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NFL Week 2 Sharp Picks & Public Bets: Expert Betting Advice from Vegas Insiders

Urban City Podcast Group — Sun, 14 Sep 2025 19:05:11 +0000

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Major Takeaways:

Sharp vs. Public Disagreement: Experts identify the Broncos vs. Colts game as a major split, with the public heavily backing the Broncos while sharp money is coming in on the Colts.
Books’ Biggest Needs: According to SuperBook’s John Murray, the books need the Titans, Bears, Seahawks, and Panthers to cover their spreads to balance the heavy public money on their opponents.
Top Prop Bet: James Conner’s rushing yards over is a top sharp play, leveraging the Panthers’ historically poor run defense that was exploited in Week 1

What’s going on everyone? It’s Wager Talk last call. I am so excited that we’ve got week two underway and all the

numbers, everything you need to know. It’s all right here on Wager Talk stack show as always today as we’ve got Yanni

the Greek live from Las Vegas taking you behind the counter telling you everything his sharp groups are on.

Carmine also gonna break things down for us. John Murray, Superbook, you know him, you love him. He’s telling us the

needs on the book because if you want to be on the winning side, we always know the book tends to win more than we do.

And then Press, he’s got his show at 1:00 when you can watch Press go live and he could talk about all the

different games on this slate that he’s watching and you can watch him have a meltdown. He’ll talk about the show, he’ll tell you what action he’s on,

stacked and loaded, ready to go. I’ve got some prop edges as well. Let’s start though with the man, Yanni the Greek.

Yanni, happy week two. Good morning. Good morning. Busy morning. Busy morning as always. How was UFC last

night by the way? How’d you Good. I had a good I turned a profit in UFC. Lost in boxing with Canelo. I I hit

the undercard bet but lost my Canelo bet. And uh you know what’s crazy?

I It’s exactly how I expected it to go with the scorecards in his favor. If

only one more round was scored in his direction, it would have been a draw even though he really lost that fight.

Like it was that heavily swayed in his favor in Las Vegas, which is the reason I thought was enough to back Canelo.

Like if he doesn’t get finished, I didn’t think they were going to give Crawford the decision. It came very close to that happening. So that was

wild. But uh overall good. It’s been a good month. Uh still number one in college football, number one college

football combined. So, let’s just keep doing damage. Not all that much coming in early. Usually, I have first quarter

bets by now, first half bets by now. Um, some team totals. I have player props.

Nope. Nope. Nope. Nope. I don’t know. Week two. They’re there. It’s slow. It’s been sides and totals so far and a lot

of baseball this morning. So, I’m thinking it’s going to get busy over the last hour. Oh, okay. So, if we don’t have any of

these smaller markets like first quarter bets and whatnot, where have you seen the most action come in on for sides?

Oh, that that’s pretty easy. Um, here are the biggest sides right now. Uh, the

latest is the Cowboys. Cowboys, Cowboys, Cowboys. Nothing but Cowboy money. Jets,

believe it or not. Um, that’s why that line’s now through that touchdown. The Jets are one of those dogs that are

getting a lot of love early. And who else? Who else? Who? Oh, 49ers. Even

though um that line’s dropped and the wise guys took Arizona. Um uh the

Saints, forgive me, getting all those points because of KD, because of Perie. Um the public doesn’t mind. They’re

still coming in with San Francisco today. And then um Arizona. Arizona is

going to be big risk for the books later because there’s going to be a ton of straight bets, a ton of moneyline

parlays, and a ton of teasers all closing with the Carolina Panthers. And

um yeah, that’s pretty much it. I mean, again, um good spread out action, but

those are the ones attracting the most money so far. Dallas, um

49ers, and I have to say the Arizona Cardinals. biggest risk for the book so

far. The big game of the day is the Eagles and the Chiefs. Where have you seen most

action come in on for that really short one and a half point spread? Exactly. And it’s kind of flipped back

and forth staying around that one. This is a great matchup to be a book maker in

because there’s really little risk. They’re booking good two-way action. Even like with parlays and teasers,

you’re getting good two-way action. So, not much risk at all for the books. Um,

I actually made the Eagles a favorite in the game. I made my total about 45, 45

and a half. Um, so I don’t think I’m going to be able to get down. It’s right around where that number is. I know all

the excitement again is on that Super Bowl rematch. U, but so far what I can tell you is good split two-way action

from the recreational bers and nothing from the Wise guys except they got out ahead on the over. They went over 46 and

a half when that total opened. But pay attention to the um lodge odds logic screen and see if there’s takeback on

that one because again that’s a high-profile standalone more or less late afternoon game that’s going to get

a lot of over money from the recreational bers. I actually just saw my Ravens line move

to 12 and a half spread on the board this week. Yeah. And and here’s the thing. We bet

the Browns earlier in the week at plus Don’t tell me that, Yanni. Yeah. Yeah. at plus 12 and and that line

dropped. Um earlier it was like at my sharper shops I’m even seeing 13 13 and

a half but it was down to like 11 and a half Ariel because we took the points with with um the Browns but since then

they came back with the Ravens and again a lot of that has to do with late injury information that you know the the the

official injury reports don’t come out till later in the week. So, a lot of times betting synders trying to get out

ahead of that information and as it changes, they’re not afraid to get offer on a game. Um, and it looks like that’s

what’s happening. Even though early Brown short money, you’re starting to see that Baltimore sharp money come in

because the public’s not really getting involved in that game. It’s mostly being teased. They’re teasing the Ravens down

um to where, you know, they’ve got to win by one score more or less to cover that teaser. That’s where I’m seeing most of the betting action from the

public um on that game. And they’re betting it over, blindly over. I’m talking eight, nine out of every 10 bets

has been on the over in the Ravens and Browns. Bill wants to know if you’ve got a

teaser for today. Teaser right now here. I would definitely tease the New England Patriots. Um, win or lose, that’s a plus

CV sign. You’re getting them up through three, through six, through seven, and you’re seeing a total that open 45 and a

half. Get that bet down to 43 and a half. So, that’s exactly what you want. You want a a game that’s expected to

have low points. The lower the scoring, the more each point is worth. That’s what you want for your teasers. The only

problem is finding another leg to tie him into. And right now, I would have to go with Tampa on Monday night. Another

perfect setup where the total open 46 and a half. Now, we’re looking at 42 and a half. So, you can’t get a better

teaser than that. Like, that’s a perfect plus CB teaser right now where you tie in New England, you tie in Tampa Bay.

The only thing you got to hope for is that that um Houston line don’t go to three tomorrow. That’s the problem. I’m

seeing two and a halfs minus 12.0. So if it goes to three, it’s no longer a wangable teaser. It’s no longer

advantageous. You’re better off just taking the plus three. That’s the problem. I’m not seeing any other leg

you could really tease today. And they’ve done a really good job of protecting themselves from them teasers

because again, those are very advantageous. You know, you have an edge on it. As long as you’re not laying more than 125 on a six-point teaser, you

could print money. really really got me mad this year and they’re blocking them. So, I live in New York and I use all the

books the like the I use all the legal books here and every year I use my

teasers with DraftK. I place my teasers with DraftKings because they’ve been minus 120. Since DraftKings came to New

York, FanDuel was minus 136. MGM was minus 130. DraftKings have the best number at minus 120. This season, they

have now moved it to minus 136. Yeah, because here’s why. Let me explain to you exactly why. It’s the same reason

on the if you walk through the casino floor on the floor the blackjack is now six to five. It’s no longer three to

two. That little switch of one rule where you no longer pay 3 to2 you’re playing six to five. Most betterers

don’t even acknowledge that. Don’t even understand that. But that change in rule made it to where someone like me can no

longer beat that game where I’m I could beat a game a fair game of blackjack but switching it from three to two to six to

five my edge is gone in teasers by going to 130 the sixpoint teaser is no longer

beatable at 120 you had a 2% edge all you had to do is tease through three

three six and seven and you had a 2% edge your break even was around 74%. if

you’re able to do that, you’re going to hit around 76%. So, they knew you had a 2% edge if you were teasing the right

sides. Well, most weren’t teasing the right numbers. So, DraftKings didn’t care. They had so much recreational

bets, they could keep it at 120 and attract all that teaser action. Eventually, sharp bers took advantage of

that. And that’s why it’s no longer available. If you’re laying 130 on a six-point teaser, you’re now taking the

worst of it. you’re hoping to be the product of good luck because it’s a negative EV bet. There’s negative

expectations on your bet there. Like that’s the math. That’s not my opinion. That’s just how the math plays out.

Uh teaser question. Do you have to play a favorite and an underdog or can you place two favorites and two underdogs?

My man, you could bet two favorites, you could bet two underdogs. It really doesn’t matter. Um just don’t tease

totals. That’s it. And don’t tease across zero. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Don’t go through those

zeros. We don’t go through those zeros. Uh Marley saying, “Hi, Yanni, by the way.” Good morning. Um any Steelers Seahawk advice?

I I like the dog there. I like Seattle. Um listen, the Jets were able to score

on the Steelers. The Steelers got, you know, the that field goal in the end. They got the win, but at the end of the

day, that you’re the Jets are able to move the ball like that on you. I don’t think Seattle, whose offense didn’t look

great, is going to have all that many problems. And defensively, defensively, what I saw out of Seattle last week, all

those turnovers, fumbles, interceptions, and they still limited the offense of

the opposition. I think the Steelers are going to have trouble scoring on Seattle. Um, I like the Seahawks. I I

think that three is a gift. Um, yeah, I like Seattle there, but I’m seeing Shawn Money coming in. They’re pushing that

Steeler from three to juice. I don’t like seeing that. I would have liked to see that two and a half this morning.

So, but I like the Seattle side. I liked a question that the chat also had and I don’t know where it is, but

someone asked, “Is there a side that the public and the Sharps are disagreeing

on?” I’ll tell you, Adam.

Yeah, I have to go Broncos Colts. I have to go Broncos Colts. Um because I’m seeing a lot of one-sided public money

coming in on the Broncos. And again, in the afternoon, there’s not all that many games. Um, that’s Broncos, Broncos,

Broncos. I’m seeing Broncos teasers, moneyline parlays, and uh sharps on the the Colts side. So, that’s definitely

one where it’s sharps on one side, public on the other. Um, yeah, that that’s one for sure that sticks out.

Speaking of that game, there’s going to be a lot of overreactions in week two. We know the public loves to overreact.

Miami looked like dog crap last week. The Colts, they looked great. even though I don’t feel like people really

believe in them. Which teams are we overreacting to? Whether it’s for better or for worse, who should we not

overreact to this week, Yanni? I think the Lions. Uh, you know, all the the just how how bad they look. Lost the

offensive coordinator, lost the defensive coordinator, and then on top of it, you have Green Bay coming out looking phenomenal. They beat the Lions

in game one. They come back, they win on Thursday night against a Washington team, you know, that coming off a great

season. Um, so Detroit’s kind of like that forgotten team right now. I think they win by at least 10 today.

I’m all over. Yeah, they’re my survivor pick this week for a lot of spots. I I picked them in my

pickup pool. I don’t normally love to lay close to a touchdown. The Lions matchup, I don’t believe that the Bears

run D was as good as it was last week in week one. Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, they aren’t as good and dynamic and

versatile as the backfield for the Lions. The Lions should be able to run clock, run all over the Bears D and

cover the spread. Yeah, I I think so. And and also like the the Saints, again, I I I don’t

understand why how you could have these players out for San Francisco and yet

all the money is on San Francisco. Again, I know we usually overreact that players are worth more to the line than

they truly are. Um, but in this spot it’s like New Orleans was all all over

all already a team betters were looking to fade. They lost in week one to Arizona. Now they’re playing a San

Francisco team and like they’re fading them again. I think that’s a dangerous spot right there. Be careful with San

Francisco on the road on especially and uh players key players out. That’s one

that I keep seeing bet and uh seeing the over being bet by the public as well. Um

again, but the Sharks bet that under they’re usually going to bet the injured U matchups under. They went under 44 and

a half all the way to under 42. That’s why you’re looking at 41 right now. And real quickly, pay attention to that

because of the look aheads. So, if you’re looking at your odds logic screen or at the very least the free um wager

talk free odds and you’ll click, make sure you look at the date of where the line opened because the look aheads are

from like before last week’s games. some of them were or during last week’s games and those limits are very small. So,

they’re able to, you know, take some sharp action, but the limits are low off those first numbers. So, look at the

date from Monday on and then see what actually was adjusted because a lot of

them look like big line movements, but off of that look ahead, there’s not much movement at all. It’s just because from

the look ahead to where they officially opened for the week, there was a big gap

because of the overreaction like you touched on. Nick from New York City wants to know, “What are the most public totals for the

books that they need today?” Oh, yeah. That’s easy. There’s It’s going to be on the overs, that’s for

sure. So, start with over Jaguars Bengals,

over Giants, Cowboys, over Bills Jets.

Yeah, those three are the biggest that stick out the most. Like it’s not even close. Like 90 plus% of the tickets and

the bets are on the overs in all four of those games. Yeah, a lot of unders in week one. We’ve

got prime time as well. So, we’ve got one game tonight between the Falcons and the Vikings. And then we’ve got two

Monday night games tomorrow. Any action that you see coming in there? Yeah, you’re seeing that that um Atlanta money

continue to come in and I’m interested to see if that land that scares me a little. I like them.

It’s down to that three now. I’m surprised. I was surprised that they were at three and you could even get him

at now plus three at even money because you know they got to juice the three. I’m like is it going to go to three minus 110 2 and a half? Like there’s a

lot of love on the Atlanta side. Um and the o under there from Sharf but the

public’s betting it over. And then tomorrow on Monday night, it’s the Chargers. Everybody’s in love with the

Chargers now after week one. Um, and playing here against Las Vegas. You

know, it’s a big Monday night game for the Raiders. Be careful there. It’s above that key number now of three. But

a lot of uh parlays and uh teasers that are going to be live from Sunday are

definitely going to be on the Chargers Monday night. Interested to see if that line continues to climb as well. But I

haven’t seen sharp money on those. The only thing I saw was under in the Buccaneers Texans immediately when that

line opened and they’ve just continued to bet that one under. That doesn’t surprise me. Uh Survivor

picks for today. Who would you do for Survivor? Well, obviously, you know, everybody’s

going to look at Baltimore if they haven’t played him. You got a double digit favorite. But there there’s no fun

in that. Uh who would I go with real quickly? I think I would take Buffalo. I

think I would take Buffalo. I don’t Buffalo’s not losing to the Jets. I I think it’s a decent spot to take Buffalo

in. Yeah, go with Buffalo. Buffalo.

I know that props aren’t as much of your thing as mine, but did did the groups

come in on any props today? No, that’s what I keep refreshing and I

they they will. I just haven’t gotten any. I haven’t gotten any yet. Interesting. Is there a reason that they

wait because they’re trying to wait for the unders? I think so. Again, it’s it’s early still in the season. Um,

but here’s what I noticed and I know that you can say and maybe listen, there

are some times where a prop will go from like I’ll give an example. Travis Kelsey

this week was 53 and a half went down to 49 and a half. At that point, I would say like I took under 53 and a half

early this week and I said, “Well, now it’s 49 and a half. So wait to see if it gets bet over and then you could go and

take the under again. But a lot of the times when I’m on the right side of that number, it drops and doesn’t bounce

back. So I don’t know sometimes about waiting long into the week for betting unders.

Like you’ve got to bet those unders early. I’ve seen so many numbers drop five 10 yards throughout the span of a

week and you’ll never get that good number back. I always tell bers it’s hard enough to

beat the market. Don’t try to play psychic on when you’re going to beat it. Like when you have a bet, fire, fire. I

I if you’re right more than you’re wrong, long term, you’re going to get closing line value. Don’t worry about it

on individual bets. It’s kind of like don’t overreact on any individual result, any one bet. The same thing with

closing line value. Like if the line moves against you, that’s okay. As long as in the majority of times it’s moving

in your favor, you’re getting better number by getting out early. continue to get out early. If that’s not happening

to you, then you got to revisit the thesis. But if if you’re betting early

and more times than not, you’re getting closing line value. Keep doing what you’re doing. You’re only going to get

more and more of it because you’re doing the right thing. If if you’re not, then you got to revisit it. But otherwise,

don’t worry about the time it goes against you. Because even with me, with the groups that I work with, it happens. Look, it happened with the Browns. I

took we took 12 and now I could get 13 today. So, I could get a better number today than what we betted at. That’s

going to happen. But as long as, you know, seven out of ten times we’re getting the best of the number, I could live with that.

Yanni, is Miami a good team in Survivor this week? Oh,

Miami. What is against the Patriots? No. I I I guess if you’re you want to take a

shot and roll the dice, that’s too much of a coin flip game. I think it’s too early in the season to roll the dice like that. like in week two to go.

You always talk about regressing to the mean, right? Miami is not as bad as they looked last week.

No, no, no. But here’s the problem. Here’s the problem. That it’s the NFL

season and it’s sure, Ariel, and we have those outliers. If it was baseball, I would say 100% Miami is going to regress

or progress towards the mean. There’s enough time. But in football, sometimes there’s not enough time. We have those

outliers where on paper a team’s so much better or worse than their record, but they just never have enough time to

become that team they’re capable of being. In baseball, you have 162 games. That’s why before the season started, I

could tell you maybe one team’s going to win 60 games. The first place teams are going to win between 57 and 59, maybe 55

and 59. Why? Because we have a history of 50 plus years of them playing 162

games. And that’s what happens. No one’s going to win 70% of their games, but in football sometimes that happens. Not

enough time to progress and regress. There are those outliers. So, be cautious with that uh quick turnaround

expecting the the bias to to flip back the other way. But yeah, I don’t have to take Miami. I’m cheering them in. I

don’t have a dog in the fight. Oh, we I love it. I love to hear all these sharp sides. And if you guys missed it, our YouTube page over at

Wager Talk, you can scroll back and see everything Yanni just gave out. I see all your questions in the chat. Uh Yanni

talked about pretty much all those games, so make sure to take a look there. Uh lastly, I guess you said you

had a lot of MLB coming in, so anything for the guys that want to take advantage of a market that maybe is being ignored

today? Yeah, real quickly. 952 Pittsburgh and under eight and a half. 958 under eight

and a half Colorado San Diego. 960 under eight Yankees Boston 962 under eight and

a half Baltimore Toronto. Multiple groups blasted that one. 966 under eight LA and Seattle Atlanta plus 125 KC plus

145 Miami plus 125 dog on Sundays that time of the year for

baseball whether you follow or fade good luck today join us in the steam room kicks off in about 30 minutes we’ll go

through every NFL game and you’ll get those teasers about 15 minutes before kickoff as well

Yanni the Greek he’s always over here giving us these winners thanks so much Yanni thanks Ariel

coming up now we are joined out by our guy in Vegas again. This time he’s

behind the counter. He is my very good friend, best friend of Kelly in Vegas, co-host of Kelly and Murray, but more

importantly, the dog dad to two beautiful puppies. John Murray joining

the show. Hi, John. Ariel, best friend of Kelly in Vegas. I

don’t know about my best friend is my pug, Mario. So, come on. Come on. I thought that it was going to be a

raging endorsement to be Kelly in Vegas. So, how are how are you doing today? You

ready for the Ravens? I know they let you down last week. I I was disappointed in you last week. Do you remember this?

The book needed Bills big time. And then I slid into your DMs after the game and

said, “Are you at least happy for me?” And you said no. One word answer. Very disappointing.

Football’s a selfish sport. I don’t know what you’re talking about. Okay. I’m not a happy person. Football season

makes me more unhappy. I was miserable. It was really nice of you though. You’re a really great friend, JM. You love to

just harass us when we’re down. Keep kicking us. No, no, that was that was a big game for us. I won’t be rooting against you

today, though. I will I will be rooting for I’m going to root for the Ravens today for you.

Thank you. Thank you, John, so much. I know that week two is filled with overreactions. Uh but I know that my

personal group chat loves to know the needs for the Super Bowl this week. What are they?

Uh definitely. I’d say early in the morning we’re going to need Chicago. It looks like the biggest need of the

morning is actually going to be Tennessee. Tennessee five and a half point dog right now against the Rams. I

mentioned the Bears. We’re going to need Seattle. So Pittsburgh off their win against the Jets is a popular side.

We’ll need the Seahawks the afternoon. Oh boy. Uh looks like we’re going to

need Carolina. That doesn’t sound like fun. That sounds fun. Carolina at Arizona. Think about think

about the NFL being on this side of the counter is you gota you’re basically going to bring for the same teams every week. I think this year it’s going to be

a lot of Carolina, a lot of New Orleans, uh maybe Tennessee. Although I actually

thought that Cam Ward looked pretty good last Sunday to be honest with you going on the road against that Denver defense.

His receivers did him no favors. I saw him hitting his receivers right between the hands and them dropping the ball.

So, I don’t think Cam Ward’s going to be that bad, but I do think we’re going to need the Titans a lot. We need him today.

I know my group chat’s going to love to hear that the Titans, the Bears, the Seahawks, and the Panthers are going to be the teams that they have to bet

today. It’s setting Who’s in that group chat, Ariel? Who’s in that group chat? Kelly, I

uh this group chat one of 80,000. Uh Chris Thirsten. I love Chris. I love

Buckeye Joe. Okay, I know who that is. I know. Buckeye Joe. Um I think that’s it. Everyone else kind

of has been eliminated from our lives. The chat bigger, but every year it seems like we dwindle.

Everybody else is off the hook. Off the hook. Everyone else off. That’s good. That’s good.

How about totals? Any totals? Uh, let me see. I’m sure we’ll we’ll probably need the under in the uh Yeah,

we do. We need the under in the Philadelphia Kansas City game. Obviously, that’s the big game in the

afternoon. Looks like we’ll want under in your game. want the under in

Baltimore cle Baltimore Cleveland game and the under in the Buffalo game. Buffalo and the New York Jets. We got

some money on the over in that one as well. We’ll be rooting for Oh, here’s one where we actually need the over. You

ready for this? We need the over. San Francisco New Orleans. That game is all the way down to 49ers minus three. 49ers

obviously have some key injuries on offense. I mentioned the Saints. Spencer Rattler

is their quarterback for whatever reason and we will be needing them to go over.

Total right now is 40 and a half. That actually makes a lot of sense that that game would need to go over.

Does make sense. Yes. How did the books do in week one overall, JM? So, we had a great morning. We did great

in the morning games and then we lost every afternoon game last week. It was It reminded me a lot of like every

weekend last NFL season where the afternoon games were really bad for us. We really needed uh Houston against the

Rams. That was a really bad game for us. We lost the 49er game. We lost the Packer game and then all the moneyline

parlays and teasers went to Denver and they won. So, we lost every game in the afternoon. Luckily, and I’m not saying

this I’m not saying this to rub it in, but Buffalo winning did bail us out.

Buffalo beating Baltimore did bail us out. Saying that to people, I will never understand why John

Harbaugh punted on fourth and three. I I I talked about this with Kelly. I think

I think one of the biggest things that doesn’t get talked about enough in the NFL is it’s not black and white like oh

should you go for it on fourth and three. It’s who’s your quarterback who’s the other team’s quarterback. If your

quarterback is Lamar Jackson and the other team’s quarterback is Josh Allen. Yeah. You need to go for it on fourth

and three. You don’t cramping. Yeah. You don’t Well, you don’t punt the ball back to Josh Allen. Okay. You’re

just you’re just saying we’re going to lose. If the other team’s quarterback was Russell Wilson, well, then maybe you

would punt the ball back, right? So, I think I think that that doesn’t get talked about enough when people are evaluating those fourth down situations.

But, I thought Baltimore made a huge mistake and it was very good for us. I’m sorry.

Hey, listen. I’m going to overreact and say the Ravens are dead to me until further notice.

Week two overreactions though. Where have you seen the public overreact?

Uh, let’s see. the public. I mean, the public is very heavily on the Rams. Uh, I mentioned that game. And then there’s

been a there’s a lot of money actually on New England this week. So, New England is a very popular side.

New England did lose last week to the Raiders, but they at least looked like a competent operation,

unlike their opponents today, the Miami Dolphins, who Well, that’s where I think people could be overreacting, though, that I don’t

think Miami gets as bad as they looked last week. I usually expect Miami to be a decent

team until two tongue of Viola gets injured, which he will, right? And then and then after that, the wheels will

come off for that that organization, but as long as two is in there, I don’t expect them to be to be terrible. I I

don’t think so. Uh the other team that’s really the most heavily bet team of the

day is absolutely the Dallas Cowboys. We don’t have as much money on that game. It’s more tickets, but so it’s not as

big of a need as some of the other ones I mentioned. But if you just want to look at ticket counts, Dallas minus the

points, Dallas moneyline is in every parlay under the sun today. I just made

a Russell Wilson joke. So apparently I agree with the public on that. Russell Wilson looked horrible last week against

the Commanders, the football team. I I don’t blame people for wanting to go with Dallas. Dallas probably should have

beat the Eagles in week one. They get the Giants today. We’ll see. Those Giants. Uh, anything in the

futures market stand out after week one? Yeah. You know, they’re starting to bet.

They’re starting to bet on Green Bay, which I get. You know, Green Bay, uh, I

I look, I like Detroit last week. I think we talked about that when I was on your show. And we had a lot of guys I

respect on Detroit. That line actually closed Green Bay minus one. And that was clearly the wrong side. Green Bay handle

Detroit. And then we saw some players we respected on Washington on Thursday thinking maybe Green Bay maybe they’re

not that good. Well, they are that good, especially on defense. Uh Green Bay, I don’t know what there’s nothing you can

say that isn’t positive about them right now. As long as they can keep Jordan Love healthy. Micah Parsons is just getting his legs

underneath him. He’s not even at full speed yet. Once he gets I think the only not nice thing I could say about Green Bay is that everybody’s

on Green Bay. Yeah, but that’s true. But they were on Thursday and you know we did not do well

on the game Thursday. Every the public bet Green Bay for sure in that game and and they won it easily. So what what can

you say? The public isn’t always wrong. The public well hey look we uh the the

public was all over Terrence Bud Crawford last night here at Allegian Stadium and he won very decisively. Very

impressive. The public nailed that. So definitely not always wrong. Definitely

not. John Murray coming over to see us from the Westgate. I’ve got my pup. You want

to say hi to John? You want to say hi to John? I do want to say John J wants to say hi to you. She

really is mad that we’re just sitting here and not outside playing in this beautiful weather. Uh I guess final

question. Prime time games, two games tomorrow, one game tonight. What do you see in prime time?

Well, there’s there’s a lot of action on the two games tomorrow night and and kudos to the NFL. They’re finally giving us a true double header. You know, last

year they did a lot of those where they had the two Monday night games spaced out by an hour. Thought I found that a little annoying. This week we get an

actual double header. Sharp money on Houston against Tampa Bay and then sharp

money on the Chargers. Push that number from three to three and a half at the Raiders. Speaking of teams that look

great in week one, how about the Chargers and Justin Herbert? They looked awesome last Friday night. They beat Kansas City

in in Sa Paulo, Brazil. They looked really good. You know, I love Jim Harbaugh. So, keep an eye on the Chargers. They I

think the Raiders will end up being a big need for the books because there will be parlays all day today going into

the Chargers tomorrow night in the late game. We’ll probably need the Raiders in

that one. We’ve got a WNBA question. What’s your feedback when the playoffs start?

Uh, let me see. the what was I mean repeat the question I’ll attempt to answer it what was it

WNBA any advice when the playoffs start oh boy let’s see well luckily for me I

do work at a sports book so I can look to see what the smart people bet on because I don’t know much about the WNBA

I apologize for that but certainly some smart money on it looks like the Storm

oh against the Aces that’s unfortunate the Storm tonight against the Aces in game one they bet down from plus 7 to +

5 and a half. They also bet the over in that game. So, the storm and the over

game one is tonight in Las Vegas. There’s a big sporting in sporting event in Las Vegas every day, Ariel, every

single day. And wait till we get Major League Baseball in a couple of years. I can’t wait. I will be there. I want to

go and make sure that we go to a real baseball game together. JM

live from Las Vegas. Thanks for hopping on with us as you do every Sunday, giving us the needs of the day.

Appreciate you. And not good luck. No good luck today. Oh, that’s nice. That’s very nice.

You’re welcome. I’ll still talk to you next week anyway. I appreciate that. Thanks, John Murray. Have a good one.

And if you guys don’t know about it, the oddslogic screen, you could go to oddslogic.compropeen.

And you heard Yanni mention it. It shows you literally all the odds on the board. It tells you how lines opened, how

they’re closing, how they moved, and every sports book, etc. So, oddslogic.com/prop

queen. Someone who knows about OddsLogic very well. Our good friend Carman Biano joining the show now. He’s not in Vegas.

He’s in Canada. What’s up, Karm? Not much. I can’t John Murray used his

luck today on Liverpool. They got a 93rd minute penalty kick, so he should be happy uh even if the book takes a hit

today. But um everything’s good. Um weather’s still good up here. No snow,

Ariel, don’t worry. And our our Blue Jays are still a top of the AL East, but

we won’t go there. It’s football Sunday. It’s football Sunday. We can talk about the AL East and that craziness this

coming week. But Karm, I don’t really get to talk much NFL with you. Usually it’s hockey, it’s baseball, it’s soccer.

NFL, what do you like today? Uh we’re going to talk like some

overreactions. So I’m going to go through some games. I think the the two that really stand out to me. Uh well, I have a 5% play up at Wager Talk, so I’m

not going to discuss that game. Uh you can get it over on my page, but one of

my client plays today is Denver. You know, we talk about like overreaction. Uh you know, Indie had a very good game

against Miami, but Miami I I thought Miami just looked terrible out of the gate. Uh, you know, I feel like this

line should probably be around um, uh, Denver two, two and a half. I’m seeing

like a lot of ones and one and a halfs on the wager talk live odds. It’s never going to hit three. It’s never going to

hit that key number. But, you know, Denver is supposed to have a good season. They have a very good defense. They didn’t play uh did did they didn’t

seem to be ready to play in week one against Cam Ward uh on the road in his

first start as a rookie, but they got the win and that’s all that ultimately matters. They don’t care about covering

point spreads. They care about W’s. Um I I I think they win here and uh and I

think they they they cover this spread easily. At least they they win by three points, which is more than enough.

Houston definitely on Monday night. I absolutely love that one. That’s going to be on my card as well, too. I just

haven’t loaded it yet at two and a half. When we talk about like overreactions, I’m seeing a lot of money coming in on

Miami. Miami is like up to two and a half right now. And I I still don’t get it w with the Dolphins. Uh I think once

they get rid of their once they get rid of their coach, uh we may see a change in this team. But I just don’t get how

the Miami Dolphins year in and year out look like a team that has potential to

win the AFC East and then just falters and finishes eight and eight n and

eight. Uh Cleveland Baltimore, you’re not going to like this one, Ariel, but I think Cleveland stays within the number

on this one. It it is at a point now where it’s at 12 and there’s always that back door if Baltimore uh was to blow

them up. But Cleveland’s front four is a very good front four. And if they can somehow uh stop Derrick Henry, which is

it seems like impossible to do, and uh and slow down Lamar, they got a chance to stay inside this number. Flaco

doesn’t make a lot of mistakes. Uh the team can run. So we’ll we’ll see what happens here uh between those two, but I

think they can stay within that number. Everyone is on Baltimore in Survivor and I I absolutely understand that in circa

I think there’s 6,000 plus on the Ravens as the most picked team. San Francisco I

don’t get Ariel I don’t get the I I understand the line drop. Uh I do but

this is still a very bad New Orleans Saints team. And if you have to give me

M. Jones versus Rattler, I’m going to take M. Jones on this team. This team

still has CMC uh Persol. Uh Joan Jennings is supposed to be a game time decision and they still have that

defense. Uh while they have some rookies on that D, they still have a defense and

sometimes defense will win you games and put your team in a position to win games. It’s at three now and bettable.

At five and a half, I don’t think it was bettable. At three, I would take San Francisco even with the injuries. Uh

what else? Casey, a little bit of overreaction, I think, on that one. I get it. Philadelphia absolutely smoked

them in the Super Bowl last season, but Casey’s Casey is still Casey. Uh, and

uh, at home, uh, this is in Casey, I believe, is it

not? Uh, at home, Casey. Mahomes as a dog. We’ve talked about it before.

Not a good situation to bet against them. Uh regular season and playoffs are

two different beasts. Uh just ask the Buffalo Bills who continuously beat the Kansas City Chiefs in pre uh sorry in

regular season and then uh get eliminated in the playoffs. Uh two

different ones there. And then the final one I think is Minnesota off a short week. I kind of like Atlanta getting the

hook uh at the three and a half tonight uh in that late one.

Kind of going through like the entire card today. I wasn’t expecting that. No, blasting through it.

No, I love it because these are plays. John Murray just came on and he told us Tennessee, Chicago, Seattle, Carolina

are the four sides that they probably need the most today. And I am not surprised because I feel like a lot of

people I’ve heard of are on Arizona. I get it. And I really like James Connor today in his rushing yard prop because

Carolina D is terrible against the run. Um, but I have a friend who works in

Carolina and he loves the Panthers today. So, I feel like there’s just like a lot of pros verse Joe’s today.

Shouldn’t he like uh Carolina though if he if he lives No, he works in media. Like he’s

nonbiased. Nonbias. So, he’s nonbiased. Okay. Well, I I get it. Uh, I I I always put my bias aside

when I’m talking about the Buffalo Bills as well, too, because you can sort of let that your mind

and um, no, I I hardly ever bet on the Bills. It uh, normally because number

one, the the spreads are just uh, even though they’re a good cover team and they were last year, the spreads are

normally just high. You look at the Bills today and we didn’t discuss the Bills and a lot of money. Everyone loves

the Jets. Uh I I know Joe Reeri loves the Jets today. Everyone seems to love

the Jets. A terrible scheduling spot for the Bills. Ravens last week. They’re on a short week next week going to M or

facing Miami. So I understand. I had no I wanted nothing to do with the Bills.

Yeah. and uh you know and you look at some of the injuries obviously Ed Oliver uh missing is a a big miss for them but

you look at some of the injuries during the week uh um with regards like the

like even their running back uh he tweaked his hamstring on Wednesday uh he wasn’t a full participant on Thursday I

think he did practice on Friday so we’ll see what we we get from him uh Keon Keon

Coleman as well too and then there’s that guy who you just don’t want to throw at which is uh Sauce Gardner. You

know, you just don’t want to go against them. Uh and the and if you look at historically over the last few years um

with uh with Josh Allen, uh he doesn’t go after Sas Gardner. He’s gone after him a couple times. He doesn’t go after

him. So, it it’s who else on the Bills steps up. Uh we’ll see what Shakir does

as well, too. But, uh I understand the live live movement. I think seven coming out uh opening at seven uh was probably

not a great thing because it was always going to bring in Jets money and it’s down to like five five and a half I

think six. You know, the interesting thing is, you know, people talk about teasers. And while I I do enjoy playing

teasers, you look at the three most popular teams with like a six and a half point teaser. And this was as of like

last night, you could have taken the Bills, Zona, and Detroit, and essentially made all three games a pick

them. And those three teams would pay you back at plus 130 on a six and a half

point teaser. If you take the same three teams on the money line, it pays 140. And this is why when you’re playing

teasers, it’s important to keep an eye on the money lines of these teams and see is it better to play a moneyline

ticket than it is to play a teaser because you’re you’re giving up some value by not taking the plus 140 on the

money line parlay as opposed to taking a teaser. Well, yeah, we were just talking about

this before, especially with all these books now charging you minus 135 for a teaser, a two-legged teaser. Just

absolutely ridiculous. And seven, by the way, Jimmy Burke 13, terrible against

the run. They played one game. Look at the Panthers last year, honey. They have been terrible against the run for the

last year and a half. They were the worst run D in football last year. And it didn’t change after they allowed

Travis ETN to put up 143. So, come on. Let’s It’s not just week one. Like, not

just week one. Sorry, I had to get that out there. Karm, what are you promoting today?

Uh, three plays up. Uh I gave you guys one of them which is uh the Denver Broncos, but uh a 5% play uh since the

start of the 2022 NFL season which dates back three years now. Uh when releasing

four and 5% plays and all of my plays uh this week are four and 5% plays plus 130

units uh at wager talk which is number one amongst everyone at wager talk with

uh NFL. And we’re coming off a 3 and 0 day in college football yesterday as well too. Um, I got what uh Ariel, I got

the closing line value yesterday on I released it early in the week because I figured the line would drop on Arkansas.

They were plus seven uh once Old Miss um announced their their QB was out. That

line did drop. It dropped to about four by game time and I got the cover. So, I’m pretty happy about that with with

Arkansas and everyone who jumped on board. But the weekend warrior uh package is still up. $49 will get you

all of today’s plays and all of tomorrow’s plays in NFL football as well, too. So, um that that is it for

now. No other uh no other plays up. Uh it’s been a great weekend, five and one

yesterday, and we’re just going to try and keep it going through Sunday and Monday. And we’re going to be sweating

the games live today. Uh if you guys haven’t seen it uh la or you didn’t

watch it last week, Enzone Live, which will be on I think around 1:30 today, I

could be wrong on the time, but Enzone Live today. Uh the press um there’s a

bunch of people coming on the show. There’s about four or five and we just sweat the games. We let you know what our bets are and uh it is like five guys

at a bar just talking trash to each other and uh trying to win bets because

sometimes we’re on opposite sides. So talking trash is great. We love talking trash. Karm, you’re the

best. Thanks so much for coming on. Good luck today. You as well. Thank you. Cody Holloway, I don’t know what FanDuel

you’re at. My FanDuel charges minus 130US 135 on teasers. So, I don’t know

if it’s a state-by-st state thing, but here in New York, FanDuel is not charging minus 110. In fact, I haven’t

seen one book charge a minus 110 on a teaser, a two-leg teaser. I have not

seen a minus 110 anywhere on any of the public sports books or the um the sports

books over here. So, I don’t know where you’re getting that, but okay. Last but certainly not least, as we mentioned

before with Karm Enzone Live coming up at 1 PM Eastern time and all of your favorite Wazer Talk handicappers will be

on there sweating out their bets. Andy and Pres are going to be on there. So Pres joining the show. How did week one

go at that endzone live betting show? Well, uh I don’t know actually. I just

did all the talking. Uh everyone who How did you do? I I did okay. I went with my clients.

The show was fun. I had a blast. Uh, but it’s a long show and you know it’s still

you got uh sunshine outside. Normally I would have watched the game at my pool.

I have like a bank of TVs. I like sit in the hot tub. But alas, I got to work and

I’m okay with that. I I uh I offered my services. We love to work. Pres, what do you like

today? Uh what do I like today? Um God, I’ll tell you. I I’ll go down the card at 100

miles an hour, but I do want to say one thing firstly, Ariel, you mentioned rough spot for uh the the Bills with

Baltimore back behind us and uh Miami in front. Why is it not a rough spot for

the New York Jets? Circling a game against Aaron Rodgers, waiting all year to play it, then screwing it up at the

end, having to go in to the dressing room in a bad mood, having to say no to their wives that night cuz they are very

upset. then having to go to Monday and being lectured and reamed out uh all the

way through the week, feeling down about themselves, feeling upset about themselves. The only reason it’s not is because the

Bills are on a short week going into Thursday. Okay. The only difference

I I accept what you’re saying and that’s what kept me off of the Bills today. But

uh yeah, no interest in the Bills today. But I agree with you that the Jets are not in any better of a position except

they are the home team and they aren’t on a short week, but I have no interest in the game because if

you think I want to be that miserable to have to bet the Jets this week, the answer is no. Okay. I like Miami. You guys were

talking about it earlier. Uh John Murray said a lot of money coming in on New England, which is very interesting given

that Miami is now minus 2 and a half. Uh we’ve done a deep dive into this and uh

if you can get a an an NFL team under minus two, you’re better off taking it on the money line. That does not work at

two and a half. At minus two and a half, you’re better off in the long run taking

uh laying the points. But I like Miami here and I look at it this way. This is

their season. This is this might be Mike McDaniel’s coaching career. that last

week was so bad, so humiliating, so wrong in every way that if they can’t

fix it immediately, I don’t think they continue. So, I think Miami has to give

us the best game they can all year and they are at home and it’s a short price.

And I also like the Pittsburgh Steelers. I’m an emotional uh when as a handicapper, I look at the emotions of

teams and this Pittsburgh team has to be coming into this game feeling really high on themselves. Um look, they they

won last week miraculous fashion. They’re 1 and0. They’re in a tough division. They have a game that is

easily winnable. Um and I think Seattle is a shallow themselves. I’m not a fan

of Sam Darnold at all. So there’s two bets. I like Pittsburgh and I like Miami

and both of those two are in my circa uh bets. Also, real quick, Ariel, the show

starts at 1 p.m. The live show that we’re doing starts at 100 p.m. today and

yeah, it’s a blast. Last week, we had an absolute blast.

Everyone gets to tune in at 1 pm Eastern time to watch Enzone live betting show. You could see Fred sweating out all

those bets he gave. Uh before I let you go, I know you got to get ready for the show. Survivor plays today.

Yeah. So, I took Arizona on my Survivor play. And you know, Ariel, the the

Baltimore play for all the people in the circa really freaked me out because anyone who took Baltimore is now going

to get stuck having to pick between Green Bay in Detroit,

Washington in Dallas, or they’re going to have to take Cincinnati in Baltimore because

Baltimore is out for Christmas or Thanksgiving. Whichever one of those it’s Thanksgiving.

Yeah. So, whoever took Baltimore is not thinking about this correctly because

would you take Green Bay going into Detroit? Would you take Detroit hosting Green Bay? Would you take Washington

going into Dallas? Would you take Dallas hosting Washington? No chance you’re taking Cincinnati in Baltimore. So,

I don’t get it. I try to take a longterm approach with this. Uh, so we’ll see. I guess there are people that take the

long-term approach. Then there are the people that take the I just want to survive to that point approach.

That’s probably most of the public the way that they play it. Uh I know that Survivor I know like Lions is probably

up there too for some people, but Arizona is a pretty I like the play even though I know the books need the Panthers. So good luck to you.

Yeah. And one of the guys in the chat room uh way back said, “Who’s a better better Giani or the press?” Uh, Giani

uh, lives, sleeps, eats, breathes. Giani

literally lives betting like nobody I’ve ever met before in my life. It It’s 18

hours a day. All he does is study bets. I do not. I am a businessman and I make

bets and I’m good at it. But Giani, Giani hands down. Although in NHL,

I’m way better than Giani. So that in that one sport, but Giani,

everyone has their sport. I tell Kelly, it’s baseball for me. I could be Kelly in baseball. And everything else, I’ll

give it to her. Kelly eats, breeds, and sleeps this stuff. Press, so do you, though. So do you. We love to have you

on here on Last Call. Have fun watching those games live with all the audience at 1 p.m. Eastern time. Everyone, make

sure to tune in. Uh good luck today. Thanks guys. Thanks for having me. Thanks for doing the cereal.

Of course. Pres. Okay. So for me, a few props that I gave out earlier this week

throughout the show. Jir Gibbs over rushing yards. James Connor over rushing yards. Travis Kelce under receiving

yards. I think Joe Flacco throws the football a lot in his first game back at Mnt Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Um

there’s obviously analytics and analysis behind all this. Um, so if you want to check it out, you can go to the prop

queen.com. Sign up and subscribe to the newsletter or you can watch my shows at the prop queen pod. Um, I’ve given out

all that info all over the show. Best bet right now, as of today, I took James Connor over uh

I think it was 63 and a half. I think it’s up to 68 and a half now. Um, but I took over 63 and a half rushing yards

for Jim Connor earlier this week. He is the Arizona Cardinals running back getting the Panthers who I’ve mentioned

is the worst rund in football dating back to last year. Travis ETN just ran for 143 last week. James Connor last

year underratedly faced four different teams um that were bottom 10 against the run. And James Connor rushed for at

least 100 yards in all four of those games. They’re a six and a half point favorite. So if there is a chance they’re up, they’re going to run the

ball anyway. Take advantage, run down the Panthers D. Um, the only problem that we’d have with this is if it is a

close game. John Murray said that the Panthers are in need for their book at the Super Bowl. So maybe this game’s

closer, but James Connor should be able to run the football well against the Panthers. Um, but if you don’t like

that, then Jier Gibbs would be my second favorite over 67 and a half rushing yards. He’s also getting a Bears defense

that I don’t trust yet against the run either. They looked good last week against Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones,

but we know that the Lions backfield is way more versatile and way faster than those two running backs. The Bears

allowed the second most rushing yards per game to running backs last year. So, I would take advantage of those two

running back props. Um, you can’t get the Travis Kelce number anymore at 53 and a half. It’s now 49 a half. Um, and

then I mentioned I think Joe Black has to throw the football a lot today at Mnt Bank Stadium. That is a very high pass

attempt total. 37 and 1/2 38 and 1/2. So those are like my top four props for

today. Um I probably could give you a fifth. I just have to go look at the

newsletter again to remember exactly what I gave out. Um I’ve also been

having some technical difficulties on my end on my computer today. Um

let’s see a fifth prop. And we’ve got Premier Lacrosse Championships by the way coming up in a half hour. So, if you

want a PLL play, Jared Burnernhard over two and a half points. He had four

points in the game-winning goal in overtime last time these two teams played. The Atlas are strong against the

attack, whereas Burnernhard runs out of the box and initiates from the top as a midfielder. Um, he had 37 touches and

nine shots, which was a season high in their last matchup. So, Gerard Burnernhard over two and a half points

in Premier lacrosse. Um, a few other plays in the NFL today. Cole KT under 19

and a half receiving yards. He had a big catch for 31 yards last week. We had the over on his longest reception that

cashed. But the Bears, they drafted Coloulson Loveland and he had two catches on two targets for 12 yards last

week. Kind of getting his feet wet. But now you’re getting a Lions D that allowed the third least receptions and

third least receiving yards per game to tight ends. Only 37% of tight ends went over their receiving yard prop last year

against Detroit. Um, I think Cole Kat takes a step back this week. So, I would

say under on his receiving yards. Darnell Mooney is a sleeperish play slash a little risky solely because he

missed week one with the shoulder injury. He should be playing today. Mooney had the most 20 plus yard catches

for the Falcons last year. He had 21. The next best was Drake London with 12. So, Darnell Mooney is your deep threat

in Atlanta. The Vikings allowed the most receptions per game to wide receivers and second most receiving yards per game

to them. Do I trust the amount of touches? Do I trust the amount of targets that Darnold Mooney will get in

his first game of the year? No. But I do trust that there’s going to be a deep ball thrown to him. And against the

secondary, which is more vulnerable than their pass rush in Minnesota, Darnell Mooney over 19 and a half yards for his

longest reception is another play that I would take a close look at today. That’s it for us here on Last Call on Wager

Talk. I’m the prop queen, Ariel Epstein. Thanks so much for tuning in. We’ll see you guys next week. Good luck to those

bets.

College Football Betting Podcast Week 2 Preview & Best Bets

Urban City Podcast Group — Fri, 05 Sep 2025 06:47:20 +0000

Urban City Podcast Group

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Major Takeaways

Betting in the early weeks of the season is a guessing game: Matt Humans emphasizes that the first couple of weeks are challenging for bettors because they don’t yet know what to expect from many of the teams.
Underdogs and in-game betting are valuable strategies: The hosts highlight the potential value in backing underdogs and using live, in-game betting to get better numbers, especially in high-total games.
Oklahoma is a favorite worth laying the points on: Despite a general aversion to laying big numbers early in the season, Matt Humans believes in the Sooners’ defense under Brent Venables and their home-field advantage against a freshman quarterback.

College Football Week 2 Betting Breakdown: Top Bets, Dogs, and Revenge Spots

This is VSIN college football betting podcast.

Welcome in another edition of the VSIN College Football Betting Podcast. It is

the Thursday breakdown of the card. Week two of the college football season is

here. I’m Tim Murray and joined as always on Thursdays by the one and only Matt Humans at Matt Humans247. I’m at

one. Tim Murray, Mr. Humans, an up and down week one. I think for us, some

opportunities from preseason bets or, you know, when we were out in

Hawaii knowing that that would be a tricky spot. You and I didn’t want to bet bad numbers. So, overall okay week,

but uh here to do better for week two. Yeah. Not going to make excuses, but uh

went three and four on the seven plays I gave out on this podcast last week. of the three big games. I won two of them,

LSU and Miami, but I was way off target on Texas. We’ll talk a little bit more about the Longhorns coming up here, but

uh it was not a great week zero for you and I was great. Week one, not so hot.

Um come back hopefully we can uh turn week two into a winner. But uh like I’ve

said before, you can’t go crazy with betting college football right now in the first couple weeks of the season.

It’s a guessing game with some of these teams. what you’re going to see. And uh

you know this nobody thought Alabama was going to look as bad as Alabama looked last weekend.

No. And that is uh certainly my biggest miss. I know it’s not technically a losing bet yet, but that is not a

playoff team and they’ve got a lot of uphill battles going. You can’t lose that game. But we’ll dive into all of

that. Only one game between top 25 teams as opposed to last week when we had

three games amongst top 10 teams. I still think it’s a pretty good card this week. And uh it’s college football, so

we’re excited regardless. So, let’s get right into it. The biggest games of the week, the main course.

And that’s right, we call it the main course cuz we like to eat food here. And we are hungry for some big ones. And

Matt, let’s head down to Norman, Oklahoma. The only ranked versus ranked matchup. I’m really pumped for this

game. College Game Day will be there 7:30 Eastern time, ABC. We’ve got number

18 Oklahoma, number 15 Michigan. Look ahead lines. I know there were some two

and a halfs out there, Matt. Uh those have been scooped up uh from way back.

And now you’re looking around five, five and a half in favor of the Oklahoma

Sooners. Well, I think DraftKings still has a four and a half if what I see on the screen is an accurate number. So,

there’s plenty of spots out there where you can lay five. And yeah, DraftKings showing Oklahoma minus four and a half,

circa five. And I’m I’m gonna lay it here with the Sooners. I’m I’ve um not

played many favorites here early in the college football season. Tim played Hawaii minus 2 and a half against Stanford. We squeakaked that one out

23-20. Uh I did play not big because we didn’t get the best of the number. Uh but I did

play uh Arizona laying 16 and a half against Hawaii last week. Uh that was a winner. loser laying the big points with

UNLV in week one against Idaho State and I’m going to lay a shorter number here with Oklahoma. You could have laid two

and a half like you said early four and a half five now but I’m going to do it with the Sooners and Brent Venable

should have the upper hand here. Say what you want about Venbables as a head coach as a defensive coordinator and play caller. He’s at his best typically

and that’s why I expect to see here is Venbables getting the best of Bryce Underwood the freshman quarterback who’s

making his first start on the road. Hey, if if Arch Manning can look that bad in his first road start at Ohio State,

Underwood should uh be facing a pretty stiff challenge here in his first road start at Oklahoma against Brent

Venerables and that defense. Now, I know a lot of people are going to laugh and say, “Well, it’s Illinois State last

week.” Illinois State was a 10- win team last year. So, when you talk about some of these lower level opponents, uh

Illinois State’s not a bad one. Oklahoma outgainained him 495 to 151. Venable’s

defense lived up to the hype against that opponent last week. And uh I think

he can probably keep Underwood under wraps in this game. He was Underwood 21

for 31, 251 yards and a touchdown against New Mexico. But that Lobo’s

defense is nothing special. And I think this Sooners defense is going to be something special. And Tim, I know like

me, you expect a lot out of this Oklahoma offense this season. John Matier, the transfer from Washington

State. New coordinator cames over from Washington State. I’m not really sure why Jade KN, the running back from Cal,

only had one carry last week. I don’t know if there’s something wrong with that, but the Sooners should be able to

move the ball on the ground. Jade not or not. And especially it’s going to help if he’s out there. This is one favorite

I do kind of like this week. I’m going to play Oklahoma minus five. Yeah, a lot of interesting aspects to

this game. John Matier down to 12 to one to win the Heisman Trophy at Circa. A

lot of movement in the betting market, obviously because of the Arch Manning performance, Kate Clubnick’s performance. John Matier, I I’ve been

curious about him, Matt, because of the level of competition he played at Washington State, and now this is really

his first big test, but he will get it at home. Obviously, his offensive coordinator, Arbuckle, is with him here,

but I think this defense for Michigan is the real deal. Even though they lose, you know, Mason Graham with the fifth

overall pick and Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick. So, I I’m going to

stay off of this game. I do I did see the first half under got hit pretty good this week. 23 and a half down to around

22 21 a half. So, uh, that makes some sense, especially of what we saw last

betting market here. I I think your point is valid, though. What are we going to get from Bryce Underwood in his

first true road start? We saw a couple of youngsters really struggle. Tai Simpson was not very good for Alabama.

You mentioned Arch Manning. I thought CJ Carr was was decent uh at times against

uh Miami there, but this is going to be a cranked up atmosphere. Also worth noting here, Matt, uh Jan Barum, the uh

linebacker for Michigan. I thought it was ridiculous targeting call. Chiron Moore uh tried to get that overturned.

He’s going to be out the first half here. So that is something to note uh heading into this game with uh with

Barum being out for the first half. So, uh, Michigan, Oklahoma, biggest game of the week. You are going to take or lay

the points here with Oklahoma. Uh, I would be Michigan or pass, but ultimately, Matt, I think I’ll pass. And

I think once again, you you pointed this out in week one show. In-game betting is

really a great opportunity, and with this being the biggest game on the board, I I think you’ll have plenty of

opportunities to maybe find a position if you want to from an in-game standpoint. But to me, it would be, you

know, under and dog. But I think ultimately I’ll stay off until the in-game standpoint. And you’re going to

roll with uh with Oklahoma here laying the five. So that’s the night game. Matt, let’s go earlier in the day. Uh

you and I love betting noon Eastern games, right, Matt? There’s nothing better than a 9:00 a.m. Pacific time

game. You and I love to bet these games, right? That that’s the way we like to do it. Tim, I can The audience can sense the

sarcasm in your voice. You know, I hate the 9 a.m. picking up on the sarcast

9 a.m. games and uh there’s nothing worse than getting off to a poor start on a Saturday morning. And I have not

had good luck with Saturday. I’d say I’m more of a night owl. Maybe that’s why I have trouble picking winners in the 9:00 a.m. games. I’m a lot more successful

picking winners in the the night games. But yes, there’s a 9:00 am game. If you happen to sleep through this game,

you’re probably not going to be missing much because I have a pretty good idea which game you’re about to talk about.

Noon Eastern, Matt, ESPN, Illinois versus Duke. And I know our friend Chris

uh the Bear Felica pointed this out one out early on social media. This will be

the old headscratching h why is the 11th ranked team in the country only a

three-point favorite against Duke. Duke was tied at the half against Elon in the first uh in their first game of the

season. But Matt, we talked about Illinois in the preseason pod that you and I did together talking about your

top 25. You did not have Illinois in your top 25. And I think you and I are going to align on this game. Illinois

laying three on the road against the Duke Blue Devils. Yeah, I thought you were going to tee up

the Iowa Iowa State Saihawk Classic there, but I guess we’ll get to that later. Um Darien Mensa, transfer

quarterback from Tain. I think it’s going to be difference in this game. Mensah 389 yards passing, three

touchdowns. Yes, it was against Elon, but uh the Blue Devils did what they were supposed to do in the second half

of the game after they tied at 10. Pull away and and win the game 4517.

548 total yards for the Duke offense. And again, Illinois blew blew out

Western Illinois, but Illinois State’s a much better team than Western Illinois when you talk about the lower level

opponents. Western Illinois is a bad football team. Now, I know the Ali brought back a bunch of experience. They

bring back Luke Altmire at quarterback. And if the Ali have one edge in this game, it’s going to be the ground.

They’re going to be able to run the ball probably against this Duke defense a little bit too much. It makes me a little uncomfortable here. But I like

the home dog. I’m playing Duke plus three in what I think should be a picking game. I’m really high on Darien Mensah, the Twain transfer quarterback,

like I mentioned, and I think Duke’s got enough to get this done. Uh, so this is

uh one of one of uh two home dogs I really like uh this week and that’s

going to be Duke. I’m with you. I took the three with Duke. I was hoping three and a half

would show up. I don’t think we’re going to get there. If I had to guess, Matt, I think we’ll see a little Duke love come

in later in the week. You look at betting splits right now. Uh this will be the proverbial pros versus Joe’s

are on Illinois. Uh this is going to be a spot where it looks like it’s easy and I just I don’t think it will be. Manny

Diaz last year as a as an underdog 52 and one ATS and you mentioned it. This

is a Duke program that went out and spent big, right? They brought in Malik Murphy. He did okay last year, but they

said, “We want to upgrade the quarterback position.” And they went out and got Mensah 389 yards a week ago,

albeit a lot of it in the second half. They bring back Jacquz Moore at the running back position and they brought

in an FCS transfer and of course Duke would bring in a Harvard kid. Uh but he was really good. Cooper uh Barcate, he

had five catches for a buck 17 last week against Elon. So uh they got some receivers. Now, uh I did see this note

uh from my buddy Todd Ferman. Duke has lost 37 of their last 38 games against

top 12 teams, but they did get that win on Labor Day Monday night against Clemson with Riley Leonard at the helm.

They were ninth in the country. But uh both of these teams rather untested in week one. Illinois beat Western

Illinois. But I’m with you. I think this Illinois team’s a little bit overrated from where they were last year. 10 wins

and I’m going to take the three with the home dog as well. So, a common play there. We’re both going to be on Duke

against Illinois. Matt, let’s go to the game you mentioned already. The SIHawk

Trophy also noon Eastern. Big noon kickoff is going to be there. Uh this will kick off on Fox Iowa State. Boy,

you have to be impressed by what we’ve seen from the Cyclones so far this year. I thought they would be in a letown spot

a week ago. I backed the wrong Dakota because apparently North Dakota was going to be feisty and not South Dakota,

but Iowa State was phenomenal a week ago. And also worth noting here, Kamari Molton, uh the starting running back for

Iowa has been ruled out. He’s going to be out for a little bit. Um did text with someone who covers the team. Didn’t

think it would be that big of a worry. So, we’ll take them for what their word at their word. Matt, if you watched any

of the highlights, I’m not going to say I sat back and watched all of Iowa Albany a week ago, but Mark Granowski,

boy, I thought I expected some big things from Granowski, the South Dakota State transfer. How about 44 yards

passing and not a not a very uh inspiring performance. He did mention he

was nervous first game with Iowa, all of that. So that makes me a little bit hesitant, but still he’s played a whole

lot of football. Over 12,000 total yards in his career, 130 touchdowns at South Dakota State. Matt,

look, the betting market, maybe this is a trap because you hear it all the time, right? Two and a half means the dogs

probably the right side, three and a half, the favorite. So maybe I’m falling into the trap here. But with a total of

41 and a half, kind of a a little bit of a sell high on Iowa State, I’m going to

take the three and a half here with Iowa and hope that a veteran quarterback like Mark Granowski is going to have a much

better performance here for the Hawkeyes. So, I’m going to go ahead and take the three and a half. Matt, it is

worth noting uh the under in this rivalry has been very advantageous to

betterers as this is 17 and3 to the under since 2004.

Right now the number sits at 41 a.5 pretty much marketwide for Iowa Iowa State.

Probably going to pass on this game. Tempted to play the Hawkeyes plus three and a half or under as well if I played

it. That’s what I would play. Tim, I had to laugh last week because I made the joke that I can’t wait to see Mark

Granowski hand off in the Iowa offense and you scoffed and you said, “Oh, Brian France is not there anymore.” Well, it’s

still the Brian France offense. That’s what they were running last week. I got to tell you the probably the biggest

betting win I had last week. I parlayed Granowski over seven and a half completions with over 43 and a half

passing yards at DraftK. No, I’m just kidding. Um, eight for 15 for

eight for 15 for 44 yards. Unbelievable. 34 to7 against Albany. Uh, Iowa is going

to be able to run the ball as usual. But you got to wonder, were the Hawkeyes just keeping it under wraps? Were they

saving everything in their passing attack for Iowa State? And they’re going to throw a big surprise out there this

week. I don’t know. But, uh, I’m I’m going to pass on this. I need to see more from Granowski and from this Iowa

offense. Like I said, I’m tempted to bet the dog here. Uh probably if I had to play either side anything here, I’d

probably bet this under the total, but I’m going to pass for now. Matt, another noon game in the main

course. We’ve got Baylor on the road against the ponies of SMU. And I know

you were disappointed in the performance we saw from Baylor a week ago, especially defensively as Jackson Arnold

was able to run for 137 yards and two touchdowns in that win for Auburn over

Baylor. Look, this is a big spot here for the Baylor Bears on the road at SMU.

Short home dog or short road dog, I should say. This is a high total, so I would say, you know, the points, maybe

you could bet this in-game and get a better number on e either side the way you look at it. Now, as a betting

podcast, it’s a little hard to do that. So, I I do like Baylor here in a little bit of a bounceback spot. I’m not high

on this SMU team entering this year. Matt, how about the fact that last week

SMU had a pair of pick sixes against East Texas A&M, whatever that is, and

only outgainained them by 49 yards. So, SMU 1 and0, but how good are they going

to be, Matt? They lost nine starters on defense. They lost their running back and Brashard Smith. He got drafted into

the NFL over,300 rushing yards, 14 touchdowns. Now, I will say Kevin Jennings is back and certainly mobile

quarterbacks gave this Baylor defense fits last week. No doubt about it, Matt, as Jackson Arnold had such a monster

day. I do wonder and maybe this is me giving the benefit of the doubt to David Aranda and I shouldn’t do so, but you

were facing elite wide receivers and Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton, the transfer from Georgia Tech. They held them to

four catches for 43 yards. It felt like they picked their poison. So, can they

switch that mindset and try to bottle up Kevin Jennings? We will see. But I’m going to take Baylor here, Matt, as a

short road dog in this one. Wanted the three, missed the three. Obviously, we’re recording this on Thursday, so the

threes don’t exist, but I’m going to take Baylor plus the points. I think they win this game outright. And as

mentioned, with a total of 64, Matt, you’re probably going to be able to get a better number than two and a half on

both sides at some point in this game. Well, I got burned by Baylor last week.

I was one of the losers I had on this podcast last week. Very disappointed in Dave Miranda’s team. I expected a lot

better. So, after getting burned by the Bears, I don’t want to come back with them here. You know, there’s a few teams out of Texas had some questions about

before the season. How good’s Baylor going to be? Looked like after the strong finish last season, Bears were

going to be pretty good. I was disappointed last week. Uh SMU, not quite sure. TCU. I think we all had to

be pretty impressed with what the Horn Frogs did to uh Bill Bich on Monday night. So, I think TCU looks like the

best of those three teams. I I don’t have I’m not even going to guess at uh this Baylor SMU game. I think you talked

favorite set of matchups, those spicy matchups, just a reminder, we were recently out in Hawaii. Matt, we had a

show on Saturday from the brilliantly uh located Sheridan Wiki Beach Resort.

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VSN College Football Betting Podcast. So yeah, that was uh quite the place. Dara

and her team were amazing and we can’t thank them enough for hooking us up with that location for our VON college

football tailgate show back in week zero. All right, Matt, I know that you tend to like a little uh a little spice

to your flavor of food. So, let’s get to those games this weekend. Moe,

spicy matchups. Matt, I’m pretty fired up about this one. Let’s go to Stark Vegas. Our

colleague Stormmy Bonaton. I don’t know what she’ll have to do with her IFBs because those cowbells are going to be

ringing as Mississippi State plays host to 12th ranked Arizona State. This will be at 7:30 on ESPN 2. Matt, and I did

have to laugh as I saw a video from Arizona State practice where they had

team managers with cowbells. Ding ding ding ding ding ding ding ding. I’m like, “Buddy, you have no idea what you’re

about to walk into to try to mimic the cowbells.” And also

Sam Levit, the quarterback of Arizona State. He said the Cowbells reminded him of high school. So, uh, I think maybe

the fans down there in Stark Vegas might be a little bit extra amped up for this game. But all that aside, Matt, really

fun game. I want the seven. I’m still waiting for the seven. We’ll see if we get it back. But I think Arizona State

could be in some trouble here. I think this is a really tricky spot as they head on the road down to Starkville.

More cowbell, Tim. More cowbell. That’s one of the great Saturday Night Live skits of all time. I have not watched

Saturday Night Live in probably 20 years, but that was a great one back in the day. Uh you’re going to hear plenty

of cowbell Saturday in Starkville for this game as well. You’re going to see a lot of Blake Shapen, too. He was limited

to what, four games last year with the shoulder injury. Knocked him out and that Jeff

Big disappointment. Uh Bulldogs lost on the road to Arizona State. That was before we knew really how good Arizona

State was going to be. Cam Scataboo was the difference in that game. He tore up

the Bulldogs on the ground. Uh he’s not there now. He’s with the New York Giants and that’s going to make a big difference I think especially when the

Sunundevils team hits the road and you don’t have that stud running back who can get those tough yards, convert those

third downs. I do love Sam Levit as a young quarterback. Jordan Tyson is big play wide receiver. Tyson had 12

catches, 140 yards against Northern Arizona last week. He had two touchdowns

in that game, too. Sunundevils were not that sharp. They beat the Lumberjacks 38-19.

Um, I think that Mississippi State’s defensive game plan here is going to have to be, you know, kind of double

Tyson, take him away or limit him as much as possible because that’s a guy Sam Levit wants to go to. Uh Mississippi

State looked better defensively to me uh last week in that game at Southern Miss. And offensively, Jake Blake Shapen led

that uh offense to 465 total yards. This the first game that jumped off the page

to me this week. Hopefully I’m right about it. First bet I made, Mississippi State plus 7. And uh right now we’re

going to get 6 and a half. That’s the best number out there in the market. I still think the Bulldogs are dangerous

home dogs here in this spot. And Arizona State probably laying a little too much going on the road to face an SEC

opponent that is improved from last season. So I’m on Miss State.

You know, a year ago, Matt, Arizona State, who came out of nowhere, right? They were a 6 and a half point home

favorite against Mississippi State. They won that game 30-23. They were up big in

that one as you alluded to, 27-3. Cam Scataboo going for 262. And now you’re a

6 and 12 point road favorite. So, there’s a belief that this Arizona State

understandably so, and has taken a a step in the right direction. I I do think, you know, maybe a little bit of

regression’s coming for Arizona State, a team that was plus 14 in the turnover margin a year ago. Mississippi State,

you mentioned it, Blake Shapen dealt with injuries last year, very disappointing season for Jeff Lebby and company. I just think this is going to

be a great environment, maybe the best environment outside of Oklahoma on Saturday, a night game down there in

Starkville. I I was impressed by Brennan Thompson, seven catches, 92 yards, the Oklahoma transfer, and his connection

with Blake Shapen. I’ll point this out. You know, people are going to roll their eyes and say whatever, they beat Southern Miss. There were a lot of

people this off season saying that Southern Miss might beat Mississippi State and that was a pretty dominant

performance by the Bulldogs. They won 34 to7, Matt, 100% postgame win expectancy.

They proved that they were the SEC team even on the road against a team that a lot of people including me are are

expecting some better things from this year from the Golden Eagles. So that was an impressive performance I thought for

Mississippi State on the road uh at Southern Miss. You mentioned it Arizona State played Northern Arizona. Look, Sam

Lev can use his legs. Seven carries, 73 yards, two touchdowns, had a 52 yard run

against Northern Arizona. I was surprised that Kanye Udo, the Army

transfer, only got two carries in that game. Are they saving him for this game? Is something going on there? So, he was

believed to be maybe one of the guys to replace Scataboo. But I’m with you. Uh I missed the seven unfortunately, but I

still think Mississippi State at six and a half worth of play. And hopefully we get that seven back. But this will be an

official play for me. Give me Mississippi State plus the points. Matt, we’ve had a lot of um we’ve had a lot of

jawing this week, whether it was Davo versus Brian Kelly, mentioned uh Sam Levit talking about the Cowbells. Well,

how about Oregon and Oklahoma State? We talked about this on VO prime time. And you do wonder if this does get maybe a

little extra fire lit under the ass of this Oregon team as Mike Gundy called

out Oregon talking about how they pay their team $40 million. They’ve only

spent $7 million. Uh Oregon is paying a lot of money for their team. From a

non-conference standpoint, there’s coaches saying they should play teams with similar budgets. Dan Lanning

responded, “If you want to be a top 10 team in college football, you better be invested in winning.” And you remember

back to the Colorado and Oregon game, his pregame speech for that one. They’re

here for clicks, we’re here for wins, something to that effect. Matt, they were up, I think, 35 to nothing at

halftime uh in that particular game. Uh not going to be an official play, but I did lay a little bit on Oregon in the

first half here. You got to remember, too, Oklahoma State’s starting quarterback broke his foot, so he’s out.

Uh this could be ugly, especially if Dan Lanning wants to make it ugly. So, not

an official play, but I’m curious to see how this one plays out and if Dan Lanning maybe steps on the throat a

little bit more after Gundy couldn’t uh shut up his yapper on Monday night.

Yeah, Gundy probably should not have been talking before this game, but you know, that’s who Mike Gundy is, right?

He’s a swashbuckler. He’s going to run his mouth and loose cannon. Uh, I think

he’s going to pay for it here. Now, Dan Lanning needs to get this Oregon offense on track. Dante Moore as a quarterback.

I’ve got a lot of questions about former transfer from UCLA. Maybe this is a type of game that’s going to be a confidence

builder for him and that Ducks offense. Uh like you talked about, you got a

freshman quarterback on the road for Oklahoma State. The the quarterback who went down, how do you pronounce his

name, Tim? Quarterback. I think it’s Henry. Anyway, he’s got

some wheels and he had some potential, I thought, after watching him in that uh opening game, but he goes down with a

broken foot and now you got to turn to a freshman. You’re going on the road at Oregon and you’re going to get blown out

here. I almost I don’t want to say this is a game where Dan Lanning can name the score. Uh I don’t think it’s to that

extent, but this is going to be one where Dan Lanning could pour it on, I think, in the second half. and uh he he

kind of wants to rub Mike Gundy’s face in the manure here. So, it would be Oregon or

right now, but I might end up uh making some sort of play on Oregon if I see something that pops up here. It would be

lay the points or nothing because I think uh Dan Landing is going to want to put it on Gundy pretty good.

Well, speaking of revenge, we saw a couple revenge spots this week when you

don’t have a bet on this game, but curious to get your quick thoughts on it, Matt, as Old Miss, really the reason they missed out on the playoff last year

was a loss to Kentucky, an inexplicable loss, a team that won one conference game in Kentucky and now Miss goes on

the road to Kentucky. Uh, they’re laying 10 here. Uh, you rode up the SEC for the VSON guide. Any interest in the favorite

here in getting some revenge on the road at Big Blue Nation? You know, we just talked about Oklahoma

State and that’s one of my uh win total best bets for the season’s under five. I also played Kentucky under four and a

half. I just want Old Miss to get the win here. I’m not going to lay the big number. Uh, you can talk all you want

about Lane Keifin in the revenge angle, but Mark Stops might have his number a little bit. and Stoops obviously can put

put a pretty good defense on the field and he might be able to find out ways to slow Austin Simmons in this Old Miss

offense and beat up on a pathy last week. I didn’t think Kentucky was going to be very good. Still don’t. Zack Kada

the seventh year journeyman quarterback 10 for 23 85 yards passing with a pick.

Talk about all the poor performances we saw from quarterbacks a week ago. Zack Kzado is on that list as well. Wildcats

can run the ball. They went for 220 on the ground a week ago against Toledo in

that game. Thanks to the Rockets. I appreciate the Rockets, by the way, getting the back door cover in that game, 24-16.

Needed that one. Uh Wildcats can run the ball and like I said, they put up 220 on the ground a week ago. I I could see

Kentucky hanging around in this game. Uh I’m not overconfident in Lane Keifin rolling into Lexington and winning this

by a huge margin here. So, uh, I’m I’m going to pass on the game and just hope Miss gets it. Hey, look, for all the

bitching and crying and whining that Lane Keifin did last year about getting left out of the playoff, take care of

business as a two touchdown home favorite. That was a embarrassing loss for Kein. He has one of those almost

every year. You know, he he loses a two touchdown home favorite to a Kentucky team that went 1 and7 in the SEC. That

was Mark Stop’s only win. If Keifin wins that game, he’s probably in the playoff.

So, don’t complain about the playoff committee. Take care of business at home. I I think revenge is an overplayed

angle by a lot of handicappers. Old Miss would just be happy to go in there and get the win by seven or whatever. I’m

not going to lay the points here. Matt, you also have a win total over

Missouri. Very advantageous schedule for the Tigers. I thought Bo Priva looked pretty solid. Uh he took over that QB1

role. uh ran a lot in that season opening win against I believe Central Arkansas. So, we got the border war uh

here 3:30 Eastern. This game will be on a uh ESPN 2 and Missouri right now

laying 6 and a half against Kansas. Um look, I’m a big Lance Liipold guy. Um I

I I do get worried a little bit uh about this defense against Missouri, but boy, it feels like a decent amount of points

there for a rivalry game. Missouri laying 6 and a half against the Jay-Hawks. Well, on the theme of win totals here,

like you said, I’ve got my biggest win total bet is Missouri over seven and a

little bit concerned about this game. I just need the Tigers to win this game. I’m not going to lay the points. Price is a little bit steeper than what I

thought. I I made this number four and a half. So, I don’t know if I’m a little bit off here, but I think Kansas Jaden

Daniels Jaylen Daniels is off to a hot start here for the Jay-Hawks. And I think they can make the Tigers sweat in

this game. I’m not going to lay the points. I’m just going to hope Missouri gets the win. I expect Missouri to get the win, but I don’t think it’s going to

be easy. Yeah, once again, I mean, it’s you kind of look at past results. All right,

Kansas smashed Fresno State and then Fresno State turned around and crushed Georgia Southern. Now, do you play that

or is that some sort of um just kind of wacky coincidence? But yeah, I think

Kansas in a rivalry game, the Border War, uh these two fan bases certainly don’t like each other. So, it’ll be an

entertaining game nonetheless to watch that one. Matt, Florida beat the mighty Long Island Sharks last week. But all

kidding aside, Florida’s about to embark on maybe the most difficult schedule in all of college football. So, if you have

to open up the season against a a joke of a program like Long Island, hey, maybe you’ll take it. But boy, this game

got a little bit more interesting, didn’t it? 415 SEC Network. We’ve got Florida taking on South Florida. And

what I’ve noted here is that Florida is getting a little bit of support here in the market. This thing is up 17 12 18 at

Circa in favor of the Gator. South Florida was very strong in that win over

Boise State, but they benefited from some, you know, poor red zone production from Boise. Um, I did come away

impressed by South Florida, but it does feel like you’re punching up in class. You and I don’t like laying big numbers,

but curious your thoughts on South Florida in Gainesville on Saturday.

Yeah, the uh the Sharks were out of their element in the swamp last week and you know, I’ll give Sunbelt Billy a

little bit of a break. I don’t like the Florida scheduled Long Island schedule. A little bit more of a respectable

opponent than that, but he does have an extremely difficult schedule coming up here. So, uh, it was going to be Florida

needed needed to schedule a layup against somebody and got it against Long Island. Okay, so cautionary tale here

about South Florida. I bet the Bulls last year against Miami and they got off to a great start, looked promising early

and ended up getting blown out in that game by the Hurricanes. I could kind of see something similar happening

happening here against the Gator. Uh Byron Brown pretty strong in that game against Boise State. 210 yards passing,

43 yards rushing. But Tim, the score, the 34 to7 score is not really indicative of of how that game was

played. I don’t think it was that lopsided. When you look at the box score, South Florida was not all that

impressive offensively and uh gave up a lot of yards to the Boise offense. The

Broncos killed themselves with three fumbles, three loss fumbles, and uh that’s where the game got out of control

in the second half. So, I’m not going to go overboard here and say this South Florida team uh could could roll into

the swamp and uh beat the Gators. I’m concerned that it could go the way the South Florida Miami game went a year ago

when the Bulls got off to a great start, lost control of the game in the second half. I’m tempted to take the points

here. It’s a lot of points and you’re tempted to take it with South Florida, but as of right now, I’m probably going

to pass. It does to me feel a little bit like a trap. That that’s a big number. We all

saw them on Thursday open up week one with that win, but you’re right. I mean,

you look at some of the numbers for that game, it was maybe just a little bit misleading there for USF. Not as

dominant as the four touchdown victory may may look there uh at 34 to7. And I

think DJ Lagway and company, boy, that was uh yeah, you can’t really take much from LIU, but I think this Florida team,

I do have a little bit under seven and a half on Florida just because if Lagway gets hurt, how big of the drop off is it

at the quarterback position? But I think Florida could win big here. But not something I am going to play. Something

you’re going to play. Let’s go back to a night game, Matt. And this game will be 7:30 on ACC Network. I had Virginia Tech

last week, and boy was I disappointed in the quarterback performance from Kairen

Drones. As I thought Virginia Tech had every opportunity to to cover in that

game. And then you give up a punt return as they get, you know, Virginia Tech gets beamer balled by by Shane Beamer

there. So in the Beamer Bowl, South Carolina gets the win, gets the cover, much to my chagrin. And now Virginia

Tech comes back home. Brent Prize already feeling the heat and you’re facing a team in Vanderbilt that last

year you were a double- digit favorite going to Nashville. You lost the game outright and you’ve got the underdog god

that is Diego Pavia 8-2 ATS as an underdog a year ago at New Mexico State

in his final year there. Believe he was 52 and one ATS and one of those games he

got hurt. So I think 51-1 ATS when he finished his games. This is a

fascinating game on a Saturday night. You know it’s going to be hopping down there at Lane Stadium and Salmon all of

that. Virginia Tech at some shops is actually a favorite here. We’ll call it a pick them,

and a halfs out there in favor of the Hokes. Yeah, I’m taking uh Vandy and the points

and you stole my material here on Diego uh Diego Pave and the underdog stats.

I I like to I like the Commodores in the underdog role here. And this line, I think, is telling you something. When

Virginia Tech is less than a three-point home favorite, you’re seeing pick them out there at some spots. Um, one of the

great stories, Diego Pava in college football. Talk about a guy who started out at New Mexico Institute, went to New

Mexico State, and now at Vandy. All right, that’s not exactly hopping from one five-star hotel to another one. Uh,

that’s the drags of college football. And, you know, aside from the Vandy

story, this team’s been really competitive against the heavyweights in the SEC, including Alabama last year. I

like uh I like the Commodores in this spot. I was very disappointed in that Virginia Tech performance on uh Sunday.

And again, Tim, we’re talking about quarterbacks who were disappointing in the first week. How about Kairen Drones

of the Hokes? 15 for 35 with two picks. That was a poor performance from the

VTEC quarterback. I’m going to go with Vandy here. I think the line is telling you to take the Commodores on the road.

All right, Matt, let’s just run through some other games. Uh not necessarily plays. is I do have a couple plays on

some of these games, but uh Arch Manning’s bounceback San Jose State uh talk about disappointing performance.

Boy, I did not see them losing to Central Michigan to start the college football season. Kenya Matalo said it

was one of the worst losses of his career and they lose to Central Michigan as two touchdown favorites. Well, it

doesn’t get easier. Noon Eastern on ABC. You got to take on a me an upset Texas

squad. 36 and a half. What do we see from Arch Manning, Matt?

Well, hopefully we see much better performance from Arch than we saw against Ohio State. Um, I’ll tell you

right now, Diego Pavia has got a better chance to win the Heisman than Arch Manning. And I’m serious about that. The

Arch that I talked a lot about Arch and you know 8 to1 Heisman bet I made before

the season. I’ve already lit that on fire and uh have no regrets. He’s got no

shot. you might as well put him at 100 to one right now. He’s not going to win it. But Texas has got some shots here to

uh some get right games right for this offense coming up and San Jose State’s going to be one of them. So Arch is

going to put up some numbers. He’s going to look better the next few weeks. But I I can’t get past how bad he looked

against that Buckeye’s defense. And I’m I’m just talking about uh his footwork

and his mechanics were sloppy. Uh, fundamentals, footwork, fundamentals,

and mechanics. All sloppy. Throwing off his back foot, throwing sidearm. He’s got a running back cutting across the

middle and you need to throw a touch pass and lead him a little bit. He fires a rocket at the running back’s knees. He

first pass of the game. He’s got a wide receiver open 20 yards out in the flat and he bounces at 15 yards. There some

and the the pick he threw was a really bad decision where he didn’t read the defense quickly enough, was slow to make

the throw, and it got picked off. Arch uh really disappointed me in the way he

played against Ohio State. That said, Julian Sand and the Ohio State offense

didn’t impress the hell out of me either. Texas outgainained Ohio State 336 to 203 in that

better play calling from Sarkc, little bit better play from Arch Manning, and I think Texas could have been the winning

side there. But again, you can’t go back and play it again. Uh, I think uh what Sark’s gonna want to have happen here is

Texas is, like I said, got to get some get-right performances offensively and they can get it here. You and I both

like coach Ken at San Jose State, but that’s a bad bad loss. The Spartans are

coming off. Can’t lose that game. You can’t you cannot lose that game at home. Now you’re going on the road against Texas and you’re going to get

destroyed. I could see something here, Tim, like 52-3.

uh some some lopsided score. I don’t know. Walker Eat and the San Jose State offense got some potential and they

could get a couple of back door scores. This Texas defense is not going to give up much in the first half though. If San

Jose State’s going to get something, it’s probably going to come after halftime. So, keep an eye on maybe some live betting aspects of this game. I

just I feel like that uh Texas needs a pickme up and it’s going to get it here against San Jose State. Very

disappointed in the Spartans and their performance in the opener.

Texas had an 82.2% postgame win expectancy in that loss

there to uh to Ohio State. Hey, just a reminder folks, we got some great sponsors part of this podcast, including

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aloha. Matt, I want to jump to a game that we saw late in the season a year ago and I was on the dog in this game

and I was very fortunate to get a cover. That was Yukon and Syracuse a year ago. Yukon scored a back door touchdown with

like 90 seconds to go. Syracuse team that I am down on this year. Schedule’s

brutal. And Yukon, as many of you know, is an independent and they play three

ACC teams this year. These are their Super Bowls. They play at Syracuse, at Boston College, and they host Duke later

on in the season. They’ve got a veteran quarterback and Joey Fenano back for another year. Their running back Cam

Edwards back. Uh Skyler Bell uh also back for another season. So this number

moved from 8 1/2 down to 6 and 1/2. So it left me off a bit, but I’d be curious if Yukon at noon Eastern on ESPN Plus if

they are a feisty underdog in this role in the noon window slot. But I I felt

like Matt I don’t need another noon window uh pain. So I’m gonna gonna pass

on this one. I want to ask you real quickly just go ahead. I’m going to mention about that game. Like you said,

that’s a 9:00 a.m. game. I decide to pass, too. But this to me is more about the number. I like the Yukon side here.

I like the Huskies as dogs, but the problem is Circa opened this at nine and

now it’s 6 and a half. So, you’re too late to the party to bet Yukon at this point, but I agree with the line move.

Well, I will say this real quickly. Think back to last year. Syracuse had a

pro quarterback, three really good receivers. two of them in the pros now. One’s at Penn State, a pro running back,

and that number closed 10, and this number opened nine. So, the market was probably off on this because Syracuse is

significantly downgraded. Um, but we’ll see how this one plays out. Uh, Syracuse

coming off that loss last week against Tennessee. Matt, speaking of losses, Clemson loses in their season opener.

Another massive favorite. They’re number eight in the country still. They get Troy ACC Network 3:30 Eastern. Overall,

just big picture on Clemson. Did you come away disappointed with that performance? What jumped out to you

about their 17-10 loss to LSU? You know, Tim, we’re not going to be right about everything we say in the

preseason, and hopefully you’re not going to be wrong about everything you say. I was I was wrong on the Arch

Manning hype, but I was right when I said I thought Clemson was being overhyped. There was a lot of people talking about Clemson national

championship. Kade Clubnick Heisman. I just, you know, every time the Tigers, Clemson Tigers stepped up in class last

year, they got to hand it to him and they were 0 and three against the SEC. And I talked about that last week on the

podcast. Maybe it’s more about LSU being that much better. You know, maybe LSU is

just so much improved defensively and LSU is the real deal. But yes, I was disappointed in Clemson and I’m glad I

did not buy into that Clemson preseason hype. Yeah, I want to give a shout out to our

our friend Jimmy. He came on the tailgate show, which you can hear every Saturday at 9:00 am, and he said he

loved loved first half and full game under, and those were two very easy

winners. So, thank you to Jimmy on that one. Matt, you know, we saw maybe not to

this level, but we saw a a big correction from UNLV’s performance against Idaho State to their number

against Sam Houston. And my question heading into this particular game is, did the market go too crazy here? North

Carolina embarrassed themselves on Monday night and there were also a lot of national media members who

embarrassed themselves after they scored a touchdown on their opening drive. That’s true. They lose 48 to4 and now you’ve got a

short week to take on Charlotte. This number was as high as 21 in game I

believe during North Carolina TCU. It’s now sitting at 12 and a half or 13 and a

half. I’d be curious if this is a spot where North Carolina maybe the reaction

is too drastic and North Carolina goes out and beats an inferior Charlotte team

who by the way got their ass kicked against App State despite the betting public thinking they knew the result of

that one uh last uh last week. Yeah, that’s true. Uh that was uh that’s

a good call by you right there. I don’t know if it’s an overreaction. I think North Carolina looks pretty bad. I

really I felt from the start that this Bill Bich experiment was going to be a bust in Chapel Hill and Will Hill and I

had talked about this on some shows over the summer. How long is Bellich going to last at North Carolina? I said no more

two years tops and I’m not sure if he’s going to last beyond one year. Uh but I

think there’s a decent chance he’s going to last two years at the college game. It’s big adjustment. He got 70 new

players and uh he’s not out coaching people. I don’t care what you think of

Belich, you know, the most accomplished coach in NFL history. He was not out coaching people the last two years he

was in the NFL. He was 4 and3 when he was with the Patriots in his last season. When he didn’t have superior

talent, he didn’t look like a superior coach. And his, by the way, his last home game was against a bad Jets team

and he lost. That was his last game as Patriots coach. So, he has not been working any miracles on the sideline for

a while uh since Tom Brady left Foxboro and he hasn’t had the better talent. Uh

Will asked me last week during the second half when TCU was embarrassing

Bellich, what’s the adjustment for this game against Charlotte and I said, “Well, I at DraftKings I saw a number of

20 hanging out there 20 or 21. I think it’s fair to adjust this all the way down to 14.” Now, the Charlotte team

looks pretty bad, too. So, I I I just think the market has made the proper adjustment here, and I’m more curious

just to watch this game and see if the Tarheelss look that much better this week. But I think the number adjustment

is right. And Tim, obviously, it’s got to be Max Johnson at quarterback, right?

Yes, 100%. Um, no doubt about it. It Max Johnson looks uh very much the uh the

prototypical pro quarterback. Great story, by the way, as as you mentioned it on prime time earlier this week. Just

gruesome leg injury. He’s battled through a number of spots. Uh I think he deserves I was never a big Gio Lopez

fan. I was surprised that he was the guy they ultimately hitched their wagon to. Look, you mentioned it, I think, too.

Ryan Brown at Purdue was at UNC. I mean, wouldn’t he be the best option? It’s

it’s it’s it’s a bit headscratching at some of the personnel decisions at least at the quarterback position uh to roll

with Gio Lopez, but I think it should be Max Johnson. I want to circle back real quickly. Uh Charlotte opened eight and a

half last week, closed only a three-point dog and they lost 34 to1.

So, uh the market movement on the 49ers was not correct a week ago. Matt, I

mentioned this game last week and I was kicking myself for not betting it. Tarlton State’s a very good FCS program

and they were catching 14 against Army and a number of us have bet under Army

win total of seven and a half and Tarlton State on six days rest coming across country beat Army and there’s a

belief sometimes that you can bet on these teams that lose to FCS teams. Maybe they’re a little bit on sale.

Well, the problem is they’re going to Kansas State and they just squeaked past an FCS team as well. So, this number’s

gotten up to 17. not gonna be a bet for me, but I’m curious to watch it. Um,

looking at Kansas State, is this a team that preseason Big 12 co-favorites with

Arizona State, Matt, is this a team that was uh a bit overrated? Chris Kimman, a coach that you and I both like, but boy,

you lose in a slopfest to Iowa State, and God, they were lucky to beat North Dakota.

Yeah, Chris Klyman’s been a bet on coach for me for a long time, but I have not bet on him in the first two games this

season. In fact, I bet against him, I had Iowa State. And last week, I was talking with big

some say the uh greatest gambler to ever swagger out of North Dakota. And uh Randy was still regretting that North

Dakota let that game get away last week against K State. And I think at one point he said on the live line, North

Dakota was like minus 250 to win the game. And that’s uh obviously the

Wildcats put together that game-winning drive and pulled it out. So I I think you have to have some legitimate

concerns here that Kate’s not what it was hyped up to be in the preseason. And

uh maybe you know in time Chris Kimman’s going to figure that thing out. But right now Kate looks pretty shaky.

You know, one other game I want to get to, Matt. Uh, last year I remember week two vividly because we did this podcast

and you gave out Northern Illinois plus 28. And the reason I bring that up,

Northern Illinois, of course, went on to pull off the upset of the college football season, beating Notre Dame, but

you’ve got a similar spot. Now, do I expect the boys from Rustin to go into

Death Valley and get this victory? I certainly do not. But this is another kind of hold your nose special this week

where Louisiana Tech, Matt, a team who was uh they won 24 to nothing but were

actually outgained by Southeast Louisiana last week uh in that 24 to

nothing win. Situationally, I played a situational spot last week and it absolutely burned me with South Dakota.

I’m going to take the 38 with Louisiana Tech and hold my nose. There was so much put into that LSU game against Clemson.

And next week they play Florida at home. Matt, this could be a sleepy spot spot for Brian Kelly’s squad. 283 31 point

Rustin catching 38. I don’t blame you. I see a 38 out there in the screen, but most books including

Circa are a little bit below that at 37. So this is one of those games for Murray’s Delicatessan, right? This is a

sandwich spot with LSU on the big game off the big game at Clemson and then with a Florida game up next and you

could uh you know see the Tigers falling asleep at the wheel a little bit in this game. It is their home opener and

there’s going to be a lot of hype around this team off last week’s win. Uh, we would be remiss if we did not mention

Brian Kelly’s ridiculous clock and game management blunder at the end of the first half last week at

Clemson, but LSU was able to overcome that with a dominant second half. I’m with you here. I think I would take the

38 or pass. I’m probably going to pass, but this is a game I could see LSU sleepwalking a little bit.

All right, Matt, before we get to the late night slate, we got four games to hit on before we get out of here and give you your best bet recap. Just a

reminder, our good friends at Rainbow AOthenics, as you can uh check out the hat. I rock it all the time here. Uh one

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proud sponsor of the Vsson College Football Betting Podcast. We’ll get to the Hawaii game here in just a moment,

Matt, but a game in our backyard. We’ve got UNLV and UCLA. This game on CBS

Sports Network, 8:00 p.m. Eastern, 5:00 p. p.m. Pacific time. UCLA anywhere from

a 2 and a half to threepoint favorite against UNLV. You saw this UCLA team up

close and personal. Boy, did they get their ass kicked by Utah. Yeah, I like I said, I was thoroughly

unimpressed with everything I saw with UCLA last week. Offensive line is pedestrian. uh so are the skill

position. You don’t have many playmakers at running back or receiver or tight end for that matter. Nico doesn’t appear to

be anything special at quarterback. And um on defense, I counted uh somewhere

around 40 to 50 missed tackles by UCLA last week. Just very poor performance at

the Rose Bowl. The announced attendance, by the way, I was there Saturday night and it was announced a crowd of like

35,500 actual people in the stadium. I read later was around 27,000 which is crazy

uh in a venue like the Rose Bowl and Utah brought a lot of those fans. Utah also dominated the game on the field

30-4 in first downs 492 to 220 in total yards and 37 1/2 minutes time of

possession. Uh Nico 11 for 22 passing. I didn’t see anything that stood out uh

from the UCLA perspective, Tim. And what do we make of UNLV right now? Who knows?

We’re guessing a little bit here because the Rebels had to uh come back to beat Idaho State. They went on the road and

beat Whitney Houston a week ago. Not really an impressive early season schedule here for UNLV. I do think the

the Rebels coaching staff is a little bit better. Dan Mullen and his coaches, I give them the check mark here. Uh when

you’re looking at edges on the Jimmy the Greek chalkboard, uh I’m going to go sir can move this number to three. I’m

taking UNLV plus three here. Like I said, guessing a little bit, but watching UCLA up close, I think this

Bruins team could be pretty bad. I’m not not impressed with the coaching staff. And you know what, Anthony Kandra, the

transfer from Virginia, has played okay for the Rebels at quarterback uh so far. And you got Jet Thomas, who’s a

playmaker at running back. I think UNLV should win this game. I’m not going to go crazy with this. Um but I do like the

Rebels as home dogs here catching three. A lot of two and a halfs out there. So,

if you see that three, make sure to scoop it. We’ve seen a couple of spots. You know, we talked about Baylor SMU. I

still want the three. Mississippi State and Arizona State. I still want the seven. We We’ve seen a big move in this

Matt uh game. And let’s go to the CW late night. 10:15 Eastern up at the

Paloo. We got San Diego State taking on Washington State. And right now, you’re

getting the worst of the number. So, when you record this show on a Thursday, that’s always a tricky uh part to it.

But they played Stonybrook. I get it. It was uh you know, the Seaw Wolves were

were out of their element traveling across country from Long Island to take on San Diego State. But Washington State

also played an FCS team, albeit a better one in Idaho. But that’s an Idaho program that their coaches and their

players are mostly down in New Mexico. and Washington State was was wildly underwhelming in that game. Now, once

again, you don’t want to play into too much of an overreaction, and maybe I’m getting caught up in it, but I was

impressed by what I saw from Shawn Lewis’s defense, believe it or not. This is an offensive-minded head coach, Matt,

but they bring back 11 starters on defense. Uh they have a Michigan transfer quarterback, Jaden Dangle, who

I think is pretty raw, but can run a little bit. They’ve got Bird Emanuel Jr., very uh elusive uh backup

quarterback that they’ll bring in and have him run around a bit. I think San Diego State is a little bit underrated

here. The market agrees this went from like four and a half down to one and a half. So I’m getting the worst of it,

but I think San Diego State wins this game. So I’ll for the purpose of the podcast, I’ll do one and a half here,

Matt. But I’ll be on San Diego State money line late night on the CW. All

right. Lastly, Matt, we got to talk the Hawaii game. And our Hawaii game all year long is going to be brought to you

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who helped us get out to Hawaii earlier this year. Well, Matt,

I would say pretty disappointing to see Micah Alah play last week for the

Rainbow Warriors and the market is telling us that he will not be playing here against Sam Houston uh in a

midnight Eastern game. This will be uh you’ll be able to watch it for free. our good friend uh Canoa Ley will be on the

broadcast there. The Mountain West app is how you can get it uh for free this year, Matt. But I’ll I’ll toss you first

here because it looks like it will be the backup. Nothing official. I think Timmy Chang said it is a game time

decision uh for Hawaii and Micah Alah, but he had a boot on his foot Tuesday.

He did not practice on Wednesday. Certainly doesn’t seem like Micah Alahada will be playing in this game in

a very important spot for Hawaii here starting a three-game home stand with Sam Houston, Portland State, and then

Fresno State. Yeah. Uh, hate to criticize our friend Timmy Chang, the Hawaii coach, uh, but

you and I talked about this last week and I thought he should have sat Micah Ahado out against Arizona uh, multiple

times on different VON shows last week. I said Al Ahado or not, Hawaii’s

probably going to get blown out in this game. They put Rainbow Warriors put so much into that opener against Stanford.

And then it’s a tough scheduling spot going on the road to Tucson the next week. Uh I thought it was pretty obvious

Hawaii was going to get blown out by Arizona last week. And I thought also it was a mistake from Tim Timmy Chang. I know the Micah Alahad is a tough kid. He

wants to get out there and play. He’s going to try to talk his way onto the field and the, you know, coach is a former quarterback and he wants his he

understands he’s a competitor. Okay, he talked him into it. He let him play. He should not have let him play. I thought

he the entire time I thought he should have set him out on that bad right foot. The important thing here is you’re

probably not going to beat Arizona anyway. That was a two touchdown number when you’re going to Tucson. It was bet

up to 17 and a half, dropped to 16 and a half at game time. you’re probably not going to win that

game anyway. You have to make sure you win your next three home games. You have to make sure Alejad is healthy for those

games. And now here you sit where he’s doubtful. We call it doubtful actually

against Sam Houston on Saturday night. You’ve got to win this game now. He’s six and a half point home favorite. And

I think Hawaii’s in trouble here if you got to play the backup quarterback, Tim. So, uh, might look under an underdog,

but we got to monitor this over the weekend and see if Micah Alahadoo is going to try to start at quarterback for

Hawaii. You know how tough he is. He’s going to try to talk his way onto the field again this week. Uh, but how

effective is he going to be if he does play, but if he doesn’t, I think, uh,

Hawaii might be life or death to win this game. Yeah. And look, Sam Houston, uh, they’ve

got their own quarterback questions as well. Their depth chart lists Watson and uh I think it’s Mature as an or. So,

we’ll see what Phil Longo decides to do there. Both these teams have played two games, so there’s no rest advantage. But

um yeah, Mike Alahado, like you said, he battled it out. Uh he said postgame to

our friends at Hawaii Sports Radio there. They put it on social media that, you know, he he told Coach Tang he could

go and he let him go. But both have kind of shown regret this week. So for me, Matt, uh I do have a win total over five

and a half for Hawaii. So this is a little bit of a try to middle here. I’m going to split my unit. I’m going to

take Sam Houston plus seven and I’m going to take under 48 and a half. So I

think this is going to be a grinder and they got to avoid the turnovers. Luke Weaver, you mentioned he’s the backup.

If Alado can’t go, he would start uh turnovers galore last week against Arizona maybe pressing a little bit too

much. So, I would anticipate if it is the backup that this is more of a conservative game plan with uh with Luke

Weaver in there. Hawaii went minus5 in the turnover margin just a week ago. All

right, Matt, we’ve uh we’ve run the board here. We’ve given out our best bets. So, let’s uh wrap up like we like

to do. Let’s make this nice and neat and let every know what we’re betting here in week two.

Best bets recap. All right, Matt, you lead us off with your best bet recap.

All right, the first two bets I uh talked about on VSON this week, Duke plus three and Mississippi State plus

seven. Now, for this podcast, I’m taking Mississippi State plus 6 and a half because the sevens have disappeared. So,

Duke and Mississippi State as home dogs going Vandy Diego Pavia plus one and a

half or we’ll say plus one. Uh Vandy plus one at Virginia Tech. The big game

of the weekend. I’m gonna ride with Brent Venibals here and bet against the freshman quarterback in his first start

on the road. We’re going to Oklahoma minus five against Michigan. And then uh Saturday night in Vegas circuit had a

three on this. I think it just dropped to two and a half. But anyway, I sent the play in at UNLB plus three and

that’s how I bet it. And you buy that point if you want to where the three might pop up again Saturday. But

guessing a little bit here uh that the Bruins are as bad as they looked on Saturday night against Utah at the Rose

Bowl. I’m going to go UNLV plus three at Allegiance Stadium. I don’t have a lot of plays this week. I was three and four

on this podcast last week. I got five best bets here right now.

All right, Matt, we’ll run through mine here to close it out. A couple common plays and a bunch of noon plays, which

terrifies me. Duke plus three against Illinois. Iowa plus three and a half.

Hopefully that’s not a trap uh like the Oregon State game was last week. That was a a nightmare as Cal came out and

just manhandled the Beavers and I felt like it was. But we’ll see if Iowa can ugly this up in the Sihawk game. For the

grading purposes, Baylor plus two and a half. Hoping this gets to three. I probably will buy to three, but for

grading purposes, we’ll go Baylor plus 2 and a half as they take on SMU. I’m with you. Let’s hit those cowbells hard on

Saturday night in Stark Vegas. Mississippi State plus 6 and a half. Hoping to get the seven back. Probably

will buy a seven. Hold your nose special sandwich spot of the week. Louisiana Tech plus 38. San Diego State plus one a

half. And then a split unit play. Matt Late night because of the uncertainty with Micah Alah the quarterback for

Hawaii. We’ll go Sam Houston plus 7 half unit and under 48 and a half in Sam

Houston Hawaii half unit as well. All right, that’s going to do it for this

week on the podcast. As a reminder, three episodes each and every week. The

numbers have been amazing, Matt, as we have climbed up the charts. Last week in the top 75 of the iTunes chart, which is

pretty cool to see, and hopefully we can keep that momentum going. Continue to give us those five-star reviews. It

helps us out as we continue to try to build this. We’ll be back early next week with an episode with Adam Burke,

then Brett Seiania and Wes Reynolds Midweek, and Matt and myself every Thursday here on this podcast. Thanks to

Ryan Hunter and Wyatt, our producer of this pod. And you can also check this out lastly on YouTube, YouTube.comlive,

if you want to watch the podcast with graphics and all of that fun stuff as well. For Matt, I’m Tim. Let’s have

ourselves a winning week. This is the VSIN college football betting podcast. [Music]