Follow the Money Podcast: Inside Today’s Winning Sports Betting Strategies

Urban City Podcast Group — Sat, 06 Sep 2025 00:14:15 +0000

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This is Bend, the sports betting network. Always

follow the money. Follow the money. That’s what I always say. You can always follow the money. This is Follow the Money with Mitch Moss

and Paulie Howard on VN. Here we go. It is Follow the Money on

VON, the sports betting network. Mitch Moss, Paulie Howard with you here on a football Friday live downtown Las Vegas

from the Circa Resort and Casino, the biggest sports book in the entire world.

And we are loaded today. We will hit the week one slate in the National Football League. Latest point spreads, totals,

player props, survivor angles, injuries, college football games today. Who is on

upset alert this weekend? Chuck Edel on the program coming up in 30 minutes. He is the defending circa Friday Night

Football Invitational champion. He was two and one with us last week. He specializes in college totals. Both of

his winners were on totals last week. Mike Sich host in an hour his best bets for week

one. And uh we will talk Chiefs Chargers many times today throughout the show and

uh in 90 minutes that’s with Todd Lebo who covers the Chiefs for Sports Radio

810 in Kansas City. Paulie and that’s where we are going to begin. We will get to what happened last night at the back

end of uh win lose in this hour. But on the screen right now, Chiefs holding

steady as a three-point favorite. Uh I do see one three and a half out there as we speak. It looks like FanDuel has

minus 118 on the three. Most other spots are flat and uh the total now up to 47

and a half. A common narrative of course that you hear leading into every single season is how big is that Super Bowl

hangover going to be for the team that lost it. Well, how about this? Super Bowl losers have won six of their last

eight season opening games. Four and four ATS. It was really before this

current stretch when it uh was abysmal. They lost 12 of the previous 17 and they are two two and 15 ATS. So that common

narrative um early part of the century kind of out the window here lately and

you know we get into some of these numbers here but Andy Reid is also like dynamite in week one when he’s on the road. Paul

I mean they I I played them uh money line and I think they’re going to win because they’ve won seven in a row over

the Chargers and they’ve won 17 consecutive one score games and every time it’s close the Chargers find a way

to blow it 0 and N the last two years in games decided by three points or fewer. So, the games are close, but Kansas City

finds a way to pull it out. They’re going to try to win the division nine years in a row and get back to the Super

Bowl. So, you are exactly right with Reed. You’re right with the dominance in the division 51-9 against a division

going back. And I just think they’ll be able to have success moving the ball against this Chargers defense, which I

felt was kind of phony last year. We’ll get into the numbers coming up, but they only allowed 17 points per game. And now

you’re worried about, you know, Slater’s out, Beckton sick. I think there’s too much going on. And I think the Chiefs will come out of there victorious

tonight and get the win and cover. Yeah, when you look at uh the scores from last year, both of them really low scoring, 1917 the second time, 17-10 the

first time around, and the total now beefed up here to 47 a half. Uh Kansas City ran the ball a lot in those games.

Um in fact, they were running it like 25 times. They didn’t have a ton of success. The first game was 25 for 96.

the second game combined. Overall, they ran it 26 times for 101 yards and one

touchdown. The Chargers overall last year were an easy team to run the ball on, and that should in theory be the

case this year based on their overall talent. Um, and also, you know, they did

I I don’t want to say that they like went way over their skis with expectations last year because their win

total was either eight and a half or nine and they won 11. But also, they had like the easiest schedule based on teams

that they were playing in the entire league. It was super easy. Plus, they had a plus 12 turnover margin, which you

figure probably will not repeat this year. Yeah. And more now on Andy Reid overall, when the spread is in this range. So, with

Kansas City and the Chiefs are between a three-point dog and a three-point favorite, which is what they are

tonight, they are 50 24-1 ATS in those games. And how about this? in week one

on the road with Andy Reid as their head coach. This is neutral, but I’d still consider it like a road game for him.

They are 6 and0 ATS with Reed on the road in week one. I mean, this guy, the

whole thing about his career has been he’s like the best coach ever off a buy and you always want to be looking at

betting on his teams after a buy. That also like factors into like he has the entire off seasonason to prepare.

Y and so they come out in week one and they just, you know, are they’ve been automatic pretty much in this spot. Here’s what I was reading in the summer

about Warren Sharp and a Chargers defense. They played the sixth easiest schedule of offenses and the six easiest

schedule of quarterbacks. So, the numbers were phony and a little bit fugazy. Mchu benched young benched

Fields benched Knicks rookie. The heer Rattler combo Winston Levvice

May O’Connell. Who beat them? Mahomes, Murray, Jackson, Mahomes again, Mayfield

lit him up. Burrow lit them up, but they won the game. So that’s a one and five record against above average

quarterbacks. So again, I think just based on they always find a way to win.

They’ve owned them in the last seven. This the luck factor in the 17 consecutive one-score games, the fact

what this defense did against good quarterbacks. And it’s a great discussion, too, cuz I like him and you

like him. This is a game that Herbert usually doesn’t win. This guy is now 41 and 40, his career record as a

quarterback, and I know he’s had some bad coaches, but that stench and stink, but what happened in the playoff lost to

Houston when they were expected to win and and four interceptions and a pick six. He’s got to play well in these big

games and when the spotlight’s on, he’s got to uh do well and move the ball here and get a big win and see if he can get

a playoff win and take this organization to the next level. Yeah, I’m going to let this total breathe for a little longer.

That’s a good That’s a good I am with you on that one because if it if it keeps going up and it touches like 48 and a half or somehow like a 49, I’ll be looking at playing

the under. the last six times that these two teams have played, the under is 5-1 overall and going to be like more we saw

last year with like the lack of explosiveness um with Kansas City in the air and again like I talked about the

last two times that they played meaning last year they ran the ball more than 50 times combined in those two games and

Jim Harbaugh is a run first coach for sure. I just think we’re going to see potentially like maybe longer

possessions. Again, the divisional famili familiarity between these two teams could come into exist and more of

kind of like a grind out type of game rather than like an aerial shootout here that I think the market is kind of

expecting by bumping this total up. Well, you don’t know about the field either. It was a mess last year, although it was a high-scoring game, but

it’s, you know, if these guys are slipping out there on defense, it’s I got to see how that works as well. one

respected group uh bet the over earlier in the week as well was responsible for the move and plus it’s been a um

ATM machine going back chief second half unders and fourth quarter unders going back the last couple years too the

second half unders are 71% since 2023 for Kansas City and oh by the way Paulie based on what

you just said there’s nothing wrong with waiting to watch the game with your own eyes tonight to see if the field conditions are going

to be a problem or if they have it corrected from a year ago and you can maybe get involved with a total early if you see something like it’s not going to

be a problem or oh my god, here we go again. It’s going to be the Eagles Packers all over again. Uh have you done anything yet with Xavier Worley’s uh

Worley’s rushing prop? Yeah, over three and a half. You got over three and a half and a half. Yes. That’s a really It moved up.

Yeah. So, they give him the ball at least once a game. I think he can get that done today. And let let me know what cuz I got a question for you.

Okay. Cuz he had at least one rush in 14 out of 20 games last year. That includes the playoffs. Uh I I I graded this at

four and a half. 11 overs to that number last year against the Chargers. For what

it’s worth, he had zero carries in one game and one carry for five yards in the other. Go ahead. What’s your question? Well, no, Rice. So, I think he’s a big

part of the offense and they’ll see some uh imagination and creativity. So, what’s going on with the Chargers tight

end situation? So, you look and Dley’s number one and Conklin’s number two, but

Conklin’s got higher props. Anytime touchdown, receptions, yards,

all of it. Made a nice rapport last year with this league. He did and he was the bee’s knees for a couple weeks. So now even though he’s listed

ahead of him on the depth chart, the draft kings and some of most of the numbers are saying Conklin is going to

be the guy and not Dly here from a prop standpoint. Yeah. Okay. Good observation cuz I mean honestly like my head tells me the first

guy to look at there would be Dley. He’s very low at a manageable number of 15 and a half. Yeah. Yeah. That’s that’s two catches and he’s

going to go over that. But again, like what are the projected snaps for him compared to Conklin in the game tonight?

And by the way, they could go double tight end. So, both guys are going to get action here a lot in this game just

based on the Chargers injuries um on the offensive line. Mhm. Cuz they’re they’re probably going to need extra protection here uh for

Herbert when they’re going to be throwing the football. And I’m also which leads me to their pick overall in the first round

this past year, Omari and Hampton. Like what does his usage look like? I was looking at rushing attempts for him

tonight in the game. It’s 11 and a half, but now it’s getting a little juicy to the over. If you go back and look at

attempts by the lead back for the Chargers last year, now there was a split early on between Dobbins and

Edwards. Week one, it was 1110. Week two, they controlled Carolina the entire

time. It was 1817. And then from week three on, the lead back had 15, 14, 25, 14, 17, 14, 15, 11

carries all the way until late in the season. Mhm. And when they got in front of these teams, they were running the ball a ton.

So, do they get the lead tonight? And maybe that would be something that you could watch in play cuz with a lead, I’d want to bet Hampton’s attempts over. But

I also I’m trying to figure out like what’s going to be the split with Harris cuz he’s good to go. Yeah, I know. But he’s got the eye with

the fireworks with the fireworks incident in the eye. So, I don’t know how big they’ve been keeping that quiet.

Do you trust Harbaugh at all with whatever he says? No. And plus Beckton’s got the flu. That’s that’s another thing with the

offensive line. Yeah. Yeah. because I want to bet Hampton over 11 and a half, but I I you know, maybe that’s a again look for something live

or you’re better off waiting till you have a little bit more data here in the season to see how how that backfield split’s going to be.

I’m right back on the kickers. Dicker Dicker over one and a half. Yep. Well, be careful with the field on this

though. But if we have a good field, I think Dicker’s automatic play here. Top five worst beat with Elliot from 58.

Oh, how bad is that? One of the That’s a horrific beat. The fact that they even tried it. I know he made one the whole year. We got

Aubrey 53 in our back pocket. Sitting there the whole time. I was counting the money. Elliot from 58. Oh, it’s unbeliev. NFL

season underway and the edge goes to those with the best data. VSON Pro delivers real time. DK and circa betting

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with an annual subscription. von.com/subscribe today. Get in. Join the team, the prop analyzer, the website’s fire, all the

betting systems, bson.com/subscribe. Jump on board. We will dive into the Sunday slate

coming up next. Divisional dogs in this spot are almost 68% ATS going back more

than a decade. I will give you those details next here on Vsson.

If you’re serious about football betting, VS’s got your weekend game plan. Fridays at 7:00 p.m., it’s the

Circa Friday Football Invitational. Saturday morning, Von’s College Football Tailgate Show at 9:00 a.m. breaking down

matchups, props, and big time bets. Later that night, join the football contest show as the sharpest betting

minds give you their picks for Sunday’s game. And Sunday at 9:00 a.m., lock in with Mitch and Paulie on Von’s Pro

Football Tailgate Show. Your final stop before kickoff. Check out the full lineup at von.com and join us on the

Sports Betting Network. So Paulie, have you had a chance to read the VSON daily yet? Yeah, came in at 3:00 a.m. What’s Bill

doing up that late? Well, rumor has it it starts off with a 12-hour meditation session.

Then he just pours himself over film and live TV. Really focusing and taking it

all in. Bill’s in with the biggest insiders

talking trade secrets, strategies, the whole nine. Absorbing the info.

And then and only then can the writing process begin.

In Las Vegas, Bill’s late night becomes your early morning. Wake up to the very

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On the next, a numbers game. It is Monday. You know what that means during the NFL season. Guessing lines, a

tradition unlike any other. The object of this exercise to try to extract value from the upcoming week’s NFL lines. I

have not seen them. We recap last week’s games. We analyze the upcoming matchups. I guess Kelly tells me what the real

line is and we try to find the value within. Interactive guessing lines on

Mondays. A numbers game right here at Bon the Sports Betting Network.

Oh my

god.

Heat. Heat.

This is follow the money on V6. Sam, it’s good to have you on board. Thanks

for watching today on YouTube TV, listening on SiriusXM channel 158 or on any of the fine terrestrial radio

stations where you can find VSON coast to coast. Uh onto the games to uh coming up on Sunday. Steelers are playing at

the Jets on the screen right now. Two and a halfs out there on the Steelers still threes various juice definitely

shop around total. uh ticking down Paulie. I see some 38 and 1 halfs out

there, but I also see it as low as 37 1/2 and that uh you know when you expect a grind out game that can be in that key

number kind of range. Mike Tomlin, most of these numbers today are going to be from vin.com along with

uh maybe some other outlets as well, but the website here with the network is so good. Mike Tomlin 32-9

under the total as a road favorite. Yes. But as a favorite overall since

2018, 23 and 30 ATS, the totals have been at pure gold with this guy.

Yeah, I’m with our guy Phil Helmouth on this one. I I just don’t see how the Jets are going to score. And the other thing is the magic number is 21. This

from Evan Abrams. During his career, when the opponent scores more than 20 points, Fields is 0 and 21 straight up.

Hello. Can’t score, can’t throw. fall behind early, forced to play catchup. No good.

12 and 29 straight up. His career in the NFL. Should be some heat on Tomlin. Doesn’t

have a playoff win in in eight seasons. That’s unacceptable. So, I think uh Rogers is going to have a good year. I

think Metaf is going to have a monster year. I love the acquisition of Smith. I want to see how that looks. So, I don’t

want to cuz I know he was a target monster and how good he was in Miami, but I love the tight ends. I think the

running game will be fine. Can they protect Rogers? But I just don’t think there’s anything that the the Jets can

do with the lack of a passing game. Horrible, terrible news now with Tucker out for the year as well.

Oh yeah, big time. You lose an offensive lineman for the season. Uh that just happened the other day, but I think they’ll I

don’t I think they can get to 21 points and then that’s all she wrote. And I I think the Steelers are going to come

away with the W here to start. Rookie head coaches not great covering spreads at home over the last decade.

45.9% that’s 146 172 and 10 pushes overall.

That is what Aaron Glenn is looking at here in this game. I did bet Caleb Johnson earlier in this week over 17 and

a half rushing yards based on the number. And I am considering Steelers

in a in an ATS pickum contest. Yeah. And one of my partners wants to use him in Survivor. We’ll see how that

conversation goes over the next 24 hours. Metaf too low 53 and a half.

Well, I mean, the Jets do have a pretty good defense still. I’m not going to say it’s elite. I was absolutely

hoodwinkedked by all these out outlets last year telling me how good the defense was going into the season. They’re terrible.

Best secondary, best linebackers, best front seven. I fell for it and they were below average.

Yeah. So, um, Bengals at the Browns. This one I find ex uh extremely intriguing. Now,

how about this? Week one divisional home dogs since 2009.

18 10-2 straight up 24 and 6 ATS. Hello

plus 5 1/2. For what it’s worth, the Bengals in this

spot as a road favorite between three and seven points since 2015 are 17-1 straight up in ATS.

And Zack Taylor in this spot as a favorite between three and seven points. 20 and five straight up and uh ATS right

around that same number. I can’t get there with the Bengals, though. Oh, really? No, I can’t do it. There’s no way. Yeah,

you can I think I can I think Flaco can have a big year and he have a big a big game

rather uh to in this one. The other thing you got to consider is the it’s like the Colts Cleveland’s horrendous

week one. 323 and one straight up since 95. Oh god. So now you bring in Golden

supposed to help out fix this defense which was so bad. You got off to the slow start. You couldn’t win close

games. Burrow with an alltime year. Chase with an all-time year, still went nine and eight and couldn’t get in

there. But the fact that he has to give you pause, you’re right, what goes on with Taylor always with the slow starts,

but I think finally playing the guys in the preseason will get them over the hump here. And most people think the

Browns are either the worst team or the second worst team in the league. But first things first is can you

can you at least have a average or just not a horrendous defense and if you can slow down uh Flaco in this one. But I I

can’t I can’t recommend the Browns even though that that’s been so strong and everyone’s been talking about it for two weeks how great that’s been with uh home

dogs week one in the division. I’m 90% that I’m going to be on the Browns in an ATS contest over here. Um

here’s also another factor for this game to consider. Now, the Bengals, when you go back to last year, they allowed the

most receptions to tight ends per game and the third most receiving yards. Well, what does that mean for Cleveland?

David and Jooko, when you go back and look, when he played with Joe Flacco in 2023, the first game, not much. Two

catches, six yards. Okay, not going to get the job done. After that, and this will include the playoff game against uh

Houston when they got blown out. Injoku 6 for 91 two touchdowns 10 for 104 and a

touchdown 6 for 44 and a touchdown 6 for 134 in the final game of the regular

season and in the playoff loss to Houston 7 for 93 now it’s it’s a high

number this week it’s upper 40s but if Flaco has anything left

Uhhuh. Again, this is two years ago, so he might not. I don’t know. But if he has anything left specifically against

this really bad defense, don’t you want to target Injoku like in player props? And I haven’t seen

anything for the rookie, but Harold Fannon as well. That’s I would love Fannon. Yeah. Yeah. I did not see books posted earlier.

The other thing too, Cleveland went under their team total 14 of the 17 games last year. So, how bad that

offense was, but get some flacko fever, maybe a little magic, and what happened a couple years ago shocked everyone. So,

we’ll see if they’re able to do it here and at least keep it competitive and close. Uh, and then it’s an intriguing

game, but again, everyone’s been talking about the divisional dog numbers and uh how far you want to go back. But there’s

the 23 and seven since 2010 and then the MAC numbers, which Mitch just talked about going back since 2009, the 80%

run, right? So, those are home dogs. What about divisional road dogs? Well, then we’re talking Giants and Commanders.

Divisional Road Dogs catching 6.5. 6.5, listen to me, 6 1/2 points or fewer

are 17 and 14 straight up, 21 10-1 ATS since 2013. That’s 67.7%.

The Giants are also 5-2 straight up, 6-1 ATS. Last seven trips to Washington.

Brian Dable 19-8 under the total as a single-digit dog. and the commanders

here since 2017. I get it. New regime, new quarterback from last year, new coaching staff, but at uh against

divisional opponents, 16 and 32 ATS

too popular. A lot of good points on X about no one’s picking Washington. Uh that’s fair. A lot of Giants love they were so good

in the preseason. Also their issues in week one. They’ve lost five of the last six week one and they’ve been blown out

most of them. Remember last two years? Hello. the Dallas game what happened against Minnesota Danny Dimes the pick

six early that was pathetic. So I do like Scataboo anytime touchdown at plus

310 but uh you know a lot of this the variance the luck factor and can this

fourth down stuff continue with Washington love Quinn love Kingsberry I don’t think there’ll be regression with

Daniels but the whole McLaren situation as well what does Debo have left in the tank I just think and you I’m coming

around here I think the Giants can have a nasty defense I’m with you with Carter

and Tibs oh they’re going to have one of the best front fours in the entire league. Yeah. Yeah, Burns that they added.

That’s right. Tibido. You brought you Tibs. Okay. Sure. And they got they have weapons on offense now. We’ll see if the long shot

to neighbors is a good connection and that works out for them. So, I’d like to see the Giants hang in this one and and

see if they have can surprise a lot of people, but certainly the future’s bright for the Giants. But, uh, it does

give me pause with all the week one issues and how bad this organization has been. Not only week one, but all the

slow starts. Every year you, oh boy, the Giants are one and five again. What app season’s over? Oh, they’re one and four.

Another another poor start. So on on the screen right now, we’re looking at the betting splits. So you can look at at uh Circa and also

DraftKings. By the way, get this at von.com when you become a subscriber. von.com/subscribe.

You can check out uh the betting splits at these two sports books on every sport that they have. 90% of the handle on the

Giants here in Circa. But it’s early in the week yet, so that’ll correct itself um by kickoff,

I’m guessing. But I I told my one partner who uh in Survivor who wants to play the Commanders, I said, “You’re

going to have to fly to Las Vegas, wrestle me to the to the ground, and break my legs if you want me to submit

Washington in a Survivor play. There’s no way I’m doing it.” Yeah. Well, I’ll look elsewhere. And I My wife

is in the contest this year. All right. So, now she’s picking my brain. And I said, “If I give If you ask me for

advice and it loses and if you blame me for one second, we’re done. We’re finished.” Yeah. Uh I didn’t go that far, but I did say,

“You can’t do that. You can’t blame me if I give you a pick and loses. And I said, “Look, you can take Washington might win 30 to nothing. I don’t know.

Nobody knows, but there’s no way know how I’m playing them.” She wanted my advice in the game. That’s what I told

her and that’s what I’m telling the audience right now. Yeah. Okay. I hope they can hang around. I’ve done a 180 on them. So, I hope I

hope the Giants can make this interesting. Uh, our betting splits cut through the noise, pulling real-time data straight from Circ and DraftKings.

They track the percentage of bets and handle on every game across every major sport to make sharper, more informed

bets. Start your edge today just $9.99 to vent.com/subscribe von.com/subscribe.

Where are we at here with the T? What’s going on? Alcarz won the first set. Three nothing Joker in the second set.

Okay, we got a good one here. All right, the rally is on, eh? Yes.

$4 Alcarez almost. Big one. Did you bet this at all?

No, just wanted to watch it. I can’t believe they’re starting it at Pacific and the center match is at is at 4. I’ll say one thing. The uh the Osaka

match last night was awesome. I enjoyed it.

This was empty. I get it’s midnight, but come on. All right, Chuck Edel on the program coming up next. Two and one last

week, both of his uh college totals cashed. Who was he on this week? Find out with us coming up on Follow the

Money. It’s Vind Sports Betting Network.

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Ooh. Heat.

Heat.

by high by high by high by high by high by high by high by high by high by high by high

Heat. Heat. N.

Heat. Hey, heat. Hey, heat.

This is Bend, the sports betting network.

This is Follow the Money on Vand. By the way, coming up tonight after us,

7:00 Eastern, 4:00 out here on the West Coast, it is week one of the Circa Friday Football Invitational. Matt

Humans and 25 handicappers go for Derek Stevens money that he is putting up at

the end of the year. And uh it’s a fun contest, a lot of great action in it, a lot of great handicappers that you can

trust throughout the year. uh none other than this guy. I mean uh no more than this guy that we have on the program

right now as professional sports better Chuck Edel joins the program and he is going to be on tonight following us at 7

o’clock Eastern, 4:00 Pacific for a full hour with Matt Humans right here on VON. Chuck, uh thanks for the time as always.

How are you today? I’m doing great. Uh thanks for having me. Two and one last week in this spot. Uh,

three college games obviously as the NFL wasn’t back quite yet and 2 and 0 with your totals. Surprise, surprise. You

love going at it with the college football totals. And what do you want to do this week? Uh, this is the what the

the noon kickoff on Fox tomorrow. So, it’s Iowa and Iowa State. Always a

mustwatch between these two teams. They know each other obviously exceedingly well. The total here on the screen,

Chuck, between 42 and a half and 43 and a half. Uh, what do you want to do with

this game? Yeah, I’m going to go against the grain what you normally would think here, but

I I am going to go over in the game. Uh, this is a different type of Iowa team than we’ve been watching for for a while

now. They have uh they they have a quarterback and they haven’t had a quarterback for for a long, you know,

for a long time. I can’t remember how long it’s been, but they got uh Granowski here at the quarterback. He he

played for South Dakota State. Uh transferred over here. won the championship with with South Dakota

State over there and they’re finally going to have some confidence in offense in throwing the ball and uh you know

they’re going to play faster. You know, they played last week. Now, they beat Albany, but they they they ran 69 plays.

It was against Albany, but they weren’t rushing to play, you know, and you know, they had a nice lead most the whole

game. They dominated the game. Last year, Iowa was one of the slowest teams in the country. So, compared to that 69

plays they ran in that Albany game, they ran 58 plays a game they averaged last year. And, you know, that’s that’s a big

difference. Now, when they’re playing a competitive game here in Iowa State, I expect them to, you know, reach right

around that 6970 mark. Iowa State, meanwhile, they do play at at a good

pace. Uh they average 70 and a half plays a game this year. It’s only two games, but that’s about what they

averaged last year. 31 points a game they average in in for the season. And

listen, this this Iowa State, it’s going to be a good good game. Iowa State as their quarterback who played well last year, Roco Beck, he threw 25 touchdowns

last year. So, you know, the total was 35 last year. So, it has they have made it adjustments obviously, but I think

they’re I think uh they haven’t adjusted quite uh enough for this one. I you

know, they’re still looking at the slow play, methodical play of Iowa, how they like to just run the ball and and use

the clock. So, I think they’re a little off on the number here and I I think you going forward you probably won’t be able

to get the number, you know, as low as it is right now. So, I’m going to go over that total. All right. Very good. Another total NFL

now. Rams against the Texans. Texans have a great defense. Rams also defense

was phenomenal down the stretch. The concerns about Stafford’s back says he’s good to go. We’ll see what happens if

there’s a big hit on him. You played under 44 in this game. Take us through your thoughts on this one.

Yeah, like you said, Paulie, I mean, Stafford’s been dealing with the bad back all summer. You know, the he he’s

37 years old now, so he’s not getting any younger and uh obviously there’s a lot of talk he’s got two good wide

receivers with Nua and Adams and and there’s a lot of hype and I think that also helped push the lineup a little

bit, but uh they’re going to be tested by a really strong Houston defense. Houston,

you know, they they rush the passer. They play very good in the secondary. They were fourth in the NFL last year in

sacks. They were first in defensive completion percentage holding teams down. So, uh, Stafford’s going to get

hit. You know, we’ll see how he responds. But with this Houston, you know, with this Houston defense, that’s

the strength of their team right now. Uh, I I believe that Stafford is, you know, definitely going to be running for

his life a little bit. They can run the ball the Rams a little bit, too. You, you know, and and Stafford when healthy

has looked good. But Houston, even against the top offenses last year, really kind of kept those teams in

check. It was basically their offense, Houston, that struggled. You know, they the offensive line last year was

terrible and and and Straoud was running for his life. They did rebuild the offensive line this year, but it’s it’s

still a work in progress. It’s going to take them time to gel and uh I don’t think that uh you know that that they’re

going to have a lot of success against a Rams young defense, an improving defense. And you got Mixon’s out. Chubs

in. I’m hearing Chub’s not 100%. He’s going to play, but he’s not the running back that we’ve been seeing over the uh,

you know, over the, you know, before he got injured. And, uh, so I I do like this game to go under the total.

All right. Very good. You know, I was looking uh, based on a lot of the stuff you were saying right there. And when I was looking into this game earlier this

morning, I was looking for a prop in this game, Chuck, on how many combined sacks we would get in this game. I looked at countless sports books. I

didn’t see one. I think both quarterbacks are going to be under some uh pressure here. I agree. You’ll see it up. You’ll see it

up either tomorrow or Sunday. And you know, it’s probably going to be in the four four and a half range. I I agree with you there on the I think both the

defenses here are going to are going to put pressure on the quarterbacks. We’ll see how this Houston offensive line, you

know, they really struggled last year. They they did change a lot of guys around, but the offensive line is one

thing. It it takes a lot of chemistry. It takes a while for them to gel. So, we’ll see how they go. You know, Rams

have that young aggressive defense, too. They’ll be tested. All right. It’s all about cash and tickets, and I know uh we love that

you’re a Chicago guy and uh you love the Cubs. So, is it might be difficult here

to get to the window on the Packers. As a Chicago guy, are you buying the Packers hype and the second choice to

win the NFC now after they acquire Parsons? And what does that mean for week one, laying two, three at home

against the Lions? Yeah, I mean the first thing here with

the, you know, with the Lions, I’m looking at maybe I think the Lions are going to drop down a little bit here. I

I you know, the loss of coordinators and obviously Ben Johnson a big loss.

Uh he you know, he called the plays last year. He had a very creative offense and you know, I expect I expect their

offense not to be, you know, as they were last year. I mean, they he you know, they he had the talent there and

they still do have the talent. They did lose some guys on the offensive line, but I think uh they’re going to drop

down a notch with both coordinators being gone. And uh they got, you know, you know, the one thing Green Bay did do

and part of the reasons they did get Parsons, Green Bay knows they have to beat Detroit. They they’re trying to

build the team now to build Detroit. G he struggles when there is pass pressure

on him. I mean, if he if you give him time, he’s one of those guys who could beat you up really good. But if you

could figure out a way to put pressure on golf, and I think that’s when they bring Parsons in, I think that’s the

main reason they bring him in because to put pressure on him. I’m hoping he’s going to play, you know, decent amount.

He’ll probably play in the passing situations this game Sunday. He’s not going to, you know, he’s still, you

know, basically missed the whole, you know, preseason. He, you know, so he he’s still getting in shape, but you

you’ll he he’ll be out there. I know there was a lot of talk about his injury and stuff, but he’ll be out there playing and uh I think that we’ll see

here. I I like the Green Bay. I love the floor as a coach. I think he’s one of the more underrated coaches out there. I

and I give a big coaching edge here to the floor, you know, in in the game, period. And uh the Green Bay at home, I

I think that uh you know, it looks like a solid two out there right now. And that’s kind of what I laid I was a little late to the dance, but I do like

Green Bay in this one. Very strong. So, when you’re on tonight, 7 o’clock Eastern, four o’clock Pacific. Uh, can you tease the audience here how

many college totals you’re going to have for the contest? Yeah, I I’m gonna they they they only

let us have four totals on the uh for the contest. That’s you only could use up to four totals and I’ll have four

totals. Well, very good, Chuck. That’ll rule. That’s what it is. Yeah, sure. They

snuck that into the fine print on you, Chuck. Geez. Uh, all right, pal. Thanks for totals next week, too. I’ll have some

totals for for us here next week as well. I just was a little behind on my work, but we’ll have some totals next

week. Very good. I can’t wait to watch uh and figure out what you’re going to be on tonight. Thanks for the time. Good luck.

Thank you. All right. So, he won it last year. By the way, if you want to be in the Average Joe contest, this thing has

absolutely exploded this year, Paulie, with how big this has gotten. If you win the Average Joe contest, you get

in the Friday Night Invitational with guys like Chuck Edel automatically next year. You could qualify automatically. You’re

in. Huge. Go to von.com/joeto today. It’s free to play weekly and

quarterly prizes. Again, the winner that’s think about that for a second. Not only will you have like the bragging

rights this year, you can win some of those prizes, which are awesome. Go to von.com/jo to check it out for yourself,

but then if you win it, you get to play in it. And by the way, Weston, guy in

the cornfield, friend of the show, he was the first participant in it two years ago, right? When they said, “Maybe

we should have an average Joe in there.” Weston got in, did really well. Guess how he backed it up last year. What was

it? A top five finish out of Weston a year ago. So, phenomenal stuff and uh like more

than 3,000 again. Way more than 3,000. But be in it. And if you’re the best, that’s going to be like pounding your

chest time for the as long as you’re alive. These late games are so good. And the fact that Detroit has won three in a row

in Lambo and beat Green Bay six of the last seven. I mean, Salpal had that great point Wednesday. You know, Packers

were a playoff team. They went 1 and5 inside the division. And both coaches have been great to start. Campbell 11

and three ATS in September. And Laflur 15-3 ATS first three games of the

season. What a matchup to start. All right, up next, we’ll get to win some, lose some. Will the uh we’re going

to discuss the aftershocks felt felt from the Cowboys Eagles game last night. How bad was the beat on the over? How

about this? It was 172-1 over the last 20 years under this scenario. You can make it 172 and two. Paulie with all the

details coming up next here on Vsson.

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Check out Stormmy and JBT on Money Moves, only on VON. And maybe that’s why they wouldn’t

because they’re the Giants and they don’t do things that make sense. Out of all these divisions, this is the one that I am the most curious about because

I do think there are positive signs for the Bears. They’ll take you on a fun, fast-paced journey, weaving in everything you need

to know to make an educated bet while also not shying away from the excitement of a same game parlay sweat. Money moves

weekdays at 2 p.m. Eastern on VSON, the sports betting network.

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Win some, lose some is sponsored by the Sharp Plays. Were you a winner last night? Wow. Winning.

Or was it a rough one? Well, they can’t all be winners, can they? Loser. You’re a loser. Paulie Howard recaps the night in sports

betting in winome, lose some. We had it all. A 1-hour delay. Carter rejected before the first play.

Looked like the Cowboys were going to come back. Big tickets cash too. Scoreless quarter

plus 410 here at circa. Most rushing yards in the game. Herz 10 to1. First

touchdown Williams 13 to1. Two touchdowns. 15 to1. Both teams to score

in the first quarter. Yes. Plus 145. Eagles win between 1 and seven points plus 240.

No touchdown passes in the game. Good job by Shelby by the way who runs

the uh fans of VO Facebook page. Nice bet on Williams at 15 to1 to hit those

two touchdowns. Yep. Got it coming up. Eagles uh Herz no touchdown 3 to one. Zack Dak no

touchdowns plus 320. Dak no interception plus 140. One turnover in the game. Dak

made an incredible tackle. It’s probably a house call. Scoop and score. The big Sanders fumble.

I think because of the deflections last night as well, he probably could have had like three INTs that were not his fault. Yeah.

But I know you have the Lamb here too. Lamb could have had 200 yards last night. Absolutely. Dallas should have won that game.

Easily could have won it. He had three drops. I like what Collinssworth said at the end. Tough catch, but catch a ball.

Yeah, that was a very difficult catch, but the one where Dak hit him just in stride. It was such a Oh,

yeah. I mean, they’re in the red zone with a chance to win. He drops it. Hurts two touchdowns plus 320.

And the Aces did it again. We love the spot. We mentioned that briefly yesterday. They’d won 12 in a row. They

were home dogs against the Lyns. The last loss was the worst home loss in the history of the WNBA. And I can’t I

didn’t see a price on this. Golden State clenched a playoff spot. I think that’s the first expansion team in WNBA history

to make them to make it, but I didn’t see a price on it. Subscribe, be part of the team, be bon.com, our radio and

podcast friends. You always want to see these tweets and videos at Paulie does Vegas on Instagram. Send them in. We’ll

put you on. Here you go, Shelby. Great job. won $4,000 on that. Williams, two

touchdowns and the under one and a half shorts touchdown cashes. No problem.

Great job to cash that. Good job. Phil Helmuth in studio yesterday. I couldn’t

believe this. We asked him could he stick around for another segment. He goes, “No, I have to catch a flight.” 3:30. He got out of here at what? 2:55.

250. He got out of here. Well, he said right there he left at 2:43. So, are you saying like what time did he actually

get in the taxi at circa? Yes, probably about 2:50 or something like that. Yeah, he made it to the airport in time.

That’s got to be at that time of day. That’s got to be a 25minute trip. I thought for sure he was flying JSX or

something. 100%. I mean, it’s the Southwest. There he is. Great job, Poker Brat. Well done. And all the

halibit talk yesterday. My cousin Mikey, you we I think we have a record here.

170. How 177 is it? It’s a teenager who caught it. Yeah. The fish is uh I don’t know one and a half times bigger than he is.

Look at the size of that thing. That That is Well done. Oh my god. Oh my. What a what a thrill.

How long does it take to reel that thing in? I I mean it took me 15. And when we were fishing and I caught that one, we were

in I believe 300 ft of water. So you got to be out there like in, you know, deep sea basically.

Yeah. So, it’s going to take I mean, if if the fish if that fish is 177 lbs, how

much is the kid to his left? Mhm. 140, right? Maybe it’s going to take him It’s got to

be at least a half close to a half an hour if he didn’t get any help. Deep sea fishing Paul 177 lb halibit

outweighs him. Could be a world record. Thanks for Dan who sent it in. That is the best eating fish uh there is

in my opinion. Yeah, I love it. Randy McKay did it again in town for the signups, all the

contest. He’s in Grand Dimo. He sits down before the Cowboys game. Delt four to the Royal, $5 denomination. He gets

it. $20,000. Okay. Now, would you like the story on this? The the brief background story on

this? Sure. So, I hung out here at Circa after our show last night to watch at least the first half of the game. I ran into him.

As soon as you text me, he you’re like, “Randy did it again.” 5 minutes later, I saw him walking down here. He’s got a

grin from ear to ear obviously. And I said, “You popped it again.” Yeah. He goes, “You want to know why?” Wilbo

here, big balls. Yeah. Would not allow him behind the fence here or the rope to sit and watch with

Derek. Said there’s no room. Can’t have you. Oh, really? So he said, “Okay, whatever.” Decided to

go upstairs in high limits cuz there’s a TV up there in high limit. He sat at one of the machines so we could see the TV and that’s the reason why he hit it.

Unbelievable. McKay, are you kidding me? Yeah. And last year he comes to town, he hits a $20,000 Royal here. He goes

across the street to the gate and hits one for 8,000. Lose some. Delt four, by the way. You knew he was

going to pop it. I never get that. Never. How about Caitlyn Clark out for the season? She played 13 games.

That’s rough. But the groin, it’s a groin injury. Incredible. Oh, lose some video. I I’m afraid of

heights. I I would never do this. Look at this ride. It’s like medieval times. What? Like where the like a damn slash

Lord of the Rings thing going on here and it just spins you over and over and over again. Oh, I’d lose my lunch. I

mean, that is No way. You couldn’t pay me to go on that thing. See, I like rides quite a bit. That doesn’t even look fun. How is that

enjoyable? I know. I I Exactly. We were talking to Big Web and he was out here and his his

girlfriend’s daughter, they were going to bungee jump off the stratosphere again. There’s just no Come on.

It’s a hard pass. No way. Bad beats. Are you kidding me? The over 46 up to 48 whenever you got

it. I mean, there wasn’t a point scored after the delay. Three points in the

second half. It’s the first time in 30 years that on

the first eight drives there were points and then the last eight drives no points scored.

Uh-huh. And what what’s your big boy here? NFL games over the last 20 years with a

total set at less than 50 that had 40 plus points in the first half were 172

and one to the over. Evan Abrams checking in. Yeah. Now 172 and two

in the second half. That’s it’s incredible. We were talking about this uh out here watching the game like what

did no punts pay in the first half. I doubt you could find that but no punts for the game you absolutely could have found and you were looking great at

halftime. That’s right. I think that we got up to like the 68 in play. 69 in play I think

with that total. Longest field goal made in the game. The numbers we ran down yesterday.

Again, Aubre’s the most accurate kicker in history from 50 plus 90% from 50 plus. 53 no problem. And then Elliott

who made one the whole year from 50 plus. He trots him out from 58 which I

couldn’t believe and he nails it. I would have liked the information though before. Oh, it’s a We talked to the

Eagles. It’s a whole different guy. Completely different kicker now. The the camp that he had. Well, either way, but still. But still,

but it doesn’t matter. I’m still betting that at even money. I I just had to laugh that it was a loser. It’s an automatic bet. I’d do it again tonight

if they played again. Yeah, I mean we got 53 banked and I’m we’re sailing sailing to a winner. Tried them

out there for a 58 y. Can’t believe it. Boom. Pirates Dodgers under seven. 5 nothing in the ninth.

Bullpen uh blows it. They won the game, but 5-3 final with Pittsburgh sweeping the Dodgers

before the line moves. Sharp plays already there. They don’t just follow the market. They help move it. You’re not going to outsmart or out muscle

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2011. Documentary results, public logs, transparent receipts. Sharplays.com, trusted by pros, watched by the books.

Visit sharpplays.com and stay ahead of the line. Did you happen to listen to uh Dak Prescott after the game?

I was watching it live. So was I. And immediately, I mean, look,

never BS a BSer. Yes. Right. Just my antenna went up immediately. Like, dude, you played a

great game. You deserve better than that. Your passes were like phenomenal. On point, and CD Lamb kind of let you

down. Yeah. Kind of. What he said in the game right before it happened about spitting uh about Jaylen

Carter, I spit all the time. Probably a thousand a game. Thousand times a game. And you know, I wasn’t spitting at him. I was spitting at the ground. I wasn’t I

was like, get out of my way. I don’t want to spit on my teammates. That kind of thing. When they zoomed in and had that second look of when he spit and he

goes over his like teammates in between their shoulders and like that at him and then he gives him like that look, that

cocky look, but you didn’t do it on purpose. You weren’t trying to like antagonize him

and they got the second spitter. That’s it. Yeah. Go. Now Jaylen Carter, what’s he doing near

the huddle? You could obviously blame him, but so then he retaliates. Prescott’s like, “Did you see that? Come

on, you got to do something.” Well, right in front of the ref. And that’s Yeah, he might get suspended. But I agree. Can you imagine? He misses the first two

games of the game. It could happen. But the other thing is something has to happen to Dak, too. Of course it does.

It’s like, oh, his explanation afterwards was just ridiculous. It was the biggest line of BS since the

Tiger Wood story or maybe Steve Balmer yesterday, whichever one. But that was the same

thing.

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