives that night cuz they are very

upset. then having to go to Monday and being lectured and reamed out uh all the

way through the week, feeling down about themselves, feeling upset about themselves. The only reason it’s not is because the

Bills are on a short week going into Thursday. Okay. The only difference

I I accept what you’re saying and that’s what kept me off of the Bills today. But

uh yeah, no interest in the Bills today. But I agree with you that the Jets are not in any better of a position except

they are the home team and they aren’t on a short week, but I have no interest in the game because if

you think I want to be that miserable to have to bet the Jets this week, the answer is no. Okay. I like Miami. You guys were

talking about it earlier. Uh John Murray said a lot of money coming in on New England, which is very interesting given

that Miami is now minus 2 and a half. Uh we’ve done a deep dive into this and uh

if you can get a an an NFL team under minus two, you’re better off taking it on the money line. That does not work at

two and a half. At minus two and a half, you’re better off in the long run taking

uh laying the points. But I like Miami here and I look at it this way. This is

their season. This is this might be Mike McDaniel’s coaching career. that last

week was so bad, so humiliating, so wrong in every way that if they can’t

fix it immediately, I don’t think they continue. So, I think Miami has to give

us the best game they can all year and they are at home and it’s a short price.

And I also like the Pittsburgh Steelers. I’m an emotional uh when as a handicapper, I look at the emotions of

teams and this Pittsburgh team has to be coming into this game feeling really high on themselves. Um look, they they

won last week miraculous fashion. They’re 1 and0. They’re in a tough division. They have a game that is

easily winnable. Um and I think Seattle is a shallow themselves. I’m not a fan

of Sam Darnold at all. So there’s two bets. I like Pittsburgh and I like Miami

and both of those two are in my circa uh bets. Also, real quick, Ariel, the show

starts at 1 p.m. The live show that we’re doing starts at 100 p.m. today and

yeah, it’s a blast. Last week, we had an absolute blast.

Everyone gets to tune in at 1 pm Eastern time to watch Enzone live betting show. You could see Fred sweating out all

those bets he gave. Uh before I let you go, I know you got to get ready for the show. Survivor plays today.

Yeah. So, I took Arizona on my Survivor play. And you know, Ariel, the the

Baltimore play for all the people in the circa really freaked me out because anyone who took Baltimore is now going

to get stuck having to pick between Green Bay in Detroit,

Washington in Dallas, or they’re going to have to take Cincinnati in Baltimore because

Baltimore is out for Christmas or Thanksgiving. Whichever one of those it’s Thanksgiving.

Yeah. So, whoever took Baltimore is not thinking about this correctly because

would you take Green Bay going into Detroit? Would you take Detroit hosting Green Bay? Would you take Washington

going into Dallas? Would you take Dallas hosting Washington? No chance you’re taking Cincinnati in Baltimore. So,

I don’t get it. I try to take a longterm approach with this. Uh, so we’ll see. I guess there are people that take the

long-term approach. Then there are the people that take the I just want to survive to that point approach.

That’s probably most of the public the way that they play it. Uh I know that Survivor I know like Lions is probably

up there too for some people, but Arizona is a pretty I like the play even though I know the books need the Panthers. So good luck to you.

Yeah. And one of the guys in the chat room uh way back said, “Who’s a better better Giani or the press?” Uh, Giani

uh, lives, sleeps, eats, breathes. Giani

literally lives betting like nobody I’ve ever met before in my life. It It’s 18

hours a day. All he does is study bets. I do not. I am a businessman and I make

bets and I’m good at it. But Giani, Giani hands down. Although in NHL,

I’m way better than Giani. So that in that one sport, but Giani,

everyone has their sport. I tell Kelly, it’s baseball for me. I could be Kelly in baseball. And everything else, I’ll

give it to her. Kelly eats, breeds, and sleeps this stuff. Press, so do you, though. So do you. We love to have you

on here on Last Call. Have fun watching those games live with all the audience at 1 p.m. Eastern time. Everyone, make

sure to tune in. Uh good luck today. Thanks guys. Thanks for having me. Thanks for doing the cereal.

Of course. Pres. Okay. So for me, a few props that I gave out earlier this week

throughout the show. Jir Gibbs over rushing yards. James Connor over rushing yards. Travis Kelce under receiving

yards. I think Joe Flacco throws the football a lot in his first game back at Mnt Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Um

there’s obviously analytics and analysis behind all this. Um, so if you want to check it out, you can go to the prop

queen.com. Sign up and subscribe to the newsletter or you can watch my shows at the prop queen pod. Um, I’ve given out

all that info all over the show. Best bet right now, as of today, I took James Connor over uh

I think it was 63 and a half. I think it’s up to 68 and a half now. Um, but I took over 63 and a half rushing yards

for Jim Connor earlier this week. He is the Arizona Cardinals running back getting the Panthers who I’ve mentioned

is the worst rund in football dating back to last year. Travis ETN just ran for 143 last week. James Connor last

year underratedly faced four different teams um that were bottom 10 against the run. And James Connor rushed for at

least 100 yards in all four of those games. They’re a six and a half point favorite. So if there is a chance they’re up, they’re going to run the

ball anyway. Take advantage, run down the Panthers D. Um, the only problem that we’d have with this is if it is a

close game. John Murray said that the Panthers are in need for their book at the Super Bowl. So maybe this game’s

closer, but James Connor should be able to run the football well against the Panthers. Um, but if you don’t like

that, then Jier Gibbs would be my second favorite over 67 and a half rushing yards. He’s also getting a Bears defense

that I don’t trust yet against the run either. They looked good last week against Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones,

but we know that the Lions backfield is way more versatile and way faster than those two running backs. The Bears

allowed the second most rushing yards per game to running backs last year. So, I would take advantage of those two

running back props. Um, you can’t get the Travis Kelce number anymore at 53 and a half. It’s now 49 a half. Um, and

then I mentioned I think Joe Black has to throw the football a lot today at Mnt Bank Stadium. That is a very high pass

attempt total. 37 and 1/2 38 and 1/2. So those are like my top four props for

today. Um I probably could give you a fifth. I just have to go look at the

newsletter again to remember exactly what I gave out. Um I’ve also been

having some technical difficulties on my end on my computer today. Um

let’s see a fifth prop. And we’ve got Premier Lacrosse Championships by the way coming up in a half hour. So, if you

want a PLL play, Jared Burnernhard over two and a half points. He had four

points in the game-winning goal in overtime last time these two teams played. The Atlas are strong against the

attack, whereas Burnernhard runs out of the box and initiates from the top as a midfielder. Um, he had 37 touches and

nine shots, which was a season high in their last matchup. So, Gerard Burnernhard over two and a half points

in Premier lacrosse. Um, a few other plays in the NFL today. Cole KT under 19

and a half receiving yards. He had a big catch for 31 yards last week. We had the over on his longest reception that

cashed. But the Bears, they drafted Coloulson Loveland and he had two catches on two targets for 12 yards last

week. Kind of getting his feet wet. But now you’re getting a Lions D that allowed the third least receptions and

third least receiving yards per game to tight ends. Only 37% of tight ends went over their receiving yard prop last year

against Detroit. Um, I think Cole Kat takes a step back this week. So, I would

say under on his receiving yards. Darnell Mooney is a sleeperish play slash a little risky solely because he

missed week one with the shoulder injury. He should be playing today. Mooney had the most 20 plus yard catches

for the Falcons last year. He had 21. The next best was Drake London with 12. So, Darnell Mooney is your deep threat

in Atlanta. The Vikings allowed the most receptions per game to wide receivers and second most receiving yards per game

to them. Do I trust the amount of touches? Do I trust the amount of targets that Darnold Mooney will get in

his first game of the year? No. But I do trust that there’s going to be a deep ball thrown to him. And against the

secondary, which is more vulnerable than their pass rush in Minnesota, Darnell Mooney over 19 and a half yards for his

longest reception is another play that I would take a close look at today. That’s it for us here on Last Call on Wager

Talk. I’m the prop queen, Ariel Epstein. Thanks so much for tuning in. We’ll see you guys next week. Good luck to those

bets.

Packers Emerge as NFC Favorites, NFL Week 2 Betting Lines & Market Reactions

Urban City Podcast Group — Fri, 12 Sep 2025 22:45:29 +0000

Urban City Podcast Group

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Major Takeaways:

The Green Bay Packers’ impressive 2-0 start, fueled by a stout defense and efficient play from Jordan Love, has made them the new betting favorite to win the NFC.
Significant adjustments were made in the market’s power ratings, most notably a major downgrade for the San Francisco 49ers without Brock Purdy, making them a potential value side.
Early betting action shows lopsided handle on several games, with the New England Patriots getting the points against the Miami Dolphins as the most heavily bet side of the week

Packers Emerge as NFC Favorites, NFL Week 2 Betting Lines & Market Reactions

This is money moves on VSIN the sports betting network.

We are locked and local on a football Friday here on Money Moves. Stormmy Bon

and Tony, Jonathan Vontova with you live from downtown Las Vegas. Circa Resort and Casino. Big show on deck. We’ll get

into some of the market reaction from the Packers win last night as week two of the NFL season is officially

underway. A big college football weekend also got started last night and will carry over. But let’s get this thing

started like we always do. Producer Brian Ortega, time to run it down. It’s time for the top headlines and

topics of the day. This is the rundown. All right, JBT. Top items on deck as we

head into the weekend. Starting with some great guests in 30 minutes. We’ll get top plays from VO’s own Will Hill. Then in hour two, VO senior editor Zack

Cohen stopping by with some NFL and college football as well as Arash Marcazi of the Sporting Tribune in

addition to all of our football talk tonight. Big fight weekend coming up Saturday here in Vegas. Yeah. I mean, so

I’m curious. You don’t have to say yes. If you’re not, are you going to watch the fight? Um Oh, no. You’re working. Let me rephrase

this. If you weren’t, would you would you? Because one of the things that I am like, I’m now down, especially with this

new UFC model coming in, like I like mixed martial arts a little bit, actually, a lot more than I do enjoy boxing. But the fact that this is now so

much more accessible, I already have my Netflix sub. Let’s go. I’ll watch it. I’ll throw it on. I’m I’m excited. I cannot wait. So, yes, Brain Part, you’re

going to be on the sideline for it. Uh, but I am very much looking forward to this fight and I’m actually looking forward to if boxing continues to do

this watching more fights. Well, and I was gonna say it’s been a while since I’ve watched just a pure boxing match. So, I’m excited. There’s

name value, it’s accessibility, it’s all of that stuff. So, that’ll be fun to get into with Arash later on in hour two of the program. Uh, that again is happening

right here at Allegiance Stadium. Well, cuz I even threw you for a loop cuz I was like, are you going to watch it?

You’re like, it’s a little, you know, a little crossover. Uh, we will also get into streaming on your phone. our best bets

of the weekend and cementing our contest selections. We are in Circumillions, Circus Survivor. You’ve got the college

football contest at the Westgate. So, lots of finalization to happen today. Put the college picks in this morning.

And yes, we need to solidify. I think we’re pretty close to solidifying our five in the millions, but we need to

lock down today and I’m going to press you on is what we’re going to use for Survivor. And I’m nervous. I have a lot of anxiety.

But let’s before we look forward react to last night, Thursday Night Football. last night at Lambeau Field and as Bill

AD headlined the V daily newsletter this morning. The pack is back. Green Bay haven’t heard that one

beats the commanders 27 to8 covers the three and a half. Total stays under any number and the final score I don’t even

think was as indicative as decisive a win as this was for Green Bay last night. Never in doubt really from the

opening drive. It felt like it goes back to what were we talking about? Was it Monday or after Monday? I mean these games are stupid. They’re b

watch the fourth quarter. that the fact that statistically that was such a a rear end whooping for the Green Bay

Packers and yet you look up in the fourth and you’re like, “Oh, it’s 17-10 and this could be something here if we’re if we’re like you got to kind of

sit up.” So, uh but Green Bay was really impressive and uh I will give two-time owner of the the Green Bay Packers,

Brian Ortega, who did not wait the second he walked into the studio. I was going to offer this. I think I owe a

mayopa. I didn’t think the Packers were going to be bad, but I have questioned whether or not Jordan Love was going to be particularly good. Uh, putting the

ball in danger was one of the things that I referenced quite a bit, especially from last year. My man’s been slinging it through the first two weeks

of the season. Now, there’s a couple of throws and a couple of touchdowns that he left on the table that if he actually completes those, we’re probably talking

about a snoozer last night, but it’s been pretty impressive to watch Love operate this offense. um now healthy and

after what we saw from last year this looks like dare we say the best team in

the NFC North and they are being priced as such when you look in the market right now let’s

first go to Jordan Love who you mentioned a great night 19 to 31 292 pass yards two touchdowns no picks that

extends his no interception streak by the way to nine games now dating back to last season he is the third shot on the

board for MVP was 20 to1 preseason 12 to1 after week 1 now 7 to1 behind only

Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. And as we go to the NFC here, standalone favorites. Green Bay is at 3 to1 to win

the NFC. They are minus 165 favorites to win the NFC North. Yeah, and I think it’s all pretty apt

and obviously it has to do with what you’ve seen from this team or excuse me where they’re at. They’ve played a second game. They’re 2 and 0 amongst

some other teams. But the thing that really sticks out when you watch them is outside of love defensively they seem

legitimately strong. I mean, you had Micah Parsons in the over the quarter sack and he got there with the half

sack. You by the way, sorry, real quickly, I’m glad that we mentioned a couple of times yesterday the difference between that

prop being a quarter sack and a half sack because different books do it differently and that ended up coming into play with Parsons. Go ahead.

Yes. Um, but just that, you know, yesterday I had talked about Edin Cooper and the fact that he had been one of

these dudes that had been really taking a step forward. He again plays a large snapload. comes out with I think 10 or

11 tackles and uh looks really strong there. Even came away with half a sack as well. This front seven looks

legitimately good. Almost every part of this team looks really strong. And I mean I mentioned the best in the NFC

North depending on whether or not the Eagles figure out what’s going on with that second corner spot. You can make a pretty strong argument this team could

be after two weeks the best team in the NFC. No doubt about and again they are the favorites in the NFC now all of a

sudden. And be I want to go a little bit deeper on this defense because particularly against the run, how stout

this group has been through two weeks now. So Washington last night trying to run the football 19 carries for 51

yards, 2.7 yards per carry. And then pair that with what we saw against

Detroit last week and that’s Jir Gibbs and David Montgomery coming at you. 22 carries for 46 yards. So in all giving

up less than 250 total yards both games. um two wins over teams, mind you, as

well that were 12 plus win teams a season ago that were both top five in the NFL last year in points per game.

The Lions average 33.2 points per game, Commanders 28 and a half. They combined to score just 31 points on this team.

That defense looks real. And if you are getting that play to your point out of Jordan Love throughout and he stays

healthy and I know obviously the Jaden Reed injury is going to play a role in that, but they’ve got some other secondary guys like we were talking

about with Brian coming in. Could a Matthew Golden start to rise? Is their best patch pass catcher just going to be Tucker Craft because of what he’s doing

in the tight end room over 100 yards for him? He’s had touchdowns backto-back games. If this offense can operate at

just a a decent if not elevated level and have an elite defense behind them, they are a serious contender. Uh,

absolutely. I was trying to find what’s going to be interesting and uh we’ll see if I can grab the odds for it or if we

can find them because they are down now. I think they have a real shot at that last undefeated team.

So, they’re 2 and 0 right now. You look at the way their schedule breaks down. Depending on what you think of Cincinnati, who they get at home after

their buy, you’re looking at Cleveland, Dallas, Cincinnati, Arizona, Pittsburgh, Carolina up until November 10th in

Philadelphia. I I don’t think it would be astonishing if this team still has the O in their loss column by the time

they get there. We’ll see what happens with Cincinnati, but as we know, they have their issues defensively. They look like they have a very strong path, a

very likely path to being the last undefeated team or at least having a very strong record through eight games

by the time they go take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday night. just out of curiosity because I my one

of my early thoughts watching this game was okay maybe did I downgrade the Lions too much coming out of week one after

facing this team like what if the Packers are just that good so then you’ve got the Lions taking on the Bears this week and is that line getting out

to six actually may be a little bit more appropriate now based on what this team actually could be I don’t know and maybe

that’s this is just a more of a wait and see game than I initially thought after last night two things to be true at once though right which is, hey, maybe the Lions are

that bad and maybe the Packers are this good. Maybe they both deserve to be altered in terms of their ranking coming

off of that game. Uh, we will see if that’s going to be the case, too, as we we get a pretty good match up between the Bears and the Lions on Sunday. But I

I wouldn’t necessarily say it’s binary one or the other. I think this could be one of those situations where we could have a scenario where both things are

actually the truth. And I mentioned six, according to that graphic at DraftKings, we’re up to the six and a half right now. Um, a couple

other market movers just to let you know. Um Parsons, his odds shortened in

defensive player of the year to plus 475. And we mentioned the MVP odds for Love. Jaden Daniels, uh Love is in that

third spot now. Daniels was in the third spot. He’s now seventh on the board at 12 to1. Um I mentioned the Jaden Reed

fraction fractured collar bone. He’s expected to miss six to eight weeks, but the big injury for Washington, Austin

Eckler going down looks like a season ending Achilles. and they let Brian Robinson go to San Francisco because

they felt so confident in that room and the depth they had. Well, that depth is being tested right out the gates now. Yeah, that’s And I thought too, let me

double check this because I want to see if I have this down. There was a lot of, you know, we come out of the preeason,

off seasonason, and we talk about some of these um hey man, really excited for certain guys, their roles in some of

these games, what it’s going to look like. Uh, Bill, right? Bill Crosky Merritt. Bill Crosky Merritt still had in

totality fewer snaps than Austin Eckler. So, I was somewhat surprised because I thought this was supposed to be it. And

and so Eckler now getting injured. I’m going to be curious to see if Krosky Merritt’s going to get that full work

workload. One would assume that is the case, but we thought that coming out that this is going to be a larger workload. And for a couple of games now,

it looked like that wasn’t it. So now it seems from a fantasy standpoint, player prop standpoint, what some of the adjustments are going to be for Krosky

Meritt now that Eckler’s down. It’s going to be one of the more interesting storylines going into week three. Yeah. And he was one of the most bet props yesterday over depending the

number anywhere from 37 and a half to 39 and a half yards. Ended up just having four carries and 17 yards on the ground.

Also last night in college football JVT I said if there was a bet I liked at NC State Wake Forest it would have been the

over because of how I rate NC State’s defense but like so the total ends up

going over. I’m sad I didn’t bet it. Um Wake Forest was covering the plus seven and a half for like 55 minutes of this

game. do not score in the second half. NC State kicks a late field goal, ends up

winning the game by 10. But we were texting back and forth about NC State’s defense. Like maybe we’re just needing

to target overs on this team or team total overs on the other side. Whatever it is, because that defense is brutal.

It was bad. I mean, so they give up the it was the kickoff return for the touchdown. Correct. Like right right away.

Down 14 nothing right away. Yeah. And then and then you give up the seven play 93 yard drive. And when we talked about this game yesterday, we had

referenced this in we were talking about the Virginia game where they had given up explosive plays, explosive runs, and

that looked like it was going to be an issue for NC State. And you saw some of that, but in totality for Wake Forest,

still the numbers don’t really add up for them. Only 12 first downs in the game, 7.2 yards per pass, fewer than

three yards per rush. So this was, man, there was quite a few of folks feeling

really good about Wake Forest when they were up 14 nothing. you and I text and then all of a sudden you blink and NC

State is driving away with this thing. So, it was a pretty um pretty interesting affair, but I think you put a little pin in the fact that NC State

defensively has had some really big black marks on their resume and they go to Duke coming up next week. Yeah, Wake Out scored 17 nothing in the

second half of that one. And too bad there wasn’t a yes no prop on will there be a food truck fire because all of the

smoke coming over. Kudos to the cook inside the truck. Did you see it? He’s got the the extinguisher thing. make it.

I would have been out. You just would have left the whole truck burn down. Run away. Run away. I

get an idea of how you work in a panic. Yeah. Not great self-defense or whatever. And what’s the problem? Fight or flight. Fight or flight. It ain’t me. Uh coming

up on Money Moves, JBT is taking us through his updated NFL market power ratings. And we’ll have some more college football a little later. We’ll

be right back.

You’re watching Money Moves here on Vin. The Sports Betting Network.

[Music] [Applause] We’re rolling along on this football

Friday edition of Money Moves Beast in the Sports Betting Network. He’s Jonathan Vonto. I’m Story Bon and Tony.

You can’t hit me with like things that make me laugh right before we come. I’m trying to be a professional and you got

me giggling. I hear the control room giggling. I’m doing my job and looking up, you know, metrics and statistics and and

breaking down EPA by formula. No, I’m not. Um, but I just I wasn’t really listening to you guys and I just hear

what was it? Stars of Mormon what? The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives. The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives. And

you guys were talking about Dancing with the Stars. And so then I snapped at you and I was like, you get so mad at me

about the Eurob basket stuff. How do you have time to watch these things? I don’t watch them. Then how do you know?

I get Tik Tok updates. That’s ridiculous. I don’t believe that at all. I don’t watch them. You have legitimate excitement about

Dancing with the Stars. the only reality TV cuz I like Tanga from Boy Meets World. Who doesn’t? You do. You are of

my age range. There’s no way you don’t know Boy Meets World. I have not watched a second of Boy Meets World in my life. I kumba. Okay. On to bigger

Secret Life of Alex Mack. On to bigger but potentially not better things. Um the NFL explains it all. Does

that Yeah. How’s that? It’s a good reference. Wow. That’s a throwback. I honestly like that is a show that

escaped my mind altogether. But look it up because what a just unlocked the memory. Time to get into some NFL, don’t you watch that girl

stuff? Like, I mean, it was on and I was like, “All right, I have an older sister.” But that’s why I don’t get the boy meets world thing. Anyways, we got week two

market power ratings you put together. You really did do a lot of work on this. So, I do want to give you your flowers.

You do this each and every week. Uh, for someone who has not seen your market power ratings, can you give a brief explanation off the top? Uh, again, I will always shout out Jeff

Fogle, former employee here, uh, who does a great newsletter if you want to check that out, too, but taught me how to do this many, many years ago. And I

think it’s a really fun Google exercise. This is in in basic format. It is what the betting market thinks of these

teams. It’s how it power rates these teams and you derive them from the current betting market where the lines

are right now. I have been using one and a half points for home field to find the difference in a neutral for these teams

according to the betting market and then you set the ratings up as such. So, there’s a couple of different ways to

use this and I think we have a really good example to use. Now, before the show started, I tried this example out

on you, and it did look like your eyes were moving in a lot of different directions. So, I hope I wasn’t like bloiating and and saying a lot of

different things. I was talking fast, but I think your team is a very good example of what we’re looking at here,

why we’re going to use these. So, let’s throw these up really quickly. Uh, again, basic power for a power ranking

or power rating standpoint, which is um, hey, all right, difference between the two numbers, that’s exactly what these

teams would be on a neutral. So, the quick example, Ravens will be a two-point favorite over the Bills on a neutral according to the market power ratings for this week. So, let’s direct

your eyes if you’re watching up on YouTube TV. Why wouldn’t you be? Or von.com. Why wouldn’t you be? Go to vast.com/subscribe. Check it out for

If you’re not right now, go back later. You can always check it out on demand. There we go. Promote, promote, promote. Uh, if you direct your eyes, and for our

radio audience, I will describe it to you. The 49ers without Brock Pery fall on the 78 12 line. Now, why this

matters, and if we could keep this up, please while I’m talking about this, why this matters is again the 49ers and the

Saints are pairs this week. They’re playing each other. The difference between the two on a neutral field

because the market is at three would be 4 and a half because we’re using one and a half for home field. So, you have to

have a 4 and 1/2 point difference between these two. So, in other words, if you wanted to move the 49ers up, that

means you got to move the Saints up as well. And from a power rating standpoint, it would make no sense to

have the Saints as equals with the Panthers, as equals or excuse me, two points or a point worse than the Giants.

In fact, Storm, if you go back to last week, I had to upgrade the Saints because if I were to use the Saints at

72, which they were last week, clearly the worst team in the NFL, that would put the 49ers on that 76 12 line, which

would make them worse than the Giants and the Titans, just a little bit better than the Panthers. And again, this is the 49ers without Brock Pury. You can

see the market downgrade here. And I think it’s one that’s very clearly, as I’ve kind of been making the case, I

don’t know, man. It seems like a pretty strong adjustment with what we’ve seen with this 49ers team to make them these

short favorites on the road against New Orleans. And here we have a visual example of how far they have potentially fallen. And so with that, does that mean you

feel like you need to bet the 49ers this week? Because the number is three. Granted, it’s on the road, but then even

when you take some of the extraneous factors and like your personal opinion on M. Jones, you don’t feel like it’s

that significant of a downgrade from Brock Party. So that then impacts your opinion in a different way as well. So,

are you ultimately going to fire on the 49ers or are we going to have them as a contest play? Yeah, I think that they should. Um, I

don’t want to put you through that. So, I don’t think we’ll use it in the millions, but that that’ll be a side for

me this coming weekend with the San Francisco 49ers. And this is really what it is. You know, you you use these market ratings, you know, you have your

own numbers, but that’s essentially what you’re doing all the time, right? You have your own ratings, you make your own numbers, you look in comparison with the market. This is just a different version

of doing that when you’re talking about make part power ratings from the market, but it does give you a visual sense of

where these teams stand. Um, there’s a couple of interesting dynamics that you thought that you were highlighting. What do you got?

So, I was going to say another one that we were talking about before we came on was where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit. If you want to walk uh the audience

through that. All right. So, Bucks are taking on the Texans uh Monday night. That is the first of the double header. They are two

and a half point dogs. Simple math. Two and a half minus one and a half. That gives you one. Texans are a point better according to the betting market if we’re

using one and a half for home field this coming week. That of course is right here. You see it in the rankings if you

would direct your eyes to the 82 83 mark right there. Texans are on the 83 line. Buccaneers are on the 82 line. There’s a

point difference. The reason why that matters is from our market power ratings last week. The Buccaneers actually rated

out as a half point better than the Houston Texans. So when you put this together, there’s going to be some

volatility. There’s going to be a change from week to week. But this is where you find a little bit of the inconsistencies. We’ve discussed this.

Now, what’s going to be interesting is we see a couple of two and a halfs out there shaded to the favorite side. So, I

wonder if this is going to get to three. But this all leads me to something that we had discussed, which is I think the Bucks are the play. You know, we can

talk about the intricacies of the matchups. The fact that this offensive line for Houston isn’t particularly great, the fact that the Bucks have a

good interior presence that can go after a soft interior for an offensive line that’s missing center. All of these things. But from a number standpoint, I

think these two teams are at worst equals with each other, which would put you at one and a half. Or I think you

can make the argument the Bucks, they were rightly ranked last week in these power ratings where they were just

slightly better than the Texans. And so to me, it would be the Buccaneers. I would also say, and I like the two and

a half, we talked about it yesterday. I I even think that they can just win this game outright plus 115 on the money line

here. But I think if nothing else, this is a great teaser. like bring that two and a half up to the 8 and a half in

Houston in what we anticipate could be a lower scoring game with how good the Texans defense is. Total 42 and a half

in this one. I really like bringing that up. Yeah. Can I point out one to you too as well that’s pretty interesting. Um how

about the the Chargers? Chargers, if you go back to last week, we know that the Chiefs were about three-point favorites

on a neutral field. So, that was pretty simple. Chiefs were on the 86 line, Chargers on the 83 line. This week,

Chargers and Chiefs because of adjustments are now together. Yep. They are now equals with one another and in

in a vacuum. Like, doesn’t that make sense? If I were to ask you, hey, what were you going to do after last week if we thought that the Chargers were three

points worse? Do you make them better than the Chiefs? Ah, maybe not. Especially with all the injuries and everything, but at the very least, they

should be equals with one another. And sure enough, here we are, Chargers and Chiefs together. And you see that, too. The Chiefs are taking on the Eagles. You

see the two-point difference there. They’re about one point favorites. The Eagles are on a neutral. That puts you at about two and a half. I was using one

as the number I was calculating with or excuse me. Yeah. So, and we’re floating around that range, right? Right now,

Philly’s like a one-point favorite. They’re a pick. So, you’re floating around that two-point difference on a neutral between these two. So, it’s just

a really good barometer. It’s a good way to visualize what you’re doing instead of just making numbers. You can compare and contrast with your own thoughts as

opposed to just cranking out power ratings as well. But, it’s I think it’s a fun thing to do and it’s fun to see

where these teams fall. You know, another good upgrade, for example, last week the Cleveland Browns. Browns were

on the 75 and a half mark or the 75 and a half line, you know, from a power rating standpoint. I think they got

upgraded to what 78. Yeah. So, like they’ve been upgraded. I think that makes some sense, right? After what we saw, probably should have won a game

against the Cincinnati Bengals. And then their adversary from last week, the Cincinnati Bengals, who were initially

on the 82 line, they don’t really budge. They sit there at the 82, but you bring the Browns up and um they’re a team,

too, among some others. Colts got upgraded. They’re at the 80.5 mark. Last week the Colts were floating around

equals with the Dolphins and actually no they’re at the 78 and a half line against the Dolphins. So I think it’s a

really good exercise man again and we can just give some visualization to where we’re at with some of these teams

and the question becomes with some of them you know for New Orleans to go back to the game we opened up with. Should they be upgraded? Should some of these

teams be where they’re at? Should they be lowered? And if those questions if you have questions to those then you act accordingly with some of the market

lines that we’re seeing. Well, and I think it’s just interesting, too, like looking at some teams in comparison to each other, even if they’re not playing

each other. Like the are are the Bengals that much better than the Colts right now, like that just based on at least

like the oneweek sample size. A handful of these though go hand inand of is this team actually that much better than

another? Sure. I mean, the one the one two um we’re talking about this, the Lions and the Chicago Bears. The Lions are getting

bet up in the market right now. Um do the Lions deserve to be rated as high

now? Now, it’s only one data point, but after what we saw against the Green Bay Packers, because right now they’re still

in that 83 1/2 84 line, if you see it right here, equals with the Chargers, the Chiefs, the Rams, still floating in

that kind of direction. Um, and I think you can make the argument that the gap between the two, the Chicago Bears and

the Detroit Lions probably should be a little bit tighter by my own measure. Well, and that’s why but to your point though about like these market

reactions, it is only a one data point sample size that we have at this point. So, we need to see what that looks like more. That’s why I asked the question

when we opened the show about now how good we see the Green Bay Packers are with against two opponents that last

year were so great. Are we maybe with the Lions? Did we move them down too

much mentally after what we saw against Green Bay when Green Bay is actually just really good. But to your point, two things can be true and we’ll see how

that plays out. We do have to take a timeout here, but remember as you head into the weekend, Broco has you covered.

You can use the code VSON to load up your account with a $50 deposit match up to 100 bucks. Then take advantage of monthly cashback style rewards that pay

you whether you win or lose. Maximize your bankroll at brocoplayco.com today. Coming up on Money Moves, V’s own Will

Hill joins the program. Why he thinks getting points in Sunday’s Super Bowl

rematch will happen. Take the over. We’ll be right back. You’re watching Money Moves here on Ven

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Storm Bon and JVT with you. Speaking of those betting splits, looking at the Jets and Bills right now on DraftKings,

while 31% of the bets are coming in on the Jets taking the points, 70% of the

money, wonder if any of that has to do with the news this morning that Bill’s defensive lineman Ed Oliver, uh, who had

a sack and forced fumble in week one, officially ruled out already for the game coming up on Sunday. Yeah, I think with him officially out, I

grabbed six and a half, so I’ll add it to the ledger for, uh, the New York Jets. um second straight week back in

them. But I think that’s look with that Oliver, your premier runs stopping threat along defensive line. You still

got gouged and now you get this pretty threatening rushing attack um that comes from that Ben Johnson tree where Justin

Fields looked pretty threatening against the Pittsburgh Steelers overall pretty tall and this running game looked pretty good. And I don’t know if this is a

Bills team that is going to be amongst the best run defenses in the NFL. I think that bodess well for the Jets. So

I think it’s worth coming in with this news to grab six and a half. I don’t think it’ll move. So that but that was enough for me. So let’s go Jets. Yeah, Oliver, I guess, got stepped on,

had his foot in a walking boot, and was rolling around on a scooter at practice yesterday. To talk through some more NFL

sides, totals, best bets coming up this weekend. Excited to welcome in our good buddy Will Hill on the progressive guest

line. Von Prime Time, the should have bet more podcast. You can download and subscribe wherever you get your podcast. Great guest today. X not the Will Hill.

Yes, can confirm. And uh Will, let’s get into it because one game I know you have your eyes on is one of the biggest games

of the week, the Super Bowl rematch between the Chiefs and Eagles. You think there’s going to be points. Why?

I do. And uh good to see you guys. Thanks for having me. I I like over 46 and a half. Uh I thought watching both

teams last week, the Chiefs and the Eagles, I thought both teams had major issues defending the pass. A lot of guys

wide open, just running free in the secondary. Chiefs allowed six and a half yards per play to the Chargers. Herbert

three touchdowns, 300 yards, only ninecomp completions, no picks. And it looked like when he dropped back to pass, he had his choice of guys to

choose from. I don’t think that Kansas City has been elite defensively since a couple years ago when they brought when

they beat, and sorry to bring up painful memories that year. They beat the 49ers in overtime in Super Bowl. I thought they were really good defensively that

year. I don’t think they’ve been that year for a while. They’re shaky against the pass. And Philly, their numbers were

not bad in week one, but you could tell it’s not the same defense as last year. They’ve replaced a lot of guys. They’ve lost a lot of guys. And their stats

would be much worse if CD Lamb who dropped, you know, basically seven 10 points worth of drops last week. If he

could just catch a ball, those numbers are different. So you look at the two Super Bowls, it was 44-20, it was 3835.

I know that’s, you know, it’s a few years ago and there’s some defensive scoring there to inflate that. But I just think, and I always give out Bills

Chiefs over when they those two teams play because I think both teams go in, I think it’s similar here. Both teams go in saying, “All right, we got to score.

You know, we’ve got an MVP candidate at quarterback. We maybe have a shaky defense. We got to be aggressive. We got to go for it on fourth down. And again,

I don’t really like either defense. I wish that I had my weapons if I’m the Chiefs. No Rice. I don’t think Worthy’s

going to play. I think it’s more of a decoy him at practice, but who knows? Uh, so to me, the 46 and a half is

pretty low. I think 47 there is a key number. I think this one goes over here. And uh as far as the side kind of back

and forth, I just I can’t lay points even if it’s a point, you know, singular point and a half against Mahomes. It’s

hard to picture the Chiefs 0 and2. I I guess it’s possible. It certainly is possible, but I like the over more than

anything. All right, let’s go to another matchup. Um I’m laughing because I can’t believe I’m about to say this sentence after

watching this last week of football. What do you make of the Falcons taking on NFC offensive player of the year, JJ

or excuse me, of the week, JJ McCarthy? No, I think you had it right the first time. offensive player of the year, MVP.

So, you just uh just keep going. Yeah, that that was a weird one. Uh look, I I like the Falcons here. I think

that you if you just if you froze time at the end of the third quarter, I think we’re looking at like a one or a

two-point line. Obviously, you got to include the fourth quarter. You can’t dirty the data and take out things that happen. But they were very conservative

with McCarthy. And if you just look at Minnesota since the beginning of last year, and it’s hard to believe, 15 and

three in the regular season, that’s really remarkable. But that being said, uh, nine of those 15 wins are by one

score. They really don’t blow you out. It’s a lot of field goal wins. The three and a half to me is obviously a very key

number. And one of their blowout wins last year was against Atlanta, but if you dive deeper into uh that stat sheet,

Atlanta had over 70 yards per play. Atlanta had 500 yards of offense. It was 42-21, but Atlanta was minus three in

turnovers. That game just got away from that. Was at the point where Cousins started to unravel, started to kind of

decay. They moved the ball up and down the field. So, I think Atlanta could have easily won last week against Tampa.

They dropped some interceptions. You know, there’s some fourth down stuff. Minnesota could have easily lost. And u you know, our buddy Steve Fez who comes

on this network a lot has talked about this too. The angle of 0 and one teams against one and0 teams. You’re hungrier.

You need it more. Throw in the fact that you’re getting points. I think Atlanta’s the right side here. And Will, you did get some good news for

the Falcons, too. Drake London and Darnell Mooney. No injury designations for Sunday. So, both will play there as

well. Um, you were also looking at this Titans Rams game. Both kind of had a little bit weird week one openers. So,

where are you ultimately placing your money coming up on Sunday? Yes, the, as people who listen to this

network know, I have a very toxic relationship with the Tennessee Titans. And that toxic relationship is going to

continue this week. I’m taking them again. They killed me last year. I kept batting them. I just think they come into this year inherently underrated

because what killed them last year was Levvice and horrible special teams.

Special teams, you know, that can be year-toear that can you figure get better. And uh Ward looked okay. That

was a tough assignment in Denver. The elevation, really good defense. He was okay. He had his moments. I think that

the coach didn’t help him out. Drops didn’t help him out. I think he’ll be more comfortable at home. Uh we’ll see how Stafford holds up here after missing

the preseason a week after getting beat up and hit a little bit from the Texans. I just think five and a half is a little bit high. I think it’ll be close. I

think it’ll be low scoring kind of points in a premium type of game. You know, 20 to 17, that kind of game. I

think that five and a half is a lot here. So, I will once again, unfortunately, go back to the well and be betting the Tennessee Titans. Famous

last words for me. All right, Stormmy brought this up the other day and I think the general premise is right. I just don’t know if

the time is right, but you’re on the same page. Jackson Dart to win offensive rookie of the year.

I think his time is coming sooner rather than later. Maybe it’s next week. Who knows? Maybe it’s 21 nothing Cowboys at

half and we see him in the second half and and and who knows. I just think bet this before the announcement is made

because I think even just the announcement of oh Dart Dart’s going to start next week as quarterback. I think that moves the number and moves it

pretty significantly. So I’m just trying to get ahead of that. He’s a quarterback. This award is biased towards quarterbacks. He plays for the

New York Giants. That matters. The market matters. We’ve seen this. Remember uh I’m sure you remember JVT Tibido a few years ago in the NBA for

coach of the year. It was a close race. He got it. Uh, you know, Brian Dable won a close race a few years ago. I think I do think it helps to be in the New York

market and uh, I just think right position, right market, get ahead of the number. It’s not like Ward was great

last week. Genty didn’t do a ton. It’s a pretty wide openen rookie of the year race. So, I just think get ahead of the number. It’s going to be Dart’s team

sooner rather than later, we would think here, barring some resurgence from Wilson. So, I just think that’s the angle with it.

Yeah. To add to that, two of them. First off, Tibido won that. He had more second place votes or he didn’t have as many first place votes, but had more second

place votes than money Williams and he won that. the other to Will’s point, Stormy. Um, when Paul Skins, Paul Ske

before he got called up to win NL rookie of the year was 30 to1 and then he got called up didn’t didn’t pitch a single

pitch in Major League Baseball and those odds got cut in half the second he got called up. No, it’s it’s and it will it’s a good point by you because if if this ends up

being the end of the rope for Russell Wilson, you think he’s comes in sooner rather than later if it’s that bad and the offensive line doesn’t appear to be

getting much better. Andrew Thomas, by the way, still listed as doubtful for Sunday. That coming out about 10 minutes ago from Mike Gafolo. Keep that in mind.

And again, 22 to1 a good price on Jackson Dart right now. Last couple minutes, let’s go to college football

because we we all know about Diego Pavia as a dog and the success he has had. You were rolling with taking the points at

South Carolina, too. Yeah, I wrote this up for Fox Sports on Tuesday when it was five and a half. I

think we’re down to mostly threes. I still think it’s the right side. Uh very rarely this early in the season do you

have a common data point when these teams have only played a couple games and that’s a dangerous game to play as a better as we know. But, uh, both these

teams, Vandy and South Carolina, both played Virginia Tech. Uh, Vandy beat the hell out of Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech

team I actually liked last week. They outgainained them by 230 or so yards.

Uh, at Virginia Tech and won the second half 34 nothing. Meanwhile, South Carolina on a neutral field against

Virginia Tech played a game at least in the stat sheets that was kind of a coin flip. They got outgained. I know they had a punt returning, kind of pulled

away late, but I just I I love this South Carolina team last year, but a reason I a big reason I loved them was

their defense. And that defense lost three of the top 49 draft picks. They lost five guys to the NFL uh total. I

don’t think it’s the same South Carolina team. I think they’re a little bit overhyped. Uh so I will take Vandy and uh Diego here who’s just been a underdog

better’s dream. Like you said, eight-2 against the spread, four-0 on the road as a dog, a bunch of outright upsets.

So, even though the numbers moved here, I would only look towards Vandy. Yeah. Oh, sorry. I didn’t really No, no, I was

just there’s not enough time. I was going to ask about baseball. I got lost. I got lost. It’s okay. Ah, you want to spit out a play for

baseball real quick? 30 seconds. Go. Under seven and a half. Deg Grom against the Mets. Wouldn’t it be fitting Deg

Grom to pitch in a one- nothing game in that building where he’s pitching like a million two to one nothing games. That will be fun. With all of the football

going on, I had kind of lost track the fact that’s a huge series too. Mets and Rangers. Deg Grom back at City Field.

That’ll be fun to watch tonight. I think it’s more fitting if he loses one- nothing. It’s absolutely

nailed it, Will. Thank you as always, Will Hill. Everybody, follow him on X, not the Willilh Hill. Check him out live

bet Saturday coming up this weekend as well. Coming up after the break, we wrap up hour one going game byame through the

NFL slate. You might be surprised to learn what the most lopsided game of the week is so far. I know I was. We’ll be

right back. [Applause] [Music]

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Alongside Jonathan Vonto, Stormy Bon and Tony with you back here on this football Friday edition of Money Moves. And I had

the tease at the end of last segment talking about the most lopsided in terms

of handle team that is being bet this week and I was very surprised by it. Ben Fox over at YouTube uh over at Yahoo

rather posts a lot of the sportsbook data every day every week. 87%

of the money the most the most bet side the Patriots plus the points at Miami.

Does that surprise you though? Really? Um,

no. I mean, I guess the degree to which like, you know, 87% if that’s an accurate number, but we talked about

Miami’s injuries and how bad it’s gone for them and how it looks like it’s falling apart. I guess I’ll say yes,

it’s surprising that they are number one cuz it’s like with a dot, right? Like they’re like clearly number one. Yes. So, I guess the degree to which they are

bet, but I don’t think it’s like stunning that maybe they would find their way near the top of this list. But they’ve good. So, I mean, it doesn’t

surprise me that people want to fade Miami based on how they looked last week and the injuries to your point, but

knowing what you have told me about how closely you watch that Raiders Patriots game and how terrible you thought New

England played that then we want to go. I feel like, okay, I want to pause you for I feel like every time you bring up

how closely I watch this game, my my analysis of has gotten more extreme like every time you brought it up. The first

time you’re like, “Oh, you told me they were bad and now we’ve reached you thought they were terrible.” like, yeah, they weren’t they weren’t good.

It was bad. It was bad. Well, to your point, to add to what you’re saying here, um I don’t think Christian Gonzalez is playing for New

England, so like that’s going to be something that’s worth looking at potentially. Um look, this is one where

um we’ll have best bets later. I think the Patriots are a perfectly fine teaser leg. This doesn’t look like it’s going

to be a relatively highscoring game, but also to express some shock, I think historically early season Miami games

have not gone well for the New England Patriots. So that’s going to be something uh with that sun beaten down. We know how these you know early season

Miami is akin to early season Denver and that when you played those games you a little bit behind the eightball. Denver

because of the inherent home field of playing in thin air. Miami because of the heat that teams maybe aren’t used to playing football in. So that’s also

somewhat surprising as well that there would be in in a game that’s not really been on a key number at all. Not really. It hasn’t been. It should sit at one and

a half this whole time. Um it does your shock is warranted. I think the other most lopsided games uh again

this is all by handle specifically from bet MGM data but 83% of the handle on

the Eagles in that Super Bowl rematch at Kansas City 79% of handle on the Falcons

at Minnesota 77% laying the points with the Lions against the Bears and 76% with

the Cardinals who are laying that 6 and a half against the Carolina Panthers. So, those are the most lopsided handle

percentages going into week two. Shocking. Any of those surprise you? I think I mean I’m surprised Arizona

still I I’m just really surprised that the Patriots were the most lopsided. You mean what’s the number for Arizona?

Uh six and a half. No, I mean like the percent Yeah. Like that that does surprise me a little bit. I mean I understand the Carolina

Panthers didn’t really look great, but it’s not like the Cardinals rolled in there and just beat the crap out of the Saints and left. I think that was not

exactly a stellar performance for Arizona when you looked at what they did statistically giving up the four red

zone drives uh to the New Orleans Saints. The fact that they had more first downs New Orleans did that technically they outgainained them on a

yards per play basis outgainained them in total yards as well. That’s not a team that I watched and then this week

was like let’s lay six and a half baby I’m in. That’s not exactly a team that I’m confident in. Interestingly enough,

like I I haven’t really heard a lot of people talking about the the Lions and Cardinals for Survivor as much as I

thought that I would this week. We talked about with Arizona specifically, we wanted to use them last week because

there were going to be limited opportunities to use them and we do have a slightly higher rating on the Carolina Panthers than others. didn’t want to use

them in week two, but after how Carolina performed, I thought that I would hear more about Arizona this week. But I I

feel like that hasn’t been as popular in talking to most people, which I think is a good conversation for us now as we

want to kind of figure out and cement what we want to do with Survivor. Um the

Ravens, yes, we know do play on Thanksgiving, but they are the biggest favorite of the week. Taking on a

division opponent though in the Browns, who just went toe-to-toe with the Bengals. So, it depends on how you evaluate Cleveland really if you want to

go with the Baltimore Ravens, but I I feel like both of us are pretty like-minded. The Baltimore is going to win that game. They should win that game.

And uh going to let’s not have that go around. I’m sure there was a lot of they’re

going to win this game when they were up 15 with five minutes left or whatever it was. So, Yep. And for the people that were laying

that point point and a half. Yeah. Not feeling great. Um but I think Baltimore is one that we’ve gone back

and forth on a lot. The Rams were also a team that perked my ears a little bit

against the Titans, but I don’t know if I can get there. And then you know how high I am on the Dallas Cowboys this week as well against the Giants. Yeah, I

mean I I’ve not really been like too high on the Rams selection for the most part in using them on the road against

what I think is a little bit of an underrated defensive team in Tennessee because let’s let’s roll with the

premise that I’m wrong about Bo Nicks and I think that you know there was some fraudulence in his performance last year and then we get that week one

performance and there’s a point of evidence to to my case but what if Tennessee is just an abovea defensive

team. Now you’re playing back at home after the game against Denver. It’s not the best situation overall for LA. I

think the argument to use them here is okay, if you’re not going to use them here, where else would you use them? I

would circle week nine. Again, it’s not like the pure fate of New Orleans, but you do coming off of a buy, get to play host to New Orleans. That’s going to be

something that I think is a more beneficial spot to save LA for than using them here in a road game against a

team that I think has the potential, if things go right for them down the stretch of the season, could find themselves in the throws of a

divisional race. I think you’re you’re right on that and I I do to Will Hills point earlier in the program which by

the way if you missed any of the show you can always download Money Moves wherever you get your podcast listen to that conversation but how Matt Stafford

bounces back after his first game getting tossed around didn’t play at all during the preseason didn’t practice hardly at all either um what he is like

physically week two on the road with the long travel all that stuff so okay maybe we cross that one out so are you in

agreement with me that Dallas feels like the right side in that Giants game. Yeah, I think your top two your top two

choices in no particular order, I’ll go alphabetical order again, are Baltimore and Dallas, okay, to consider for using Survivor. U you

know, we mentioned the the metric for the scripted plays and expected points added in those plays. I showed you the

graphic. Our boy Shottenheimer was up there as the number one team uh number one coach in terms of scripted plays,

expected points added. So, he is going to be I think a team worth looking at. They were actually kind of up there too

in terms of expected points out of the non-scripted drives. And I think that’s where Dak Prescott comes in and really helps out. I think my worry here from a

matchup standpoint, you’re at home, so that does help. What does this offensive line look like against a very good

defensive line? Are we going to be watching this game and find them in a low-scoring slugfest because that t that

entire defensive line remember we on Monday we talked about that game against Washington and the one thing that stuck out when we had brought it up was of the

top five graded defenders by PFF metrics four of them were defensive linemen for the New York Giants this is a group that

can really get after it and it’s still a relatively fresh offensive line that has been put together for Dallas that we

don’t know too much about and by the way the one test they were going to get Jaylen Carter got kicked out of the game before it started and we don’t really

know what his impact was at that game. That would be my trepidation with using Dallas. But if

you were to say right now, John, I want I’m like, all right, fine. That’s No, I I guess just my counterpoint to that would be let’s say that is the

case, is the Giants offense still going to be able to score enough points to beat you? Yeah. Oh, well, that’s the other part,

right? You love Jackson Dart. What if he what if he gets in this game? I don’t think he does. And so that’s

like I I feel like they if they were going to put Jackson Dart into a game, they would want to give him the full

week of prep knowing he’s the starter and put him in. I don’t think they’re going to throw him in, especially behind an offensive line that is still going to

be without Andrew Thomas for another week. Um just face your fate here this week

and if you do ultimately want to pull the trigger and bring in Jackson Dart, you give him a full week of prep. Sure. So that’s my thought process at least on

that. Okay. My other uh my other question for you would be then is there any other option for Dallas to use them? Probably

not. The only one you could really make a case for is if the Bears get absolutely smoked this week and they’re

just awful. You go to Chicago next week and then I don’t know, maybe at Carolina

if they’re awful in week six, but I don’t think that you’d be jumping at the gun to use the Cowboys in those situations depending on how the week.

Well, and the Cowboys, they too play on Thanksgiving and holidays, but like I don’t want to take them against the

Chiefs potentially, right? But Dallas this week at home, too. They’ve been so good historically in this matchup, 15-1

outright against the Giants since 2017. Um, Cowboys tend to beat up on bad teams. They play better at home. A lot

of things drew me toward Dallas. So, Dallas and Baltimore is the tossup right now. And maybe we’ll cement our decision later on in the show because we still

need to I hate this. This is going to be every week. This is going to be every or Yeah, I think Ortega hopefully.

Yeah, I was going to say, yeah, hopefully it is. Uh, Ortega texted us on Sunday something along the lines of like you survived and I just said that wasn’t

fun. No, it wasn’t worth it. It wasn’t. You feel physically ill. Who wants that? We could still We could still

technically our entry is now worth $1,32. We could sell it and split the profit. There we go. Nailed it. Nice.

$16 a piece. Okay, we got to step aside when we come back. Kicking off hour two here on Money Moves. Don’t go anywhere.

We’re going to get into a little college football after this.

NFL Week 2 Betting Preview: Packers vs. Commanders Odds, Trends, and Player Props

Urban City Podcast Group — Fri, 12 Sep 2025 18:15:56 +0000

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Major Takeaways:

Significant line movement has occurred, with the Packers shifting from -4.5 openers to -3 at most books, largely due to key Green Bay offensive linemen being questionable.
Strong week-two betting trends heavily favor the Washington Commanders to cover the spread, especially when facing a team that won big in its opener.
Player prop bets on Commanders defenders to record sacks are popular, with analysts targeting Donte Payne and others to exploit potential protection issues for Jordan Love

NFL Week 2 Betting Preview: Packers vs. Commanders Odds, Trends, and Player Props

This is VSIN, the sports betting network.

Always follow the money. Follow the money. That’s what I always say. You always follow the money. This is Follow the Money with Mitch Moss

and Paulie Howard on VSIN. Here we go. It is follow the money on

VON, the sports betting network. Mitch Moss along with Paulie Howard. We are live in downtown Las Vegas from the

Circa Resort and Casino here on a busy Thursday. Uh fun program, informative

program, uh opinionated program coming up over the next three hours. Like I said, Paul Chian in 30 minutes, two full

segments with him on fantasy for week two and player props that he likes tonight and this weekend. Drew Butler,

former kicker at Georgia. Why is this number moved so much? Tennessee’s way. We’ll ask him about that. Steve Wis, the

Meatman, best bets in soccer. John Kim tonight, who covers the Commanders with a Thursday night football preview coming

up a little bit later on, Paulie. And on the screen right now, I see that

DraftKings is at three and a half in the game tonight. Minus 118 if you want to take it with the Commanders. Minus 102

on the Packers. Pretty much every other spot has Green Bay minus three. now in

the game with various juice on that as well. Did you know that Circa opened up four and a half right away on Sunday

night? Oh wow. Yeah. VO’s very own Dogger pass man Dave Tulie grabbed the four and a half and then he

was on the network that night with uh Scott Seidenberg and he said I still absolutely would recommend plus the

four. So that’s the uh direction in which this bad boy has been moving. Now I I agree with it. I grabbed three and a

half earlier today minus 115 on the commanders. All right, good. I like the Packers. I know they’re coming off a perfect game.

Washington didn’t play well, but I think Green Bay can move the ball on this Washington defense. It’s a whole

different ballgame going against the Giants and I want to see what Parsons can do as well that he wasn’t out there

a lot, but had a big big impact on the game when he was out there against Detroit and we’ll see what happens today

with that defense and and uh carried away all aboard on the Packer bandwagon

from 23 to1 to 8 to1 to win the uh to win it all and the NFC odds as

well. crazy. What’s going on with the futures? So, we’re on opposite sides of this one for tonight. I’ll give you a rundown of some week 2 trends in recent years. If

it means anything to you coming up in a few minutes, but here’s here’s one reason why I like the Commanders, but we’ll find out a little bit more uh

probably 90 minutes or so before game time tonight, like who is actually going to be active and inactive. And I’ll say

this on the Packers side, Bo Melton, cornerback, he is out. Brettton Cox,

Dlineman, he is out. But my biggest question mark are the following two players for Green Bay. Guard Aaron Banks

and then offensive lineman Zack Tom. They’re both questionable. If they can’t go in this game tonight, um I’ll give

you an example here. Will Anderson for Houston in the offseason was asked about the most difficult offensive lineman

that he’s faced in his career so far. His answer, Zack Tom from Green Bay. So,

he’s very good. And if they’re without both guys, I think uh Love’s going to feel a little bit of the pressure

tonight by this front for the Commanders. And also, I I did not I was unaware of this because we have not been allowed to bet at DraftKings because

they own the company for so long. So, I never really looked at this until today. You can bet individual players. I know

that you could bet individual players to get a sack at some spots, but they offer over a quarter sack. So, if a guy

contributes to a sack and he gets a half a sack, that’s going to be a winner. And

like for example, Payne tonight, Don Payne, over a quarter sack, plus 302.

Payne had two sacks last week. Um, Armstrong is 2 to1 over a quarter sack.

He had six pressures on Russell Wilson, one sack and five hurries, and two other players to throw at you. Uh, Kinlaw had

three pressures and two quarterback hits, plus one hurry. Over a quarter sack tonight is plus 394.

And then like, does Von Miller play? We’ll find out again a little bit later on. He’s plus 196.

And if it’s going to be, we’re talking no Zack, Tom, no Aaron Banks. I would like to attack it by betting all those guys over a quarter sack tonight.

Well, they had time to game plan though all week, too. And Laflur is an excellent coach that he is. And uh see if they’ll have something ready to get it out fast. I know they

want to take shots down the field, but ground and pound and a lot of Jacobs, too. So, they have a lot of talented players and a lot of weapons. I’m high

on this Golden kid, but also they were just uh didn’t get to showcase all their stars last week because they were

sitting on the big lead and the defense was all over. Oh, DraftKin just went to 32 now, man. Did they move to three?

Um and uh you know, it was just run the ball with Jacobs and the defense was all over Goffin and Baris Detroit. So, I

give them the edge because of the short turnaround and being at home and the fact that do with this what you want. Lafleur has been unbelievable. He’s he’s

what 12-0 uh ATS week two and week three. Yeah. So that that’s also strong as

well. He’s very good. Um let me give you some other numbers here with like recent trends. Steve Mackin von.com must read

every single week in the first half of the season. Home teams are 25 and 22

straight up on Thursday Night Football. But only 15 30 and2 ATS 33% in the last

47 games going back to 2018. And when you uh dig even deeper, since

2016, home teams in weeks 9 and later are 44 and 27 straight up, 422 26 and 3

at 62%. And Steve provides his analysis on that as well. And it makes a lot of

sense like right away there’s no like real travel spot. I know it’s a Thursday night here, week two for Washington, but

later on in the year really catches up with the road teams early on in the season has not been a big deal. teams

playing a second straight home game in week two and are favored are 14 and 10

straight up but five and 19 ATS over the last three years. That would be Green Bay tonight. You’re down 16 units with

that. And I’ll give you some other numbers from VO host Steve Mackin. You can follow or check that Scott

Seidenberg. You can follow him on X at Scotsson on air. Since the start of the 2021 season,

that’s when we expanded to 17 games and the preseason went down to three weeks. Dogs in week two are 3721-4

against the spread, covering on average by 1.7 points per game. And teams that won in week one and then are favored in

week two are 11 and 21 with three uh pushes ATS since then. That would be

Green Bay. And when those uh 1 and0 favorites are home in week two, only 515 and one ATS. So if you buy into the week

one, week two trend stuff, it’s all anti- Green Bay here in this spot.

Another one, if a team won their week one game by 10 plus points in week two,

they’re 13 and 14 at uh and only 5-1 ATS. Uh failing to cover

by 1.9 points per game when listed as a favorite in week two. So, strong stuff there on Washington’s side in this game

tonight. Packers are the better team. I’m confident in them tonight. How about how the total’s too high? Why is this 49?

Well, h why is that total so high? Washington’s improved defense and what we saw last week. So, I expect both

teams to run the ball and Green Bay was so dominant last week defensively. I’m shocked at this total. And then it went

up. Keeps going up. Yeah. Yeah. I went under 48 and now now we’re up to 49 in some spots and 48 and a

half. Is that because the Washington offense is so like highly thought of and so it’s power rated to the moon?

They didn’t I know, but that was last year. They didn’t play well. Well, they had 400 yards. Last Well, I mean, you had to hang on to

beat the Giants from if the Giants could cash in at the goal line and not throw the ball. Uh I think that that’s one

thing that the good Giants defense though, too. But to me, it’s all about Parsons and and the impact he can have on this game. And there was a good

article about this is the great marriage which is already a good defense and now with Howley how dangerous this could be and could it be the best defense in the

league on the field against Detroit. The Packers conceded minus two rushing yards

and seven plays. 48 yards on 15 plays without Parsons. Everywhere he went, the

Lions made sure they had two or three hats on him. Dominant on his own created easier matchups for everyone around him.

He had his first sack. Goff got rid of the ball more than half a second quicker when Parsons was on the field. 2.8

seconds compared to when he was off 3.36 despite Parsons being confined largely

to third downs. On the snap, the Packer sacked Golf three times and coughed it up 2.4 yards a play. The longest game

going for uh 16 yards. Betting on Parsons to transform Halfley’s defense was like getting in on

water before the first day. The guy writes in this article, incredible job. And that’s, you know, it’s been nothing

but hype for the last uh seven days, but probably longer than that once they acquired him. But I think it’s uh it’s

rightfully they’re rightfully the favorite to win the division and they just destroyed Detroit. The one thing Detroit did do was they hit Laaporta.

So uh the guru making the case for Z over sure catches and receptions and he scored a touchdown last week. So

there’s also this uh a couple of props here with Jane Daniels. His rushing prop earlier today was as low as 43 and a

half. I think it’s going up at some books. Surprise, surprise. Uh people betting him to go over, but his longest

rush is also listed at 15 and a half yards. He went over that number 10 times last year and he had 68 yards last week.

He cleared 43 and a half rushing yards 12 times last year, including the playoffs.

I think there’s an angle here where the Packers try to bring a lot of pressure on him. Like Parson’s around the edge,

that’s what he thrives at. And if this guy is going to be as elusive as, you

know, he was in year one, and I think that’s going to continue because he’s so talented. I think that’s going to create some open running lanes here for him

tonight. And I think like over 15 and a half with the longest rush could be there

that long, right? Because like it’s going to that’s a big number. If they come around like that and that’s going to create some running

lanes for him and he’ll take off and if they don’t have a spy on him at that point, I think he might be able to clear that. But also like that could I think

that’s can that overall is going to keep Washington moving the sticks for a lot of this game. That’s why I’m on love over cuz Washington’s going to play man and just

take off and run. I can’t believe his numbers that low. I bet it it came down. I bet it over this morning. You can go over rushing yards and over

uh over longest rush and the guru’s on that as well. You can ladder him too. I

think Love will take he took off three times against Detroit. But I think he’ll there’ll be plenty of opportunities for

Love to uh take off and go and leave will get four and a half yards on the longest rush. Yeah, I I played over four and a half. I

think Circa was at four and a half minus 120 today for uh overall rushing yards by Jordan Love. Did you find Debo to have a rush?

Yes, I did. Uh over a half a rush was minus 240 and I think they moved it to over one

and a half plus 180 at bet 365. But his yards came back down by the way.

So it got as high as 7 and a half yesterday. Debo is now back down to four and a half now, but his his props been

moving back and forth like a ping-pong match the last 12 hours. VO Pro delivers real-time DraftKings and

Circa betting splits. See where the public and sharps are putting their money. The morning email from Bill 80 recapping all the best bets from every

host, every guest. 247 video, the pro tools, the prop analyzer, the Mackin and trends, everything you need to stay

ahead of the season. Burke on college $9.99. Save 50% with an annual subscription. von.com/subscribe

today. Sign up now. $9.99. bson.com/subscribe. Matt Laflur also 23 and9 ATS in prime

time. Win some lose some coming up next. And we’ll update the live Major League Baseball betting board here on Follow

the Money. It’s VSIN the Sports Betting Network.

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betting, Von’s got your weekend game plan. Fridays at 7 p.m. it’s the Circa Friday Football Invitational. Saturday

morning, Von’s College Football Tailgate Show at 9:00 a.m. breaking down matchups, props, and big-time bets.

Later that night, join the football contest show as the sharpest betting minds give you their picks for Sunday’s

game. And Sunday at 9:00 a.m., lock in with Mitch and Paulie on Von’s Pro Football Tailgate Show, your final stop

before kickoff. Check out the full lineup at von.com and join us on the Sports Betting Network.

On the next edition of Prop Points, we’ll start off the show reacting to all the action from Thursday Night Football.

Decent betting analyst Ben Stevens will join the program to give out his best bets for week three of college football.

Can number 15 Tennessee defeat number six Georgia? We’ll see what Ben has to say. We’ll close out the show with some

of my favorite player props and touchdown props for Sunday’s NFL action. I’m John Hansen. Tune in to Prop Points

at 100 p.m. Eastern, only on VSON, the sports betting network. So Paulie, have you had a chance to read

the VSON daily yet? Yeah, came in at 3:00 a.m. What’s Bill doing up that late? Well, rumor has it it starts off with a

12-hour meditation session. Then he just pours himself over film and

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In Las Vegas, Bill’s late night becomes your early morning. Wake up to the very

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Win some, lose some is sponsored by the Shark Plays. Were you a winner last night? Wow. Winning.

Or was it a rough one? Well, they can’t all be winners, can they? Loser. You’re a loser. Paulie Howard recaps the night in sports

betting in win some, lose some. Big one cash. Most runs available every night.

Caesars and Will and DraftKings. Tigers 40 to1. Phillies 20 to1. Dead heat.

Highest scoring game. Phillies Mets 12 to1. The home team is 11-1 this year.

Head-to-head in that Phillies matchup. Cubs plus 145, Reds plus 130. Padres’s

blow it again. What a disappointing organization. They might miss the playoffs, honestly.

Well, see if they sweep the Rockies. I’m not uh holding my breath on that one. Subscribe, be part of the team, von.com,

our radio and podcast friends. You always want to see these tweets and videos at paulyv on Instagram. Send them

in. We’ll put you on. Thanks to everyone who keeps sending them in on a regular basis. Look at this guy coming down on

the the hill going uh on the snow. He’s going to beat him. He’s on the raft on

the little ride and the dog’s going to beat him all the way down the hill in the snow trying to catch him as he pulls him down. And he stayed ahead of him the

whole way. God, that guy can scoot. He stays ahead of the the human the whole time as he’s on the tube coming down on

the hill on the snow. That’s incredible. What kind of dog is that?

Looks like Digs Aussy’s dog. It’s almost like a Jack Russell, but I know it’s not. But look at that. Begging him to chase him

and play catch, if you will, and I’ll come down the hill and I’ll beat you. This dog could win like contest with the

100 meter dash. I mean, yes. Do you ever watch it on ESPN where they dive in the water to get the the toy? But I mean, how far

they can get in the air? That’s right. That’s great. Excellent. How about the little hole in the gate here?

They’re coming in. 19.

19. Oh, this is that Oh, what is this? Oh, okay. They made like a 50ft hot dog, I

believe. Was that Fenway? It might be longer than that, actually. Who did this? Oh my god.

Well, my guess is this is AAA. Oh, some of some Okay. as like a promotion. But it also looks like a really nice stadium. So I I can’t

remember. I saw this online. I can’t remember exactly where. No, that’s bigger than TripleA for sure. Was that chestnut involved? He was just

doing some other event where he ate 15 lbs of something. Oh, he could probably eat like a 50ft hot dog.

Bent down the longest 28 seconds. Okay. The longest hot dog ever. Okay, now 19. Look at Yeah. Peekaboo. Coming

in the hole in the gate. Dogs peeking their head out. What’s going on? What are you What are you up to? Taking the

back. That’s so good. It’s like when the like when the the person’s got the condo but

it’s it’s way up and then she cut a hole and so the dog could see what’s going on downstairs or if you’re lower they could

play fetch with the dog. Yeah. And he can throw the tennis ball up there and he’ll put it through the hole as well. That’s great. As always beats

whiskey and a revolver. Under eight and a half in the Dodger game. 4 nothing bottom of the eighth. Mooki hits a grand

slam and then Hernandez goes deep. Nine nothing. Cardinals plus a run and a half. Oh, 2-2 in the 13th. Guy comes in

for the Mariners. I think it’s a pinch runner. Then he had a two-run walk-off bomb to cover the run line. And they

sweep St. Louis in a game they had to have. I saw the highlight after the game was over with um late last night. And I’m

like, yeah, uh there are some people who are going to wake up tomorrow morning who thought that bet was dead if they had the Mariners on the run line. And

well, and then in the inning, right? And then the inning before Seattle had the bases loaded with nobody out, didn’t

score. Like what’s the probability of that happening? I was watching I was watching in play. What do you think it was

for them to like score a runner to win the game? Well, yeah, right. Cuz you that’s the bottom of the 12.

They they were minus 2,000. Yeah. In that range, right? You could get like 12 12 to one takeback.

Yeah. So it’s like it’s they got out of it. There was a strike out, I think, and then a double play. Come on. And that’s like less than 5%. Yep.

Then the Padres’s one- nothing in the eighth. They blow it with that great bullpen. All you got to do is get a lead like in the sixth.

You’re going to be good to go. Why did he make a pitching change? He already had a lefty in the game. Yeah, he went lefty lefty and they couldn’t

get Paveta any help last night. No, I know Abbit’s good. Yeah. Yeah. For the line moves, sharp plays already

there. Jeff and the crew do a great job. You’re not going to smarter out muscle billion dollar books. So full-time

sharps on your own with the sharp plays. You don’t have to. Powered by advanced AI and plugged in trusted insider

sources. They deliver the edge serious beters use everyday free reports, alerts, market moving insights. Send

straight to your inbox or X feed. Add it since 2011. Documentary results, public logs, transparent receipts.

Sharpplays.com. Trusted by pros, watch by the books. Visit sharpplays.com. Stay out of the line. Incredible information.

He’s always on sharpplays.com. I’ll update a couple of games going on as we speak. Uh they’re both shutouts

right now. By the way, shout outs keep coming in every single day. But the White Socks are doing it again.

And they open up as dogs today again against Tampa Bay. And they’re up five nothing right now in

the seventh. This team, are they going to run away and hide with most wins in September? No. This is crazy talk. Run away and hide. Yeah, it’s a it’s

it’s a great sweat though. I would say runaway and hide. Another one is uh Toronto right now with a four nothing lead over Houston. Top of

the fifth. That’s Gossman going today. Oo, Seattle could be tied for first place. Juicy. And Baltimore swept Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh now 22 and 50 on the road. Every loss is by a run.

Right. And I I saw you that Mariners game though tonight. That’s going to be Miller going against Sorriano. Soraniano

was on the schedule for yesterday but pushed back to today. I actually the market is uh on Seattle in this game.

Opened up about a buck 45. It’s up like 10 cents from that right now. I I do not trust Miller enough to like

back him. And Soran was a guy we talked about yesterday. It’s like every other start with very difficult guy to figure out, but he was awful in his last start.

I’m on the Phillies again. Again, the home team’s 11-1 between the Mets and Phillies.

They’ve had no problems in the first three games of this four game set. Hey Paulie, good read by you on this series.

Yeah, every day you’ve been all over it both days. Magic number down to seven. Costano’s hitting 400 against Peterson career and

they can blow him out again. and I don’t trust Peterson and the Mets aren’t hitting other than Sodto. Uh Alonzo has

bad numbers against Lazardo. So I think the Phillies get him again. How about a 20cent move here on the game

the other way? They open up a buck 44. Uh is this accurate right now? Circus

at$122. That’s what they are on the screen. There was some movement in some of the other games as well. Um Detroit trying

to sweep the Yankees. Oh boy, this has been a bloodbath of a series. It’d be the third time they’ve ever done it in a modern era to sweep

the Yankees in New Yorkers. Yes. It’d be the second time in the modern

era if they win by double digits again. Can they win every game by 10 plus runs?

They’ve outscored them 23 to three in the first two games. Yeah. And the Yankees again tonight laying a$160 in that range. Maybe even a little

bit higher. the Washington Senators in 1951 and the Red Sox in 2021 were able to do it.

I would not be laying this big of a number with the Yankees at all. Yeah. Can’t do it. I do like Cleveland, too. I

think uh Williams, who’s been strong, 5-1 with a 174 since the break. Fourth best erra since

the break. Mhm. To take out the Royals tonight. And uh other than that, it’s a small card. I do

find that like Mike Palm the Maestro brought up that WNBA game interesting with uh the Lyns and the Golden State.

If Golden State wins, they’re the six. If they lose, they’re the eight and they

face the Lyns. The links are lane seven. Why would you play Callier? Why would you play anybody? The playoffs start

Sunday. Golden State money line is plus 250 in some spots, right?

I think they’re going to go out and try to win this game. I don’t want to play the links. Well, and why would the Lynx want to play them?

That too. You they can pick their opponent like like Mike Palm said. Sure, they play Seattle if uh if they lose to

Golden State. That that’s like the most logical approach here by the team. But then then you got to figure like are

WNBA teams to the point of where they actually buy into this kind of stuff

like where NBA teams might do this and NFL teams might kind of like, hey, we’re not going to send our best

guys out there. All of a sudden, four more guys are on the IR this game. Well, you’re playing that’s a management

uh decision, too. Right. And that’s what I’m saying. Like in the front office, do they actually have that in them mentally to

do it? Yeah. Let me give you some news on this Packers game. We talked about this in the first segment. More on it coming up with Paul Charian in about 5 minutes. Uh

tweet here from Packers Notes. The Packers placed defensive end Brentton Cox on IR, elevated quarterback Micah

Robinson, and offensive lineman Brent Banks from the practice squad. the

elevations would suggest that uh Nate Hobbs and Aaron Banks on the offensive

line along with Zack Tom probably won’t be playing tonight. I think that’s the uh the takeaway from that as well. M

maybe one of the offensive linemen yet because they only elevated one guy, Brandt Banks from the practice squad,

but it’s not looking good for those two guys on the team. And it looks like um there’s still one three and a half out

there nationally speaking, but you got to there’s severe juice on it and every other book basically is th now three on

the game. All right. Well, they got to prove it to me. A lot of talk about how they’ve addressed and fixed the defense and want to do a better job. Giants don’t count.

So, we going against the big boys tonight. Let’s see how that defense looks and if the Packers and Love can exploit it and have some success and and

slow down Daniels. I I like your guy, Bill, though, too. His rushing yards are too low. What was the last number that

you saw? Because I think that’s been on the uptick as well. I think I saw as low as 37 and a half. But yeah,

but in the low 40s as well. As always, shop around. Make sure you have several different outs here when you want to bet

this stuff. He’s uh plus money to get 40 at DraftKings. Okay. Interesting. All right.

Well, we have a Washington commander guest on coming up in about 90 minutes. Specifically going to ask him if Debo

Samuel is going to get a carry in this game tonight. I think they try to take away Jacobs and slow him down and that

can open it up for uh passing attack for love. Okay, very good. U fantasy football hall

of famer Paul Charian joins the program coming up next. Lot to get into over the next two

segments. What’s the appropriate approach with the 49ers as Brock Perie is out against the

Saints? We’ll ask him that coming up on Follow the Money. It’s Von the Sports Betty Network.

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Welcome in. Thanks for watching today on YouTube TV, listening on SiriusXM channel 158, iHeart Radio, TuneIn Radio,

or any of the uh great affiliates that we have across the country. We are trying to connect right now with fantasy

football hall of famer Paul Chian. Hopefully that happens here pretty soon. Until then, Paulie, of course it is.

Can you believe this? The 24th anniversary 911. No idea.

Next, next year will be a quarter century. Yeah. And I can’t I don’t I don’t even know what to say because it I it was

super emotional today. I followed the TSA Instagram account. It’s actually quite funny with some of the stuff that

people try to get by with. Yeah. The TSA Instagram account

put a video up today. Never forget. I It’s the first time I

ever saw some of those videos and heard some of the audio and I was just broken today

when I watched it. I tried sharing some of it on my Instagram. account Mitch Moss, but if you follow, if you don’t follow TSA, I’m telling you, if you’re

going to watch like one video today uh about 9/11, you have to look at this thing, man. It just crippled me earlier.

We got to know Jim Fossil. Yeah. The Giants head coach. And when the Giants went to the Super Bowl and lost

to the Ravens, great dude. The Yes. The following year, they opened up on the road against Denver. And then

they were they lost and then they were coming back and they got in like I think it was and they were next to Flight 93

if the memory serves when they got in and then hours later uh what happened

but you had the Jim Fossil Foundation and he was a great guy and he said I told our players after 9/11 then you had

took the week off they were playing the Chiefs and he said you wear that NYPD or fire department

baseball cap and I’m telling telling you, we’re honoring these people. I don’t want to see it flipped around. I

don’t want to see the bill up or sideways or something else. I want it front and center with that hat or don’t put it on. We won the game, went into

the locker room was like old times. Put our arms together, got on our knees, everyone got in the picture, cap was

straightforward, and we honored them. He told the story of Giuliani reaching out saying, “Hey, can you come down to

ground zero?” He goes, “I’m just a football coach.” He goes, “Uh, it would mean a lot.” He said, “Everything in my mind is so

visible of what what happened. I can replay it over and over and over again.” And the whole season after that happened

was something where we had to refocus ourselves. And I told the players, “You park your car, you get on the bus, you go to New York, Manhattan, and you

always see some cars there.” When I left at night, they were mostly all gone. For about 10 days, there were a whole bunch of cars left there. And I can only

picture the fact that those people parked their cars, got on the bus, and went over there, and they perished. tough on your stomach every morning when

you went to work every day and saw all those cars sitting there.

And I was hard to get through an interview every time he would tell that story. And uh you got to know him.

I traveled with him quite a bit cuz I called the UFFL games out here for the Las Vegas Locos. Yeah. And I did the coaches show and

this guy was so smart, great sense of humor. My favorite fossil other than

the, you know, the guarantee which was good. Putting all my chips in the middle. we are making the playoffs. And

they got hot and they did. But the other one was when he told the story, his phone’s ringing. So goes, “Why so many people calling me? What’s going on?” So

Jeremy Shocki’s on the Howard Stern show. What’s going on? And Shocki says, “My my my goal in life is to have a a

threesome with a mom and and two or two daughters.” And he goes, “You idiot. That’s a forsome.” And then he he goes,

“From now on, you have to clear through your agent every interview you ever do

and don’t ever go on there again.” And just screaming at Chocky and some of the stories that he had.

How about his first reaction, you idiot? That’s not three, that’s four. What a great story.

Here’s here’s Fossil though on the story of 911 and sharing some of his thoughts.

Paul Tagu made the right decision. He made the right decision. I mean, we were we were not ready. I mean, there was all

kinds of things that were so memorable to us. It’s like Giant Stadium was a was

a was a ground where people would drive their car into Giant Stadium, park it in the morning, and get on a bus into the

New York City. Okay? There might be 200 cars parked there. All right? And I

remember seeing it. And that night when I left, that parking lot was full. And it’s never that way. And I went, “Oh my

god.” I mean, how many people perished that parked a car here? When I go back in the next morning about six o’clock in

the morning, I’d say there was 150 cars still there. And I thought they just it made me sick

to think those people parked their cars and went into work uh in the city and

they probably perished. And uh Rich, you know, I got so many letters from people that said, you know, thanks for going to

the Super Bowl because now you’re on Monday Night Football and the game was so late, it finished after midnight that

I decided to go in late. I wasn’t going to get there early. I was going to take a half a day. And if if you guys weren’t

on Monday Night Football, I’d have probably been one of those towers. And u you know, people saying, “Thanks for

that.” I go, “Geez, really? It’s incredible. That that just hits you in the stomach

every time you hear it. Oh man. And that was several years ago on the Rich Eisen show cuz the game went so late. I I took a

half day. Oh, if they don’t go to the Super Bowl. Mercy. Yeah. So, I I will tell you this too.

Not only was that guy like a great sound bite, you know, that 9/11 story aside,

but like traveling with him too when I I called those games and he would like, you know, sit next to us on the flight

and then he would tell like the broadcasting crew to meet with him the

day before the game or the morning of the game. And that’s whenever you hear about like uh broadcasters telling you

like, “Hey, this is what I got.” Like they’re going to get some pretty good insight on the game. and if they’re going to share it, that could be

actually some pretty good information to follow along with like through throughout the contest. I noticed right

away the first time that that ever happened. It it the game unfolded to a tea how he

told my broadcast partner and me what what they were going to do and it was just like it was like a painting

watching it out there on the football field. He he that’s how good of a coach the guy was. And even at that level that

was called the United Football League. eventually players in that league went on to have like big impacts in the NFL.

You could watch like how effective the offense was like from the booth just to

see like he he gets it like he was it doesn’t matter where that guy was going to coach, he was going to be a good offensive coach. So anyway, that was uh

Jim Fossil and that’s that’s a little rough.

We lost him in 2021. Has it been that long now? Yeah,

that’s tough. Great guy. Yeah. Yeah.

So, um the other as we move along here on a sports betting network, the other New

York team this week is taking money as the Jets are taking on the Bills. That game’s

down to five and a half here at Circa. And Ed Oliver was an absolute menace on

the defensive line for Buffalo against Baltimore on Sunday night. He was spotted with a walking boot

earlier today. So imagine, go back to week one, what the Bills defense looked

like. I know it’s the Ravens offense, but then how good again what if the

Steelers defense is good. Well, yeah, cuz it was also they gashed them on the ground though. Sure. You know what the Jets are going to do?

You know, run the ball on them and how good they looked against the Steelers. Yeah, Jet the Steelers couldn’t stop

their ground attack. Yeah. So, I took um I think this number is going to keep coming down. I took six and a half with the Jets earlier today

and and I know that the game opened up on seven, but that didn’t last very long at all. And I don’t want to overreact

here to what we saw in week one, but you know, the Lions offensive coaching staff with their new OC. They have their

fingerprints now on this Jets team as they came over with Aaron Glenn, the new

head coach here for the Jets. And uh you got to like what Justin Fields looked like in that first game and picturing

him against this Bills defense that got absolutely gashed by Baltimore for I

don’t know 42 minutes on Sunday night before the the Ravens went into prevent mode on offense or try not to lose the

game mode and if they if they’re not going to have that Oliver man that’s a um

that’s a big loss potentially for him and so the total by the way keeps going up as well. Remember Paul Boie was on

the show on Monday, professional sports better who bet over 44 and a2 and over 45. That’s up to 46 and a half and trending

towards 47. What would you do if you’re running the 49ers now? Now Py could be out two to five,

right? M. Jones and Mike White. Oh boy. And

this is just this escalated quickly. Get out. Party out. This is they can’t

win. You got to call somebody because now it’s serious. What if it were what if Kyle Shanahan gets it to work with

Matt Jones cuz remember Michael Lombardi was saying that entire draft that that’s who they traded up for was M. Jones. Yeah, Shanahan wanted him. Got talked

out of it. That’s the guy he wanted. But I will my comeback would be okay.

Congratulations. You beat the Saints. Probably the worst team in the league. Then you have Arizona up next. I I

Let me give you this. I gota I gotta call somebody. The guy could miss five weeks now. Thanks to our our buddy uh Weston here on the program,

guy in the cornfields. He sent me this earlier today. This was Brian Thomas Jr.

in Jacksonville with M. Jones as a quarterback last year. Mhm. Okay. 7 for 103, 7 for 91 and a touchdown, 9

for 132 and a touchdown, 10 for 105 and two touchdowns, 8 for 86, and he had double digit targets in all those games.

My my Ricky Paw 2025 dream is not dead. If Matt Jones made it work like that

once he got clicking last year with Brian Thomas, maybe he comes in here with Kyle Shanahan and they realize, yeah, we’re going to be okay. I got

Ricky Pierce Hall to throw the ball to. Coupled with the report that Bellich stopped talking to M. Jones

that year. That’s right. Yeah. Yeah. All right. We’re going to connect with Paul Chargian coming up next. Fantasy Football Hall of Famer. We’ll get his uh thoughts on tonight’s game

and some fantasy angles as well for week two in the National Football League coming up here on VO.

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This is follow the money on VS. More on tonight’s game and week 2

National Football League fantasy perspective from fantasy football hall of famer Paul Charian with guillotine

leagues.com and he is on the progressive guest line. Good afternoon Charge. Thanks for the time today. How’s it going?

Uh excited for a pretty good what should be a really good Thursday night game. Better than last week’s for sure. And

you know I’m excited to see if the Packers are close to the team that we saw last week so we can really get a

sense of whether or not you know how much that’s Detroit, how much of that is Micah Parsons, where is was an already really good defense and you know Jordan

Love looked good. Where does he do in the second game? There’s so many great storylines in this one. I’m I’m very excited for this. So, I I know that you

want to attack it from a Josh Jacobs angle here, but are you concerned that

one or two offensive linemen might miss for the Packers? Yeah. Well, I am because that did carry

that does carry some weight here and last year offensive line was a wreck and that really made a for a lot of

inconsistency. You had players playing the wrong positions. We always want Elton Jenkins playing center whenever we

can. He’s utility everything guy. Hopefully, he doesn’t have to move, but if he can, he has to. Um but we know the

consistency gets there when that offensive line is together. So we’re gonna be we’re gonna be watching this one closely as it gets up closer to

kickoff. Yeah, I think that’s probably the the right approach there. Um Jaka Krosky Merritt looked great last week. Uh had

that big run, went more than 80 yards. You know, it was a promising start for him. The seventh rounder for Washington

after they traded Brian Robinson to the 49ers in the offseason. What do you think he does tonight?

Um I I’m I’m actually somewhat optimistic. He went through all of his carries. They’re only 10. And so I don’t

want to make it sound like I was, you know, that it was a big labor to break this down. 10 carries, 82 yards. Uh

here’s the thing that he does that’s really special for Jaori Krosky Merritt. He gets the ball and his when he’s got

to make an very quick decision about the way this play is setting up and the way his blocking is going, his vision and

footwork behind the line of scrimmage is remarkable. And then he’s got some jets. So the play he he gets the ball. He

needs to make a quick a quick change. The footwork is there for him and then the acceleration. He had a 40 yard gain

and he’s he’s breaking down the right side. Uh it’s not quite in the sideline. He’s off the sideline. He’s got one

safety left, Tyler Nuben, that he needs to beat. And he jked Tyler Nubin so hard

the Metife Stadium crew is still jackhammering his jock strap out of the field turf there. Oh, it was a great

great play by Bill. We that’s I’m I’m optimistic that he’s going to do well here and frankly Washington’s a little

easier to run on than they are to pass on. What do you want to do with these Packer wide receivers?

I want to avoid them all. This is setting up just like last year. Okay, now we know, you know, we all thought

that Matthew Golden was going to be a much bigger factor right away. Right. No Christian Watson. You got Jaden Reed

playing with a Jones fracture in his foot. He looked mostly unaffected, but we’ve seen Jones fractures, guys. You

know, guys have lost seasons on that. I don’t know how he played through that. His his pregame morphine drip must look

like Niagara Falls, but he only ran 12 routes and so I think they’re limiting him. Romeo Dobs barely ran half of the

routes uh half of the the play the passing plays. He ran routes in just half and he was the high water mark and

Matthew Golden was only on the field for 23 snaps. And I’m this thing feels like it’s setting up just like last year

and it’s super frustrating to try to figure out which guy is going to be on the field and part of the game plan from

week to week. really tough. And Washington was a shockingly good pass defense last year. Over their last 16

games going back to last year, they’ve only given up eight wide receiver scores. That’s it. They just locked down Malik Neighbors, who’s better than

anybody on the Packers just last week. Malik Neighbors turned 12 targets into five scoreless catches last week. So,

I’m down on all the wide receivers. Okay, let’s hit player props uh for this weekend coming up and maybe some fantasy

angles here as well. I was thinking about approaching Hunter Henry as a tight end um among my plays this week,

but you think Kahan Booty and his uh receiving yards prop is a little bit low.

Yep. We’re watching his shoulder injury. It’s not a little low, Mitch. It’s broken. This is This is a broken line.

He is 34 and a half yards is Kahan Booty’s overunder and he is the Patriots

number one receiving option. Unqualified. And you’re like, “Oh, what about Stefon Diggs?” Booty led Patriots

receivers in targets, snaps, routes, run ahead of digs. And Booty is such a great

story. If you don’t remember, and I don’t blame you if you don’t, he’s he was the kid that he was a five-star

recruit out of high school in Louisiana, could have gone to any program he wanted, decided to go to LSU. He’s at

LSU. He’s beating out Malik Neighbors. I mean, he’s like he’s the number one guy at LSU. He’s just he’s he is a true

phenom. But it goes to his head a little bit. He starts dealing with injuries. He’s got attitude problems and then the

knockout punch for Kahan Booty. He’s betting on Louisiana football and gets and he gets busted and he gets knocked

out of college football and he’s got to go to the pros too early. So he gets drafted by the Patriots at 20 years old.

Now he’s only 23. He’s the same age as a lot of rookies and he in his third year Kahan Booty is good. his last three

three of his last four games going back to last year 95 yards 117 yards and last

week 103 yards and this guy’s over under 34 and a half yards as the go-to

receiver and against the Dolphins. Yes, this is a Dolphins team with a stench of death on them. Mitch and Paulolly, do

you remember my visit in studio in July when we talked about how Miami’s got a pathway to be the first overall pick in

next year’s draft and the worst team and we talked about McDaniels is the worst as the first fired coach. All of that

stuff coming into focus here. Um, and they and the loss of Jay J uh Jaylen uh Ramsey in

the secondary is huge. Uh they’re going to have to play Rasul Douglas at starting quarterback for Miami. He was a

street fe free free agent two weeks ago. Over way over. Yeah, he was he was great

against the Raiders. Good breakdown. What do I do with 49er players now?

Well, okay. I mean, mostly we’re going to avoid uh that you know, M. Jones isn’t a death sentence. I mean, he’s

okay. He’s, you know, I don’t blame you if you haven’t you didn’t break down seven games of his tape with Jacksonville, but let me just tell you

it he averaged 0.8 touchdown passes per game. Um, but you know, he also put

Brian Thomas on a solid NFL start to his NFL career. So, not disaster stuff.

you’re gonna start Christian McCaffrey anyway. The guy that you care about is Ricky Purel. So, let’s just talk about him because he’s the only real swing guy

for the 49ers right now. Put up 108 yards last week. But here’s the thing

you need to know. And without George KD and Jawan Jennings banged up, he’s going to get a lot of attention. The average

pass attempt to Ricky Pierce saw last week, 21 yards. 21. Wow. If he’s going

to do that on like eight, nine, 10 pass attempts, we’re looking at potentially a still really good game from Persaw. And

he’s the guy that I I would be sure to start. Do you know like top of your head like what’s average for that? You said 21

yards for Pearl. Like what’s a good number? Nine. Nine yards is a nine yards is a typical wide receiver average average

distance of throw and Paw was at 21 last night. Wow. Okay. Uh that’s very good. Okay.

So, I think most of us as football fans were hoping and kind of rooting that Nick Chub was going to be 100% healthy

the entire year and take off and be like in the mix to win the comeback player of the year. What do you specifically make

of his matchup coming up on Monday night against Tampa Bay? His overunder is 49 and a half. We’re

going to go under even though Chub looked good last week and it was great to see him. He actually led all starting running backs with a 39% avoided tackle

rate last week. He finished sixth in yards over expectation. There’s clearly a mandate for the Houston to keep using

Nick Chub and you can drop all the rest of the Texans runners right now. But everything else I’m going to tell you is all bad about this matchup. First, the

Houston offensive line was already bad and it lost starting center Jake Andrews who got carded off with a high ankle

sprain. They’re also they’re using Ed Ingram at right guard who was hor he is

horrible and he’s hurt too. They actually have to go to somebody worse than him potentially. Houston last week

ranked 26th in ESPN’s run block win rate. And honestly, that’s generous. And here comes Tampa. A great run defense

last year that finished fourth best in rushing yards allowed, fourth best in rushing touchdowns allowed. And this

year in week one, they finished third best in ESPN’s run stuff win rate. They

just held Bjan Robinson to two yards per carry last week. And here’s here’s the

amazing thing on this. Why we’re going under on Nick Chup. Going back to last year, five straight Buck games, no

running back has topped 26 rushing yards. That’s it. It’s This is a great

run defense. And I I can’t advocate for Chubby, even though I was delighted to see him look good in that first game.

Wow. I never would have guessed that. Only 26 yards. One more under. Um JSN

went off in his first game with Sam Darnold against the 49ers. Great calls. Great call, buddy. So, what about the guy that’s going to

be playing like on the field with him at times? Cooper Cup this week. Cooper Cup. Yeah. Uh overunder is 30 and

a half. We’re going under against Pittsburgh. Just two catches for 15 yards last week. So, maybe this feels

obvious, but what I’m really I I I worry that Cup wants to play out of the slot

where he’s always been effective with the Rams. That’s also where Jackson Smith and Jigba likes to run, prefers to run from the slot. So, we still see we

saw Cub get enough work, but we saw some signs that I did not like. They kicked Cup outside for half his routes. We know

in LA he was not effective as an outside receiver. He dropped a pass last year.

He only dropped two all year and he already dropped a pass in week one. And when you’ve got worries about somebody’s age, these are little things that just

make you go, I don’t know about this. But here’s the real killer. Tough matchup in the slot with

Pittsburgh’s new quarterback, Jaylen Ramsay. Ramsay not normally a slot guy. With Pittsburgh making this trade, we

didn’t know for sure how they’d use him. They used him in slot coverage last week. And here’s what he gave up as a

slot quarterback. One catch, six yards, and had two pass breakups for Jaylen

Ramsey. Brutal matchup for Cooper Cup. So good. You’re the best. Paul Chartian

on X. Guillotinees.com is the website. Thanks, pal. Good luck tonight. Thanks, friends. Drew Butler on Georgia,

Tennessee, and

College Football Betting Podcast Week 2 Preview & Best Bets

Urban City Podcast Group — Fri, 05 Sep 2025 06:47:20 +0000

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Major Takeaways

Betting in the early weeks of the season is a guessing game: Matt Humans emphasizes that the first couple of weeks are challenging for bettors because they don’t yet know what to expect from many of the teams.
Underdogs and in-game betting are valuable strategies: The hosts highlight the potential value in backing underdogs and using live, in-game betting to get better numbers, especially in high-total games.
Oklahoma is a favorite worth laying the points on: Despite a general aversion to laying big numbers early in the season, Matt Humans believes in the Sooners’ defense under Brent Venables and their home-field advantage against a freshman quarterback.

College Football Week 2 Betting Breakdown: Top Bets, Dogs, and Revenge Spots

This is VSIN college football betting podcast.

Welcome in another edition of the VSIN College Football Betting Podcast. It is

the Thursday breakdown of the card. Week two of the college football season is

here. I’m Tim Murray and joined as always on Thursdays by the one and only Matt Humans at Matt Humans247. I’m at

one. Tim Murray, Mr. Humans, an up and down week one. I think for us, some

opportunities from preseason bets or, you know, when we were out in

Hawaii knowing that that would be a tricky spot. You and I didn’t want to bet bad numbers. So, overall okay week,

but uh here to do better for week two. Yeah. Not going to make excuses, but uh

went three and four on the seven plays I gave out on this podcast last week. of the three big games. I won two of them,

LSU and Miami, but I was way off target on Texas. We’ll talk a little bit more about the Longhorns coming up here, but

uh it was not a great week zero for you and I was great. Week one, not so hot.

Um come back hopefully we can uh turn week two into a winner. But uh like I’ve

said before, you can’t go crazy with betting college football right now in the first couple weeks of the season.

It’s a guessing game with some of these teams. what you’re going to see. And uh

you know this nobody thought Alabama was going to look as bad as Alabama looked last weekend.

No. And that is uh certainly my biggest miss. I know it’s not technically a losing bet yet, but that is not a

playoff team and they’ve got a lot of uphill battles going. You can’t lose that game. But we’ll dive into all of

that. Only one game between top 25 teams as opposed to last week when we had

three games amongst top 10 teams. I still think it’s a pretty good card this week. And uh it’s college football, so

we’re excited regardless. So, let’s get right into it. The biggest games of the week, the main course.

And that’s right, we call it the main course cuz we like to eat food here. And we are hungry for some big ones. And

Matt, let’s head down to Norman, Oklahoma. The only ranked versus ranked matchup. I’m really pumped for this

game. College Game Day will be there 7:30 Eastern time, ABC. We’ve got number

18 Oklahoma, number 15 Michigan. Look ahead lines. I know there were some two

and a halfs out there, Matt. Uh those have been scooped up uh from way back.

And now you’re looking around five, five and a half in favor of the Oklahoma

Sooners. Well, I think DraftKings still has a four and a half if what I see on the screen is an accurate number. So,

there’s plenty of spots out there where you can lay five. And yeah, DraftKings showing Oklahoma minus four and a half,

circa five. And I’m I’m gonna lay it here with the Sooners. I’m I’ve um not

played many favorites here early in the college football season. Tim played Hawaii minus 2 and a half against Stanford. We squeakaked that one out

23-20. Uh I did play not big because we didn’t get the best of the number. Uh but I did

play uh Arizona laying 16 and a half against Hawaii last week. Uh that was a winner. loser laying the big points with

UNLV in week one against Idaho State and I’m going to lay a shorter number here with Oklahoma. You could have laid two

and a half like you said early four and a half five now but I’m going to do it with the Sooners and Brent Venable

should have the upper hand here. Say what you want about Venbables as a head coach as a defensive coordinator and play caller. He’s at his best typically

and that’s why I expect to see here is Venbables getting the best of Bryce Underwood the freshman quarterback who’s

making his first start on the road. Hey, if if Arch Manning can look that bad in his first road start at Ohio State,

Underwood should uh be facing a pretty stiff challenge here in his first road start at Oklahoma against Brent

Venerables and that defense. Now, I know a lot of people are going to laugh and say, “Well, it’s Illinois State last

week.” Illinois State was a 10- win team last year. So, when you talk about some of these lower level opponents, uh

Illinois State’s not a bad one. Oklahoma outgainained him 495 to 151. Venable’s

defense lived up to the hype against that opponent last week. And uh I think

he can probably keep Underwood under wraps in this game. He was Underwood 21

for 31, 251 yards and a touchdown against New Mexico. But that Lobo’s

defense is nothing special. And I think this Sooners defense is going to be something special. And Tim, I know like

me, you expect a lot out of this Oklahoma offense this season. John Matier, the transfer from Washington

State. New coordinator cames over from Washington State. I’m not really sure why Jade KN, the running back from Cal,

only had one carry last week. I don’t know if there’s something wrong with that, but the Sooners should be able to

move the ball on the ground. Jade not or not. And especially it’s going to help if he’s out there. This is one favorite

I do kind of like this week. I’m going to play Oklahoma minus five. Yeah, a lot of interesting aspects to

this game. John Matier down to 12 to one to win the Heisman Trophy at Circa. A

lot of movement in the betting market, obviously because of the Arch Manning performance, Kate Clubnick’s performance. John Matier, I I’ve been

curious about him, Matt, because of the level of competition he played at Washington State, and now this is really

his first big test, but he will get it at home. Obviously, his offensive coordinator, Arbuckle, is with him here,

but I think this defense for Michigan is the real deal. Even though they lose, you know, Mason Graham with the fifth

overall pick and Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick. So, I I’m going to

stay off of this game. I do I did see the first half under got hit pretty good this week. 23 and a half down to around

22 21 a half. So, uh, that makes some sense, especially of what we saw last

betting market here. I I think your point is valid, though. What are we going to get from Bryce Underwood in his

first true road start? We saw a couple of youngsters really struggle. Tai Simpson was not very good for Alabama.

You mentioned Arch Manning. I thought CJ Carr was was decent uh at times against

uh Miami there, but this is going to be a cranked up atmosphere. Also worth noting here, Matt, uh Jan Barum, the uh

linebacker for Michigan. I thought it was ridiculous targeting call. Chiron Moore uh tried to get that overturned.

He’s going to be out the first half here. So that is something to note uh heading into this game with uh with

Barum being out for the first half. So, uh, Michigan, Oklahoma, biggest game of the week. You are going to take or lay

the points here with Oklahoma. Uh, I would be Michigan or pass, but ultimately, Matt, I think I’ll pass. And

I think once again, you you pointed this out in week one show. In-game betting is

really a great opportunity, and with this being the biggest game on the board, I I think you’ll have plenty of

opportunities to maybe find a position if you want to from an in-game standpoint. But to me, it would be, you

know, under and dog. But I think ultimately I’ll stay off until the in-game standpoint. And you’re going to

roll with uh with Oklahoma here laying the five. So that’s the night game. Matt, let’s go earlier in the day. Uh

you and I love betting noon Eastern games, right, Matt? There’s nothing better than a 9:00 a.m. Pacific time

game. You and I love to bet these games, right? That that’s the way we like to do it. Tim, I can The audience can sense the

sarcasm in your voice. You know, I hate the 9 a.m. picking up on the sarcast

9 a.m. games and uh there’s nothing worse than getting off to a poor start on a Saturday morning. And I have not

had good luck with Saturday. I’d say I’m more of a night owl. Maybe that’s why I have trouble picking winners in the 9:00 a.m. games. I’m a lot more successful

picking winners in the the night games. But yes, there’s a 9:00 am game. If you happen to sleep through this game,

you’re probably not going to be missing much because I have a pretty good idea which game you’re about to talk about.

Noon Eastern, Matt, ESPN, Illinois versus Duke. And I know our friend Chris

uh the Bear Felica pointed this out one out early on social media. This will be

the old headscratching h why is the 11th ranked team in the country only a

three-point favorite against Duke. Duke was tied at the half against Elon in the first uh in their first game of the

season. But Matt, we talked about Illinois in the preseason pod that you and I did together talking about your

top 25. You did not have Illinois in your top 25. And I think you and I are going to align on this game. Illinois

laying three on the road against the Duke Blue Devils. Yeah, I thought you were going to tee up

the Iowa Iowa State Saihawk Classic there, but I guess we’ll get to that later. Um Darien Mensa, transfer

quarterback from Tain. I think it’s going to be difference in this game. Mensah 389 yards passing, three

touchdowns. Yes, it was against Elon, but uh the Blue Devils did what they were supposed to do in the second half

of the game after they tied at 10. Pull away and and win the game 4517.

548 total yards for the Duke offense. And again, Illinois blew blew out

Western Illinois, but Illinois State’s a much better team than Western Illinois when you talk about the lower level

opponents. Western Illinois is a bad football team. Now, I know the Ali brought back a bunch of experience. They

bring back Luke Altmire at quarterback. And if the Ali have one edge in this game, it’s going to be the ground.

They’re going to be able to run the ball probably against this Duke defense a little bit too much. It makes me a little uncomfortable here. But I like

the home dog. I’m playing Duke plus three in what I think should be a picking game. I’m really high on Darien Mensah, the Twain transfer quarterback,

like I mentioned, and I think Duke’s got enough to get this done. Uh, so this is

uh one of one of uh two home dogs I really like uh this week and that’s

going to be Duke. I’m with you. I took the three with Duke. I was hoping three and a half

would show up. I don’t think we’re going to get there. If I had to guess, Matt, I think we’ll see a little Duke love come

in later in the week. You look at betting splits right now. Uh this will be the proverbial pros versus Joe’s

are on Illinois. Uh this is going to be a spot where it looks like it’s easy and I just I don’t think it will be. Manny

Diaz last year as a as an underdog 52 and one ATS and you mentioned it. This

is a Duke program that went out and spent big, right? They brought in Malik Murphy. He did okay last year, but they

said, “We want to upgrade the quarterback position.” And they went out and got Mensah 389 yards a week ago,

albeit a lot of it in the second half. They bring back Jacquz Moore at the running back position and they brought

in an FCS transfer and of course Duke would bring in a Harvard kid. Uh but he was really good. Cooper uh Barcate, he

had five catches for a buck 17 last week against Elon. So uh they got some receivers. Now, uh I did see this note

uh from my buddy Todd Ferman. Duke has lost 37 of their last 38 games against

top 12 teams, but they did get that win on Labor Day Monday night against Clemson with Riley Leonard at the helm.

They were ninth in the country. But uh both of these teams rather untested in week one. Illinois beat Western

Illinois. But I’m with you. I think this Illinois team’s a little bit overrated from where they were last year. 10 wins

and I’m going to take the three with the home dog as well. So, a common play there. We’re both going to be on Duke

against Illinois. Matt, let’s go to the game you mentioned already. The SIHawk

Trophy also noon Eastern. Big noon kickoff is going to be there. Uh this will kick off on Fox Iowa State. Boy,

you have to be impressed by what we’ve seen from the Cyclones so far this year. I thought they would be in a letown spot

a week ago. I backed the wrong Dakota because apparently North Dakota was going to be feisty and not South Dakota,

but Iowa State was phenomenal a week ago. And also worth noting here, Kamari Molton, uh the starting running back for

Iowa has been ruled out. He’s going to be out for a little bit. Um did text with someone who covers the team. Didn’t

think it would be that big of a worry. So, we’ll take them for what their word at their word. Matt, if you watched any

of the highlights, I’m not going to say I sat back and watched all of Iowa Albany a week ago, but Mark Granowski,

boy, I thought I expected some big things from Granowski, the South Dakota State transfer. How about 44 yards

passing and not a not a very uh inspiring performance. He did mention he

was nervous first game with Iowa, all of that. So that makes me a little bit hesitant, but still he’s played a whole

lot of football. Over 12,000 total yards in his career, 130 touchdowns at South Dakota State. Matt,

look, the betting market, maybe this is a trap because you hear it all the time, right? Two and a half means the dogs

probably the right side, three and a half, the favorite. So maybe I’m falling into the trap here. But with a total of

41 and a half, kind of a a little bit of a sell high on Iowa State, I’m going to

take the three and a half here with Iowa and hope that a veteran quarterback like Mark Granowski is going to have a much

better performance here for the Hawkeyes. So, I’m going to go ahead and take the three and a half. Matt, it is

worth noting uh the under in this rivalry has been very advantageous to

betterers as this is 17 and3 to the under since 2004.

Right now the number sits at 41 a.5 pretty much marketwide for Iowa Iowa State.

Probably going to pass on this game. Tempted to play the Hawkeyes plus three and a half or under as well if I played

it. That’s what I would play. Tim, I had to laugh last week because I made the joke that I can’t wait to see Mark

Granowski hand off in the Iowa offense and you scoffed and you said, “Oh, Brian France is not there anymore.” Well, it’s

still the Brian France offense. That’s what they were running last week. I got to tell you the probably the biggest

betting win I had last week. I parlayed Granowski over seven and a half completions with over 43 and a half

passing yards at DraftK. No, I’m just kidding. Um, eight for 15 for

eight for 15 for 44 yards. Unbelievable. 34 to7 against Albany. Uh, Iowa is going

to be able to run the ball as usual. But you got to wonder, were the Hawkeyes just keeping it under wraps? Were they

saving everything in their passing attack for Iowa State? And they’re going to throw a big surprise out there this

week. I don’t know. But, uh, I’m I’m going to pass on this. I need to see more from Granowski and from this Iowa

offense. Like I said, I’m tempted to bet the dog here. Uh probably if I had to play either side anything here, I’d

probably bet this under the total, but I’m going to pass for now. Matt, another noon game in the main

course. We’ve got Baylor on the road against the ponies of SMU. And I know

you were disappointed in the performance we saw from Baylor a week ago, especially defensively as Jackson Arnold

was able to run for 137 yards and two touchdowns in that win for Auburn over

Baylor. Look, this is a big spot here for the Baylor Bears on the road at SMU.

Short home dog or short road dog, I should say. This is a high total, so I would say, you know, the points, maybe

you could bet this in-game and get a better number on e either side the way you look at it. Now, as a betting

podcast, it’s a little hard to do that. So, I I do like Baylor here in a little bit of a bounceback spot. I’m not high

on this SMU team entering this year. Matt, how about the fact that last week

SMU had a pair of pick sixes against East Texas A&M, whatever that is, and

only outgainained them by 49 yards. So, SMU 1 and0, but how good are they going

to be, Matt? They lost nine starters on defense. They lost their running back and Brashard Smith. He got drafted into

the NFL over,300 rushing yards, 14 touchdowns. Now, I will say Kevin Jennings is back and certainly mobile

quarterbacks gave this Baylor defense fits last week. No doubt about it, Matt, as Jackson Arnold had such a monster

day. I do wonder and maybe this is me giving the benefit of the doubt to David Aranda and I shouldn’t do so, but you

were facing elite wide receivers and Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton, the transfer from Georgia Tech. They held them to

four catches for 43 yards. It felt like they picked their poison. So, can they

switch that mindset and try to bottle up Kevin Jennings? We will see. But I’m going to take Baylor here, Matt, as a

short road dog in this one. Wanted the three, missed the three. Obviously, we’re recording this on Thursday, so the

threes don’t exist, but I’m going to take Baylor plus the points. I think they win this game outright. And as

mentioned, with a total of 64, Matt, you’re probably going to be able to get a better number than two and a half on

both sides at some point in this game. Well, I got burned by Baylor last week.

I was one of the losers I had on this podcast last week. Very disappointed in Dave Miranda’s team. I expected a lot

better. So, after getting burned by the Bears, I don’t want to come back with them here. You know, there’s a few teams out of Texas had some questions about

before the season. How good’s Baylor going to be? Looked like after the strong finish last season, Bears were

going to be pretty good. I was disappointed last week. Uh SMU, not quite sure. TCU. I think we all had to

be pretty impressed with what the Horn Frogs did to uh Bill Bich on Monday night. So, I think TCU looks like the

best of those three teams. I I don’t have I’m not even going to guess at uh this Baylor SMU game. I think you talked

favorite set of matchups, those spicy matchups, just a reminder, we were recently out in Hawaii. Matt, we had a

show on Saturday from the brilliantly uh located Sheridan Wiki Beach Resort.

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VSN College Football Betting Podcast. So yeah, that was uh quite the place. Dara

and her team were amazing and we can’t thank them enough for hooking us up with that location for our VON college

football tailgate show back in week zero. All right, Matt, I know that you tend to like a little uh a little spice

to your flavor of food. So, let’s get to those games this weekend. Moe,

spicy matchups. Matt, I’m pretty fired up about this one. Let’s go to Stark Vegas. Our

colleague Stormmy Bonaton. I don’t know what she’ll have to do with her IFBs because those cowbells are going to be

ringing as Mississippi State plays host to 12th ranked Arizona State. This will be at 7:30 on ESPN 2. Matt, and I did

have to laugh as I saw a video from Arizona State practice where they had

team managers with cowbells. Ding ding ding ding ding ding ding ding. I’m like, “Buddy, you have no idea what you’re

about to walk into to try to mimic the cowbells.” And also

Sam Levit, the quarterback of Arizona State. He said the Cowbells reminded him of high school. So, uh, I think maybe

the fans down there in Stark Vegas might be a little bit extra amped up for this game. But all that aside, Matt, really

fun game. I want the seven. I’m still waiting for the seven. We’ll see if we get it back. But I think Arizona State

could be in some trouble here. I think this is a really tricky spot as they head on the road down to Starkville.

More cowbell, Tim. More cowbell. That’s one of the great Saturday Night Live skits of all time. I have not watched

Saturday Night Live in probably 20 years, but that was a great one back in the day. Uh you’re going to hear plenty

of cowbell Saturday in Starkville for this game as well. You’re going to see a lot of Blake Shapen, too. He was limited

to what, four games last year with the shoulder injury. Knocked him out and that Jeff

Big disappointment. Uh Bulldogs lost on the road to Arizona State. That was before we knew really how good Arizona

State was going to be. Cam Scataboo was the difference in that game. He tore up

the Bulldogs on the ground. Uh he’s not there now. He’s with the New York Giants and that’s going to make a big difference I think especially when the

Sunundevils team hits the road and you don’t have that stud running back who can get those tough yards, convert those

third downs. I do love Sam Levit as a young quarterback. Jordan Tyson is big play wide receiver. Tyson had 12

catches, 140 yards against Northern Arizona last week. He had two touchdowns

in that game, too. Sunundevils were not that sharp. They beat the Lumberjacks 38-19.

Um, I think that Mississippi State’s defensive game plan here is going to have to be, you know, kind of double

Tyson, take him away or limit him as much as possible because that’s a guy Sam Levit wants to go to. Uh Mississippi

State looked better defensively to me uh last week in that game at Southern Miss. And offensively, Jake Blake Shapen led

that uh offense to 465 total yards. This the first game that jumped off the page

to me this week. Hopefully I’m right about it. First bet I made, Mississippi State plus 7. And uh right now we’re

going to get 6 and a half. That’s the best number out there in the market. I still think the Bulldogs are dangerous

home dogs here in this spot. And Arizona State probably laying a little too much going on the road to face an SEC

opponent that is improved from last season. So I’m on Miss State.

You know, a year ago, Matt, Arizona State, who came out of nowhere, right? They were a 6 and a half point home

favorite against Mississippi State. They won that game 30-23. They were up big in

that one as you alluded to, 27-3. Cam Scataboo going for 262. And now you’re a

6 and 12 point road favorite. So, there’s a belief that this Arizona State

understandably so, and has taken a a step in the right direction. I I do think, you know, maybe a little bit of

regression’s coming for Arizona State, a team that was plus 14 in the turnover margin a year ago. Mississippi State,

you mentioned it, Blake Shapen dealt with injuries last year, very disappointing season for Jeff Lebby and company. I just think this is going to

be a great environment, maybe the best environment outside of Oklahoma on Saturday, a night game down there in

Starkville. I I was impressed by Brennan Thompson, seven catches, 92 yards, the Oklahoma transfer, and his connection

with Blake Shapen. I’ll point this out. You know, people are going to roll their eyes and say whatever, they beat Southern Miss. There were a lot of

people this off season saying that Southern Miss might beat Mississippi State and that was a pretty dominant

performance by the Bulldogs. They won 34 to7, Matt, 100% postgame win expectancy.

They proved that they were the SEC team even on the road against a team that a lot of people including me are are

expecting some better things from this year from the Golden Eagles. So that was an impressive performance I thought for

Mississippi State on the road uh at Southern Miss. You mentioned it Arizona State played Northern Arizona. Look, Sam

Lev can use his legs. Seven carries, 73 yards, two touchdowns, had a 52 yard run

against Northern Arizona. I was surprised that Kanye Udo, the Army

transfer, only got two carries in that game. Are they saving him for this game? Is something going on there? So, he was

believed to be maybe one of the guys to replace Scataboo. But I’m with you. Uh I missed the seven unfortunately, but I

still think Mississippi State at six and a half worth of play. And hopefully we get that seven back. But this will be an

official play for me. Give me Mississippi State plus the points. Matt, we’ve had a lot of um we’ve had a lot of

jawing this week, whether it was Davo versus Brian Kelly, mentioned uh Sam Levit talking about the Cowbells. Well,

how about Oregon and Oklahoma State? We talked about this on VO prime time. And you do wonder if this does get maybe a

little extra fire lit under the ass of this Oregon team as Mike Gundy called

out Oregon talking about how they pay their team $40 million. They’ve only

spent $7 million. Uh Oregon is paying a lot of money for their team. From a

non-conference standpoint, there’s coaches saying they should play teams with similar budgets. Dan Lanning

responded, “If you want to be a top 10 team in college football, you better be invested in winning.” And you remember

back to the Colorado and Oregon game, his pregame speech for that one. They’re

here for clicks, we’re here for wins, something to that effect. Matt, they were up, I think, 35 to nothing at

halftime uh in that particular game. Uh not going to be an official play, but I did lay a little bit on Oregon in the

first half here. You got to remember, too, Oklahoma State’s starting quarterback broke his foot, so he’s out.

Uh this could be ugly, especially if Dan Lanning wants to make it ugly. So, not

an official play, but I’m curious to see how this one plays out and if Dan Lanning maybe steps on the throat a

little bit more after Gundy couldn’t uh shut up his yapper on Monday night.

Yeah, Gundy probably should not have been talking before this game, but you know, that’s who Mike Gundy is, right?

He’s a swashbuckler. He’s going to run his mouth and loose cannon. Uh, I think

he’s going to pay for it here. Now, Dan Lanning needs to get this Oregon offense on track. Dante Moore as a quarterback.

I’ve got a lot of questions about former transfer from UCLA. Maybe this is a type of game that’s going to be a confidence

builder for him and that Ducks offense. Uh like you talked about, you got a

freshman quarterback on the road for Oklahoma State. The the quarterback who went down, how do you pronounce his

name, Tim? Quarterback. I think it’s Henry. Anyway, he’s got

some wheels and he had some potential, I thought, after watching him in that uh opening game, but he goes down with a

broken foot and now you got to turn to a freshman. You’re going on the road at Oregon and you’re going to get blown out

here. I almost I don’t want to say this is a game where Dan Lanning can name the score. Uh I don’t think it’s to that

extent, but this is going to be one where Dan Lanning could pour it on, I think, in the second half. and uh he he

kind of wants to rub Mike Gundy’s face in the manure here. So, it would be Oregon or

right now, but I might end up uh making some sort of play on Oregon if I see something that pops up here. It would be

lay the points or nothing because I think uh Dan Landing is going to want to put it on Gundy pretty good.

Well, speaking of revenge, we saw a couple revenge spots this week when you

don’t have a bet on this game, but curious to get your quick thoughts on it, Matt, as Old Miss, really the reason they missed out on the playoff last year

was a loss to Kentucky, an inexplicable loss, a team that won one conference game in Kentucky and now Miss goes on

the road to Kentucky. Uh, they’re laying 10 here. Uh, you rode up the SEC for the VSON guide. Any interest in the favorite

here in getting some revenge on the road at Big Blue Nation? You know, we just talked about Oklahoma

State and that’s one of my uh win total best bets for the season’s under five. I also played Kentucky under four and a

half. I just want Old Miss to get the win here. I’m not going to lay the big number. Uh, you can talk all you want

about Lane Keifin in the revenge angle, but Mark Stops might have his number a little bit. and Stoops obviously can put

put a pretty good defense on the field and he might be able to find out ways to slow Austin Simmons in this Old Miss

offense and beat up on a pathy last week. I didn’t think Kentucky was going to be very good. Still don’t. Zack Kada

the seventh year journeyman quarterback 10 for 23 85 yards passing with a pick.

Talk about all the poor performances we saw from quarterbacks a week ago. Zack Kzado is on that list as well. Wildcats

can run the ball. They went for 220 on the ground a week ago against Toledo in

that game. Thanks to the Rockets. I appreciate the Rockets, by the way, getting the back door cover in that game, 24-16.

Needed that one. Uh Wildcats can run the ball and like I said, they put up 220 on the ground a week ago. I I could see

Kentucky hanging around in this game. Uh I’m not overconfident in Lane Keifin rolling into Lexington and winning this

by a huge margin here. So, uh, I’m I’m going to pass on the game and just hope Miss gets it. Hey, look, for all the

bitching and crying and whining that Lane Keifin did last year about getting left out of the playoff, take care of

business as a two touchdown home favorite. That was a embarrassing loss for Kein. He has one of those almost

every year. You know, he he loses a two touchdown home favorite to a Kentucky team that went 1 and7 in the SEC. That

was Mark Stop’s only win. If Keifin wins that game, he’s probably in the playoff.

So, don’t complain about the playoff committee. Take care of business at home. I I think revenge is an overplayed

angle by a lot of handicappers. Old Miss would just be happy to go in there and get the win by seven or whatever. I’m

not going to lay the points here. Matt, you also have a win total over

Missouri. Very advantageous schedule for the Tigers. I thought Bo Priva looked pretty solid. Uh he took over that QB1

role. uh ran a lot in that season opening win against I believe Central Arkansas. So, we got the border war uh

here 3:30 Eastern. This game will be on a uh ESPN 2 and Missouri right now

laying 6 and a half against Kansas. Um look, I’m a big Lance Liipold guy. Um I

I I do get worried a little bit uh about this defense against Missouri, but boy, it feels like a decent amount of points

there for a rivalry game. Missouri laying 6 and a half against the Jay-Hawks. Well, on the theme of win totals here,

like you said, I’ve got my biggest win total bet is Missouri over seven and a

little bit concerned about this game. I just need the Tigers to win this game. I’m not going to lay the points. Price is a little bit steeper than what I

thought. I I made this number four and a half. So, I don’t know if I’m a little bit off here, but I think Kansas Jaden

Daniels Jaylen Daniels is off to a hot start here for the Jay-Hawks. And I think they can make the Tigers sweat in

this game. I’m not going to lay the points. I’m just going to hope Missouri gets the win. I expect Missouri to get the win, but I don’t think it’s going to

be easy. Yeah, once again, I mean, it’s you kind of look at past results. All right,

Kansas smashed Fresno State and then Fresno State turned around and crushed Georgia Southern. Now, do you play that

or is that some sort of um just kind of wacky coincidence? But yeah, I think

Kansas in a rivalry game, the Border War, uh these two fan bases certainly don’t like each other. So, it’ll be an

entertaining game nonetheless to watch that one. Matt, Florida beat the mighty Long Island Sharks last week. But all

kidding aside, Florida’s about to embark on maybe the most difficult schedule in all of college football. So, if you have

to open up the season against a a joke of a program like Long Island, hey, maybe you’ll take it. But boy, this game

got a little bit more interesting, didn’t it? 415 SEC Network. We’ve got Florida taking on South Florida. And

what I’ve noted here is that Florida is getting a little bit of support here in the market. This thing is up 17 12 18 at

Circa in favor of the Gator. South Florida was very strong in that win over

Boise State, but they benefited from some, you know, poor red zone production from Boise. Um, I did come away

impressed by South Florida, but it does feel like you’re punching up in class. You and I don’t like laying big numbers,

but curious your thoughts on South Florida in Gainesville on Saturday.

Yeah, the uh the Sharks were out of their element in the swamp last week and you know, I’ll give Sunbelt Billy a

little bit of a break. I don’t like the Florida scheduled Long Island schedule. A little bit more of a respectable

opponent than that, but he does have an extremely difficult schedule coming up here. So, uh, it was going to be Florida

needed needed to schedule a layup against somebody and got it against Long Island. Okay, so cautionary tale here

about South Florida. I bet the Bulls last year against Miami and they got off to a great start, looked promising early

and ended up getting blown out in that game by the Hurricanes. I could kind of see something similar happening

happening here against the Gator. Uh Byron Brown pretty strong in that game against Boise State. 210 yards passing,

43 yards rushing. But Tim, the score, the 34 to7 score is not really indicative of of how that game was

played. I don’t think it was that lopsided. When you look at the box score, South Florida was not all that

impressive offensively and uh gave up a lot of yards to the Boise offense. The

Broncos killed themselves with three fumbles, three loss fumbles, and uh that’s where the game got out of control

in the second half. So, I’m not going to go overboard here and say this South Florida team uh could could roll into

the swamp and uh beat the Gators. I’m concerned that it could go the way the South Florida Miami game went a year ago

when the Bulls got off to a great start, lost control of the game in the second half. I’m tempted to take the points

here. It’s a lot of points and you’re tempted to take it with South Florida, but as of right now, I’m probably going

to pass. It does to me feel a little bit like a trap. That that’s a big number. We all

saw them on Thursday open up week one with that win, but you’re right. I mean,

you look at some of the numbers for that game, it was maybe just a little bit misleading there for USF. Not as

dominant as the four touchdown victory may may look there uh at 34 to7. And I

think DJ Lagway and company, boy, that was uh yeah, you can’t really take much from LIU, but I think this Florida team,

I do have a little bit under seven and a half on Florida just because if Lagway gets hurt, how big of the drop off is it

at the quarterback position? But I think Florida could win big here. But not something I am going to play. Something

you’re going to play. Let’s go back to a night game, Matt. And this game will be 7:30 on ACC Network. I had Virginia Tech

last week, and boy was I disappointed in the quarterback performance from Kairen

Drones. As I thought Virginia Tech had every opportunity to to cover in that

game. And then you give up a punt return as they get, you know, Virginia Tech gets beamer balled by by Shane Beamer

there. So in the Beamer Bowl, South Carolina gets the win, gets the cover, much to my chagrin. And now Virginia

Tech comes back home. Brent Prize already feeling the heat and you’re facing a team in Vanderbilt that last

year you were a double- digit favorite going to Nashville. You lost the game outright and you’ve got the underdog god

that is Diego Pavia 8-2 ATS as an underdog a year ago at New Mexico State

in his final year there. Believe he was 52 and one ATS and one of those games he

got hurt. So I think 51-1 ATS when he finished his games. This is a

fascinating game on a Saturday night. You know it’s going to be hopping down there at Lane Stadium and Salmon all of

that. Virginia Tech at some shops is actually a favorite here. We’ll call it a pick them,

and a halfs out there in favor of the Hokes. Yeah, I’m taking uh Vandy and the points

and you stole my material here on Diego uh Diego Pave and the underdog stats.

I I like to I like the Commodores in the underdog role here. And this line, I think, is telling you something. When

Virginia Tech is less than a three-point home favorite, you’re seeing pick them out there at some spots. Um, one of the

great stories, Diego Pava in college football. Talk about a guy who started out at New Mexico Institute, went to New

Mexico State, and now at Vandy. All right, that’s not exactly hopping from one five-star hotel to another one. Uh,

that’s the drags of college football. And, you know, aside from the Vandy

story, this team’s been really competitive against the heavyweights in the SEC, including Alabama last year. I

like uh I like the Commodores in this spot. I was very disappointed in that Virginia Tech performance on uh Sunday.

And again, Tim, we’re talking about quarterbacks who were disappointing in the first week. How about Kairen Drones

of the Hokes? 15 for 35 with two picks. That was a poor performance from the

VTEC quarterback. I’m going to go with Vandy here. I think the line is telling you to take the Commodores on the road.

All right, Matt, let’s just run through some other games. Uh not necessarily plays. is I do have a couple plays on

some of these games, but uh Arch Manning’s bounceback San Jose State uh talk about disappointing performance.

Boy, I did not see them losing to Central Michigan to start the college football season. Kenya Matalo said it

was one of the worst losses of his career and they lose to Central Michigan as two touchdown favorites. Well, it

doesn’t get easier. Noon Eastern on ABC. You got to take on a me an upset Texas

squad. 36 and a half. What do we see from Arch Manning, Matt?

Well, hopefully we see much better performance from Arch than we saw against Ohio State. Um, I’ll tell you

right now, Diego Pavia has got a better chance to win the Heisman than Arch Manning. And I’m serious about that. The

Arch that I talked a lot about Arch and you know 8 to1 Heisman bet I made before

the season. I’ve already lit that on fire and uh have no regrets. He’s got no

shot. you might as well put him at 100 to one right now. He’s not going to win it. But Texas has got some shots here to

uh some get right games right for this offense coming up and San Jose State’s going to be one of them. So Arch is

going to put up some numbers. He’s going to look better the next few weeks. But I I can’t get past how bad he looked

against that Buckeye’s defense. And I’m I’m just talking about uh his footwork

and his mechanics were sloppy. Uh, fundamentals, footwork, fundamentals,

and mechanics. All sloppy. Throwing off his back foot, throwing sidearm. He’s got a running back cutting across the

middle and you need to throw a touch pass and lead him a little bit. He fires a rocket at the running back’s knees. He

first pass of the game. He’s got a wide receiver open 20 yards out in the flat and he bounces at 15 yards. There some

and the the pick he threw was a really bad decision where he didn’t read the defense quickly enough, was slow to make

the throw, and it got picked off. Arch uh really disappointed me in the way he

played against Ohio State. That said, Julian Sand and the Ohio State offense

didn’t impress the hell out of me either. Texas outgainained Ohio State 336 to 203 in that

better play calling from Sarkc, little bit better play from Arch Manning, and I think Texas could have been the winning

side there. But again, you can’t go back and play it again. Uh, I think uh what Sark’s gonna want to have happen here is

Texas is, like I said, got to get some get-right performances offensively and they can get it here. You and I both

like coach Ken at San Jose State, but that’s a bad bad loss. The Spartans are

coming off. Can’t lose that game. You can’t you cannot lose that game at home. Now you’re going on the road against Texas and you’re going to get

destroyed. I could see something here, Tim, like 52-3.

uh some some lopsided score. I don’t know. Walker Eat and the San Jose State offense got some potential and they

could get a couple of back door scores. This Texas defense is not going to give up much in the first half though. If San

Jose State’s going to get something, it’s probably going to come after halftime. So, keep an eye on maybe some live betting aspects of this game. I

just I feel like that uh Texas needs a pickme up and it’s going to get it here against San Jose State. Very

disappointed in the Spartans and their performance in the opener.

Texas had an 82.2% postgame win expectancy in that loss

there to uh to Ohio State. Hey, just a reminder folks, we got some great sponsors part of this podcast, including

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aloha. Matt, I want to jump to a game that we saw late in the season a year ago and I was on the dog in this game

and I was very fortunate to get a cover. That was Yukon and Syracuse a year ago. Yukon scored a back door touchdown with

like 90 seconds to go. Syracuse team that I am down on this year. Schedule’s

brutal. And Yukon, as many of you know, is an independent and they play three

ACC teams this year. These are their Super Bowls. They play at Syracuse, at Boston College, and they host Duke later

on in the season. They’ve got a veteran quarterback and Joey Fenano back for another year. Their running back Cam

Edwards back. Uh Skyler Bell uh also back for another season. So this number

moved from 8 1/2 down to 6 and 1/2. So it left me off a bit, but I’d be curious if Yukon at noon Eastern on ESPN Plus if

they are a feisty underdog in this role in the noon window slot. But I I felt

like Matt I don’t need another noon window uh pain. So I’m gonna gonna pass

on this one. I want to ask you real quickly just go ahead. I’m going to mention about that game. Like you said,

that’s a 9:00 a.m. game. I decide to pass, too. But this to me is more about the number. I like the Yukon side here.

I like the Huskies as dogs, but the problem is Circa opened this at nine and

now it’s 6 and a half. So, you’re too late to the party to bet Yukon at this point, but I agree with the line move.

Well, I will say this real quickly. Think back to last year. Syracuse had a

pro quarterback, three really good receivers. two of them in the pros now. One’s at Penn State, a pro running back,

and that number closed 10, and this number opened nine. So, the market was probably off on this because Syracuse is

significantly downgraded. Um, but we’ll see how this one plays out. Uh, Syracuse

coming off that loss last week against Tennessee. Matt, speaking of losses, Clemson loses in their season opener.

Another massive favorite. They’re number eight in the country still. They get Troy ACC Network 3:30 Eastern. Overall,

just big picture on Clemson. Did you come away disappointed with that performance? What jumped out to you

about their 17-10 loss to LSU? You know, Tim, we’re not going to be right about everything we say in the

preseason, and hopefully you’re not going to be wrong about everything you say. I was I was wrong on the Arch

Manning hype, but I was right when I said I thought Clemson was being overhyped. There was a lot of people talking about Clemson national

championship. Kade Clubnick Heisman. I just, you know, every time the Tigers, Clemson Tigers stepped up in class last

year, they got to hand it to him and they were 0 and three against the SEC. And I talked about that last week on the

podcast. Maybe it’s more about LSU being that much better. You know, maybe LSU is

just so much improved defensively and LSU is the real deal. But yes, I was disappointed in Clemson and I’m glad I

did not buy into that Clemson preseason hype. Yeah, I want to give a shout out to our

our friend Jimmy. He came on the tailgate show, which you can hear every Saturday at 9:00 am, and he said he

loved loved first half and full game under, and those were two very easy

winners. So, thank you to Jimmy on that one. Matt, you know, we saw maybe not to

this level, but we saw a a big correction from UNLV’s performance against Idaho State to their number

against Sam Houston. And my question heading into this particular game is, did the market go too crazy here? North

Carolina embarrassed themselves on Monday night and there were also a lot of national media members who

embarrassed themselves after they scored a touchdown on their opening drive. That’s true. They lose 48 to4 and now you’ve got a

short week to take on Charlotte. This number was as high as 21 in game I

believe during North Carolina TCU. It’s now sitting at 12 and a half or 13 and a

half. I’d be curious if this is a spot where North Carolina maybe the reaction

is too drastic and North Carolina goes out and beats an inferior Charlotte team

who by the way got their ass kicked against App State despite the betting public thinking they knew the result of

that one uh last uh last week. Yeah, that’s true. Uh that was uh that’s

a good call by you right there. I don’t know if it’s an overreaction. I think North Carolina looks pretty bad. I

really I felt from the start that this Bill Bich experiment was going to be a bust in Chapel Hill and Will Hill and I

had talked about this on some shows over the summer. How long is Bellich going to last at North Carolina? I said no more

two years tops and I’m not sure if he’s going to last beyond one year. Uh but I

think there’s a decent chance he’s going to last two years at the college game. It’s big adjustment. He got 70 new

players and uh he’s not out coaching people. I don’t care what you think of

Belich, you know, the most accomplished coach in NFL history. He was not out coaching people the last two years he

was in the NFL. He was 4 and3 when he was with the Patriots in his last season. When he didn’t have superior

talent, he didn’t look like a superior coach. And his, by the way, his last home game was against a bad Jets team

and he lost. That was his last game as Patriots coach. So, he has not been working any miracles on the sideline for

a while uh since Tom Brady left Foxboro and he hasn’t had the better talent. Uh

Will asked me last week during the second half when TCU was embarrassing

Bellich, what’s the adjustment for this game against Charlotte and I said, “Well, I at DraftKings I saw a number of

20 hanging out there 20 or 21. I think it’s fair to adjust this all the way down to 14.” Now, the Charlotte team

looks pretty bad, too. So, I I I just think the market has made the proper adjustment here, and I’m more curious

just to watch this game and see if the Tarheelss look that much better this week. But I think the number adjustment

is right. And Tim, obviously, it’s got to be Max Johnson at quarterback, right?

Yes, 100%. Um, no doubt about it. It Max Johnson looks uh very much the uh the

prototypical pro quarterback. Great story, by the way, as as you mentioned it on prime time earlier this week. Just

gruesome leg injury. He’s battled through a number of spots. Uh I think he deserves I was never a big Gio Lopez

fan. I was surprised that he was the guy they ultimately hitched their wagon to. Look, you mentioned it, I think, too.

Ryan Brown at Purdue was at UNC. I mean, wouldn’t he be the best option? It’s

it’s it’s it’s a bit headscratching at some of the personnel decisions at least at the quarterback position uh to roll

with Gio Lopez, but I think it should be Max Johnson. I want to circle back real quickly. Uh Charlotte opened eight and a

half last week, closed only a three-point dog and they lost 34 to1.

So, uh the market movement on the 49ers was not correct a week ago. Matt, I

mentioned this game last week and I was kicking myself for not betting it. Tarlton State’s a very good FCS program

and they were catching 14 against Army and a number of us have bet under Army

win total of seven and a half and Tarlton State on six days rest coming across country beat Army and there’s a

belief sometimes that you can bet on these teams that lose to FCS teams. Maybe they’re a little bit on sale.

Well, the problem is they’re going to Kansas State and they just squeaked past an FCS team as well. So, this number’s

gotten up to 17. not gonna be a bet for me, but I’m curious to watch it. Um,

looking at Kansas State, is this a team that preseason Big 12 co-favorites with

Arizona State, Matt, is this a team that was uh a bit overrated? Chris Kimman, a coach that you and I both like, but boy,

you lose in a slopfest to Iowa State, and God, they were lucky to beat North Dakota.

Yeah, Chris Klyman’s been a bet on coach for me for a long time, but I have not bet on him in the first two games this

season. In fact, I bet against him, I had Iowa State. And last week, I was talking with big

some say the uh greatest gambler to ever swagger out of North Dakota. And uh Randy was still regretting that North

Dakota let that game get away last week against K State. And I think at one point he said on the live line, North

Dakota was like minus 250 to win the game. And that’s uh obviously the

Wildcats put together that game-winning drive and pulled it out. So I I think you have to have some legitimate

concerns here that Kate’s not what it was hyped up to be in the preseason. And

uh maybe you know in time Chris Kimman’s going to figure that thing out. But right now Kate looks pretty shaky.

You know, one other game I want to get to, Matt. Uh, last year I remember week two vividly because we did this podcast

and you gave out Northern Illinois plus 28. And the reason I bring that up,

Northern Illinois, of course, went on to pull off the upset of the college football season, beating Notre Dame, but

you’ve got a similar spot. Now, do I expect the boys from Rustin to go into

Death Valley and get this victory? I certainly do not. But this is another kind of hold your nose special this week

where Louisiana Tech, Matt, a team who was uh they won 24 to nothing but were

actually outgained by Southeast Louisiana last week uh in that 24 to

nothing win. Situationally, I played a situational spot last week and it absolutely burned me with South Dakota.

I’m going to take the 38 with Louisiana Tech and hold my nose. There was so much put into that LSU game against Clemson.

And next week they play Florida at home. Matt, this could be a sleepy spot spot for Brian Kelly’s squad. 283 31 point

Rustin catching 38. I don’t blame you. I see a 38 out there in the screen, but most books including

Circa are a little bit below that at 37. So this is one of those games for Murray’s Delicatessan, right? This is a

sandwich spot with LSU on the big game off the big game at Clemson and then with a Florida game up next and you

could uh you know see the Tigers falling asleep at the wheel a little bit in this game. It is their home opener and

there’s going to be a lot of hype around this team off last week’s win. Uh, we would be remiss if we did not mention

Brian Kelly’s ridiculous clock and game management blunder at the end of the first half last week at

Clemson, but LSU was able to overcome that with a dominant second half. I’m with you here. I think I would take the

38 or pass. I’m probably going to pass, but this is a game I could see LSU sleepwalking a little bit.

All right, Matt, before we get to the late night slate, we got four games to hit on before we get out of here and give you your best bet recap. Just a

reminder, our good friends at Rainbow AOthenics, as you can uh check out the hat. I rock it all the time here. Uh one

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proud sponsor of the Vsson College Football Betting Podcast. We’ll get to the Hawaii game here in just a moment,

Matt, but a game in our backyard. We’ve got UNLV and UCLA. This game on CBS

Sports Network, 8:00 p.m. Eastern, 5:00 p. p.m. Pacific time. UCLA anywhere from

a 2 and a half to threepoint favorite against UNLV. You saw this UCLA team up

close and personal. Boy, did they get their ass kicked by Utah. Yeah, I like I said, I was thoroughly

unimpressed with everything I saw with UCLA last week. Offensive line is pedestrian. uh so are the skill

position. You don’t have many playmakers at running back or receiver or tight end for that matter. Nico doesn’t appear to

be anything special at quarterback. And um on defense, I counted uh somewhere

around 40 to 50 missed tackles by UCLA last week. Just very poor performance at

the Rose Bowl. The announced attendance, by the way, I was there Saturday night and it was announced a crowd of like

35,500 actual people in the stadium. I read later was around 27,000 which is crazy

uh in a venue like the Rose Bowl and Utah brought a lot of those fans. Utah also dominated the game on the field

30-4 in first downs 492 to 220 in total yards and 37 1/2 minutes time of

possession. Uh Nico 11 for 22 passing. I didn’t see anything that stood out uh

from the UCLA perspective, Tim. And what do we make of UNLV right now? Who knows?

We’re guessing a little bit here because the Rebels had to uh come back to beat Idaho State. They went on the road and

beat Whitney Houston a week ago. Not really an impressive early season schedule here for UNLV. I do think the

the Rebels coaching staff is a little bit better. Dan Mullen and his coaches, I give them the check mark here. Uh when

you’re looking at edges on the Jimmy the Greek chalkboard, uh I’m going to go sir can move this number to three. I’m

taking UNLV plus three here. Like I said, guessing a little bit, but watching UCLA up close, I think this

Bruins team could be pretty bad. I’m not not impressed with the coaching staff. And you know what, Anthony Kandra, the

transfer from Virginia, has played okay for the Rebels at quarterback uh so far. And you got Jet Thomas, who’s a

playmaker at running back. I think UNLV should win this game. I’m not going to go crazy with this. Um but I do like the

Rebels as home dogs here catching three. A lot of two and a halfs out there. So,

if you see that three, make sure to scoop it. We’ve seen a couple of spots. You know, we talked about Baylor SMU. I

still want the three. Mississippi State and Arizona State. I still want the seven. We We’ve seen a big move in this

Matt uh game. And let’s go to the CW late night. 10:15 Eastern up at the

Paloo. We got San Diego State taking on Washington State. And right now, you’re

getting the worst of the number. So, when you record this show on a Thursday, that’s always a tricky uh part to it.

But they played Stonybrook. I get it. It was uh you know, the Seaw Wolves were

were out of their element traveling across country from Long Island to take on San Diego State. But Washington State

also played an FCS team, albeit a better one in Idaho. But that’s an Idaho program that their coaches and their

players are mostly down in New Mexico. and Washington State was was wildly underwhelming in that game. Now, once

again, you don’t want to play into too much of an overreaction, and maybe I’m getting caught up in it, but I was

impressed by what I saw from Shawn Lewis’s defense, believe it or not. This is an offensive-minded head coach, Matt,

but they bring back 11 starters on defense. Uh they have a Michigan transfer quarterback, Jaden Dangle, who

I think is pretty raw, but can run a little bit. They’ve got Bird Emanuel Jr., very uh elusive uh backup

quarterback that they’ll bring in and have him run around a bit. I think San Diego State is a little bit underrated

here. The market agrees this went from like four and a half down to one and a half. So I’m getting the worst of it,

but I think San Diego State wins this game. So I’ll for the purpose of the podcast, I’ll do one and a half here,

Matt. But I’ll be on San Diego State money line late night on the CW. All

right. Lastly, Matt, we got to talk the Hawaii game. And our Hawaii game all year long is going to be brought to you

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who helped us get out to Hawaii earlier this year. Well, Matt,

I would say pretty disappointing to see Micah Alah play last week for the

Rainbow Warriors and the market is telling us that he will not be playing here against Sam Houston uh in a

midnight Eastern game. This will be uh you’ll be able to watch it for free. our good friend uh Canoa Ley will be on the

broadcast there. The Mountain West app is how you can get it uh for free this year, Matt. But I’ll I’ll toss you first

here because it looks like it will be the backup. Nothing official. I think Timmy Chang said it is a game time

decision uh for Hawaii and Micah Alah, but he had a boot on his foot Tuesday.

He did not practice on Wednesday. Certainly doesn’t seem like Micah Alahada will be playing in this game in

a very important spot for Hawaii here starting a three-game home stand with Sam Houston, Portland State, and then

Fresno State. Yeah. Uh, hate to criticize our friend Timmy Chang, the Hawaii coach, uh, but

you and I talked about this last week and I thought he should have sat Micah Ahado out against Arizona uh, multiple

times on different VON shows last week. I said Al Ahado or not, Hawaii’s

probably going to get blown out in this game. They put Rainbow Warriors put so much into that opener against Stanford.

And then it’s a tough scheduling spot going on the road to Tucson the next week. Uh I thought it was pretty obvious

Hawaii was going to get blown out by Arizona last week. And I thought also it was a mistake from Tim Timmy Chang. I know the Micah Alahad is a tough kid. He

wants to get out there and play. He’s going to try to talk his way onto the field and the, you know, coach is a former quarterback and he wants his he

understands he’s a competitor. Okay, he talked him into it. He let him play. He should not have let him play. I thought

he the entire time I thought he should have set him out on that bad right foot. The important thing here is you’re

probably not going to beat Arizona anyway. That was a two touchdown number when you’re going to Tucson. It was bet

up to 17 and a half, dropped to 16 and a half at game time. you’re probably not going to win that

game anyway. You have to make sure you win your next three home games. You have to make sure Alejad is healthy for those

games. And now here you sit where he’s doubtful. We call it doubtful actually

against Sam Houston on Saturday night. You’ve got to win this game now. He’s six and a half point home favorite. And

I think Hawaii’s in trouble here if you got to play the backup quarterback, Tim. So, uh, might look under an underdog,

but we got to monitor this over the weekend and see if Micah Alahadoo is going to try to start at quarterback for

Hawaii. You know how tough he is. He’s going to try to talk his way onto the field again this week. Uh, but how

effective is he going to be if he does play, but if he doesn’t, I think, uh,

Hawaii might be life or death to win this game. Yeah. And look, Sam Houston, uh, they’ve

got their own quarterback questions as well. Their depth chart lists Watson and uh I think it’s Mature as an or. So,

we’ll see what Phil Longo decides to do there. Both these teams have played two games, so there’s no rest advantage. But

um yeah, Mike Alahado, like you said, he battled it out. Uh he said postgame to

our friends at Hawaii Sports Radio there. They put it on social media that, you know, he he told Coach Tang he could

go and he let him go. But both have kind of shown regret this week. So for me, Matt, uh I do have a win total over five

and a half for Hawaii. So this is a little bit of a try to middle here. I’m going to split my unit. I’m going to

take Sam Houston plus seven and I’m going to take under 48 and a half. So I

think this is going to be a grinder and they got to avoid the turnovers. Luke Weaver, you mentioned he’s the backup.

If Alado can’t go, he would start uh turnovers galore last week against Arizona maybe pressing a little bit too

much. So, I would anticipate if it is the backup that this is more of a conservative game plan with uh with Luke

Weaver in there. Hawaii went minus5 in the turnover margin just a week ago. All

right, Matt, we’ve uh we’ve run the board here. We’ve given out our best bets. So, let’s uh wrap up like we like

to do. Let’s make this nice and neat and let every know what we’re betting here in week two.

Best bets recap. All right, Matt, you lead us off with your best bet recap.

All right, the first two bets I uh talked about on VSON this week, Duke plus three and Mississippi State plus

seven. Now, for this podcast, I’m taking Mississippi State plus 6 and a half because the sevens have disappeared. So,

Duke and Mississippi State as home dogs going Vandy Diego Pavia plus one and a

half or we’ll say plus one. Uh Vandy plus one at Virginia Tech. The big game

of the weekend. I’m gonna ride with Brent Venibals here and bet against the freshman quarterback in his first start

on the road. We’re going to Oklahoma minus five against Michigan. And then uh Saturday night in Vegas circuit had a

three on this. I think it just dropped to two and a half. But anyway, I sent the play in at UNLB plus three and

that’s how I bet it. And you buy that point if you want to where the three might pop up again Saturday. But

guessing a little bit here uh that the Bruins are as bad as they looked on Saturday night against Utah at the Rose

Bowl. I’m going to go UNLV plus three at Allegiance Stadium. I don’t have a lot of plays this week. I was three and four

on this podcast last week. I got five best bets here right now.

All right, Matt, we’ll run through mine here to close it out. A couple common plays and a bunch of noon plays, which

terrifies me. Duke plus three against Illinois. Iowa plus three and a half.

Hopefully that’s not a trap uh like the Oregon State game was last week. That was a a nightmare as Cal came out and

just manhandled the Beavers and I felt like it was. But we’ll see if Iowa can ugly this up in the Sihawk game. For the

grading purposes, Baylor plus two and a half. Hoping this gets to three. I probably will buy to three, but for

grading purposes, we’ll go Baylor plus 2 and a half as they take on SMU. I’m with you. Let’s hit those cowbells hard on

Saturday night in Stark Vegas. Mississippi State plus 6 and a half. Hoping to get the seven back. Probably

will buy a seven. Hold your nose special sandwich spot of the week. Louisiana Tech plus 38. San Diego State plus one a

half. And then a split unit play. Matt Late night because of the uncertainty with Micah Alah the quarterback for

Hawaii. We’ll go Sam Houston plus 7 half unit and under 48 and a half in Sam

Houston Hawaii half unit as well. All right, that’s going to do it for this

week on the podcast. As a reminder, three episodes each and every week. The

numbers have been amazing, Matt, as we have climbed up the charts. Last week in the top 75 of the iTunes chart, which is

pretty cool to see, and hopefully we can keep that momentum going. Continue to give us those five-star reviews. It

helps us out as we continue to try to build this. We’ll be back early next week with an episode with Adam Burke,

then Brett Seiania and Wes Reynolds Midweek, and Matt and myself every Thursday here on this podcast. Thanks to

Ryan Hunter and Wyatt, our producer of this pod. And you can also check this out lastly on YouTube, YouTube.comlive,

if you want to watch the podcast with graphics and all of that fun stuff as well. For Matt, I’m Tim. Let’s have

ourselves a winning week. This is the VSIN college football betting podcast. [Music]